Ryan Vilade — OGILVIE

Ryan ViladeRF Tampa Bay Rays

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 226 lbs MLB HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.442 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION156 act + 194 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†107

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .312 / .423

PA194

HR7

SB7

K%24

BB%8

BABIP295

ISO177

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

903.5%

xwOBA

390.296

POWER60

Barrel%

386.7

Avg EV

4788.9

Bat Spd

9075.6

EYE50

Chase%

9011.6%

SPEED50

Sprint

7628.5

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 71 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

114

-43

◀◀L

wOBA

335

129

◀◀L

ISO

125

—

BABIP

352

167

◀◀L

20.5%

25.9%

◀◀L

BB%

6.8%

3.7%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 0.442 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.4M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$9M	+$8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$3M	+$1M
2030	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2031	Arb-3	$2M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$23M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	146	128	28	2	1	4	16	45	1	5	5	219	310	344	654	125	300	31	11	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	146	117	36	3	2	5	27	31	1	5	5	308	441	496	937	188	378	21	18	415	176	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	533	473	116	14	5	3	34	130	9	17	13	245	308	315	623	70	328	24	6	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	533	457	125	20	4	5	49	96	9	17	13	274	355	368	722	94	333	18	9	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	587	519	108	20	6	7	46	141	3	24	7	208	276	310	587	102	263	24	8	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	587	509	154	27	10	12	56	95	3	24	7	303	375	466	841	163	342	16	10	361	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AAA	2 teams	—	608	567	121	28	4	5	28	142	5	15	5	213	257	303	560	90	272	23	5	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AAA	2 teams	—	608	547	153	30	6	7	48	108	5	15	5	280	343	395	738	115	333	18	8	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	430	380	72	11	2	3	41	90	4	10	6	189	275	253	528	63	237	21	10	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	430	369	92	15	4	5	52	69	4	10	6	249	348	352	701	103	291	16	12	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	511	464	102	18	3	4	40	164	6	7	4	220	290	297	588	78	330	32	8	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	511	440	119	23	4	6	64	127	6	7	4	270	371	382	752	111	367	25	13	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	491	451	99	18	2	20	27	136	5	20	7	220	271	401	673	182	262	28	5	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	491	437	117	24	2	14	41	120	5	20	7	268	337	428	765	160	332	24	8	336	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	476	425	100	24	4	18	37	117	9	11	2	235	310	438	748	202	279	25	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	476	410	116	29	4	17	52	94	9	11	2	283	376	498	873	215	327	20	11	382	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	TB	—	156	138	36	6	1	7	13	32	1	3	0	261	329	471	800	210	284	21	8	340	118	+3	+1	+1	-2	+4	0.8
YTD	27	MLB	TB	—	156	138	36	6	1	7	13	32	1	3	0	261	329	471	800	210	284	21	8	344	121	+4	+1	+1	-2	+4	0.8
ROS	27	MLB	TB	100%	194	175	43	8	1	7	15	47	2	7	1	246	312	423	735	177	292	24	8	325	107	+2	+1	+0	-2	+5	0.6
ROS	27	MLB	TB	100%	194	175	43	8	1	7	15	47	2	7	1	246	312	423	735	177	296	24	8	317	101	+0	+1	+0	-2	+5	0.5
FULL	27	MLB	TB	—	350	313	79	14	2	14	28	79	3	10	1	252	320	444	764	192	290	23	8	327	109	+3	+2	+1	-4	+10	1.2
TOT	27	MLB	TB	—	350	313	79	14	2	14	28	79	3	10	1	252	320	444	764	192	290	23	8	332	112	+5	+2	+1	-4	+10	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	TB	92%	392	355	86	16	2	14	30	95	4	13	2	242	308	417	725	175	292	24	8	324	106	+3	+2	-1	-4	+11	1.1
2028	29	MLB	TB	92%	390	353	85	16	2	14	30	95	4	12	2	241	307	416	724	176	291	24	8	322	105	+2	+2	-1	-4	+11	0.9
2029	30	MLB	TB	92%	388	351	85	16	2	14	30	96	4	11	2	242	309	419	728	177	289	25	8	319	103	+1	+1	-2	-4	+11	0.7
2030	31	MLB	TB	92%	373	337	80	15	2	13	29	93	4	9	2	237	305	409	715	172	287	25	8	315	99	-0	+1	-3	-4	+11	0.5
2031	32	MLB	TB	92%	354	319	74	13	2	12	28	90	4	7	1	232	302	398	700	166	283	25	8	309	95	-2	+1	-3	-4	+10	0.2
2032	33	MLB	TB	92%	324	293	67	12	2	10	25	84	3	5	1	229	296	386	682	157	279	26	8	302	89	-4	+1	-4	-3	+9	-0.2
2027	28	MLB	TB	92%	361	326	80	15	2	13	28	88	4	12	2	245	313	423	736	178	295	24	8	316	100	+0	+2	-1	-4	+10	0.8
2028	29	MLB	TB	92%	359	324	78	14	2	12	28	88	4	11	2	241	309	407	716	167	294	25	8	314	99	-0	+1	-1	-4	+10	0.6
2029	30	MLB	TB	92%	357	322	77	14	2	12	28	88	4	10	2	239	308	407	715	168	293	25	8	312	97	-1	+1	-2	-4	+10	0.4
2030	31	MLB	TB	92%	343	309	73	13	2	11	27	86	4	8	1	236	306	398	704	162	290	25	8	307	93	-3	+1	-3	-4	+10	0.2
2031	32	MLB	TB	92%	326	295	68	12	2	10	25	83	3	6	1	231	297	386	684	156	286	25	8	302	89	-4	+1	-3	-3	+9	-0.1
2032	33	MLB	TB	92%	298	270	62	11	2	9	23	77	3	5	1	230	297	385	682	156	282	26	8	295	84	-6	+1	-4	-3	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2302	2079	490	87	13	75	178	574	24	59	10	236	303	398	702	163	288	25	8	306	92	-21	+8	-14	-34	+65	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	139	25	4	21	50	162	7	17	3	237	304	400	705	164	289	25	8	306	92	-6	+2	-4	-10	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	6197	5590	1266	231	40	148	456	1565	67	173	60	226	293	362	654	135	284	25	7	288	79	-148	+11	-15	-66	+176	-4.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	133	24	4	16	48	164	7	18	6	227	293	363	657	137	284	25	7	288	79	-16	+1	-2	-7	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	146	117	36	3	2	5	27	31	1	5	5	308	441	496	937	188	378	21	18	415	176	+12	-1	—	—	+4	1.6
2018	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	533	457	125	20	4	5	49	96	9	17	13	274	355	368	722	94	333	18	9	319	103	+2	-2	—	—	+15	1.5
2019	20	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	587	509	154	27	10	12	56	95	3	24	7	303	375	466	841	163	342	16	10	361	135	+23	+2	—	—	+17	4.2
2021	22	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	518	468	133	28	5	7	38	92	4	12	5	284	343	410	753	126	336	18	7	332	113	+7	+0	—	—	+15	2.3
2021	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	90	79	20	2	1	0	10	16	1	3	0	253	344	304	648	51	317	18	11	303	90	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2022	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	430	369	92	15	4	5	52	69	4	10	6	249	348	352	701	103	291	16	12	318	102	+1	-0	—	—	+12	1.3
2023	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	511	440	119	23	4	6	64	127	6	7	4	270	371	382	752	111	367	25	13	343	121	+12	-0	—	—	+14	2.7
2024	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	49	45	8	0	0	1	2	12	0	0	0	178	213	244	457	67	212	24	4	200	11	-5	+0	-0	-5	+1	-0.9
2024	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	442	392	109	24	2	13	39	108	5	20	7	278	351	449	800	171	347	24	9	351	127	+14	+1	—	—	+13	2.8
2025	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	15	13	1	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	77	200	77	277		125	33	13	153	-24	-2	+0	-0	-5	+0	-0.7
2025	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	461	397	115	29	4	17	50	89	9	11	2	290	382	511	893	222	332	19	11	389	156	+29	+1	—	—	+13	4.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	64	58	9	0	0	1	4	17	0	0	0	155	210	207	417	52	195	27	6	189	3	-7	+0	-0	-10	+2	-1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	9	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
	/162	664	27	9	242	297	444	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	2,549	89	68	240	304	414	-27	+1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	23	18	240	304	414	-7.1	+0.1	1.3	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	8	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
	/162	664	15	9	253	302	405	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#6Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Vilade (OGILVIE)	27	60	60	50	50	252/320/444	192	290	14	10	23%	8%	112	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Harrison Bader 2021 · MLB	27	46→56	53→55	54→55	49	233/326/413	180	306	20	16	29%	10%	111	+2.5	246/305/401	155	293	17	20	22%	7%	98	+1.6	242/304/399	157	300	20	16	25%	6%	96	+0.9
●Juan Encarnacion 2004 · MLB	28	52→58	52→55	51→50	49	263/312/436	173	283	19	17	15%	6%	111	+2.5	263/318/430	167	291	18	9	16%	7%	111	+2.5	265/321/428	163	294	18	6	16%	6%	107	+2.1
●Edward Olivares 2023 · MLB	27	50→55	50→55	45→55	45	254/309/410	156	293	19	13	20%	6%	102	+1.9	255/313/415	160	291	18	16	19%	6%	105	+2.1	255/316/420	165	287	19	18	18%	6%	106	+1.3
✕Chris Heisey 2012 · MLB	27	47→52	56→55	50→55	44	247/306/434	187	286	25	11	24%	6%	108	+2.3	239/289/393	154	287	17	11	23%	5%	90	+1.0	233/279/375	142	278	15	11	22%	5%	79	+0.1
●Randy Arozarena 2021 · MLB	26	52→57	54→55	51→55	44	262/336/446	184	324	22	23	25%	6%	124	+3.4	263/342/453	190	333	21	22	26%	9%	128	+3.6	259/347/445	186	326	21	23	25%	10%	124	+3.6
●Adam Jones 2013 · MLB	27	53→55	55→60	47→50	44	273/319/457	184	301	23	12	18%	5%	119	+3.1	270/308/459	189	300	25	10	19%	4%	116	+2.8	267/303/454	186	295	25	7	19%	3%	108	+2.5
●Ryan Raburn 2008 · MLB	27	47→57	53→60	52→50	45	243/301/421	178	296	20	14	25%	7%	102	+1.9	262/323/458	196	314	23	11	23%	8%	121	+3.2	278/335/490	211	333	26	5	24%	7%	131	+2.6
●Steven Souza Jr. 2016 · MLB	27	50→56	55→60	51→55	49	251/329/442	190	328	23	21	30%	10%	120	+3.1	240/323/432	192	320	24	14	31%	10%	115	+2.7	236/324/431	196	310	25	13	30%	10%	112	+2.0
✕Ben Francisco 2010 · MLB	28	51→56	51→55	47→55	50	256/321/424	168	291	18	14	19%	8%	111	+2.5	246/318/398	152	282	15	12	18%	8%	103	+1.9	240/312/377	136	278	13	10	18%	8%	92	+0.5
✕Nolan Reimold 2010 · MLB	26	52→58	56→60	49→50	52	267/338/463	196	300	24	10	20%	9%	128	+3.7	231/306/382	151	270	18	11	21%	9%	95	+1.4	234/310/359	125	308	13	5	27%	9%	87	+0.4
●Chris Young 2011 · MLB	27	47→49	54→60	52→55	54	242/325/430	188	289	21	18	24%	11%	115	+2.7	231/318/414	183	273	20	18	22%	11%	108	+2.3	221/310/403	183	259	19	17	22%	11%	97	+1.2
✕Chris Aguila 2006 · MLB	27	51→54	50→55	51→50	45	256/298/414	158	300	17	14	21%	6%	98	+1.6	247/293/387	140	307	15	12	24%	6%	89	+1.0	222/284/393	171	285	22	8	29%	7%	84	+0.5
●Lane Thomas 2023 · MLB	27	47→52	51→55	46→55	49	238/307/401	164	294	18	10	25%	9%	99	+1.7	246/308/421	175	307	20	20	26%	7%	105	+2.1	243/306/418	176	303	21	25	26%	7%	102	+1.4
✕Brennan Boesch 2012 · MLB	27	53→58	54→60	48→50	47	272/327/456	184	314	21	8	21%	7%	122	+3.3	254/302/416	162	302	18	9	22%	6%	102	+1.8	243/282/383	141	301	16	9	25%	5%	81	+0.3
●Thairo Estrada 2023 · MLB	27	54→59	51→55	51→55	48	271/331/433	163	301	19	18	17%	6%	118	+3.0	259/304/404	145	304	16	15	20%	5%	98	+1.6	254/293/388	134	301	15	14	21%	4%	87	+0.6
✕Aaron Altherr 2018 · MLB	27	49→52	54→55	50	48	250/323/442	192	305	21	12	25%	8%	117	+2.9	210/293/366	156	281	17	10	30%	9%	85	+0.7	175/269/307	132	240	15	9	32%	10%	59	-0.5
✕Desmond Jennings 2014 · MLB	27	49→59	49→50	57→60	53	246/323/405	159	288	16	24	20%	10%	107	+2.2	235/308/375	140	281	14	16	20%	9%	93	+1.3	225/299/356	131	269	13	15	21%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Efren Espinoza 2008 · AAA	27	54→56	54→60	50	42	275/319/457	181	320	22	15	21%	5%	119	+3.1	253/298/396	143	289	16	9	18%	5%	94	+1.3	261/308/428	167	279	20	4	15%	5%	106	+1.0
●Luis Terrero 2007 · MLB	27	50→60	50→60	48→55	42	253/306/410	157	306	18	19	24%	5%	102	+1.8	252/312/417	165	309	18	16	24%	6%	106	+2.2	284/355/500	216	343	27	23	24%	7%	142	+3.1
●Ian Desmond 2013 · MLB	27	54→61	50→60	53→55	44	270/314/431	161	317	17	21	21%	6%	110	+2.4	264/316/436	172	328	20	19	25%	7%	112	+2.6	253/310/418	165	322	19	18	26%	7%	103	+2.1