Jord David Diaz

3B DSL Rangers Red

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Rangers R…	148	.258/.370/.290	0	13	35	—	.188/.288/.211
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLB—	258	.214/.284/.276	2	8	61	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	42	.219/.289/.290	0	1	67	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLB—	133	.222/.294/.303	1	4	71	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Speed84

Z-Con%81

Whiff%65

K%63

wOBA44

Chase%38

CompsTito Polo (age 19) · Andrés Nolaya (age 19) · Aroon Escobar (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 72 proj PA

wRC+61

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .282 / .274

PA72

HR0

K%25

BB%7

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	124	32	2	1	0	13	28	9	13	2	258	370	290	660	32	330	19	9	312	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	128	24	1	1	0	9	34	9	13	2	188	288	211	499	23	236	23	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	128	24	1	1	0	9	34	9	13	2	188	288	211	499	23	253	23	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	124	32	2	1	0	13	28	9	13	2	258	370	290	660	32	330	19	9	312	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	129	24	1	1	0	9	34	9	13	2	186	288	209	497	23	236	23	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	148	129	24	1	1	0	9	34	9	13	2	186	288	209	497	23	236	23	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	258	233	51	6	2	2	17	65	6	8	1	214	284	276	560	62	288	25	7	259	61	-12	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	123	111	24	3	1	1	8	31	3	4	1	219	289	290	580	72	290	25	7	267	67	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	48%	275	248	55	7	2	3	19	68	6	9	2	222	294	303	597	81	291	25	7	273	71	-9	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	54%	388	349	79	10	3	5	27	95	9	13	2	225	297	314	611	89	292	24	7	279	75	-12	+2	+0	+1	+8	-0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	57%	466	420	96	13	3	7	33	114	10	15	3	228	300	323	623	96	293	24	7	284	78	-12	+2	+0	+2	+10	0.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	518	465	106	14	4	8	37	126	11	17	3	230	302	332	634	102	294	24	7	288	81	-12	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	549	494	113	15	4	9	39	133	11	18	3	231	303	335	637	104	294	24	7	289	82	-12	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	566	508	118	16	4	10	41	137	12	19	4	231	303	336	639	105	294	24	7	290	82	-12	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	573	515	119	16	4	10	41	140	12	19	4	230	302	333	635	104	293	24	7	288	81	-13	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	573	515	118	16	4	10	41	141	12	18	4	228	300	328	628	101	292	25	7	285	79	-14	+2	-1	+2	+12	0.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	58%	565	509	115	15	4	9	40	141	11	17	4	225	297	322	618	97	290	25	7	281	77	-16	+2	-1	+2	+12	-0.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	—	60%	557	502	110	14	3	8	39	140	11	17	4	222	293	314	606	92	288	25	7	276	73	-18	+2	-2	+2	+12	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	42	38	8	1	0	0	3	11	1	1	0	219	289	290	580	72	290	26	7	267	67	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	48%	133	120	26	3	1	1	9	33	3	4	1	222	294	303	597	81	291	25	7	273	71	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	54%	210	188	44	6	2	3	15	52	5	7	1	225	297	314	611	89	292	25	7	279	75	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	57%	264	237	54	7	2	4	19	64	6	9	2	228	300	323	623	96	293	24	7	284	78	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	293	264	61	8	2	5	21	71	6	10	2	230	302	332	634	102	294	24	7	288	81	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	310	279	64	9	2	5	22	75	6	10	2	231	303	335	637	104	294	24	7	289	82	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	320	287	67	9	2	6	23	78	7	10	2	231	303	336	639	105	294	24	7	290	82	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	318	285	65	9	2	5	23	78	7	10	2	230	302	333	635	104	293	25	7	288	81	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	315	283	65	9	2	5	23	78	6	10	2	228	300	328	628	101	292	25	7	285	79	-8	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	58%	328	295	66	9	2	5	23	82	7	10	2	225	297	322	618	97	290	25	7	281	77	-9	+1	-1	+1	+7	-0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	—	60%	336	302	67	9	2	5	24	85	7	10	2	222	293	314	606	92	288	25	7	276	73	-11	+1	-1	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2869	2578	587	79	19	44	205	707	61	91	18	228	300	324	624	97	295	25	7	284	77	-75	+11	-2	+10	+62	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	133	18	4	10	46	160	14	21	4	228	300	324	623	96	294	25	7	284	77	-17	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5373	4829	1091	142	38	80	379	1318	119	181	36	226	298	321	619	95	292	25	7	281	77	-138	+20	-4	+19	+113	1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	133	17	5	10	46	159	14	22	4	228	299	325	625	98	294	24	7	281	77	-17	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.4	2,940	46	94	228	296	325	+11	+4	2.5	2.5
/162	664	10	21	+2.4	+0.8	0.6	pk7: 3
#6Carlos Febles'98-'03 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,892 PA	2.8	1,892	24	68	239*	316*	342*	+6	-4	0.5	0.5
/162	664	8	24	+2.2	-1.5	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jord David Diaz (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	213/282/274	61	288	0	2	25%	7%	61	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tito Polo 2014 · A	19	41→51	36→45	54→60	43	196/264/262	66	267	4	22	27%	6%	51	-2.2	212/270/304	92	282	7	23	26%	5%	63	-1.4	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Aroon Escobar 2024 · A	19	38→46	36→45	51→55	54	178/277/245	67	211	4	16	17%	9%	55	-2.0	218/300/318	100	261	10	17	20%	9%	78	-0.3	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Daniel Lopez 2011 · A	19	42	35→45	49→60	43	194/267/256	61	260	2	12	24%	6%	52	-2.2	219/280/308	89	280	5	17	22%	6%	68	-1.0	240/299/357	117	293	6	30	19%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Brennen Davis 2019 · A	19	48→43	36→50	51→45	46	221/300/290	68	306	3	12	26%	8%	72	-0.7	233/303/375	142	314	15	8	29%	7%	93	+0.8	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	44	38→45	50	46	210/269/292	82	266	4	13	22%	6%	59	-1.6	202/248/279	77	299	4	11	32%	5%	49	-2.4	176/218/244	68	280	3	12	36%	4%	25	-1.1
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	41→40	37→45	53→60	45	189/276/261	72	296	4	19	34%	9%	57	-1.8	210/266/317	107	310	10	28	34%	6%	65	-1.2	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2015 · A	19	44→40	35→50	54→55	42	200/269/261	61	305	2	17	33%	7%	53	-2.1	208/278/308	100	279	8	19	27%	7%	68	-1.0	204/280/342	138	273	13	19	29%	8%	74	-0.5
✕Dixon Machado 2011 · A	19	41→51	35→45	54→55	47	190/247/244	55	232	2	18	19%	7%	40	-3.0	202/258/245	43	256	2	15	20%	7%	45	-2.7	254/310/331	78	304	5	12	17%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	39	37→40	54→50	46	185/258/260	75	249	3	18	26%	8%	49	-2.4	204/270/286	82	298	5	9	31%	7%	59	-1.7	199/271/269	69	303	4	7	33%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Oswald Peraza 2019 · A	19	44→54	35→50	54→60	41	204/271/267	63	292	2	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	229/284/316	87	301	8	20	25%	6%	71	-0.8	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2015 · A	20	42	36→40	54→60	43	195/260/262	67	275	2	19	28%	7%	49	-2.4	203/255/272	69	317	3	11	34%	6%	50	-2.3	184/229/215	32	332	0	4	42%	5%	23	-1.0
✕Heiker Meneses 2010 · A	19	35→45	34→40	56→55	47	166/264/218	52	252	2	18	31%	9%	43	-2.8	207/263/280	73	304	4	18	31%	5%	55	-2.0	236/284/314	78	342	3	18	30%	4%	66	-0.8
✕Braulio Vasquez 2018 · A	19	47	34→40	52→65	44	215/281/268	53	304	1	15	28%	7%	59	-1.7	198/257/271	73	304	5	8	34%	6%	51	-2.3	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Sergio Garcia 2010 · A	19	37	37→45	52→60	42	182/238/258	76	243	5	20	26%	6%	40	-3.0	191/243/279	88	272	8	23	31%	6%	47	-2.5	225/251/334	108	298	10	17	28%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6

Jord David Diaz

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps