Josh Dye — OGILVIE

Josh Dye P Round Rock Express

Age 29 LHP 6'5" / 180 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104112vR 120

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%19.5%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%10.9%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	8	41	173	40	6	4	67%	3.4	15.1%	4.1%	11.0%	3.7%	4.20	4.35	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	8	41	173	40	6	4	67%	3.4	23.1%	3.5%	19.7%	2.3%	4.20	2.85	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	63	254	81	20	2	0%	1.6	24.0%	9.1%	14.9%	1.0%	2.15	2.79	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	63	254	81	20	2	0%	1.6	31.9%	7.9%	24.0%	0.8%	2.15	1.89	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	66	269	73	17	6	0%	1.6	22.0%	7.0%	15.0%	2.5%	2.60	3.51	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	66	269	73	17	6	0%	1.6	27.1%	6.3%	20.8%	2.2%	2.60	2.84	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	48	6	62	268	58	16	14	12%	1.3	19.0%	6.3%	12.8%	5.8%	4.48	5.49	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	48	6	62	268	58	16	14	12%	1.3	21.6%	6.0%	15.7%	5.2%	4.48	4.93	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	10	1	17	73	7	5	2	10%	1.7	8.0%	6.2%	1.8%	2.9%	5.82	4.81	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	10	1	17	73	7	5	2	10%	1.7	8.0%	6.2%	1.8%	2.9%	5.82	4.81	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	10	1	17	73	7	5	2	10%	1.7	9.6%	6.8%	2.7%	2.7%	5.82	4.69	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	TEX	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	19.5%	8.6%	10.9%	3.0%	4.57	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	TEX	19	0	20	84	16	8	3	0%	1.1	19.5%	8.9%	10.6%	3.2%	4.65	4.72	-0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	TEX	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	19.5%	8.9%	10.6%	3.2%	4.65	4.72	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	3	1	0%	1.1	19.5%	8.9%	10.6%	3.2%	4.65	4.34	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	82	27	0%	1.1	19.5%	8.9%	10.6%	3.2%	4.65	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		149	15	248	1037	203	70	33	10%	1.7	19.6%	6.8%	12.8%	3.2%	3.44	4.08	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	12	200	835	164	57	27	10%	1.7	19.6%	6.8%	12.8%	3.2%	3.44	4.08	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Dye (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	19.5%	8.6%	3.0%	—	4.72	19.5%	10.6%	20	+0.15	—	—	—
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	80
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	78
Arturo Barradas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SU	3.42	18.1%	7.0%	1.8%	.288	3.24	16.1%	9.5%	34	-0.18	3.24	163	78
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	78
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	78
Buddy Boshers L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	29	SU	4.56	18.9%	8.0%	3.7%	.300	3.47	24.1%	15.6%	112	-1.09	2.80	223	77
Colt Hynes L 2015 · 3.42 FIP	30	SU	3.42	16.2%	8.4%	1.1%	.290	3.66	17.9%	13.2%	105	+0.24	3.42	152	76
Josh Smoker L 2018 · 3.66 FIP	29	SU	3.66	22.1%	8.4%	2.5%	.318	6.58	14.2%	3.4%	14	+2.92	2.71	230	75
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	75
Josh Outman L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	31	SU	4.53	15.3%	3.7%	4.1%	.323	5.73	12.8%	-1.0%	86	+1.20	4.53	106	74
Jake McGee L 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	18.5%	7.3%	3.9%	.329	3.93	22.1%	15.6%	150	-0.67	1.39	350	73
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	72
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	71
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2019 · 3.68 FIP	29	SU	3.68	17.1%	5.3%	2.5%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	3.68	322	71
Edward Paredes L 2016 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	24.1%	13.0%	1.4%	.225	3.55	23.7%	14.0%	86	+0.08	2.36	130	71
Sammy Solís L 2018 · 4.39 FIP	29	SU	4.39	24.9%	9.6%	4.0%	.330	4.05	26.2%	17.3%	23	-0.34	2.51	190	71
Josh Edgin L 2016 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	22.1%	13.2%	1.3%	.359	3.81	23.2%	13.6%	80	+0.17	3.63	113	70
Dan Runzler L 2015 · 3.78 FIP	30	SU	3.78	19.0%	13.1%	1.2%	.383	4.07	16.5%	4.0%	63	+0.29	3.78	127	70
Kraig Sitton L 2017 · 3.87 FIP	29	SU	3.87	14.7%	6.1%	2.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	166	70
Yuhei Nakaushiro L 2018 · 3.48 FIP	28	SU	3.48	18.9%	8.6%	1.6%	.365	—	—	—	—	—	3.38	113	69