Arlenn Manzanillo

C FCL Braves

Age 19 S/R 5'9" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKATL	141	.159/.321/.221	1	2	16	—	.118/.250/.168
2026	18	ROKATL	94	.185/.272/.247	0	1	1	—	.140/.196/.186
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBATL	204	.197/.269/.274	2	3	55	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBATL	59	.202/.276/.288	1	1	61	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBATL	151	.207/.281/.300	2	3	66	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%40

Speed31

K%28

ISO21

BB%18

Z-Con%12

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsJavier Herrera (age 19) · Kleiver Chauran (age 18) · Milkar Perez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .267 / .272

PA83

HR1

K%29

BB%8

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	141	113	18	4	0	1	25	28	2	2	1	159	321	221	543	62	200	20	18	269	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	94	81	15	3	1	0	10	25	0	1	0	185	272	247	519	62	259	27	11	238	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	119	14	3	0	1	19	34	2	2	1	118	250	168	418	50	141	24	13	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	94	86	12	2	1	0	6	36	0	1	0	140	196	186	382	47	212	38	6	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	119	14	3	0	1	19	34	2	2	1	118	250	168	418	50	153	24	13	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	141	113	18	4	0	1	25	28	2	2	1	159	321	221	543	62	200	20	18	269	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	94	86	12	2	1	0	6	36	0	1	0	140	196	186	382	47	231	38	6	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	94	81	15	3	1	0	10	25	0	1	0	185	272	247	519	62	259	27	11	238	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	119	14	3	0	1	19	34	2	2	1	118	250	168	418	50	141	24	13	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	94	88	12	2	1	0	6	36	0	1	0	136	196	182	377	45	212	38	6	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	119	14	3	0	1	19	34	2	2	1	118	250	168	418	50	141	24	13	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	94	88	12	2	1	0	6	36	0	1	0	136	196	182	377	45	212	38	6	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	204	183	36	6	1	2	17	58	2	3	1	197	269	274	544	77	276	28	8	250	55	-11	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	173	155	32	6	1	2	14	49	2	3	1	202	276	288	564	86	278	28	8	258	61	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	312	280	58	10	2	4	26	86	3	6	2	207	281	300	581	94	280	28	8	265	66	-13	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	413	372	78	14	3	6	34	113	4	8	3	210	284	310	595	100	281	27	8	271	69	-15	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	481	433	92	16	3	8	40	130	5	9	4	213	288	319	607	106	283	27	8	275	73	-16	+0	+0	+9	+10	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	520	466	101	18	3	9	44	139	5	10	4	216	290	326	616	110	284	27	8	279	75	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	520	466	101	18	3	9	44	139	5	10	4	216	291	327	618	111	284	27	8	280	76	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	520	466	101	18	3	9	44	139	5	10	4	216	290	328	618	111	284	27	8	280	76	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	520	466	100	18	3	9	44	139	5	9	4	215	289	325	614	110	283	27	8	279	75	-16	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	520	466	100	18	3	9	44	140	5	9	4	213	287	320	608	107	282	27	8	276	73	-17	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	520	467	98	17	3	8	43	142	5	8	4	211	285	314	598	103	281	27	8	272	70	-18	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	520	467	98	17	3	8	43	144	5	8	5	208	281	306	587	98	279	28	8	267	67	-20	-0	-2	+9	+11	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	59	53	11	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	202	276	288	564	86	278	29	8	258	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	151	136	28	5	1	2	12	42	2	3	1	207	281	300	581	94	280	28	8	265	66	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	224	201	42	7	2	3	19	61	2	4	2	210	284	310	595	100	281	27	8	271	69	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	272	244	52	9	2	4	23	73	3	5	2	213	288	319	607	106	283	27	8	275	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	294	264	57	10	2	5	25	78	3	6	2	216	290	326	616	110	284	27	9	279	75	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	294	264	57	10	2	5	25	78	3	6	2	216	291	327	618	111	284	27	9	280	76	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	294	264	57	10	2	5	25	78	3	5	2	216	290	328	618	111	284	27	9	280	76	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	288	259	56	10	2	5	24	77	3	5	2	215	289	325	614	110	283	27	8	279	75	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	285	256	55	10	2	5	24	77	3	5	2	213	287	320	608	107	282	27	8	276	73	-9	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	278	250	52	9	2	4	23	76	3	4	2	211	285	314	598	103	281	27	8	272	70	-10	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.0
2038	30	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	274	247	52	9	2	4	23	76	2	4	3	208	281	306	587	98	279	28	8	267	67	-11	-0	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2713	2438	519	91	19	43	228	733	28	48	20	213	288	319	606	106	285	27	8	275	69	-90	+2	-2	+48	+59	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	125	22	5	10	55	176	7	12	5	214	289	320	610	106	287	27	8	275	69	-22	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5337	4784	1001	178	32	83	452	1454	52	94	40	209	285	312	596	103	280	27	8	270	69	-173	+3	-4	+91	+111	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	122	22	4	10	55	177	6	11	5	209	284	312	596	103	280	27	8	270	69	-22	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.2	2,797	44	49	213	284	318	+50	+28	3.5	3.3
/162	664	11	12	+11.9	+6.6	0.8	pk7: 3
#5Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Arlenn Manzanillo (OGILVIE)	19	35→40	30→35	45→50	63	196/267/272	76	276	1	1	29%	8%	55	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Kleiver Chauran 2024 · A	18	41	35→40	46→60	49	191/269/253	61	261	3	9	26%	9%	52	-2.2	186/297/254	68	260	3	17	26%	12%	63	-1.3	172/307/237	65	243	3	26	26%	14%	63	-0.5
✕Milkar Perez 2021 · A	19	40	37→40	45→40	48	193/268/266	72	257	5	8	25%	8%	54	-2.0	202/294/259	57	308	2	4	31%	11%	63	-1.4	211/289/291	80	310	4	2	30%	9%	66	-0.7
✕Riley Unroe 2015 · A	19	39→47	37→45	47→55	46	189/257/263	74	257	4	8	27%	8%	49	-2.4	200/264/264	64	286	4	10	29%	8%	51	-2.2	218/301/329	112	292	11	26	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	39	35→40	43→45	54	182/271/240	59	231	2	8	21%	10%	50	-2.3	194/308/276	82	256	4	6	23%	13%	73	-0.6	178/308/258	80	234	4	5	22%	14%	67	-0.4
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	37	35→30	49→55	47	176/246/232	56	244	2	15	27%	8%	38	-3.2	191/286/234	43	258	1	14	23%	11%	55	-2.0	192/299/217	25	248	0	17	20%	12%	55	-0.6
✕Allan Castro 2022 · A	19	36→45	37→45	50	44	175/249/259	84	244	3	6	28%	7%	46	-2.6	195/267/304	109	273	8	11	29%	8%	62	-1.4	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Emil Turbi 2024 · A	19	44	37→40	50	50	201/292/280	79	280	2	12	26%	10%	67	-1.1	185/261/244	59	329	2	9	40%	8%	47	-2.6	139/215/159	21	300	0	9	49%	7%	9	-1.0
✕Jose Herrera 2016 · A	19	46	36→40	48→40	47	213/286/275	61	286	3	4	25%	8%	63	-1.4	206/258/289	83	262	6	3	23%	6%	55	-2.0	214/297/304	90	284	9	3	26%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Yamal Encarnacion 2023 · A	19	42	36→40	46→60	47	199/264/263	64	259	3	12	23%	7%	51	-2.2	207/270/268	61	275	3	22	24%	7%	55	-2.0	225/284/305	80	290	5	45	23%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Maick Collado 2022 · A	19	40	36→40	47→45	54	188/283/257	69	239	3	6	21%	10%	59	-1.7	215/294/288	73	274	5	7	21%	9%	69	-0.9	214/298/282	68	268	5	6	20%	10%	69	-0.4
✕Dervy Ventura 2023 · A	19	41→51	36→40	50→55	51	193/277/264	71	259	2	6	24%	10%	57	-1.8	206/287/289	83	268	5	14	23%	10%	66	-1.1	213/299/293	80	284	6	22	25%	11%	69	-0.4
✕Ronald Hernandez 2023 · A	19	38→48	38→40	48→50	46	186/263/261	76	253	5	5	27%	8%	51	-2.2	203/285/287	84	301	7	8	32%	9%	65	-1.2	197/277/278	81	291	7	12	32%	9%	58	-1.0
✕Raimundo De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	40	34→40	53→55	46	186/261/233	47	268	2	14	29%	8%	44	-2.8	194/271/245	51	308	2	22	34%	9%	51	-2.3	191/274/238	46	312	3	30	36%	10%	47	-0.9
✕Darwin Perez 2008 · A	19	41→51	34→40	49→50	47	191/268/243	53	279	1	8	30%	9%	49	-2.4	219/284/291	72	314	3	10	28%	8%	65	-1.2	238/302/305	67	328	3	14	26%	8%	72	-0.6
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Enderson Delgado 2024 · A	19	32	38→45	44→30	42	160/240/231	71	233	6	5	32%	7%	36	-3.3	187/268/277	90	268	8	4	31%	7%	57	-1.8	177/262/262	85	246	8	2	29%	7%	51	-0.7

Arlenn Manzanillo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps