Abraham Bastidas

SS ACL Padres

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1317ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Padres Go…	163	.309/.469/.398	0	5	61	—	.191/.338/.237
2026	19	ROKSD	88	.262/.489/.459	3	5	95	—	.191/.375/.324
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBSD	198	.213/.301/.297	2	3	73	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBSD	35	.213/.302/.304	0	1	77	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBSD	93	.217/.304/.315	1	2	81	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA99

wRC+99

ISO99

BB%93

Speed91

Chase%77

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsYeison Santana (age 20) · Wilfredo Rodriguez (age 20) · Jacob Reimer (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .299 / .295

PA49

HR0

K%27

BB%9

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	163	123	38	11	0	0	25	25	12	5	3	309	469	398	867	89	376	15	15	398	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	88	61	16	1	1	3	19	19	8	5	1	262	489	459	948	197	333	22	22	434	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	163	131	25	6	0	0	17	31	12	5	3	191	338	237	574	46	225	19	10	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	88	68	13	1	1	2	12	27	8	5	1	191	375	324	699	132	262	31	14	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	163	131	25	6	0	0	17	31	12	5	3	191	338	237	574	46	243	19	10	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	163	123	38	11	0	0	25	25	12	5	3	309	469	398	867	89	376	15	15	398	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	88	68	13	1	1	2	12	27	8	5	1	191	375	324	699	132	282	31	14	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	88	61	16	1	1	3	19	19	8	5	1	262	489	459	948	197	333	22	22	434	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	163	133	25	6	0	0	17	31	12	5	3	188	338	233	571	45	225	19	10	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	88	68	13	1	1	2	12	27	8	5	1	191	375	324	699	132	262	31	14	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	163	133	25	6	0	0	17	31	12	5	3	188	338	233	571	45	225	19	10	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	88	68	13	1	1	2	12	27	8	5	1	191	375	324	699	132	262	31	14	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SD	0%	198	174	37	6	1	2	17	53	5	3	1	213	301	297	598	84	292	27	9	276	73	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SD	34%	103	90	19	3	1	1	9	27	3	2	0	217	305	310	614	93	293	26	9	283	77	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	SD	48%	191	168	37	6	1	3	16	50	5	3	1	220	307	320	628	100	294	26	8	288	81	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	SD	54%	286	252	56	10	2	4	25	74	7	5	1	223	310	329	638	106	295	26	9	291	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	SD	55%	365	321	72	13	2	6	32	94	9	6	2	225	311	336	647	110	295	26	9	295	86	-6	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	SD	56%	409	361	82	14	3	7	36	104	9	7	2	227	312	341	653	114	295	25	9	297	87	-6	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.8
2033	26	MLB MLE	SD	56%	436	385	87	15	3	8	38	111	10	7	2	227	312	341	653	114	295	25	9	297	87	-7	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.8
2034	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	445	393	89	16	3	8	39	114	10	7	2	226	311	339	650	113	295	26	9	296	86	-7	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	446	394	88	16	3	7	39	115	10	6	2	224	309	334	643	110	294	26	9	293	84	-8	+0	-1	+5	+10	0.6
2036	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	439	388	86	15	3	7	38	115	10	6	2	222	307	328	635	106	293	26	9	290	82	-9	+0	-1	+5	+10	0.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	SD	57%	430	381	83	15	2	6	37	114	9	5	2	219	303	321	624	102	291	27	9	285	79	-11	+0	-2	+5	+9	0.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	SD	60%	413	366	79	14	2	6	35	111	9	4	4	215	299	311	610	96	289	27	8	280	75	-12	-1	-3	+4	+9	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	SD	34%	35	31	6	1	0	0	3	9	1	1	0	213	302	304	606	91	288	26	9	279	77	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	SD	48%	93	83	18	3	1	1	8	24	2	2	0	217	304	315	619	98	289	26	9	284	81	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	SD	54%	155	137	30	5	1	2	13	40	4	3	1	219	306	324	630	104	289	26	8	288	83	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	SD	55%	202	177	39	7	1	3	18	52	5	3	1	222	308	331	639	109	290	26	9	291	86	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	SD	56%	229	202	45	8	1	4	20	58	5	4	1	223	309	336	645	113	290	25	9	294	87	-4	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	SD	56%	245	216	48	8	2	4	21	63	6	4	1	223	309	336	645	113	290	26	9	294	87	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	246	217	47	8	1	4	21	63	6	4	1	222	308	334	642	112	289	26	9	292	86	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	245	217	47	8	1	4	21	63	5	3	1	220	306	329	635	109	289	26	9	290	84	-5	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	235	208	46	8	1	4	20	61	5	3	1	218	304	323	627	105	288	26	9	286	82	-5	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	SD	57%	245	217	47	8	1	4	21	65	5	3	1	215	300	316	616	100	286	27	9	282	79	-6	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	SD	60%	246	218	46	8	1	3	21	66	5	2	2	212	296	306	602	95	283	27	9	276	75	-7	-0	-2	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2176	1923	419	72	11	33	187	564	49	32	10	218	303	318	622	100	289	26	9	288	82	-44	+2	-4	+23	+47	2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	126	22	3	10	56	168	15	10	3	220	305	321	626	101	291	26	9	288	82	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4263	3742	825	146	26	65	377	1100	112	69	24	220	311	325	636	105	292	26	9	290	82	-81	+4	-7	+43	+87	4.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	126	22	4	10	57	168	17	11	4	221	310	326	636	105	293	26	9	290	82	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Padres · 88 PAwOBA .425 → .309 (−116)K% 21.6% → 31.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.59%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	31.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.59%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.995	13.32%
HBP% /PA	9.09%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	6.51%
Singles /BIP	26.19%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.995	21.37%
Doubles /BIP	2.38%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.995	1.71%
Triples /BIP	2.38%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.995	1.71%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.995	5.54%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .425 → .309; ISO .197 → .154; BABIP .333 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 163 PAwOBA .396 → .259 (−137)K% 15.3% → 19.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.34%	÷0.970	×1.220	—	—	19.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.34%	÷1.049	×0.700	—	×0.995	10.18%
HBP% /PA	7.36%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	5.13%
Singles /BIP	27.55%	÷1.064	×0.680	×0.994	×0.995	17.42%
Doubles /BIP	11.22%	÷1.159	×0.600	×0.994	×0.995	5.75%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.049	×0.600	×0.994	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.956	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 113, 2B 132, 3B 110, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .396 → .259; ISO .089 → .050; BABIP .376 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#3Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.4	2,225	35	32	223	305	331	+24	+21	4.1	3.8
/162	664	11	9	+7.1	+6.3	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	3.0	1,960	9	10	229*	288*	313*	+10	+27	2.7	2.7
/162	664	3	3	+3.6	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abraham Bastidas (OGILVIE)	20	55	20	45	55	211/299/295	84	292	0	1	27%	9%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yeison Santana 2021 · A	20	47	38→30	46→55	47	219/292/305	85	301	5	7	27%	8%	72	-0.7	211/278/272	61	315	3	14	31%	8%	59	-1.7	204/280/246	42	302	2	19	30%	8%	51	-0.9
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	231/276/323	91	287	5	5	21%	6%	69	-0.9	235/273/310	75	276	5	6	16%	4%	64	-1.3	240/274/305	65	276	5	5	15%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Jacob Reimer 2024 · A	20	46→49	40→45	44→50	50	217/316/303	86	302	8	5	28%	10%	82	-0.0	226/307/346	120	303	11	9	27%	9%	87	+0.4	226/302/377	150	302	15	14	28%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2024 · A	21	51→54	40	50	50	241/318/332	91	306	7	13	22%	9%	88	+0.4	240/315/330	90	307	8	14	22%	8%	86	+0.3	238/317/323	85	303	7	15	22%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Marcus Lemon 2008 · A	20	50→55	38→40	46→45	47	233/301/319	86	310	3	10	24%	8%	78	-0.3	248/302/338	90	307	5	8	20%	6%	82	-0.0	254/303/338	84	308	4	7	18%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Luis Caicuto 2023 · A	20	51	38→45	46→50	46	241/301/323	82	302	5	7	21%	6%	78	-0.3	211/281/274	63	283	2	5	24%	7%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Yohander Martinez 2022 · A	20	49	36→30	45→50	54	228/321/285	57	299	4	11	23%	10%	78	-0.3	210/310/274	64	286	5	7	26%	10%	73	-0.6	180/300/224	44	249	4	6	26%	11%	58	-0.5
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	48	41→30	47→45	49	228/316/330	102	281	8	6	21%	8%	88	+0.4	213/315/286	73	292	4	7	26%	10%	78	-0.3	207/330/269	62	273	4	7	22%	12%	77	-0.2
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Jacob Amaya 2019 · A	20	49→47	39→45	48→45	52	232/310/319	87	306	7	11	25%	10%	82	-0.0	216/290/316	100	284	8	6	25%	9%	74	-0.6	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2015 · A	20	48→58	34→40	50→55	44	226/277/276	51	291	2	11	23%	6%	58	-1.7	252/304/303	51	305	2	9	17%	5%	74	-0.5	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Noah Mendlinger 2022 · A	21	49→59	39→30	44→45	52	232/313/323	92	294	5	6	22%	10%	84	+0.1	246/336/323	77	297	4	8	17%	9%	93	+0.8	269/354/337	68	315	2	8	14%	8%	100	+1.0
✕Ozzie Martínez 2008 · A	20	46→56	36→40	47→50	47	216/268/283	66	263	4	9	19%	6%	57	-1.8	253/296/337	84	301	5	9	17%	5%	79	-0.2	269/315/355	86	313	4	10	15%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Emerson Landoni 2009 · A	20	46→56	36→40	47→45	43	215/275/280	65	286	3	7	25%	6%	59	-1.6	230/281/303	73	296	4	8	22%	6%	66	-1.1	259/302/329	70	307	3	4	16%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Edward Duran 2024 · A	20	47→48	37→40	46→45	52	219/293/294	74	270	4	6	19%	9%	70	-0.9	221/290/300	79	293	5	9	24%	7%	70	-0.9	215/282/294	78	290	5	9	25%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Jose Coronado 2006 · A	20	49→57	36→30	43→50	44	228/286/292	64	306	3	8	25%	7%	65	-1.2	222/270/274	52	305	1	6	26%	6%	55	-1.9	248/297/307	59	309	2	7	19%	6%	71	-0.7
✕Josh Morgan 2016 · A	20	54→57	36→45	46→40	49	253/324/318	65	307	4	7	18%	7%	86	+0.3	245/297/325	80	293	6	4	18%	6%	77	-0.3	240/288/318	78	285	6	2	17%	5%	70	-0.6
✕Ramon Mendoza 2021 · A	20	45→51	38→45	40→45	45	210/282/297	87	291	5	4	28%	7%	66	-1.1	196/268/274	78	282	4	5	29%	8%	56	-1.9	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2009 · A	19	47→57	36→40	47→50	47	220/280/288	68	271	3	9	19%	6%	63	-1.4	249/304/321	72	295	3	9	16%	6%	79	-0.2	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Alfredo Lopez 2011 · A	21	48	37→30	44→50	45	226/291/297	71	291	4	7	23%	7%	69	-0.9	239/304/300	61	304	3	13	21%	7%	74	-0.5	235/280/279	45	285	1	20	17%	5%	56	-0.6

Abraham Bastidas

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps