Carlos Bello — OGILVIE

Carlos BelloSS DSL NYY Bombers

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION134 act + 89 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .257 / .274

PA89

HR1

K%30

BB%8

BABIP248

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$10M		$10M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	174	22	5	1	2	15	72	8	14	3	126	228	201	430	75	198	36	8	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	161	35	8	1	4	28	49	8	14	3	217	360	354	714	137	284	25	14	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	NYY	—	134	115	15	4	1	3	11	46	6	16	3	130	242	261	503	130	176	34	8	216	24	-12	+2	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
YTD	18	ROK	NYY	—	134	109	20	6	1	4	17	32	6	16	3	183	326	367	693	183	213	24	13	314	98	-0	+2	+0	+1	+4	0.7
ROS	18	ROK	NYY	0%	89	80	14	3	1	1	7	27	2	4	1	174	257	274	531	100	247	30	8	251	50	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		248	—	—	236	39	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	NYY	—	134	116	15	4	1	3	11	46	6	16	3	129	242	259	501	129	174	34	8	216	24	-12	+2	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
TOT	18	ROK	NYY	—	223	195	29	7	2	4	18	73	8	20	4	148	248	266	515	118	208	33	8	230	34	-17	+2	+0	+2	+6	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	NYY	34%	266	238	45	9	2	5	20	76	6	7	1	189	269	307	576	118	252	29	8	260	57	-13	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	NYY	48%	389	347	68	14	2	8	31	109	8	10	2	196	277	317	594	121	257	28	8	269	64	-16	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.1
2029	21	MLB	NYY	54%	480	429	85	17	3	10	38	132	10	11	2	198	279	322	601	124	260	28	8	275	69	-17	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.3
2030	22	MLB	NYY	57%	544	483	97	19	3	12	44	148	12	12	2	201	284	327	611	126	262	27	8	279	71	-18	+2	+0	+6	+15	0.5
2031	23	MLB	NYY	58%	587	522	106	21	4	13	47	159	13	13	3	203	285	333	619	130	263	27	8	281	73	-18	+1	+0	+6	+17	0.6
2032	24	MLB	NYY	57%	615	547	112	22	4	14	50	166	13	14	3	205	287	336	623	132	263	27	8	282	74	-18	+2	+0	+7	+17	0.8
2033	25	MLB	NYY	61%	627	558	114	23	4	14	51	169	13	14	3	204	286	335	621	131	263	27	8	283	75	-18	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.8
2034	26	MLB	NYY	63%	635	564	116	23	4	15	52	171	14	14	3	206	289	340	629	135	263	27	8	283	75	-18	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.8
2035	27	MLB	NYY	64%	634	563	116	23	4	15	52	171	14	14	3	206	289	341	630	135	263	27	8	283	75	-18	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.9
2036	28	MLB	NYY	65%	629	557	113	22	4	14	53	171	14	13	3	203	288	332	621	129	263	27	8	282	74	-18	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.7
2037	29	MLB	NYY	65%	619	549	112	22	4	14	52	169	13	13	2	204	288	335	623	131	262	27	8	281	73	-19	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.6
2038	30	MLB	NYY	65%	609	540	107	21	3	13	51	168	13	12	2	198	283	320	603	122	261	28	8	278	71	-20	+2	-2	+7	+17	0.3
2027	19	MLB	NYY	34%	91	82	16	3	1	2	7	26	2	2	0	195	275	329	604	134	254	29	8	247	47	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	NYY	48%	188	167	33	7	1	4	15	53	4	5	1	198	280	323	603	126	259	28	8	256	54	-10	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2029	21	MLB	NYY	54%	260	231	47	9	2	6	21	72	6	6	1	203	287	338	624	134	261	28	8	262	59	-12	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2030	22	MLB	NYY	57%	308	273	56	11	2	7	25	84	7	7	1	205	289	337	626	132	263	27	8	266	61	-13	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.0
2031	23	MLB	NYY	58%	338	301	61	12	2	8	27	91	7	8	1	203	284	336	619	133	264	27	8	267	63	-14	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.0
2032	24	MLB	NYY	57%	350	311	64	13	2	8	28	94	8	8	1	206	288	338	626	132	265	27	8	269	64	-14	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2033	25	MLB	NYY	61%	380	338	69	14	2	9	31	102	8	8	2	204	286	337	624	133	265	27	8	270	64	-15	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.0
2034	26	MLB	NYY	63%	397	353	73	15	2	10	32	107	9	9	2	207	289	346	635	139	265	27	8	270	65	-16	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.1
2035	27	MLB	NYY	64%	403	358	74	15	2	10	33	109	9	9	2	207	290	344	634	137	264	27	8	270	65	-16	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.1
2036	28	MLB	NYY	65%	409	363	74	15	2	10	34	111	9	9	2	204	288	339	627	135	264	27	8	269	64	-17	+1	-0	+4	+12	-0.0
2037	29	MLB	NYY	65%	402	356	72	15	2	9	34	110	9	8	2	202	288	331	620	129	263	27	8	267	63	-17	+1	-1	+4	+11	-0.1
2038	30	MLB	NYY	65%	396	352	71	14	2	9	33	109	8	8	2	202	285	330	615	128	262	28	8	265	61	-17	+1	-1	+4	+11	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3922	3486	710	143	22	92	320	1068	86	87	17	204	287	336	623	133	263	27	8	267	62	-167	+11	-3	+42	+111	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	118	24	4	15	53	177	14	14	3	204	287	337	624	133	265	27	8	267	62	-28	+2	-0	+7	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	6921	6151	1227	244	43	150	563	1908	153	165	33	199	283	326	609	127	261	28	8	277	70	-236	+20	-4	+74	+196	5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	115	23	4	14	53	179	14	15	3	199	282	325	607	126	260	28	8	277	70	-22	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	198	161	35	8	1	4	28	49	8	14	3	217	360	354	714	137	284	25	14	331	111	+3	+2	—	—	+6	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,102	90	90	203	282	332	+44	+24	3.8	3.6
	/162	664	15	15	203	282	332	+7.1	+3.9	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Bello (OGILVIE)	18	30	35	55	50	148/248/266	118	208	4	20	33%	8%	34	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Denzer Guzman 2022 · A	18	39→36	42→45	47→50	46	192/253/301	109	237	9	13	23%	7%	50	-1.7	186/243/279	93	277	8	8	33%	7%	40	-2.4	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Hector Garcia 2008 · A	18	38	40→45	49→40	41	188/237/274	86	249	7	6	27%	6%	36	-2.7	212/263/289	77	269	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	222/269/309	87	270	7	1	20%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→39	40→45	50→55	44	204/266/298	94	269	6	13	25%	6%	55	-1.4	206/263/306	100	292	9	17	31%	6%	56	-1.3	196/248/285	89	291	8	23	34%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Amador Arias 2019 · A	18	34	39→45	48→50	45	170/242/253	83	225	7	13	27%	7%	34	-2.8	186/256/285	99	277	9	12	34%	7%	48	-1.9	118/203/228	110	217	14	11	50%	8%	10	-1.7
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	37	35→40	51→60	40	176/238/231	55	271	2	17	34%	7%	25	-3.5	204/268/282	78	293	5	21	30%	8%	52	-1.6	192/263/269	77	285	7	32	32%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→32	37→40	43→50	40	199/260/273	73	295	4	10	32%	6%	46	-2.0	184/285/263	79	357	5	9	44%	10%	56	-1.3	152/269/228	75	334	5	7	49%	11%	40	-1.1
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	41→37	45	51→55	41	205/265/332	127	282	12	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	178/230/270	92	318	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	192/243/304	112	295	12	19	37%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	33	-2.9	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	70	-0.3	221/275/340	119	279	13	9	25%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→34	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	48	-1.9	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	63	-0.8	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	70	-0.1
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	39	39→45	53→45	38	185/246/275	89	296	6	8	38%	7%	41	-2.3	197/260/287	90	318	5	8	36%	7%	50	-1.8	215/289/325	110	304	4	8	28%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Marco Soto 2022 · A	18	41	36→30	52→50	41	195/262/260	64	278	3	10	29%	6%	44	-2.1	202/257/256	54	271	2	8	25%	5%	40	-2.4	184/237/220	36	252	1	8	26%	5%	21	-0.9
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	48	-1.9	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	53	-1.5	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	39	-0.7