Manuel Vasquez — OGILVIE

Manuel VasquezC DSL Orioles Orange

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 183 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP276

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$28M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	78	60	11	1	0	0	15	19	1	4	1	183	351	200	551	17	268	24	19	276	73	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	78	66	8	1	0	0	10	28	1	4	1	121	247	136	383	15	206	36	13	186	12	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	78	66	8	1	0	0	10	28	1	4	1	121	247	136	383	15	211	36	13	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	78	60	11	1	0	0	15	19	1	4	1	183	351	200	551	17	268	24	19	276	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	78	67	8	1	0	0	10	28	1	4	1	119	247	134	381	15	206	36	13	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	78	67	8	1	0	0	10	28	1	4	1	119	247	134	381	15	206	36	13	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	BAL	—	94	83	13	1	0	1	9	23	2	3	1	157	255	205	460	48	203	24	10	216	32	-8	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	BAL	—	94	78	18	2	0	1	14	16	2	3	1	231	362	295	657	64	279	17	15	313	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	BAL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		272	22	11	255	59	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	BAL	—	103	91	14	1	0	1	10	25	2	3	1	154	252	198	450	44	200	24	10	219	35	-8	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	165	148	32	5	1	2	14	43	2	3	1	216	293	304	597	88	279	26	8	268	68	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2028	20	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	309	275	60	9	2	5	27	79	4	5	1	218	297	320	617	102	281	26	9	277	74	-10	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	420	375	82	13	2	7	36	105	6	7	2	219	297	320	617	101	283	25	9	284	78	-11	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	499	446	98	15	2	9	43	124	7	8	2	220	298	323	621	103	284	25	9	288	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2031	23	MLB MLE	BAL	58%	520	462	104	16	3	10	45	129	8	8	2	225	305	338	643	113	285	25	9	290	83	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	520	462	105	16	3	11	45	128	8	8	2	227	307	346	653	119	286	25	9	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	520	461	105	16	3	11	46	128	8	8	2	228	309	347	656	119	286	25	9	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	520	461	105	16	3	11	46	128	8	8	2	228	309	347	656	119	286	25	9	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2035	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	520	461	104	16	2	11	46	129	8	8	2	226	307	341	647	115	286	25	9	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	520	460	104	16	2	11	47	129	8	8	2	226	309	341	650	115	285	25	9	294	85	-9	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	BAL	58%	520	460	102	15	2	11	47	130	8	8	2	222	305	335	640	113	284	25	9	292	84	-10	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	BAL	60%	520	460	102	15	2	11	47	132	8	8	2	222	305	335	640	113	283	25	9	289	82	-11	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2039	31	MLB MLE	BAL	62%	504	446	97	14	2	10	46	129	7	8	2	217	301	325	626	108	281	26	9	285	79	-13	+1	-3	+9	+11	0.6
2040	32	MLB MLE	BAL	63%	489	435	92	13	2	9	44	127	7	7	2	211	294	313	607	101	277	26	9	280	75	-14	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.2
2041	33	MLB MLE	BAL	63%	473	421	87	12	2	8	42	126	7	7	2	207	289	302	591	95	274	27	9	273	71	-16	+1	-4	+8	+10	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	57	51	11	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	216	298	314	612	98	283	26	9	262	68	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	150	134	30	5	1	2	13	38	2	2	1	224	302	321	623	97	285	25	9	271	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	228	203	45	7	1	4	20	57	3	4	1	222	301	325	626	103	287	25	9	277	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	22	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	282	252	57	9	1	6	24	70	4	5	1	226	304	341	645	115	288	25	9	281	81	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	BAL	58%	299	267	60	9	1	6	26	74	4	5	1	225	303	333	636	109	289	25	9	284	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	296	264	59	9	1	6	26	73	4	5	1	223	303	333	636	110	290	25	9	286	84	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	295	263	60	9	1	7	26	73	4	5	1	228	307	350	657	122	290	25	9	288	85	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	294	262	60	9	1	7	26	73	4	5	1	229	308	351	659	122	290	25	9	289	86	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	289	257	59	9	1	7	26	72	4	5	1	230	310	354	664	125	290	25	9	289	86	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	286	254	57	9	1	6	26	71	4	5	1	224	306	339	645	114	289	25	9	288	85	-5	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	BAL	58%	302	268	61	9	1	7	27	76	4	5	1	228	308	347	655	119	288	25	9	286	84	-6	+1	-1	+5	+7	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	BAL	60%	313	277	62	9	1	7	28	79	5	5	1	224	306	339	646	116	287	25	9	283	82	-7	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.5
2039	31	MLB CTX	BAL	62%	311	276	60	9	1	6	28	80	4	5	1	217	299	322	621	105	285	26	9	279	79	-8	+1	-2	+6	+7	0.4
2040	32	MLB CTX	BAL	63%	307	272	59	9	1	6	28	80	4	5	1	217	299	324	623	107	281	26	9	273	75	-9	+1	-2	+5	+7	0.2
2041	33	MLB CTX	BAL	63%	300	266	56	8	1	5	27	80	4	4	1	211	293	305	597	94	277	27	9	267	71	-10	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4009	3566	796	121	14	83	356	1011	55	66	14	223	303	335	638	112	286	25	9	282	80	-91	+8	-9	+72	+87	6.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	129	20	2	13	58	164	9	11	2	223	304	332	636	109	287	25	9	282	80	-15	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7106	6307	1388	208	33	137	632	1796	105	113	29	220	302	329	630	109	284	25	9	287	80	-159	+11	-15	+126	+152	11.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	127	19	3	13	58	164	10	10	3	220	302	331	633	111	283	25	9	287	80	-15	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.1	4,082	80	65	222	299	332	+73	+36	9.6	7.8
/162	664	13	11	+11.9	+5.9	1.6	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Vasquez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	200/277/268	69	272	1	1	26%	8%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→50	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	58	-1.7	242/287/359	117	276	12	5	17%	5%	82	-0.0	243/286/377	134	275	16	5	18%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	52	-2.2	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	68	-1.0	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→45	39→45	47→55	48	202/296/282	81	254	6	12	22%	8%	70	-0.9	210/296/305	95	253	9	16	20%	9%	74	-0.5	215/297/320	105	260	12	19	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→40	36→45	51→60	46	196/275/269	73	281	3	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	201/270/288	87	311	7	23	35%	7%	60	-1.6	204/257/327	123	302	13	35	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	66	-1.1	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	45	-2.7	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	45	-2.7	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	55	-2.0	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Luis Palacios 2007 · A	18	43	37→40	50	47	203/279/272	70	286	4	13	29%	8%	59	-1.6	204/261/283	79	271	5	7	25%	6%	55	-2.0	192/241/268	76	252	6	4	25%	5%	42	-1.0
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→41	40→45	49→55	42	206/266/301	95	275	7	13	27%	6%	61	-1.5	209/266/312	103	295	9	17	31%	6%	63	-1.3	203/255/293	90	297	8	23	33%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Jason Lopez 2016 · A	18	41	36→50	49→45	47	196/260/260	65	259	4	13	25%	8%	49	-2.4	201/257/293	92	274	8	9	28%	6%	56	-1.9	161/223/251	90	239	8	7	35%	7%	32	-1.1
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→41	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	58	-1.7	196/241/316	120	278	11	5	32%	5%	55	-2.0	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→45	52→55	46	204/259/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	53	-2.1	228/282/303	75	268	3	15	15%	6%	67	-1.1	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	41	202/274/282	81	298	6	6	32%	7%	60	-1.6	205/294/284	79	319	6	6	34%	9%	69	-0.9	158/267/223	66	272	6	3	39%	10%	45	-1.1
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	43	-2.8	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	58	-1.7	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	50	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps