Sebastian Pina — OGILVIE

Sebastian Pina P DSL Tampa Bay

Age 19 RHP 6'0" / 188 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 12 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.32

FIP5.32

K%19.8%

BB%14.9%

K-BB%4.9%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	12	0	17	68	12	4	2	0%	1.4	12.0%	7.4%	4.6%	4.3%	2.60	5.39	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	12	0	17	68	12	4	2	0%	1.4	12.0%	7.4%	4.6%	4.3%	2.60	5.39	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	12	0	17	68	12	4	2	0%	1.4	17.6%	5.9%	11.8%	2.9%	2.60	3.91	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	16	0	23	107	22	17	1	0%	1.4	14.0%	19.9%	-5.9%	1.3%	5.96	5.15	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	16	0	23	107	22	17	1	0%	1.4	14.0%	19.9%	-5.9%	1.3%	5.96	5.15	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	16	0	23	107	22	17	1	0%	1.4	20.6%	15.9%	4.7%	0.9%	5.96	3.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	—	11	0	12	51	10	8	2	0%	1.1	19.8%	14.9%	4.9%	3.0%	5.32	5.32	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	20	0	21	90	19	12	3	0%	1.1	20.7%	13.1%	7.6%	2.9%	5.08	4.98	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	20.7%	13.1%	7.6%	2.9%	5.08	4.98	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	44	9	6	1	0%	1.1	20.7%	13.1%	7.6%	2.9%	5.08	4.60	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	114	19	0%	1.1	20.7%	13.1%	7.6%	2.9%	5.08	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		28	0	40	175	23	26	4	0%	1.4	13.2%	15.0%	-1.8%	2.5%	4.50	5.25	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		140	0	200	875	116	131	22	0%	1.4	13.2%	15.0%	-1.8%	2.5%	4.50	5.25	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sebastian Pina (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.32	19.8%	14.9%	3.0%	—	4.98	20.7%	7.6%	21	-0.34	—	—	—
Alejandro Lugo R 2021 · 4.91 FIP	18	SU	4.91	20.4%	16.7%	2.6%	.265	4.96	16.7%	3.1%	98	+0.05	3.77	159	90
Drew Pestka R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	20	SU	4.26	19.0%	15.1%	1.6%	.298	4.55	18.1%	0.7%	83	+0.29	3.42	100	88
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	87
Efrailin Ramos R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	18	SU	4.31	21.0%	15.7%	1.8%	.284	3.35	17.0%	6.4%	106	-0.96	3.11	142	87
Carlos De Los Santos R 2019 · 5.68 FIP	18	SU	5.68	16.9%	16.0%	3.6%	.286	3.95	20.9%	3.2%	86	-1.73	3.67	173	87
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	86
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	86
Aneudy Duarte R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.4%	13.5%	2.1%	.320	4.79	17.1%	5.4%	34	+0.53	4.26	102	86
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	86
Michael Brewer R 2021 · 4.30 FIP	20	SU	4.30	23.7%	16.2%	2.1%	.303	4.69	19.7%	6.3%	114	+0.39	3.14	144	85
Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	16.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.333	5.76	15.1%	0.9%	88	+1.37	4.39	102	85
Kevin Camacho R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	19	SU	4.84	15.3%	12.9%	2.5%	.271	4.71	19.2%	0.8%	68	-0.13	4.12	113	85
Joel Ibarra R 2021 · 4.13 FIP	19	SU	4.13	21.1%	16.3%	1.4%	.345	4.50	20.7%	1.6%	98	+0.37	4.08	155	85
Gerson Moreno R 2016 · 4.48 FIP	20	SU	4.48	18.6%	14.8%	2.0%	.278	4.13	23.0%	9.1%	67	-0.35	3.37	349	84
Tim Naughton R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	21	SU	4.53	17.9%	15.6%	1.8%	.312	3.58	20.7%	6.4%	83	-0.95	2.93	305	84
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	84
Yordin Chalas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	19	SU	4.56	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.92	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.64	3.67	140	84
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	84
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	84
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	83