Carlos Bello — OGILVIE

Carlos BelloSS DSL NYY Bombers

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION210 act + 21 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .286 / .222

PA21

HR0

K%29

BB%10

BABIP244

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	161	35	8	1	4	28	49	8	14	3	217	360	354	714	137	284	25	14	331	110	+2	+2	—	—	+4	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	173	24	5	1	3	16	71	8	14	3	139	244	231	475	92	207	36	8	212	30	-17	+2	—	—	+4	-1.1
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	173	24	5	1	3	16	71	8	14	3	139	244	231	475	92	210	36	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	161	35	8	1	4	28	49	8	14	3	217	360	354	714	137	284	25	14	331	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	172	24	5	1	3	16	71	8	14	3	140	244	233	476	93	207	36	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	172	24	5	1	3	16	71	8	14	3	140	244	233	476	93	207	36	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	NYY	—	210	180	23	6	1	4	18	75	10	25	4	128	245	239	484	111	184	36	9	220	35	-16	+3	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	NYY	—	210	169	32	9	1	6	29	52	10	25	4	189	341	361	702	172	230	25	14	322	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	NYY	0%	21	18	3	1	0	0	2	6	1	1	0	167	286	222	508	56	243	29	10	250	56	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	NYY	—	231	198	26	7	1	4	20	81	11	26	4	131	249	237	486	106	191	35	9	223	37	-17	+4	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	270	240	44	9	1	5	22	79	6	8	1	183	269	292	560	108	249	29	8	261	63	-12	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	391	347	67	14	2	8	32	111	9	10	2	193	278	314	592	121	255	28	8	271	69	-14	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	482	428	85	17	3	11	40	134	11	12	2	199	284	329	613	131	257	28	8	277	73	-15	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	545	481	97	19	3	13	46	150	13	13	2	202	289	335	624	133	259	28	8	281	76	-16	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	NYY	58%	588	519	105	21	3	14	50	161	14	13	2	202	290	335	625	133	260	27	9	283	77	-16	+2	+0	+6	+13	0.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	NYY	61%	616	544	110	22	3	15	52	168	15	14	2	202	290	336	626	134	261	27	8	284	78	-16	+2	+0	+7	+13	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	NYY	63%	628	554	112	23	3	15	54	171	15	14	2	202	291	336	626	134	261	27	9	285	79	-16	+2	+0	+7	+14	0.7
2034	26	MLB MLE	NYY	64%	635	561	113	23	3	15	54	173	15	14	3	201	289	333	622	132	261	27	9	285	79	-16	+2	+0	+7	+14	0.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	634	559	113	23	3	15	55	173	15	14	2	202	291	335	625	132	260	27	9	285	79	-16	+2	+0	+7	+14	0.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	630	555	111	22	3	15	55	173	15	13	2	200	290	332	621	132	260	27	9	285	79	-16	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	620	545	110	22	3	15	55	171	15	13	2	202	293	336	628	134	259	28	9	283	78	-17	+2	-1	+7	+13	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	609	536	106	21	3	14	54	170	14	12	2	198	288	326	615	129	258	28	9	280	76	-17	+2	-2	+7	+13	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	595	523	102	20	3	13	53	168	14	11	2	195	286	319	606	124	256	28	9	277	73	-19	+1	-3	+6	+13	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	93	83	15	3	0	2	8	27	2	3	0	181	269	289	558	108	251	29	9	248	63	-4	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	189	167	33	7	1	4	16	54	4	5	1	198	283	323	607	126	256	29	8	257	69	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	261	231	45	9	1	6	22	73	6	6	1	195	282	320	602	126	259	28	8	263	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	308	272	56	11	2	8	26	85	7	7	1	206	292	349	641	143	261	28	8	267	76	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	NYY	58%	339	299	61	12	2	9	29	93	8	8	1	204	292	348	639	144	262	27	9	269	77	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	NYY	61%	375	331	69	14	2	10	32	102	9	8	2	208	296	353	649	145	263	27	9	271	78	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	NYY	63%	394	348	71	14	2	10	34	107	9	9	2	204	292	342	634	138	263	27	9	272	79	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	NYY	64%	405	357	74	15	2	11	35	110	10	9	2	207	296	353	649	146	262	27	9	272	79	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	412	363	75	15	2	11	36	112	10	9	2	207	296	350	646	143	262	27	9	272	79	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	410	361	74	15	2	11	36	113	10	9	2	205	295	349	644	144	262	28	9	271	79	-10	+1	-0	+4	+9	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	403	355	72	15	2	10	36	111	9	8	1	203	292	341	633	138	261	28	9	270	78	-11	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	396	349	70	14	2	10	35	110	9	8	1	201	290	338	628	138	260	28	9	267	76	-11	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	387	341	68	14	2	9	34	109	9	7	1	199	289	331	620	132	258	28	9	263	73	-12	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4372	3857	783	158	22	111	379	1206	102	96	17	203	291	342	633	139	262	28	9	268	75	-122	+12	-5	+47	+95	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	116	23	3	17	56	179	15	14	3	202	290	342	632	140	261	28	9	268	75	-18	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7462	6583	1302	262	37	171	640	2079	180	176	29	198	287	327	613	129	259	28	9	279	75	-205	+22	-7	+78	+157	4.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	113	23	3	15	56	181	16	15	3	197	287	326	613	129	258	28	9	279	75	-18	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.9	4,552	104	100	201	285	331	+49	+27	5.8	5.1
/162	664	15	15	+7.1	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Bello (OGILVIE)	18	30	35	55	50	173/262/275	101	243	3	10	30%	8%	56	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Amador Arias 2019 · A	18	34	39→45	48→50	45	170/242/253	83	225	7	13	27%	7%	42	-2.9	185/256/282	97	276	9	12	34%	7%	53	-2.1	119/206/220	101	222	12	11	49%	8%	20	-1.7
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2007 · A	18	40	38→30	54→45	37	197/239/278	81	273	6	11	30%	4%	45	-2.7	217/280/275	58	274	3	9	20%	6%	60	-1.6	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Hector Garcia 2008 · A	18	38	40→45	49→40	41	188/237/274	86	249	7	6	27%	6%	43	-2.8	212/263/289	77	269	6	4	22%	6%	57	-1.8	222/269/309	87	270	7	1	20%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→41	40→45	49→55	42	206/266/301	95	275	7	13	27%	6%	61	-1.5	209/266/312	103	295	9	17	31%	6%	63	-1.3	203/255/293	90	297	8	23	33%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	43	-2.8	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	58	-1.7	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→45	39→45	47→55	48	202/296/282	81	254	6	12	22%	8%	70	-0.9	210/296/305	95	253	9	16	20%	9%	74	-0.5	215/297/320	105	260	12	19	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Angel Jimenez 2013 · A	18	41	40	50	46	197/271/292	95	275	8	10	30%	9%	61	-1.5	201/274/294	93	261	8	12	25%	8%	63	-1.3	190/263/280	89	241	8	13	23%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	44	-2.8	221/272/301	80	288	7	19	24%	6%	63	-1.4	235/283/299	64	303	5	24	23%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	40	-3.0	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	74	-0.6	220/275/339	119	277	13	9	24%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→36	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	54	-2.0	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	68	-1.0	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	74	-0.2
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→37	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	51	-2.2	202/266/283	81	296	5	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	194/265/261	67	295	4	7	33%	8%	48	-1.4
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	39	42→40	53→45	45	194/262/300	106	257	10	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	201/266/295	94	268	8	10	26%	7%	60	-1.6	184/255/271	87	254	7	7	29%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→40	36→45	51→60	46	196/275/269	73	281	3	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	201/270/288	87	311	7	23	35%	7%	60	-1.6	204/257/327	123	302	13	35	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	39	39→45	47→50	45	192/256/277	84	251	7	8	26%	7%	52	-2.2	210/290/338	128	295	14	8	31%	9%	79	-0.2	177/254/299	122	259	13	14	35%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Jhonny Piron 2022 · A	18	39	40	50→55	45	189/273/282	93	268	7	16	30%	8%	61	-1.5	176/251/250	74	276	6	10	35%	8%	45	-2.7	130/209/178	48	211	5	8	38%	8%	11	-1.2
✕Jose Paez 2012 · A	18	36	36→45	51→50	41	173/241/239	66	265	4	16	34%	7%	38	-3.2	220/268/311	91	310	5	12	29%	5%	63	-1.4	226/270/319	93	319	4	12	29%	5%	61	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps