Carlos Bello

SS DSL NYY Bombers

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1951ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	198	.217/.360/.354	4	14	22	—	.129/.249/.206
2026	18	ROKDSL NYY Bombe…	210	.189/.341/.361	6	25	23	—	.112/.240/.202
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBNYY	320	.192/.269/.279	3	7	57	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBNYY	55	.198/.276/.297	1	1	63	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBNYY	130	.203/.281/.310	2	3	67	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed86

ISO74

Chase%47

BB%39

Z-Con%38

K%35

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJavier Herrera (age 19) · Miguel Palma (age 19) · Andrés Nolaya (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 111 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .267 / .277

PA111

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	161	35	8	1	4	28	49	8	14	3	217	360	354	714	137	284	25	14	331	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	210	169	32	9	1	6	29	52	10	25	4	189	341	361	702	172	230	25	14	322	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	170	22	5	1	2	19	61	8	14	3	129	249	206	455	76	171	31	10	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	210	178	20	5	1	3	20	63	10	25	4	112	240	202	443	90	143	30	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	170	22	5	1	2	19	61	8	14	3	129	249	206	455	76	185	31	10	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	161	35	8	1	4	28	49	8	14	3	217	360	354	714	137	284	25	14	331	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	210	178	20	5	1	3	20	63	10	25	4	112	240	202	443	90	149	30	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	210	169	32	9	1	6	29	52	10	25	4	189	341	361	702	172	230	25	14	322	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	169	22	5	1	2	19	61	8	14	3	130	249	207	456	77	171	31	10	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	210	178	20	5	1	3	20	63	10	25	4	112	240	202	443	90	143	30	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	169	22	5	1	2	19	61	8	14	3	130	249	207	456	77	171	31	10	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	210	178	20	5	1	3	20	63	10	25	4	112	240	202	443	90	143	30	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	320	287	54	10	2	3	25	90	5	7	1	192	269	279	548	87	263	28	8	252	57	-16	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	160	143	28	5	1	2	13	44	3	4	1	198	275	294	569	97	266	28	8	261	63	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	269	241	49	9	2	4	21	73	5	6	1	202	280	306	587	104	269	27	8	268	67	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	375	335	68	13	2	6	30	100	7	9	2	206	284	316	601	110	271	27	8	273	71	-13	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	445	398	84	16	3	8	36	118	8	10	2	209	287	324	612	115	273	27	8	278	74	-14	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	487	437	92	17	3	9	39	128	8	11	2	212	290	331	621	119	274	26	8	281	76	-14	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	512	457	97	18	3	10	41	134	9	11	3	212	290	332	622	119	274	26	8	282	77	-14	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.3
2034	26	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	526	469	99	19	3	10	43	138	9	11	3	212	290	332	622	119	274	26	8	282	77	-15	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	NYY	60%	528	471	100	19	3	10	43	139	9	11	3	211	289	329	618	118	274	26	8	280	76	-15	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	NYY	62%	525	468	98	18	3	10	43	139	9	10	3	209	287	325	612	115	273	26	8	278	74	-16	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	NYY	63%	513	459	95	18	3	9	41	138	8	9	3	207	284	319	603	112	272	27	8	274	72	-17	+1	-1	+5	+11	-0.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	NYY	63%	501	448	91	17	3	8	40	136	8	8	3	204	281	312	593	107	270	27	8	270	69	-19	+0	-2	+5	+11	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	55	50	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	198	276	297	573	99	266	27	7	262	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	130	117	23	4	1	2	10	35	2	3	1	203	281	310	591	108	268	27	8	270	67	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	203	181	38	7	1	4	16	54	4	5	1	207	285	321	606	114	271	27	8	275	71	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	252	226	48	9	2	5	20	67	4	6	1	210	288	329	617	119	273	27	8	280	74	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	275	246	53	10	2	6	22	72	5	6	1	213	291	336	627	123	274	26	8	283	76	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	289	259	55	10	2	6	23	76	5	6	1	213	291	337	628	123	274	26	8	284	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	297	266	56	10	2	6	24	78	5	6	1	213	291	337	628	124	274	26	8	284	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	NYY	60%	315	281	59	11	2	6	26	83	5	7	2	212	290	334	624	122	274	26	8	282	76	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	NYY	62%	324	290	60	11	2	6	26	86	5	6	2	210	288	330	618	119	273	27	8	280	74	-10	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	NYY	63%	322	288	60	11	2	6	26	86	5	6	2	208	285	323	609	115	272	27	8	276	72	-11	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	NYY	63%	318	285	59	11	2	6	25	86	5	5	2	205	282	316	598	111	270	27	8	272	69	-12	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2780	2489	521	96	18	54	222	738	46	57	14	209	286	327	614	118	273	27	8	279	69	-88	+6	-3	+30	+60	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	122	22	4	13	52	173	11	13	3	210	287	328	615	119	273	27	8	279	69	-21	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5360	4773	963	183	32	92	438	1442	103	142	33	202	283	311	594	110	266	27	8	270	69	-160	+10	-4	+53	+107	0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	117	22	4	11	53	175	12	17	4	202	283	311	593	109	267	27	8	270	69	-21	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL NYY Bombers · 210 PAwOBA .318 → .202 (−116)K% 24.8% → 30.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.76%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	30.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.81%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	9.62%
HBP% /PA	4.76%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	3.32%
Singles /BIP	13.68%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.988	×0.995	9.14%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.988	×0.995	4.54%
Triples /BIP	0.85%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.988	×0.995	0.50%
Home runs /BIP	5.13%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	2.40%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .318 → .202; ISO .172 → .090; BABIP .230 → .143. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 198 PAwOBA .325 → .200 (−124)K% 24.7% → 30.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.75%	÷0.988	×1.220	—	—	30.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.14%	÷1.066	×0.700	—	×1.008	9.36%
HBP% /PA	4.04%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.85%
Singles /BIP	19.64%	÷1.113	×0.680	×1.019	×1.008	12.31%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.069	×0.600	×1.019	×1.008	4.11%
Triples /BIP	0.89%	÷0.943	×0.600	×1.019	×1.008	0.58%
Home runs /BIP	3.57%	÷1.093	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.55%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 123, 2B 114, 3B 89, K 98, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .325 → .200; ISO .137 → .070; BABIP .284 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Ed Brinkman'61-'75 * career totals — 14 seasons, 6,640 PA	10.0	6,640	60	30	229*	284*	330*	+70	+51	6.5	9.2
/162	664	6	3	+7.0	+5.1	0.7	pk7: 12
#4Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.4	2,893	52	60	209	283	323	+31	+21	2.5	2.4
/162	664	12	14	+7.1	+4.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Bello (OGILVIE)	19	30	35	55	50	190/267/277	86	263	1	3	28%	8%	57	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Edwin Sanchez 2024 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	53	179/286/263	84	239	7	8	26%	11%	62	-1.4	187/321/279	92	246	7	9	24%	13%	80	-0.2	153/326/245	92	196	8	11	22%	16%	76	-0.1
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	39	37→40	54→50	46	185/258/260	75	249	3	18	26%	8%	49	-2.4	204/270/286	82	298	5	9	31%	7%	59	-1.7	199/271/269	69	303	4	7	33%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	40	39→45	46→50	45	192/269/279	87	247	7	7	24%	7%	58	-1.7	210/272/303	93	266	5	11	22%	5%	63	-1.3	210/267/312	102	264	5	11	22%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	39	41→45	51→55	51	194/284/291	97	239	9	16	22%	9%	67	-1.1	213/275/344	131	283	14	13	28%	7%	74	-0.5	206/255/390	183	266	22	15	31%	6%	76	-0.1
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	37	42→45	49→40	41	187/250/292	105	255	9	5	30%	6%	53	-2.1	203/260/303	100	308	8	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	195/253/292	98	300	8	2	36%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	38	35→30	48→50	47	182/254/242	60	245	3	12	26%	8%	43	-2.8	189/250/229	40	228	1	14	16%	7%	38	-3.2	191/256/205	14	227	0	12	15%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	43	179/253/258	79	261	5	10	32%	8%	47	-2.6	184/236/265	81	288	6	7	36%	5%	41	-3.0	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	15	-1.2
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	36	38→45	50	39	174/236/254	80	268	5	10	35%	7%	39	-3.1	201/250/308	107	346	11	5	42%	6%	57	-1.8	161/214/283	122	296	17	1	49%	6%	37	-1.2

Carlos Bello

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps