Waner Perez

P FCL Orioles

Age 21 RHP 5'11" / 178 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Orioles B…	10	19	5.79	4.39	9.9%	15.4%	—	K 6.7% · BB 19.2% · FIP 4.97
2026	20	ROKBAL	10	10	4.35	2.91	19.6%	11.8%	—	K 13.3% · BB 14.7% · FIP 3.84
2027PROJ	21	MLBBAL	8	8	5.23	5.23	19.7%	14.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBBAL	10	10	4.96	4.84	21.2%	12.4%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsKasey Ford (age 23) · Michael Perez (age 21) · Samuel Carpio (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 116

ERA5.23

FIP5.23

K%19.7%

BB%14.3%

K-BB%5.4%

Proj IP8

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	10	0	19	91	9	14	0	0%	1.9	6.7%	19.2%	-12.5%	0.0%	5.79	4.97	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	10	0	19	91	9	14	0	0%	1.9	6.7%	19.2%	-12.5%	0.0%	5.79	4.97	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	10	0	19	91	9	14	0	0%	1.9	9.9%	15.4%	-5.5%	0.0%	5.79	4.39	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	10	0	10	51	10	6	0	0%	1.0	13.3%	14.7%	-1.4%	0.0%	4.35	3.84	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	10	0	10	51	10	6	0	0%	1.0	13.3%	14.7%	-1.4%	0.0%	4.35	3.84	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	10	0	10	51	10	6	0	0%	1.0	19.6%	11.8%	7.8%	0.0%	4.35	2.91	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	BAL	8	0	8	34	7	5	1	0%	1.0	19.7%	14.3%	5.4%	2.9%	5.23	5.23	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BAL	19	0	20	84	18	11	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.4%	8.7%	2.9%	4.96	4.84	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	BAL	10	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.0	21.2%	12.4%	8.7%	2.9%	4.96	4.84	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.4%	8.7%	2.9%	4.96	4.46	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	102	20	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.4%	8.7%	2.9%	4.96	4.46	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		20	0	29	142	13	25	0	0%	1.4	9.1%	17.6%	-8.5%	0.0%	5.28	4.56	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		138	0	200	979	89	172	0	0%	1.5	9.1%	17.6%	-8.5%	0.0%	5.28	4.56	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Waner Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.23	19.7%	14.3%	2.9%	—	4.84	21.2%	8.7%	20	-0.39	—	—	—
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	90
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	89
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	89
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	89
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	88
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	88
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	88
Drew Pestka R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	20	SU	4.26	19.0%	15.1%	1.6%	.298	4.55	18.1%	0.7%	83	+0.29	3.42	100	88
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	88
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	87
Hobie Harris R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	22	SU	4.28	18.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.239	3.36	21.2%	12.0%	144	-0.92	3.31	476	87
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	87
Tim Naughton R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	21	SU	4.53	17.9%	15.6%	1.8%	.312	3.58	20.7%	6.4%	83	-0.95	2.93	305	87
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	86
Nolan Sparks R 2024 · 4.10 FIP	21	SU	4.10	21.8%	13.5%	2.1%	.229	4.72	19.3%	5.3%	140	+0.62	4.10	155	86
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	86
Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	16.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.333	5.76	15.1%	0.9%	88	+1.37	4.39	102	86
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	86
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	86
Jake Bird R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.254	3.65	16.1%	4.9%	156	-0.94	3.06	525	86