Ronald HernandezC Brooklyn Cyclones
Age 22 S/R 5'11" / 155 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 ROS PROJECTION296 act + 197 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .271 / .285
PA197
HR3
SB8
K%33
BB%9
BABIP277
ISO97
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -27.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-27BATRUN: +3.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +8.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+9POSREP: +14.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: -0.00-0.0WAR
0.00.81.60.30.81.01.11.11.0+$35M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED30
scouting grade only
DEFENSE50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.8$3M+$2M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.0$6M+$6M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$6M
2031Arb-1$2M+1.1$6M+$5M
2032Arb-2$3M+1.0$5M+$3M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $8M $27M +$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Marlins 170149 23421 16473 31 154250228478 74214 289 222 28
202117 ROKDSL Marlins 170134 28533 31323 31 209369358727 149248 1918 334 114
202218 ROKFCL Marlins 161144 27312 10486 21 188269264533 76263 306 228 33
202218 ROKFCL Marlins 161140 33412 14326 21 236331321653 86290 209 302 89
202319 ROK2 teams 230187 34813 34805 41 182323283606 102287 3515 277 70
202319 ROK2 teams 230168 461114 53505 41 274460423883 149356 2223 399 164
202420 A2 teams 445403 911316 361615 82 226297308605 82359 368 271 66
202420 A2 teams 445387 1011425 521125 82 261356346702 85354 2512 324 106
202521 A+Brooklyn Cyclones 393355 661234 271137 235 186257270527 85256 297 233 37
202521 A+Brooklyn Cyclones 393340 761436 42867 235 224321335657 112278 2211 300 87
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 A+NYM 296260 46825 311043 172 177272281553 104268 3510 254 53 -16 +3 +0 +5 +8 0.0
YTD22 A+NYM 296244 571127 47783 172 234364381745 148311 2616 339 118 +6 +3 +0 +5 +8 2.3
ROS22 A+NYM 0% 197175 33613 18652 81 188271285557 97268 339 251 50 -11 +1 +0 +4 +6 -0.1
ROS22 MLBNYM 0% 11 0000 000 00 268 00 242 44 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL22 A+NYM 297261 46825 311043 172 176271280551 103266 3510 254 53 -16 +3 +0 +5 +8 0.0
TOT22 A+NYM 493435 791438 491695 253 181272283554 101272 3410 253 52 -27 +4 +0 +9 +14 -0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBNYM 35% 470419 801429 431495 142 191274298572 107273 329 265 61 -21 +2 +0 +8 +13 0.3
202824 MLBNYM 46% 509452 9116311 471565 162 201284323607 122275 319 274 68 -19 +2 +0 +9 +14 0.8
202925 MLBNYM 52% 520460 9517312 491576 163 207291335626 128276 309 279 71 -17 +2 +0 +9 +15 1.0
203026 MLBNYM 54% 520460 9517312 491556 163 207291335626 128277 309 281 73 -16 +2 +0 +9 +15 1.1
203127 MLBNYM 54% 520459 9517312 501566 163 207293336629 129276 3010 281 73 -16 +2 +0 +9 +15 1.1
203228 MLBNYM 54% 520459 9417212 501576 152 205291329620 124276 3010 280 72 -16 +2 -1 +9 +15 1.0
202723 MLBNYM 35% 162144 28513 15512 51 194280306585 111272 319 257 55 -8 +1 +0 +3 +5 -0.0
202824 MLBNYM 46% 235209 41715 22722 71 196279311590 115275 319 266 61 -10 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.2
202925 MLBNYM 52% 269239 49916 25813 81 205288326615 121276 309 271 65 -11 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.3
203026 MLBNYM 54% 282250 50916 27843 91 200286316602 116277 3010 273 67 -11 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203127 MLBNYM 54% 282250 50916 27843 91 200286316602 116276 3010 273 67 -11 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203228 MLBNYM 54% 282250 50916 27853 81 200286316602 116276 3010 272 66 -11 +1 -0 +5 +8 0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 15131343 26848632 14345716 466 200284316600 116274 309 269 64 -61 +7 +0 +27 +43 1.6
/ 162G 650577 11621314 611967 203 201285321606 120276 309 269 64 -26 +3 +0 +12 +18 0.7
Career 46554122 8241442587 429144462 14126 200285310595 110281 319 268 63 -195 +18 +0 +83 +132 3.9
/ 162G 650576 11420312 602029 204 198284306590 108279 319 268 63 -27 +2 +0 +12 +18 0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Marlins 170134 28533 31323 31 209369358727 149248 1918 334 114 +3 +0 +5 0.8
202218 ROKFCL Marlins 161140 33412 14326 21 236331321653 86290 209 302 89 -2 +0 +5 0.3
202319 ASt. Lucie Mets 3929 5200 6132 00 172351241593 69278 3315 280 73 -1 +0 +1 -0.0
202319 ROKFCL Mets 191139 41914 47373 41 295481460942 165370 1925 424 182 +18 +0 +5 2.4
202420 A+Brooklyn Cyclones 4236 6200 5161 10 167286222508 56300 3812 248 48 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
202420 ASt. Lucie Mets 403351 951225 47964 72 271363359722 88359 2412 331 112 +5 +1 +11 1.8
202521 A+Brooklyn Cyclones 393340 761436 42867 235 224321335657 112278 2211 300 87 -6 +3 +11 0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA
93,1271105235308414+56-1014.114.8
/162664231+11.9-2.13.0pk7: 16
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#5Everth Cabreralast yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA
62,05912136247316328+22-15.15.1
/162664444+7.1-0.51.6pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,5153346203284325+27+02.62.6
/1626641520+11.9+0.01.2pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Ronald Hernandez (OGILVIE) 22 30→40 35→40 30 50 181/272/283 101272 825 34% 10% 52 -0.0
Brett Cumberland
2017 · A
22 38→39 39→50 37→30 36 184/254/271 87287 74 36% 5% 44 -2.1 195/291/334 139302 162 38% 7% 77 +0.1 184/289/32914428317038%8%75-0.0
Frandy De La Rosa
2018 · A
22 40→42 42→45 40→50 38 196/249/296 100289 99 34% 6% 47 -1.9 204/255/322 118330 136 40% 6% 56 -1.3 181/231/30212129616043%5%37-0.9
Matt Kennelly
2011 · A
22 42 40 34→40 41 208/251/293 85273 83 26% 5% 46 -2.0 217/270/301 84280 64 23% 6% 57 -1.2 222/276/286642843222%6%52-0.7
Oswaldo Cabrera
2021 · A
22 41→43 41→55 41→50 39 203/240/304 101263 97 26% 4% 45 -2.1 225/274/392 167291 1916 29% 6% 83 +0.6 220/274/385165277191828%6%78+0.1
Franklin Tineo
2016 · A
21 36 38→45 41→50 47 177/258/254 77247 57 29% 9% 41 -2.3 190/264/281 91260 710 28% 8% 50 -1.7 184/261/2809623981325%8%47-0.7
Angelo Mora
2015 · A
22 42→50 37→45 43→45 41 203/249/277 74274 49 27% 6% 41 -2.3 235/273/329 94313 56 25% 5% 64 -0.8 245/279/344993215424%4%68-0.3
Mitch Walding
2015 · A
22 43→45 40→50 38→40 40 204/263/296 91313 74 35% 7% 53 -1.5 197/267/302 105324 104 39% 8% 57 -1.2 182/287/34216032421345%12%75-0.0
Brian Serven
2017 · A
22 39 37→45 39→30 40 187/227/257 70241 44 24% 4% 27 -3.3 192/247/283 91253 64 26% 5% 43 -2.2 224/307/3331093279131%9%79+0.1
Joseph Rosa
2019 · A
22 40→44 37→40 45→50 40 193/250/260 67280 614 32% 6% 38 -2.6 205/268/295 90293 711 30% 7% 56 -1.3 203/276/2969429671431%7%57-0.8
Rafael Marchán
2021 · A
22 45 36→45 40 47 212/268/279 67255 36 18% 6% 50 -1.7 204/263/280 76242 54 17% 6% 50 -1.8 225/304/32810425510215%8%78+0.1
Rudy van Heydoorn
2010 · A
21 33 41→45 40→50 41 166/249/256 90260 98 37% 8% 39 -2.5 197/273/307 110309 105 36% 8% 61 -1.0 204/303/33813429214232%11%83+0.2
Luis Alejandro Basabe
2019 · A
22 43→50 38→40 43→50 44 204/266/286 83292 59 30% 8% 52 -1.6 206/277/283 77318 511 33% 9% 56 -1.3 189/266/2617230961237%9%43-1.5
Niko Vasquez
2011 · A
22 41 41→50 40→45 47 199/280/301 102285 83 31% 9% 63 -0.9 197/265/307 110265 103 28% 8% 58 -1.2 224/278/37214829019629%6%77+0.1
Griff Erickson
2009 · A
21 42→50 38→45 42→40 44 202/268/282 80277 64 28% 7% 52 -1.6 216/279/322 106271 83 22% 8% 66 -0.6 213/289/34212926414224%9%75-0.0
Joseph Odom
2015 · A
23 38 40→45 40→30 44 189/261/275 87276 85 33% 8% 48 -1.9 206/252/313 107279 103 29% 5% 53 -1.5 199/254/31811933012241%6%52-0.6
Alan Schoenberger
2011 · A
22 44 42→45 43→45 39 215/265/322 108309 98 32% 6% 60 -1.0 195/243/287 92289 77 33% 6% 42 -2.3 147/192/212652234334%5%-2-2.3
Reggie Williams
2011 · A
22 42→41 42→45 38→45 41 207/253/315 109261 96 25% 5% 53 -1.5 216/265/313 97277 86 24% 6% 58 -1.2 215/264/299842688322%6%52-0.8
Jose Lozada
2009 · A
23 41 40→45 41→45 39 201/241/295 94263 76 26% 4% 43 -2.2 211/256/303 92276 66 25% 5% 51 -1.7 239/290/2773832121224%6%56-0.4
Donny Sands
2018 · A
22 48 38→45 37→40 42 231/271/309 79289 64 22% 5% 59 -1.1 208/253/290 82290 54 28% 5% 46 -2.0 227/287/34712127614222%7%75-0.0
Stephen Perez
2014 · A
23 39→47 39→30 40→50 39 192/238/273 82270 66 31% 5% 36 -2.7 203/266/272 69274 414 25% 8% 48 -1.9 195/270/2535826851527%8%44-1.0