Alessandro Rodriguez

Alessandro RodriguezC DSL NYY Bombers

Age 17 R/R 5'10" / 176 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION97 act + 64 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .309 / .341

PA64

HR1

K%22

BB%8

BABIP298

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$13M	+$12M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.6	$12M	+$12M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.6	$11M	+$11M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+2.6	$11M	+$8M
2036	Arb-2	$9M	+2.6	$10M	+$7M
2037	Arb-3	$12M	+2.5	$9M	+$5M
Totals		$29M		$65M	+$55M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	15	15	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	67	67	67	133		91	27	0	88	-74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	133	133	133	267		167	20	0	121	-49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	17	ROK	NYY	—	97	78	22	5	0	1	10	17	3	4	0	282	385	385	769	103	318	18	10	336	115	+2	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.7
YTD	17	ROK	NYY	—	97	72	25	6	0	1	16	12	3	4	0	347	484	472	956	125	369	12	16	407	169	+8	+1	+0	+2	+3	1.3
ROS	17	ROK	NYY	0%	64	58	14	3	0	1	5	14	1	1	0	239	309	341	650	102	296	22	8	290	80	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
ROS	17	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	280	72	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	17	ROK	NYY	—	97	79	22	5	0	1	10	17	3	4	0	278	385	380	764	101	313	18	10	336	115	+2	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.7
TOT	17	ROK	NYY	—	161	136	36	8	0	2	15	31	4	5	0	263	353	366	719	102	310	19	9	318	101	+0	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	18	MLB	NYY	34%	129	115	28	5	1	2	11	28	2	2	0	243	320	357	677	113	296	22	9	293	83	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2028	19	MLB	NYY	48%	284	254	60	11	1	4	24	61	4	5	1	236	312	335	647	98	298	21	8	300	88	-4	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2029	20	MLB	NYY	54%	408	363	89	17	2	7	35	87	7	8	1	245	323	361	684	116	299	21	9	305	92	-4	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.7
2030	21	MLB	NYY	57%	501	444	109	20	2	9	43	106	9	9	2	245	325	360	685	115	300	21	9	309	95	-3	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.1
2031	22	MLB	NYY	58%	520	461	114	21	2	10	45	110	9	10	2	247	326	367	693	119	301	21	9	312	97	-2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.4
2032	23	MLB	NYY	58%	520	461	114	21	2	10	45	109	9	10	2	247	326	367	693	119	301	21	9	314	98	-1	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.5
2033	24	MLB	NYY	57%	520	461	114	21	2	10	45	109	9	10	2	247	326	367	693	119	302	21	9	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2034	25	MLB	NYY	57%	520	461	114	21	2	10	45	109	9	10	2	247	326	367	693	119	302	21	9	317	101	+0	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2035	26	MLB	NYY	57%	520	461	115	21	2	11	45	109	9	10	2	249	328	375	703	126	302	21	9	317	101	+1	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2036	27	MLB	NYY	56%	520	460	115	21	2	11	46	109	9	10	2	250	330	376	706	126	302	21	9	317	101	+1	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2037	28	MLB	NYY	55%	520	460	114	21	2	11	46	110	9	9	2	248	328	374	702	126	302	21	9	316	100	+0	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.5
2038	29	MLB	NYY	53%	520	459	113	21	2	10	47	111	9	9	2	246	328	366	694	120	301	21	9	314	99	-1	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.3
2039	30	MLB	NYY	53%	520	459	113	21	2	10	47	112	9	9	2	246	328	366	694	120	300	22	9	312	97	-2	+1	-2	+9	+15	2.1
2040	31	MLB	NYY	52%	504	445	108	20	2	9	45	110	9	9	2	243	325	357	682	115	297	22	9	307	93	-4	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.8
2041	32	MLB	NYY	52%	489	434	103	18	2	9	44	109	8	8	2	237	319	350	669	113	294	22	9	302	89	-6	+1	-4	+9	+14	1.4
2042	33	MLB	NYY	52%	473	420	98	17	2	8	42	108	8	8	1	233	315	340	655	107	290	23	9	295	84	-9	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.0
2043	34	MLB	NYY	47%	439	390	87	15	1	7	39	103	7	7	1	223	305	321	626	97	284	23	9	286	77	-11	+1	-5	+8	+12	0.5
2027	18	MLB	NYY	34%	44	39	10	2	0	1	4	9	1	1	0	256	341	385	726	128	297	20	9	285	76	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	19	MLB	NYY	48%	138	123	30	6	1	2	12	30	2	3	0	244	321	358	679	114	299	22	9	291	81	-3	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2029	20	MLB	NYY	54%	221	196	48	9	1	4	19	47	4	4	1	245	324	362	686	117	300	21	9	295	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.7
2030	21	MLB	NYY	57%	284	253	62	12	1	5	24	60	5	5	1	245	323	360	682	115	301	21	8	299	87	-4	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2031	22	MLB	NYY	58%	299	266	65	12	1	6	26	63	5	6	1	244	323	365	688	120	302	21	9	301	89	-4	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2032	23	MLB	NYY	58%	301	267	67	13	1	6	26	63	5	6	1	251	329	375	703	124	303	21	9	303	90	-3	+1	+0	+5	+9	1.2
2033	24	MLB	NYY	57%	297	264	65	12	1	6	26	62	5	5	1	246	325	367	693	121	304	21	9	305	92	-3	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2034	25	MLB	NYY	57%	295	262	65	12	1	6	26	62	5	5	1	248	328	370	698	122	304	21	9	306	93	-2	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2035	26	MLB	NYY	57%	294	261	65	12	1	6	26	62	5	5	1	249	329	372	700	123	304	21	9	307	93	-2	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2036	27	MLB	NYY	56%	289	256	64	12	1	6	26	61	5	5	1	250	331	375	706	125	304	21	9	307	93	-2	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2037	28	MLB	NYY	55%	286	253	63	12	1	6	26	60	5	5	1	249	331	375	706	126	303	21	9	306	92	-2	+1	-0	+5	+8	1.1
2038	29	MLB	NYY	53%	278	246	61	11	1	6	25	59	5	5	1	248	330	374	704	126	302	21	9	304	91	-3	+1	-1	+5	+8	1.0
2039	30	MLB	NYY	53%	274	242	59	11	1	5	25	59	5	5	1	244	327	360	687	116	301	22	9	301	89	-3	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.9
2040	31	MLB	NYY	52%	263	232	56	10	1	5	24	58	5	5	1	241	326	358	683	116	299	22	9	297	86	-4	+1	-1	+5	+7	0.7
2041	32	MLB	NYY	52%	254	225	54	10	1	5	23	57	4	4	1	240	321	360	681	120	295	22	9	292	81	-5	+0	-2	+5	+7	0.5
2042	33	MLB	NYY	52%	245	217	51	9	1	4	22	56	4	4	1	235	317	341	658	106	291	23	9	285	76	-7	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.3
2043	34	MLB	NYY	47%	207	184	41	7	1	3	18	49	3	3	1	223	302	321	623	98	285	24	9	276	70	-7	+0	-2	+4	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4269	3787	926	172	16	82	378	917	73	76	15	245	325	363	688	119	301	21	9	299	87	-62	+9	-10	+76	+121	13.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	140	26	2	12	58	140	11	12	2	243	324	357	681	114	299	22	9	299	87	-9	+2	-2	+12	+18	2.1
Career	—			—	7986	7081	1723	315	31	149	699	1718	136	144	28	243	323	360	683	116	299	22	9	308	94	-52	+18	-20	+143	+226	32.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	141	26	3	12	57	140	11	12	2	245	324	363	687	118	302	22	9	308	94	-4	+2	-2	+12	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	133	133	133	267		167	20	0	121	-49	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Jordy Mercerlast yr '21 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,394 PA	9	3,394	66	13	257	315	387	+35	+50	17.0	16.7
	/162	664	13	3	257	315	387	+6.9	+9.8	3.3	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,307	80	77	245	321	362	+77	+40	18.1	14.1
	/162	664	12	12	245	321	362	+11.9	+6.2	2.8	pk7: 10
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alessandro Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	17	—	—	—	—	263/353/366	102	310	2	5	19%	9%	101	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Elvis Andrus 2006 · A	17	47→57	39→50	47→60	46	226/288/308	82	287	6	9	23%	7%	66	-0.6	232/281/307	75	309	4	22	25%	6%	63	-0.9	277/330/410	133	307	11	23	13%	7%	107	+2.4
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/279/361	133	299	12	12	27%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Edmundo Sosa 2014 · A	18	48→49	40→55	47→50	50	227/285/322	95	254	7	9	14%	7%	69	-0.4	218/265/304	86	270	6	8	21%	5%	56	-1.3	252/297/422	170	304	19	9	23%	4%	99	+0.8
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
●Orlando Arcia 2013 · A	18	46→56	43→55	49→55	50	222/282/333	110	247	10	11	15%	7%	71	-0.3	239/280/330	91	280	5	16	16%	5%	68	-0.5	245/305/406	162	273	21	3	19%	8%	97	+1.0
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Edward Duran 2022 · A	18	49→45	37→40	49→50	46	231/297/312	81	291	3	9	21%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/287	70	281	2	8	22%	8%	63	-0.9	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Luis Alvarez 2008 · A	18	43	39→45	45	45	208/273/291	82	251	7	4	20%	6%	56	-1.3	229/300/339	110	282	10	5	21%	7%	81	+0.4	228/295/347	119	269	13	3	20%	6%	77	+0.0
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→53	39→55	52→50	46	239/296/332	93	306	5	8	23%	7%	76	+0.0	248/300/371	123	304	11	8	21%	6%	88	+0.9	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	79	+0.3	227/281/295	68	275	3	9	18%	6%	60	-1.0	246/313/343	97	286	7	1	15%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	71	-0.3	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	49	-1.8	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Eguy Rosario 2017 · A	17	51→52	37→50	49→55	44	238/296/323	84	311	3	17	23%	6%	73	-0.1	204/254/298	94	291	6	15	30%	5%	50	-1.8	219/282/363	144	293	15	21	29%	7%	76	+0.1
●Starlin Castro 2008 · A	18	49→59	37→50	53→50	48	229/281/296	67	267	4	11	16%	6%	60	-1.0	252/293/341	89	302	4	13	17%	5%	76	+0.1	293/334/419	126	332	8	18	14%	5%	108	+2.6