Emmanuel Martinez

C DSL Royals Ventura

Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 176 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1391ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	78	.203/.329/.219	0	2	12	—	.134/.237/.149
2026	18	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	80	.250/.392/.281	0	1	37	—	.162/.278/.176
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBKC	190	.218/.290/.281	1	2	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBKC	35	.220/.293/.292	0	0	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBKC	94	.223/.297/.304	1	1	74	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%81

BB%65

wOBA42

Whiff%42

Z-Con%38

wRC+34

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsYasmil Bucce (age 19) · Omar Alfonzo (age 19) · Daniel Vellojin (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .287 / .278

PA45

HR0

K%24

BB%8

ISO63

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	78	64	13	1	0	0	11	12	1	2	0	203	329	219	548	16	245	15	14	264	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	80	64	16	2	0	0	14	12	1	1	2	250	392	281	674	31	308	15	18	322	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	78	67	9	1	0	0	8	14	1	2	0	134	237	149	386	15	163	18	10	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	80	68	11	1	0	0	10	15	1	1	2	162	278	176	455	15	209	19	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	78	67	9	1	0	0	8	14	1	2	0	134	237	149	386	15	167	18	10	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	78	64	13	1	0	0	11	12	1	2	0	203	329	219	548	16	245	15	14	264	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	80	68	11	1	0	0	10	15	1	1	2	162	278	176	455	15	208	19	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	80	64	16	2	0	0	14	12	1	1	2	250	392	281	674	31	308	15	18	322	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	78	69	9	1	0	0	8	14	1	2	0	130	237	145	382	14	163	18	10	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	80	69	11	1	0	0	10	15	1	1	2	159	278	174	452	14	209	19	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	78	69	9	1	0	0	8	14	1	2	0	130	237	145	382	14	163	18	10	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	80	69	11	1	0	0	10	15	1	1	2	159	278	174	452	14	209	19	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	KC	0%	190	170	37	5	1	1	16	46	2	2	1	218	290	281	570	63	287	24	8	263	64	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	KC	34%	102	92	21	3	1	1	8	24	1	1	0	222	295	295	590	73	289	24	8	271	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	KC	48%	195	175	39	6	1	2	16	46	2	2	1	225	299	308	607	82	290	24	8	277	74	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	KC	54%	306	274	63	9	2	4	26	72	3	3	1	228	302	319	621	90	291	24	8	283	78	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	KC	57%	392	352	81	12	2	6	33	91	4	3	1	231	304	328	633	97	292	23	8	287	81	-9	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	KC	57%	445	399	93	14	3	7	38	103	5	4	2	233	307	336	643	103	293	23	9	291	83	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	KC	57%	445	399	94	14	3	8	38	103	5	4	2	234	307	339	647	106	293	23	9	293	84	-8	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	445	399	94	14	3	8	38	103	5	4	2	234	307	341	649	107	293	23	9	294	85	-8	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	445	399	93	14	2	8	38	104	5	4	2	233	306	338	645	106	293	23	9	292	84	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2036	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	445	399	93	14	2	8	38	105	5	3	2	231	304	334	638	103	292	24	9	289	82	-10	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	445	401	90	13	2	7	37	106	4	3	3	228	301	327	629	99	290	24	8	286	79	-11	-1	-1	+8	+10	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	KC	53%	445	401	90	13	2	7	37	108	4	3	5	225	298	319	617	94	288	24	8	281	76	-13	-1	-2	+8	+10	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	KC	57%	426	384	85	12	2	6	35	105	4	2	22	221	293	309	602	88	285	25	8	275	72	-14	-8	-3	+8	+9	-0.9
2028	20	MLB CTX	KC	34%	35	32	6	1	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	220	293	292	585	72	287	23	9	269	69	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	KC	48%	94	85	20	3	1	1	8	22	1	1	0	223	297	304	601	80	289	23	9	275	74	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	KC	54%	166	149	34	5	1	2	14	39	2	1	1	226	300	314	614	88	290	23	8	280	78	-4	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	KC	57%	222	199	45	7	1	3	19	52	2	2	1	228	302	323	625	94	290	23	9	284	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	KC	57%	252	226	53	8	2	4	21	59	3	2	1	231	304	330	635	100	291	23	8	288	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	KC	57%	251	225	53	8	2	4	21	58	3	2	1	231	305	333	638	102	291	23	8	289	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	251	225	52	8	1	4	21	58	3	2	1	231	305	335	640	104	291	23	8	290	85	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	247	221	51	8	1	4	21	58	3	2	1	230	304	332	636	102	291	23	9	289	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	244	218	49	7	1	4	21	58	3	2	1	228	302	328	630	99	290	24	9	286	82	-5	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	238	214	48	7	1	4	20	57	2	2	2	226	299	321	621	95	288	24	8	282	79	-6	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	KC	53%	234	210	47	7	1	3	20	57	2	2	3	223	296	314	609	91	286	24	9	278	76	-7	-1	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	KC	57%	241	217	47	7	1	3	20	59	2	1	13	219	291	304	595	85	283	24	8	272	72	-8	-5	-2	+4	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2475	2221	505	76	13	36	209	585	26	19	25	227	301	322	623	95	291	24	8	284	78	-58	-6	-4	+44	+54	3.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	132	20	3	9	55	154	7	5	7	226	301	317	618	91	291	24	8	284	78	-15	-2	-1	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4739	4250	964	141	25	72	404	1110	49	39	45	227	301	323	624	96	289	23	9	284	78	-110	-10	-7	+82	+99	5.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	132	19	3	10	55	152	7	5	6	226	301	321	622	94	288	23	8	284	78	-16	-1	-1	+12	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Royals Ventura · 80 PAwOBA .315 → .223 (−92)K% 15.0% → 18.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.00%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	18.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.50%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	12.19%
HBP% /PA	1.25%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.87%
Singles /BIP	26.92%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.020	×0.995	18.58%
Doubles /BIP	3.85%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.020	×0.995	2.34%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.020	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .315 → .223; ISO .031 → .020; BABIP .308 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Royals Fortuna · 78 PAwOBA .261 → .186 (−76)K% 15.4% → 18.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.38%	÷1.023	×1.220	—	—	18.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.10%	÷0.974	×0.700	—	×1.008	10.21%
HBP% /PA	1.28%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.90%
Singles /BIP	23.08%	÷1.083	×0.680	×1.049	×1.008	15.31%
Doubles /BIP	1.92%	÷0.965	×0.600	×1.049	×1.008	1.26%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.023	×0.600	×1.049	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.936	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 117, 2B 93, 3B 105, K 105, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.

Result: wOBA .261 → .186; ISO .016 → .011; BABIP .245 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.8	2,521	39	20	230	300	329	+45	+28	4.8	4.6
/162	664	10	5	+11.9	+7.4	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Emmanuel Martinez (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	216/287/278	62	287	0	0	24%	8%	64	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yasmil Bucce 2024 · A	19	41	38→55	49→40	44	194/265/274	79	279	5	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	199/299/306	107	308	10	4	35%	11%	76	-0.4	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	35→41	36→45	48→40	50	170/265/234	64	247	4	3	30%	10%	47	-2.6	207/288/311	104	312	11	4	34%	10%	72	-0.7	205/285/317	112	311	13	2	36%	9%	70	-0.6
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	38	37→45	47→45	51	180/266/253	73	238	4	6	25%	10%	51	-2.2	200/296/287	87	250	6	8	20%	10%	70	-0.8	188/295/296	108	247	11	6	26%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	41	37→45	51→45	45	196/255/276	80	259	4	6	25%	7%	51	-2.3	211/250/290	79	273	4	8	23%	5%	51	-2.2	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	37	39→45	47→45	49	178/272/261	83	262	6	6	32%	10%	55	-1.9	190/264/264	74	295	5	6	34%	9%	52	-2.2	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	41	35→45	46→55	56	189/281/251	62	237	3	9	20%	11%	56	-1.9	216/292/302	86	304	6	14	28%	9%	71	-0.8	210/285/301	91	316	8	17	33%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	47	199/261/264	65	252	4	6	22%	7%	50	-2.3	222/286/323	101	271	7	5	20%	8%	74	-0.6	252/305/320	67	286	2	0	12%	6%	75	-0.1
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→40	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	66	-1.1	196/276/274	78	288	5	5	30%	9%	59	-1.7	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕José Godoy 2014 · A	19	43	34→45	44→30	51	200/282/250	50	249	1	4	19%	8%	56	-1.9	237/301/296	59	284	3	4	16%	7%	72	-0.7	259/313/325	65	303	5	1	15%	6%	80	-0.0
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Meibrys Viloria 2016 · A	19	45→48	35→45	46→40	49	211/274/263	52	264	3	3	20%	8%	55	-2.0	241/289/346	105	310	8	3	24%	5%	80	-0.2	246/292/359	114	319	10	2	25%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	42	172/250/235	63	266	3	6	34%	8%	40	-3.0	198/264/283	85	295	7	4	33%	8%	57	-1.8	188/259/268	80	276	7	3	32%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Juan Centeno 2008 · A	18	41	37→45	49→40	43	197/253/266	68	259	4	6	25%	6%	48	-2.5	199/258/259	60	256	3	6	22%	6%	48	-2.5	279/317/335	56	337	1	3	17%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Luis Barrera 2015 · A	19	34→44	38→45	49→50	47	168/236/246	78	214	5	7	24%	7%	37	-3.3	204/248/281	77	285	4	8	28%	5%	48	-2.5	248/293/357	110	319	5	17	23%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	36→46	37→45	50→55	46	176/242/253	76	228	4	12	24%	7%	41	-3.0	231/280/336	105	295	5	13	22%	6%	74	-0.6	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Carlos Soto 2018 · A	19	43	35→45	47→30	49	202/271/254	53	259	2	3	22%	8%	52	-2.2	200/262/286	86	278	8	4	29%	7%	57	-1.8	169/256/286	117	235	12	0	31%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Narciso Polanco 2024 · A	19	38→42	36→40	47→55	46	182/256/247	65	259	3	8	29%	8%	45	-2.7	193/266/277	84	267	6	17	27%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/281	89	260	6	21	27%	8%	54	-1.6
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Eddinson Paulino 2021 · A	19	44→42	36→50	43→50	48	208/278/279	71	278	3	7	25%	8%	60	-1.6	214/283/340	126	290	8	13	27%	8%	76	-0.4	207/274/352	145	279	12	17	29%	7%	73	-0.4

Emmanuel Martinez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps