Jose Riera — OGILVIE

Jose RieraSS DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 18 R/R 5'8" / 145 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION116 act + 77 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .284 / .299

PA77

HR1

K%22

BB%8

BABIP268

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$10M	+$10M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.1	$10M	+$9M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.2	$10M	+$9M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+2.2	$9M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+2.0	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$9M	+1.8	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$23M		$52M	+$44M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	200	178	29	5	2	4	16	43	5	18	5	163	251	281	532	118	189	22	8	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	200	170	39	7	3	5	24	29	5	18	5	229	342	394	736	165	248	14	12	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	PIT	—	116	103	24	6	0	0	9	22	3	18	2	233	313	291	604	58	293	19	8	264	60	-5	+3	+0	+1	+3	0.2
YTD	18	ROK	PIT	—	116	98	31	8	0	0	14	15	3	18	2	316	417	398	815	82	369	13	12	371	142	+6	+3	+0	+1	+3	1.3
ROS	18	ROK	PIT	0%	77	70	15	3	0	1	6	17	1	4	1	213	284	299	583	85	280	22	8	276	70	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
ROS	18	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	264	60	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	PIT	—	116	104	24	6	0	0	9	22	3	18	2	231	313	288	602	58	289	19	8	264	60	-5	+3	+0	+1	+3	0.2
TOT	18	ROK	PIT	—	193	173	39	9	0	1	15	39	4	22	3	225	302	294	596	69	283	20	8	269	64	-8	+3	+0	+2	+5	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	PIT	34%	253	228	53	10	2	4	19	56	4	8	1	232	303	346	649	114	281	22	8	285	76	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2028	20	MLB	PIT	48%	379	341	79	15	2	7	29	83	6	11	2	232	303	349	652	117	283	22	8	292	82	-8	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.9
2029	21	MLB	PIT	54%	473	425	100	19	3	9	37	103	8	13	2	235	309	358	666	122	285	22	8	298	86	-8	+2	+0	+5	+13	1.3
2030	22	MLB	PIT	57%	539	483	113	21	3	11	42	117	9	14	2	234	307	358	665	124	286	22	8	301	88	-7	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.6
2031	23	MLB	PIT	58%	585	524	124	23	4	12	46	126	10	15	2	237	310	365	675	128	287	22	8	303	90	-7	+2	+0	+6	+17	1.9
2032	24	MLB	PIT	57%	614	551	132	25	4	13	48	131	10	15	2	240	312	370	682	131	287	21	8	304	91	-6	+2	+0	+7	+17	2.0
2033	25	MLB	PIT	57%	626	560	134	25	4	13	50	134	11	16	2	239	314	368	682	129	287	21	8	305	91	-6	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.1
2034	26	MLB	PIT	57%	634	568	135	25	4	13	50	135	11	16	2	238	312	364	676	127	287	21	8	305	92	-6	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.2
2035	27	MLB	PIT	55%	634	567	135	25	4	13	51	136	11	16	2	238	313	365	678	127	287	21	8	305	92	-6	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.2
2036	28	MLB	PIT	55%	629	562	134	25	4	13	51	136	11	15	2	238	314	367	681	128	287	22	8	304	91	-6	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.0
2037	29	MLB	PIT	53%	619	553	130	24	3	13	51	135	10	14	2	235	311	360	671	125	286	22	8	303	90	-7	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.8
2038	30	MLB	PIT	53%	609	544	127	24	3	12	50	134	10	14	2	233	310	355	664	121	285	22	8	300	88	-8	+2	-2	+7	+17	1.6
2039	31	MLB	PIT	52%	594	530	122	23	3	11	49	133	10	13	2	230	307	347	654	117	283	22	8	296	85	-10	+2	-3	+6	+17	1.2
2040	32	MLB	PIT	56%	576	515	116	21	3	10	47	131	9	12	2	225	301	336	637	111	280	23	8	291	81	-13	+2	-4	+6	+16	0.8
2027	19	MLB	PIT	34%	87	80	18	3	1	1	6	19	1	3	0	225	287	325	612	100	280	22	7	273	67	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB	PIT	48%	184	165	38	7	1	3	14	40	3	5	1	230	302	339	642	109	282	22	8	279	72	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2029	21	MLB	PIT	54%	257	231	54	10	2	5	20	56	4	7	1	234	306	359	665	126	283	22	8	284	76	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2030	22	MLB	PIT	57%	305	273	64	12	2	6	24	66	5	8	1	234	308	359	667	125	284	22	8	287	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.6
2031	23	MLB	PIT	58%	337	302	71	13	2	7	26	72	6	9	1	235	308	361	669	126	285	21	8	289	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2032	24	MLB	PIT	57%	350	313	74	14	2	7	28	75	6	9	1	236	311	361	672	125	286	21	8	291	81	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2033	25	MLB	PIT	57%	355	318	75	14	2	7	28	76	6	9	1	236	310	358	668	123	286	21	8	291	81	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2034	26	MLB	PIT	57%	359	322	76	14	2	8	28	77	6	9	1	236	309	366	675	130	286	21	8	292	81	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2035	27	MLB	PIT	55%	352	315	74	14	2	7	28	75	6	9	1	235	309	359	668	124	286	21	8	292	81	-7	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.8
2036	28	MLB	PIT	55%	345	308	73	14	2	7	28	74	6	8	1	237	313	364	677	127	285	21	8	291	81	-7	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.7
2037	29	MLB	PIT	53%	331	295	70	13	2	7	27	72	6	8	1	237	314	366	680	129	285	22	8	289	80	-8	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.6
2038	30	MLB	PIT	53%	321	287	66	12	2	6	26	71	5	7	1	230	305	348	653	118	284	22	8	287	78	-8	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.4
2039	31	MLB	PIT	52%	310	277	64	12	2	6	25	69	5	7	1	231	306	354	660	123	282	22	8	283	75	-9	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.3
2040	32	MLB	PIT	56%	324	290	66	12	2	6	26	74	5	7	1	228	302	345	647	117	279	23	8	278	71	-11	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4217	3777	883	164	26	83	334	916	70	105	13	234	308	357	665	123	286	22	8	287	78	-104	+16	-6	+45	+119	7.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	136	25	4	13	51	141	11	16	2	234	307	357	665	124	285	22	8	287	78	-16	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	8041	7199	1678	313	48	159	642	1750	136	214	33	233	308	356	664	123	285	22	8	299	87	-121	+30	-10	+86	+228	21.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	136	25	4	13	52	141	11	17	3	234	309	357	666	124	285	22	8	299	87	-10	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	200	170	39	7	3	5	24	29	5	18	5	229	342	394	736	165	248	14	12	332	112	+3	+2	—	—	+6	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#3Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,384	87	107	235	306	359	+47	+24	12.1	10.0
	/162	664	13	16	235	306	359	+7.1	+3.6	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Riera (OGILVIE)	18	40	40	60	45	225/302/294	69	283	1	22	20%	8%	64	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	38→40	55→60	45	206/289/290	83	281	5	13	27%	8%	63	-0.8	190/255/255	65	322	4	20	39%	6%	40	-2.4	197/270/275	78	320	7	32	37%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Jefferson Rojas 2023 · A	18	48→40	38→45	56→55	45	226/283/308	82	272	4	16	18%	5%	64	-0.8	211/271/311	100	265	9	15	23%	6%	61	-1.0	208/271/326	118	246	13	18	21%	7%	63	-0.6
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Jim Caceres 2019 · A	18	43	40→45	55	48	207/277/305	97	255	6	14	21%	7%	61	-1.0	196/263/271	75	271	4	10	27%	7%	47	-1.9	124/200/139	15	187	0	10	30%	7%	-14	-1.1
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	45→46	38→45	55→60	46	212/281/288	76	301	6	19	30%	8%	59	-1.1	193/251/266	73	311	6	18	37%	7%	40	-2.4	212/279/312	100	297	8	33	29%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Echedry Vargas 2023 · A	18	44→45	41→50	52→55	42	214/268/324	110	261	6	12	20%	4%	63	-0.9	205/251/325	120	285	12	16	32%	5%	56	-1.3	201/241/325	123	274	14	14	31%	4%	48	-1.0
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→53	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→35	40→45	55	45	230/305/328	98	330	7	18	30%	8%	80	+0.4	188/317/307	119	267	12	20	31%	11%	83	+0.6	183/337/342	159	234	19	21	28%	12%	99	+0.8
✕Rafael Morel 2021 · A	19	44	40	52→50	45	210/273/311	101	263	7	16	22%	6%	61	-1.0	192/255/275	83	302	6	11	36%	6%	44	-2.1	183/254/256	72	290	8	12	37%	7%	37	-1.0
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	41→37	45	51→55	41	205/265/332	127	282	12	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	178/230/270	92	318	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	192/243/304	112	295	12	19	37%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Jose Monserrate 2023 · A	18	47	38→40	51→50	46	221/290/309	87	287	5	13	23%	7%	68	-0.5	215/293/282	67	300	3	21	27%	9%	63	-0.9	180/265/225	45	288	1	34	34%	9%	34	-0.6
✕Jorge Bishop 2010 · A	19	47	44→45	53→55	44	235/276/350	115	275	13	17	20%	5%	72	-0.2	201/245/299	98	246	9	14	22%	5%	46	-2.0	187/221/300	113	230	9	16	23%	3%	32	-1.0
✕Adrián Sanchez 2009 · A	18	43→45	38→45	52→50	42	207/255/285	78	258	5	14	22%	5%	46	-2.0	223/254/298	75	271	5	11	19%	3%	49	-1.8	255/291/358	104	310	7	11	20%	4%	76	+0.0