Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 13 | 10 | 35 | 168 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 77% | 2.7 | 15.8% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 6.43 | 4.68 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 13 | 10 | 35 | 168 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 77% | 2.7 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 1.2% | 6.43 | 3.07 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 17 | 0 | 26 | 135 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 11.1% | 17.6% | -6.5% | 3.1% | 6.58 | 6.10 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | PHI | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.6% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.41 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 47 | 223 | 42 | 27 | 6 | — | — | 18.8% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 5.61 | 5.35 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | PHI | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 3.91 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 75 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 30 | 10 | 61 | 303 | 41 | 45 | 8 | 33% | 2.0 | 13.7% | 14.9% | -1.2% | 2.7% | 6.49 | 5.31 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 98 | 33 | 200 | 993 | 136 | 148 | 27 | 33% | 2.0 | 13.7% | 14.9% | -1.2% | 2.7% | 6.49 | 5.31 | +0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Aneury Montilla (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.29 | 23.1% | 14.0% | 22 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 84 |
| Taylor Hearn L 2027 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.88 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .347 | 3.97 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.09 | 3.66 | 572 | 81 |
| Harry Gustin L 2028 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 80 |
| Sam Long L 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.26 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 1.2% | .371 | 4.18 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 97 | +0.92 | 3.08 | 446 | 79 |
| Sean Mellen L 2029 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 77 |
| Francisco Villegas L 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.55 | 17.0% | 8.1% | 3.4% | .256 | 5.57 | 17.9% | 3.1% | 59 | +1.02 | 4.55 | 131 | 77 |
| Abdallah Aris L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.63 | 22.4% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 109 | 76 |
| Kenny Rosenberg L 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.65 | 20.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .313 | 4.79 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 361 | +1.14 | 3.34 | 755 | 76 |
| Josh Simpson L 2029 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.43 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .290 | 3.28 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.15 | 3.07 | 247 | 76 |
| Connor Curlis L 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.49 | 19.3% | 10.8% | 1.2% | .306 | 6.24 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 172 | +2.75 | 3.49 | 309 | 76 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 75 |
| Denny Roman L 2025 · 3.24 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.24 | 25.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .348 | 5.24 | 15.7% | -1.0% | 21 | +2.00 | 3.24 | 109 | 75 |
| Denny Bentley L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.85 | 19.6% | 10.3% | 3.8% | .318 | 2.88 | 25.4% | 10.3% | 58 | -1.97 | 2.88 | 175 | 75 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.09 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .208 | 4.77 | 16.8% | 7.4% | 223 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 75 |
| Ronnie Glenn L 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.47 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 1.6% | .330 | 4.85 | 11.1% | -2.6% | 171 | +1.38 | 3.47 | 212 | 75 |
| Chase Watkins L 2028 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.81 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 1.8% | .346 | 4.29 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 156 | +0.48 | 3.27 | 232 | 75 |
| Drew Harrington L 2027 · 4.18 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.18 | 15.7% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .295 | 4.11 | 12.5% | 5.4% | 175 | -0.07 | 3.19 | 190 | 74 |
| Jacob Lopez L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.66 | 24.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .302 | 3.58 | 30.4% | 21.6% | 55 | -0.08 | 3.50 | 478 | 74 |
| Lucas Knowles L 2029 · 3.79 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.79 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .366 | 4.10 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 177 | +0.31 | 3.37 | 275 | 74 |
| Oddanier Mosqueda L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.65 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .308 | 4.15 | 25.7% | 14.1% | 106 | +0.50 | 3.05 | 433 | 74 |