Jose Riera — OGILVIE

Jose RieraSS DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 18 R/R 5'8" / 145 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION197 act + 18 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .278 / .294

PA18

HR0

K%22

BB%6

BABIP267

ISO59

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$42M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$9M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$21M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	200	170	39	7	3	5	24	29	5	18	5	229	342	394	736	165	248	14	12	332	111	+3	+2	—	—	+4	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	200	179	30	5	2	4	15	43	5	18	5	168	251	285	536	117	189	22	8	236	46	-13	+2	—	—	+4	-0.7
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	200	179	30	5	2	4	15	43	5	18	5	168	251	285	536	117	195	22	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	200	170	39	7	3	5	24	29	5	18	5	229	342	394	736	165	248	14	12	332	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	200	178	30	5	2	4	15	43	5	18	5	169	251	287	538	118	189	22	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	200	178	30	5	2	4	15	43	5	18	5	169	251	287	538	118	189	22	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	PIT	—	197	172	38	7	1	1	13	32	7	25	7	221	302	291	593	70	259	16	7	263	64	-8	+2	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	PIT	—	197	163	47	10	1	1	22	22	7	25	7	288	396	380	776	92	319	11	11	349	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	PIT	0%	18	17	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	235	278	294	572	59	269	22	6	275	72	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	PIT	—	215	189	42	8	1	1	14	36	7	26	7	222	300	291	591	69	263	17	7	264	65	-9	+2	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	261	236	54	10	2	4	18	53	5	8	2	229	297	339	636	110	274	20	7	285	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	385	347	80	15	2	7	28	78	7	11	3	231	301	346	647	115	276	20	7	293	84	-7	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2029	21	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	478	430	100	18	3	9	36	96	9	13	3	233	305	351	656	119	278	20	8	298	88	-7	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	543	486	115	21	3	11	41	108	11	14	3	237	310	360	670	123	279	20	8	302	90	-6	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	PIT	58%	587	527	125	23	4	12	44	116	11	15	4	237	309	364	674	127	280	20	7	304	92	-6	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	615	551	132	24	4	13	47	121	12	15	4	240	313	368	682	129	281	20	8	306	93	-5	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	627	562	135	24	4	14	48	123	12	16	4	240	314	372	685	132	281	20	8	306	93	-5	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.7
2034	26	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	634	568	136	25	4	14	49	124	12	16	4	239	313	371	685	132	281	20	8	307	94	-5	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	634	568	136	25	4	14	49	125	12	16	4	239	313	371	685	132	281	20	8	307	94	-5	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	629	563	134	24	4	14	49	125	12	15	4	238	312	369	682	131	280	20	8	306	93	-5	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	619	553	131	24	4	13	49	124	12	14	4	237	313	365	678	128	280	20	8	304	92	-6	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	609	544	127	23	3	12	48	123	12	14	3	233	310	353	663	119	279	20	8	302	90	-7	+2	-2	+7	+13	1.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	595	532	123	22	3	12	47	122	11	13	3	231	307	352	658	120	277	21	8	298	88	-9	+1	-3	+6	+13	0.9
2040	32	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	576	515	118	21	3	11	45	121	11	12	3	229	305	346	650	117	274	21	8	292	84	-11	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.5
2041	33	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	546	488	109	19	3	10	43	117	10	11	3	223	299	336	636	113	270	21	8	286	80	-13	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.1
2042	34	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	499	448	97	16	3	8	39	110	9	9	2	217	292	319	612	103	265	22	8	277	74	-16	+1	-5	+5	+11	-0.3
2027	19	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	90	82	18	3	1	1	6	18	2	3	1	220	289	317	606	98	272	20	7	268	79	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	187	167	38	7	1	3	14	38	4	5	1	228	303	335	638	108	275	20	7	275	84	-3	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2029	21	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	259	233	55	10	2	5	19	52	5	7	2	236	307	361	668	124	276	20	7	280	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2030	22	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	307	275	65	12	2	6	23	61	6	8	2	236	309	360	669	124	277	20	7	284	90	-3	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2031	23	MLB CTX	PIT	58%	338	302	71	13	2	7	26	67	7	9	2	235	310	361	671	126	278	20	8	285	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2032	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	350	313	74	14	2	7	27	69	7	9	2	236	311	361	672	125	279	20	8	287	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	356	319	75	14	2	7	27	70	7	9	2	235	309	357	666	122	279	20	8	288	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	359	321	76	14	2	7	28	70	7	9	2	237	312	358	670	121	279	19	8	288	94	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	352	315	75	14	2	7	27	69	7	9	2	238	312	362	674	124	279	20	8	288	94	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	345	308	72	13	2	7	27	68	7	8	2	234	310	357	667	123	278	20	8	287	93	-3	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.9
2037	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	331	296	69	13	2	6	26	66	6	8	2	233	308	351	659	118	278	20	8	286	92	-3	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.8
2038	30	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	321	287	67	12	2	6	25	65	6	7	2	233	308	352	660	118	277	20	8	283	90	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.6
2039	31	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	310	276	64	11	2	6	25	64	6	7	2	232	309	351	661	120	275	21	8	280	88	-5	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2040	32	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	299	267	61	11	2	5	24	63	6	6	2	228	306	341	647	112	272	21	8	275	84	-6	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.3
2041	33	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	306	273	60	10	2	5	24	66	6	6	1	220	297	326	623	106	269	22	8	268	80	-7	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.1
2042	34	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	257	230	49	8	1	4	20	57	5	5	1	213	290	309	599	96	263	22	8	260	74	-8	+1	-3	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4767	4264	989	179	29	89	368	963	94	115	28	232	307	350	657	118	278	20	8	281	88	-63	+12	-10	+51	+103	9.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	134	24	4	12	50	131	13	16	4	231	306	348	654	117	276	20	8	281	88	-9	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	9055	8114	1886	340	55	182	696	1833	173	231	58	232	307	355	662	123	277	20	8	298	88	-119	+21	-20	+95	+192	17.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	135	24	4	13	50	132	12	17	4	232	305	354	659	122	277	20	8	298	88	-9	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.4	4,941	99	118	234	305	357	+51	+27	13.2	10.7
/162	664	13	16	+6.9	+3.6	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Riera (OGILVIE)	18	40	40	60	45	218/287/312	94	269	2	10	20%	7%	72	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	73	-0.6	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	39→40	55→60	46	209/291/296	87	283	6	13	26%	8%	70	-0.8	190/254/255	65	320	4	20	39%	6%	47	-2.6	197/269/273	76	310	7	32	36%	7%	54	-1.5
✕Jefferson Rojas 2023 · A	18	48→45	37→45	56→50	46	225/283/305	80	271	4	16	18%	6%	68	-1.0	212/272/309	97	268	9	15	23%	6%	65	-1.2	211/272/336	125	248	14	18	21%	7%	69	-0.7
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→45	52→55	46	204/259/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	53	-2.1	228/282/303	75	268	3	15	15%	6%	67	-1.1	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	45→46	39→45	55→60	46	214/284/299	85	303	7	19	30%	9%	68	-1.0	195/254/269	74	314	6	18	37%	7%	49	-2.4	210/276/309	99	295	8	34	30%	8%	64	-1.1
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→36	41→50	55	45	231/306/331	100	330	7	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	193/323/316	123	270	12	20	30%	11%	89	+0.5	189/341/340	151	235	17	19	25%	12%	100	+0.7
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→48	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	67	-1.1	211/270/308	97	287	7	34	27%	7%	64	-1.3	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Jim Caceres 2019 · A	18	43	40→45	55	48	207/277/305	97	255	6	14	21%	7%	65	-1.2	196/263/271	75	271	4	10	27%	7%	53	-2.1	124/200/139	15	187	0	10	30%	7%	-1	-1.0
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→55	43→45	57→45	40	220/270/339	119	285	9	15	26%	5%	71	-0.8	223/290/326	103	293	9	12	26%	7%	76	-0.4	233/299/331	99	302	8	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	45→37	40	52→60	57	212/316/313	100	269	5	12	21%	12%	83	+0.1	225/310/312	87	311	7	23	27%	10%	80	-0.1	226/313/303	78	310	7	32	27%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Jorge Bishop 2010 · A	19	47	44→45	53→55	44	235/276/350	115	275	13	17	20%	5%	76	-0.4	201/245/299	98	246	9	14	22%	5%	52	-2.2	187/221/300	113	230	9	16	23%	3%	40	-1.0
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→45	39→45	47→55	48	202/296/282	81	254	6	12	22%	8%	70	-0.9	210/296/305	95	253	9	16	20%	9%	74	-0.5	215/297/320	105	260	12	19	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→52	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	61	-1.5	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	234/311/308	74	302	5	10	22%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→44	45	53→55	45	210/278/331	121	275	12	11	28%	8%	73	-0.6	192/286/292	100	274	9	22	30%	11%	68	-1.0	183/281/318	135	255	15	31	32%	11%	70	-0.5
✕Yohan Matos 2015 · A	18	44	43→45	51→45	42	216/276/330	114	300	10	8	30%	7%	72	-0.7	192/252/275	83	305	6	8	36%	7%	50	-2.3	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	33	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps