Sami Manzueta

IF DSL Astros Orange

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

Scout OFP40ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	16	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	195	.224/.416/.392	5	7	59	—	.147/.300/.244
2026	17	ROKDSL Astros Or…	197	.241/.372/.395	5	6	40	—	.153/.265/.229
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBHOU	307	.211/.292/.307	4	4	72	-0.1
2028PROJ25% MLB	19	MLBHOU	62	.219/.301/.324	1	1	77	-0.0
2029PROJ38% MLB	20	MLBHOU	144	.223/.305/.334	2	2	81	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO67

Chase%55

Speed49

wOBA48

wRC+43

K%39

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsPedro Ibarguen (age 18) · Michael Arroyo (age 18) · Ramon Mendoza (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 167 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .290 / .304

PA167

HR2

K%26

BB%9

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE66

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	16	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	143	32	9	0	5	42	36	5	7	5	224	416	392	807	168	252	18	22	365	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	197	162	39	8	1	5	25	46	9	6	3	241	372	395	768	154	304	23	13	350	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	156	23	6	0	3	29	45	5	7	5	147	300	244	544	96	170	23	15	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	197	170	26	5	1	2	17	56	9	6	3	153	265	229	495	76	204	28	9	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	156	23	6	0	3	29	45	5	7	5	147	300	244	544	96	177	23	15	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	143	32	9	0	5	42	36	5	7	5	224	416	392	807	168	252	18	22	365	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	197	170	26	5	1	2	17	56	9	6	3	153	265	229	495	76	212	28	9	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	197	162	39	8	1	5	25	46	9	6	3	241	372	395	768	154	304	23	13	350	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	159	23	6	0	3	29	45	5	7	5	145	300	239	539	94	170	23	15	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	197	169	26	5	1	2	17	56	9	6	3	154	265	231	496	77	204	28	9	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	195	159	23	6	0	3	29	45	5	7	5	145	300	239	539	94	170	23	15	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	197	169	26	5	1	2	17	56	9	6	3	154	265	231	496	77	204	28	9	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	307	272	58	11	2	4	27	81	5	4	1	211	292	307	599	95	283	26	9	274	72	-10	+0	+0	+0	+7	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	HOU	25%	250	222	49	9	2	4	22	65	4	4	1	216	298	320	618	104	285	26	9	282	77	-7	+0	+0	+0	+5	-0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	HOU	38%	377	335	73	14	2	6	33	96	6	5	2	220	303	331	633	111	287	25	9	288	81	-8	+0	+0	+0	+8	-0.0
2030	21	MLB MLE	HOU	45%	471	418	93	17	3	9	42	119	8	7	3	223	306	340	645	116	288	25	9	293	84	-9	+0	+0	+0	+10	0.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	HOU	49%	538	476	107	20	3	10	48	134	9	8	3	226	308	347	655	121	289	25	9	296	87	-8	+0	+0	+0	+12	0.4
2032	23	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	583	516	119	22	4	12	52	144	10	8	3	228	310	352	662	124	290	25	9	299	89	-8	+0	+0	+0	+13	0.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	613	544	124	23	4	12	54	152	10	8	4	229	311	354	664	125	291	25	9	300	89	-8	+0	+0	+0	+13	0.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	626	554	128	24	4	13	56	155	11	8	4	229	311	354	665	125	291	25	9	300	89	-8	+0	+0	+0	+14	0.6
2035	26	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	633	561	129	24	4	13	56	156	11	8	4	228	311	354	664	125	290	25	9	300	89	-8	+0	+0	+0	+14	0.6
2036	27	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	634	562	129	24	4	13	57	158	10	8	4	227	310	351	660	123	290	25	9	299	88	-9	+0	+0	+0	+14	0.5
2037	28	MLB MLE	HOU	50%	629	558	126	23	4	12	56	158	10	7	4	225	308	346	653	121	289	25	9	296	86	-10	-0	-1	+0	+14	0.3
2038	29	MLB MLE	HOU	49%	619	549	123	23	3	12	55	157	10	6	4	223	305	339	644	117	287	25	9	292	84	-12	-0	-1	+0	+13	-0.0
2039	30	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	609	542	119	22	3	11	53	156	9	6	5	220	301	331	632	112	285	26	9	287	81	-14	-1	-2	+0	+13	-0.4
2028	19	MLB CTX	HOU	25%	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	219	301	324	624	105	289	26	8	284	77	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	HOU	38%	144	128	29	6	1	2	13	37	2	2	1	223	305	334	640	112	291	26	9	291	81	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	HOU	45%	214	189	42	8	1	4	19	54	4	3	1	226	308	343	652	117	293	25	9	295	84	-4	+0	+0	+0	+5	0.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	HOU	49%	265	235	54	10	2	5	23	66	5	4	2	228	311	350	661	122	294	25	9	299	87	-4	+0	+0	+0	+6	0.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	299	266	62	12	2	6	26	74	5	4	2	231	312	356	668	125	295	25	9	302	89	-4	+0	+0	+0	+6	0.2
2033	24	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	316	280	65	13	2	6	28	78	5	4	2	231	313	357	670	126	295	25	9	303	89	-4	+0	+0	+0	+7	0.3
2034	25	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	323	286	66	13	2	6	29	80	5	4	2	231	313	358	671	126	295	25	9	303	89	-4	+0	+0	+0	+7	0.3
2035	26	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	327	290	67	13	2	6	29	81	5	4	2	231	313	357	670	126	295	25	9	303	89	-4	+0	+0	+0	+7	0.3
2036	27	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	322	285	66	13	2	6	29	80	5	4	2	230	312	354	666	124	294	25	9	301	88	-4	+0	+0	+0	+7	0.3
2037	28	MLB CTX	HOU	50%	316	280	64	12	2	6	28	79	5	3	2	228	310	349	659	121	293	25	9	298	86	-5	-0	-0	+0	+7	0.1
2038	29	MLB CTX	HOU	49%	302	267	61	12	2	5	27	77	5	3	2	226	307	343	650	118	292	25	9	295	84	-6	-0	-1	+0	+7	-0.0
2039	30	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	292	259	58	11	2	5	26	75	5	3	3	222	303	335	638	113	290	26	9	290	81	-7	-1	-1	+0	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3182	2821	645	125	20	58	282	797	52	39	21	229	310	349	659	120	296	25	9	298	84	-52	-1	-2	+0	+69	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	132	26	4	12	58	163	11	8	4	229	312	351	662	122	297	25	9	298	84	-11	-0	-0	+0	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7141	6312	1399	262	42	134	644	1795	124	98	50	222	306	340	646	119	286	25	9	292	84	-115	+0	-4	+0	+146	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	127	24	4	12	59	163	11	9	5	221	306	339	645	118	285	25	9	292	84	-11	+0	-0	+0	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Pete Coscarart'38-'46 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,355 PA	5.1	3,355	28	34	235*	306*	367*	+17	-7	2.6	3.6
/162	664	6	7	+3.3	-1.4	0.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.0	3,348	63	42	226	304	345	+0	+0	3.6	3.4
/162	664	13	8	+0.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3
#4Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Ray Mack'38-'47 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,016 PA	4.5	3,016	34	35	223*	288*	357*	+11	-7	1.7	2.7
/162	664	7	8	+2.4	-1.5	0.4	pk7: 4
#6Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sami Manzueta (OGILVIE)	18	50	40	40	66	210/290/304	94	283	2	2	26%	9%	72	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Ibarguen 2024 · A	18	44	37→40	43→55	51	206/298/277	72	275	4	10	24%	9%	69	-0.9	194/283/263	69	293	4	16	32%	10%	59	-1.6	188/283/258	70	283	6	21	32%	11%	57	-0.7
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	43→51	39→45	47→45	49	205/283/297	92	259	5	4	22%	8%	67	-1.1	204/276/286	82	286	4	4	28%	7%	61	-1.5	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	43	35→40	39→45	54	200/286/260	60	251	3	8	20%	10%	59	-1.6	189/262/255	66	292	3	9	33%	8%	49	-2.4	213/312/292	79	295	7	4	27%	11%	75	-0.1
✕Edwin Sanchez 2023 · A	18	39	40	43→50	51	188/286/281	93	255	8	6	27%	10%	65	-1.2	182/306/271	89	242	7	9	25%	12%	72	-0.7	150/310/235	85	193	7	11	23%	15%	67	-0.3
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Wuilmer Becerra 2013 · A	18	45→52	38→45	45→50	43	213/280/298	85	300	4	6	29%	7%	65	-1.2	210/267/296	86	323	7	8	35%	5%	60	-1.6	248/283/352	104	340	9	10	29%	4%	75	-0.3
✕Ali Sánchez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	42→40	50	210/283/277	67	260	5	8	20%	8%	62	-1.4	215/266/268	53	272	3	6	21%	6%	53	-2.1	247/298/343	95	318	11	1	25%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Lenyn Sosa 2018 · A	18	46→53	38→50	44→40	44	219/265/296	77	271	6	6	21%	6%	59	-1.7	215/246/302	87	271	7	4	23%	3%	53	-2.1	243/278/380	137	290	18	3	23%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	37→41	41→55	44→45	47	183/257/274	91	240	9	9	26%	8%	52	-2.2	199/262/315	116	251	12	9	25%	7%	63	-1.3	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2010 · A	18	46→48	39→55	46→30	42	218/278/303	85	312	6	7	31%	7%	65	-1.2	216/254/361	145	265	18	3	26%	4%	71	-0.8	242/283/403	161	284	21	0	23%	4%	90	+0.4
✕Jacob Reimer 2024 · A	20	46→49	40→45	44→50	50	217/316/303	86	302	8	5	28%	10%	82	-0.0	226/307/346	120	303	11	9	27%	9%	87	+0.4	226/302/377	150	302	15	14	28%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Arnaldo Lantigua 2024 · A	18	37→43	42→50	47→40	47	184/259/284	100	247	10	8	28%	9%	55	-1.9	194/272/317	123	257	13	6	28%	9%	68	-1.0	193/275/323	131	258	14	4	29%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Ryan Vilade 2018 · A	19	48→54	44→50	45→50	48	228/307/346	118	322	12	8	31%	10%	87	+0.4	235/296/331	96	309	7	12	24%	7%	78	-0.3	227/293/385	158	282	18	14	26%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Allen Córdoba 2014 · A	18	43→51	35→45	46→55	49	201/278/260	59	259	2	8	22%	8%	57	-1.8	214/263/275	61	261	3	13	18%	5%	53	-2.1	250/305/328	79	295	5	15	16%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Hendry Mendez 2023 · A	19	48→57	38→45	42→45	53	224/303/299	75	281	5	6	21%	10%	75	-0.5	238/304/328	90	293	7	5	20%	8%	81	-0.1	262/336/372	110	313	10	6	18%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Wyatt Mathisen 2013 · A	19	47→54	37→50	44→40	47	223/289/295	72	272	4	12	19%	6%	68	-1.0	226/281/287	61	280	3	5	19%	6%	63	-1.4	223/310/358	136	283	15	3	25%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	41→44	38→50	47→50	54	193/285/279	86	256	5	8	25%	11%	63	-1.3	188/262/304	116	277	10	9	34%	8%	61	-1.5	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0

Sami Manzueta

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps