Andre Avila

P DSL NYY Bombers

Age 21 LHP 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL NYY Bombe…	6	0	20	4.50	3.15	25.3%	17.2%	—	K 17.2% · BB 21.6% · FIP 4.38
2026	20	ROKDSL NYY Bombe…	17	1	27	4.39	3.59	29.4%	12.7%	—	K 20.0% · BB 15.9% · FIP 5.25
2027PROJ	21	MLBNYY	13	0	14	5.25	5.25	21.7%	15.6%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBNYY	11	0	12	4.97	4.85	22.8%	13.4%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsBrendan Nail (age 23) · Adrian Almeida (age 21) · Seth Clark (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117125vR 133

ERA5.25

FIP5.25

K%21.7%

BB%15.6%

K-BB%6.2%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	6	0	20	87	22	15	0	0%	3.3	17.2%	21.6%	-4.4%	0.0%	4.50	4.38	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	6	0	20	87	22	15	0	0%	3.3	17.2%	21.6%	-4.4%	0.0%	4.50	4.38	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	6	0	20	87	22	15	0	0%	3.3	25.3%	17.2%	8.0%	0.0%	4.50	3.15	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	17	1	27	126	37	16	3	6%	1.6	20.0%	15.9%	4.1%	3.3%	4.39	5.25	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	17	1	27	126	37	16	3	6%	1.6	20.0%	15.9%	4.1%	3.3%	4.39	5.25	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	17	1	27	126	37	16	3	6%	1.6	29.4%	12.7%	16.7%	2.4%	4.39	3.59	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	NYY	13	0	14	59	13	9	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	15.6%	6.2%	3.0%	5.25	5.25	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	NYY	24	0	25	106	24	14	3	0%	1.1	22.8%	13.4%	9.4%	2.9%	4.97	4.85	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	NYY	11	0	12	51	12	7	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	13.4%	9.4%	2.9%	4.97	4.85	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	52	12	7	2	0%	1.0	22.8%	13.4%	9.4%	2.9%	4.97	4.47	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	113	32	0%	1.1	22.8%	13.4%	9.4%	2.9%	4.97	4.47	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		23	1	47	213	40	39	4	4%	2.0	18.8%	18.2%	0.6%	2.0%	4.44	4.90	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		99	4	200	913	172	166	18	4%	2.0	18.8%	18.2%	0.6%	2.0%	4.44	4.90	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andre Avila (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.25	21.7%	15.6%	3.0%	—	4.85	22.8%	9.4%	25	-0.40	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	88
Adrian Almeida L 2016 · 5.65 FIP	21	SU	5.65	18.6%	15.3%	4.0%	.295	4.97	18.4%	-4.1%	119	-0.68	4.27	188	84
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	83
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	83
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	82
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	81
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	81
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	81
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	81
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	80
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	80
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	79
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	288	79
Evan Taylor L 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	28.1%	16.5%	2.7%	.304	3.19	21.9%	10.0%	150	-1.12	3.09	225	79
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	79
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	79
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.24	22.9%	8.7%	176	+0.05	3.24	203	78
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	78
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	78
Izaak Martinez L 2024 · 6.26 FIP	22	SU	6.26	21.5%	15.0%	5.6%	.300	4.03	20.0%	10.6%	125	-2.23	3.77	138	78