Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 11 | 10 | 41 | 168 | 48 | 10 | 2 | 91% | 3.7 | 19.4% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 1.8% | 2.88 | 3.41 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | 11 | 10 | 41 | 168 | 48 | 10 | 2 | 91% | 3.7 | 28.6% | 6.0% | 22.6% | 1.2% | 2.88 | 2.12 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL Padres | 7 | 4 | 14 | 68 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 57% | 2.0 | 12.0% | 16.5% | -4.5% | 2.1% | 5.02 | 5.31 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | SD | 4 | 4 | 24 | 102 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.2% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.2% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.47 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | SD | — | — | 39 | 170 | 33 | 18 | 4 | — | — | 19.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 4.68 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | SD | 5 | 5 | 25 | 107 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.1 | 20.9% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | SD | 2 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.9% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 20.9% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 3.98 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 43 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 64 | 32 | 100% | 4.6 | 20.9% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 18 | 14 | 55 | 236 | 41 | 24 | 4 | 78% | 3.1 | 17.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 3.44 | 3.96 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 51 | 200 | 858 | 148 | 86 | 16 | 78% | 3.1 | 17.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 3.44 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeronimo Palmeros (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 20.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.36 | 20.9% | 12.5% | 25 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Jordan Woods L 2027 · 4.61 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.61 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .329 | 4.13 | 20.3% | 7.4% | 112 | -0.48 | 3.74 | 143 | 85 |
| Johan Simon L 2027 · 3.42 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.42 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 1.3% | .302 | 4.50 | 17.6% | 1.1% | 41 | +1.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 85 |
| James Gonzalez L 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.47 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .327 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 91 | +1.40 | 2.31 | 455 | 83 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2028 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 80 |
| Dalton Lehnen L 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.95 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .398 | 4.61 | 15.8% | 2.9% | 189 | +0.66 | 3.95 | 222 | 79 |
| Bodi Rascon L 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.55 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .271 | 5.56 | 15.7% | 3.9% | 143 | +1.01 | 4.55 | 218 | 79 |
| Blake Townsend L 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 18.5% | 4.8% | 96 | +0.15 | 3.40 | 263 | 79 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 78 |
| Wilkin Paredes L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.23 | 16.2% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .353 | 4.88 | 11.8% | 3.1% | 248 | +0.65 | 4.23 | 294 | 77 |
| Brock Selvidge L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.66 | 19.9% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .321 | 3.75 | 17.8% | 7.6% | 287 | +0.09 | 3.04 | 330 | 77 |
| Tommy Sommer L 2029 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.59 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | .196 | 5.30 | 18.6% | 6.1% | 205 | +0.71 | 4.20 | 230 | 76 |
| Pablo Aldonis L 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.25 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .324 | 2.67 | 21.9% | 13.1% | 68 | -1.58 | 1.89 | 135 | 76 |
| Ryan Rolison L 2028 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.88 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .200 | 4.10 | 19.1% | 11.5% | 191 | +0.22 | 3.63 | 362 | 75 |
| Yereny Teus L 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.49 | 19.2% | 12.0% | 0.9% | .284 | 3.71 | 23.1% | 9.9% | 122 | +0.22 | 2.98 | 166 | 75 |
| Gabriel Reyes L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.04 | 14.0% | 8.0% | 2.0% | .347 | 4.02 | 19.3% | 9.7% | 144 | -0.02 | 1.74 | 233 | 75 |
| Sterling Patick L 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.44 | 16.0% | 9.8% | 0.8% | .295 | 4.21 | 18.8% | 6.6% | 152 | +0.77 | 3.44 | 183 | 75 |
| Ryan Wilson L 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.43 | 18.5% | 8.8% | 1.4% | .395 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 7.9% | 155 | +0.84 | 3.43 | 222 | 74 |
| Zuher Yousuf L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.98 | 19.2% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .256 | 4.24 | 15.6% | 3.4% | 50 | +0.26 | 3.02 | 137 | 74 |
| Ethan Lindow L 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.33 | 19.1% | 12.4% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.19 | 19.8% | 14.0% | 111 | -1.14 | 3.19 | 435 | 74 |
| Felipe De La Cruz L 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.44 | 16.1% | 10.3% | 0.7% | .282 | 3.65 | 20.3% | 8.5% | 245 | +0.21 | 3.06 | 382 | 74 |