Isaac Vegas

P DSL Rays

Age 21 RHP 5'11" / 204 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	14	2	22	3.68	4.60	21.6%	12.4%	—	K 14.7% · BB 15.5% · FIP 6.31
2026	20	ROKTB	11	0	13	3.38	4.15	14.3%	17.9%	—	K 9.7% · BB 22.3% · FIP 5.11
2027PROJ	21	MLBTB	10	0	10	5.45	5.45	20.1%	16.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBTB	10	0	10	5.14	5.01	21.4%	13.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsMichael Perez (age 21) · Paul Gervase (age 22) · Kasey Ford (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 120

ERA5.45

FIP5.45

K%20.1%

BB%16.0%

K-BB%4.0%

Proj IP10

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	14	2	22	97	21	12	3	14%	1.6	14.7%	15.5%	-0.7%	4.6%	3.68	6.31	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	14	2	22	97	21	12	3	14%	1.6	14.7%	15.5%	-0.7%	4.6%	3.68	6.31	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	14	2	22	97	21	12	3	14%	1.6	21.6%	12.4%	9.3%	3.1%	3.68	4.60	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	11	0	13	56	8	10	0	0%	1.2	9.7%	22.3%	-12.6%	0.0%	3.38	5.11	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	11	0	13	56	8	10	0	0%	1.2	9.7%	22.3%	-12.6%	0.0%	3.38	5.11	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	11	0	13	56	8	10	0	0%	1.2	14.3%	17.9%	-3.6%	0.0%	3.38	4.15	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	TB	10	0	10	42	8	7	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	16.0%	4.0%	3.0%	5.45	5.45	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	20	0	21	88	19	12	3	0%	1.0	21.4%	13.7%	7.7%	2.9%	5.14	5.01	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	10	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	13.7%	7.7%	2.9%	5.14	5.01	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	43	9	6	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	13.7%	7.7%	2.9%	5.14	4.63	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	117	20	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.7%	7.7%	2.9%	5.14	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		25	2	35	153	20	28	4	8%	1.4	12.9%	18.0%	-5.1%	2.9%	3.57	5.87	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		142	11	200	866	112	156	25	8%	1.4	12.9%	18.0%	-5.1%	2.9%	3.57	5.87	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Isaac Vegas (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.45	20.1%	16.0%	3.0%	—	5.01	21.4%	7.7%	21	-0.44	—	—	—
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	93
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	89
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	88
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	88
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	88
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	88
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	87
Tim Naughton R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	21	SU	4.53	17.9%	15.6%	1.8%	.312	3.58	20.7%	6.4%	83	-0.95	2.93	305	87
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	87
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	87
Drew Pestka R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	20	SU	4.26	19.0%	15.1%	1.6%	.298	4.55	18.1%	0.7%	83	+0.29	3.42	100	87
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	86
Isaac Gallegos R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	21	SU	4.40	22.9%	17.8%	1.8%	.267	3.09	19.9%	10.5%	106	-1.31	2.89	125	86
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	85
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	85
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	84
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	84
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	84
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	84
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	84