Jeronimo Palmeros

Jeronimo Palmeros P ACL Padres

Age 19 LHP 6'3" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.6 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100108vR 116

ERA4.37

FIP4.37

K%20.2%

BB%7.8%

K-BB%12.4%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	11	10	41	168	48	10	2	91%	3.7	19.4%	7.4%	12.0%	1.7%	2.88	3.36	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	11	10	41	168	48	10	2	91%	3.7	19.4%	7.4%	12.0%	1.7%	2.88	3.36	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	11	10	41	168	48	10	2	91%	3.7	28.6%	6.0%	22.6%	1.2%	2.88	2.12	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	10	5	21	100	16	16	1	50%	2.1	11.8%	16.3%	-4.5%	1.5%	6.10	5.00	—
YTD	19	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	10	5	21	100	16	16	1	50%	2.1	11.8%	16.3%	-4.5%	1.5%	6.10	5.00	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	SD	9	5	20	92	16	12	1	56%	2.2	17.4%	13.0%	4.3%	1.1%	5.03	3.88	—
2026	19	A RAW	SD	1	0	1	8	0	4	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	50.0%	-50.0%	0.0%	27.00	9.43	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SD	8	8	38	162	34	13	5	100%	4.8	20.9%	7.7%	13.2%	2.9%	4.31	4.28	+0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	SD	4	4	19	80	17	6	2	100%	4.8	20.9%	7.7%	13.2%	2.9%	4.31	4.28	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	80	17	6	2	100%	4.7	20.9%	7.7%	13.2%	2.9%	4.31	3.90	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	180	64	21	100%	4.6	20.9%	7.7%	13.2%	2.9%	4.31	3.90	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		21	15	61	268	44	29	4	71%	2.9	16.6%	10.7%	5.8%	1.7%	3.96	3.97	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	49	200	874	145	94	15	71%	2.9	16.6%	10.7%	5.8%	1.7%	3.96	3.97	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeronimo Palmeros (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.37	20.2%	7.8%	2.9%	—	4.28	20.9%	13.2%	38	-0.09	—	—	—
James Gonzalez L 2019 · 3.47 FIP	18	SP-	3.47	18.7%	7.8%	1.8%	.327	4.87	17.1%	7.0%	91	+1.40	2.31	487	86
Johan Simon L 2021 · 3.51 FIP	20	SP-	3.51	19.8%	10.2%	1.4%	.302	4.50	17.6%	1.1%	41	+0.99	3.45	177	84
Bodi Rascon L 2021 · 4.18 FIP	20	SP-	4.18	15.4%	8.8%	2.3%	.271	5.30	15.7%	3.9%	143	+1.12	4.18	218	80
Thomas Ireland L 2023 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.7%	8.7%	3.4%	.286	3.80	17.3%	7.9%	201	-0.84	2.95	245	80
Jackson Stoeckinger L 2017 · 3.19 FIP	21	SP-	3.19	18.7%	7.7%	1.2%	.365	4.82	13.1%	7.3%	157	+1.63	3.19	184	79
Blake Townsend L 2021 · 3.78 FIP	20	SP-	3.78	26.7%	11.2%	2.8%	.286	4.01	18.5%	4.8%	96	+0.23	3.34	305	77
Dalton Lehnen L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	21	SP	3.95	19.8%	7.6%	2.8%	.398	4.49	15.8%	2.9%	189	+0.54	3.95	222	76
Gabriel Reyes L 2022 · 4.03 FIP	19	SP-	4.03	14.0%	8.0%	2.0%	.347	3.96	19.3%	9.7%	144	-0.07	1.74	233	75
Tommy Sommer L 2021 · 4.65 FIP	22	SP-	4.65	23.9%	9.3%	4.3%	.196	5.36	18.6%	6.1%	205	+0.71	4.28	230	75
Pablo Aldonis L 2022 · 4.19 FIP	20	SP-	4.19	20.7%	8.0%	3.3%	.324	2.64	21.9%	13.1%	68	-1.55	1.89	135	75
Franklin Dacosta L 2019 · 3.78 FIP	19	SP-	3.78	15.9%	8.1%	1.8%	.274	3.72	21.2%	13.5%	118	-0.06	2.83	247	75
Jack Patterson L 2018 · 4.72 FIP	22	SP-	4.72	14.7%	8.0%	3.4%	.299	3.10	19.4%	7.9%	80	-1.62	3.10	127	75
Josh Dye L 2018 · 4.35 FIP	21	SP-	4.35	15.1%	4.1%	3.7%	.373	3.14	23.0%	14.9%	123	-1.21	2.79	238	74
Rafael Monsion L 2019 · 4.13 FIP	19	SP-	4.13	16.1%	7.2%	2.7%	.252	5.19	16.2%	6.4%	22	+1.06	4.01	159	74
Rafael Marcano L 2019 · 3.59 FIP	19	SW	3.59	16.2%	8.7%	1.4%	.304	4.32	19.7%	7.0%	117	+0.73	3.38	291	74
Ryan Wilson L 2017 · 3.43 FIP	20	SP-	3.43	18.5%	8.8%	1.4%	.395	4.12	18.8%	7.9%	155	+0.69	3.43	222	73
Conner Menez L 2016 · 4.10 FIP	21	SP-	4.10	16.0%	8.5%	2.3%	.282	3.83	21.9%	10.7%	377	-0.27	2.03	503	73
Denny Roman L 2018 · 3.24 FIP	19	SW	3.24	25.6%	6.9%	2.6%	.348	5.55	15.7%	-1.0%	21	+2.31	3.24	109	73
Wilkin Paredes L 2023 · 4.11 FIP	19	SP	4.11	16.2%	9.1%	2.2%	.353	4.96	12.1%	3.3%	273	+0.85	4.11	319	73
Brock Selvidge L 2022 · 3.70 FIP	19	SP-	3.70	19.9%	11.7%	1.5%	.321	3.79	17.8%	7.6%	287	+0.09	3.07	330	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	20.7%	7.7%	1.13	4.33
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38