Juan Baez — OGILVIE

Juan BaezIF Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 175 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION222 act + 148 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†32

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .252 / .257

PA148

HR1

K%22

BB%7

BABIP243

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	221	205	40	6	0	1	10	40	2	17	6	195	240	239	479	44	232	18	5	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	221	198	53	9	0	3	17	31	2	17	6	268	332	359	690	91	298	14	8	309	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	239	226	65	15	3	4	6	41	2	19	2	288	312	434	746	146	328	17	3	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	239	222	78	19	4	4	10	27	2	19	2	351	385	527	912	176	378	11	4	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	3 teams	—	470	436	98	20	5	1	23	57	8	14	11	225	276	300	577	76	255	12	5	258	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	3 teams	—	470	417	116	22	7	3	42	51	8	14	11	278	355	386	742	108	309	11	9	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	442	400	67	6	1	0	35	73	3	6	2	168	240	188	427	20	202	17	8	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	442	389	78	7	1	0	46	48	3	6	2	201	290	224	514	23	226	11	10	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	MIL	—	222	202	33	6	1	2	16	59	1	2	1	163	228	233	461	69	215	27	7	201	12	-22	+0	+0	+0	+6	-1.6
YTD	21	A+	MIL	—	222	196	38	7	1	2	22	44	1	2	1	194	279	270	549	77	235	20	10	253	52	-12	+0	+0	+0	+6	-0.6
ROS	21	A+	MIL	0%	148	136	26	4	1	1	10	33	1	2	1	191	252	257	509	66	240	22	7	228	32	-11	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.7
ROS	21	MLB	MIL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						238	0	0	221	28	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	MIL	—	223	203	33	6	1	2	16	59	1	2	1	163	227	232	459	69	214	26	7	201	12	-22	+0	+0	+0	+6	-1.6
TOT	21	A+	MIL	—	370	338	59	10	2	3	26	92	2	4	2	175	238	243	480	68	227	25	7	212	20	-33	+0	+0	+0	+10	-2.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	MIL	35%	511	466	93	16	2	6	36	111	4	6	3	200	263	281	544	82	245	22	7	247	47	-30	+0	+0	+0	+14	-1.6
2028	23	MLB	MIL	49%	557	507	106	18	3	9	41	118	4	7	3	209	274	310	583	101	250	21	7	261	58	-27	+0	+0	+0	+16	-1.1
2029	24	MLB	MIL	53%	586	533	113	19	3	11	44	123	4	7	4	212	277	321	598	109	252	21	8	269	64	-24	-0	+0	+0	+17	-0.7
2030	25	MLB	MIL	58%	603	547	117	20	3	12	46	126	5	8	4	214	281	327	608	113	253	21	8	274	68	-22	+0	+0	+0	+17	-0.5
2031	26	MLB	MIL	61%	611	554	118	20	3	12	47	127	5	8	4	213	281	325	605	112	253	21	8	275	69	-22	+0	+0	+0	+17	-0.4
2027	22	MLB	MIL	35%	177	161	32	5	1	2	13	38	1	2	1	199	263	280	542	81	243	21	7	240	42	-12	+0	+0	+0	+5	-0.7
2028	23	MLB	MIL	49%	270	246	49	8	1	4	20	57	2	3	2	199	265	289	554	89	248	21	7	253	52	-15	-0	+0	+0	+8	-0.7
2029	24	MLB	MIL	53%	309	281	60	10	2	6	23	65	2	4	2	214	278	327	605	114	250	21	7	262	58	-15	+0	+0	+0	+9	-0.6
2030	25	MLB	MIL	58%	351	318	68	11	2	7	27	73	3	5	2	214	282	327	609	113	251	21	8	266	62	-15	+0	+0	+0	+10	-0.5
2031	26	MLB	MIL	61%	375	340	72	12	2	7	29	78	3	5	2	212	280	321	600	109	251	21	8	267	62	-16	+0	+0	+0	+11	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1483	1347	281	46	8	26	112	311	11	19	9	209	275	313	587	104	250	21	8	260	57	-72	+0	+0	+0	+42	-3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	123	20	4	11	49	136	5	8	4	208	275	312	587	103	251	21	8	260	57	-32	+0	+0	+0	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	4388	4010	843	144	24	57	298	849	38	94	40	210	271	301	572	91	251	19	7	257	55	-223	+3	+0	+0	+124	-9.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	125	21	4	8	44	126	6	14	6	210	272	300	571	89	252	19	7	257	55	-33	+0	+0	+0	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	221	198	53	9	0	3	17	31	2	17	6	268	332	359	690	91	298	14	8	309	94	-1	+1	—	—	+6	0.6
2023	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	34	30	7	3	0	0	2	4	0	2	0	233	281	333	615	100	250	12	6	261	58	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	205	192	71	16	4	4	8	23	2	17	2	370	401	557	958	187	399	11	4	414	175	+17	+3	—	—	+6	2.6
2024	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	356	324	88	18	4	1	25	32	5	11	10	272	333	361	694	90	297	9	7	313	98	-1	-2	—	—	+10	0.8
2024	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	22	15	5	0	1	0	4	1	2	0	1	333	524	467	990	133	333	5	18	432	188	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	19	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	92	78	23	4	2	2	13	18	1	3	0	295	402	474	877	179	362	20	14	390	157	+6	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	442	389	78	7	1	0	46	48	3	6	2	201	290	224	514	23	226	11	10	245	46	-27	+0	—	—	+13	-1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,484	26	19	211	274	316	+0	+0	-2.0	-1.0
	/162	664	12	8	211	274	316	+0.0	+0.0	-0.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Baez (OGILVIE)	21	40	20	45	45	175/238/243	68	227	3	4	25%	7%	20	-2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Frank Hernandez 2023 · A	21	43	34→30	47→50	44	203/271/256	53	275	2	10	25%	6%	46	-2.0	205/260/264	59	300	3	8	31%	6%	43	-2.2	204/255/216	11	329	0	9	35%	5%	24	-0.9
✕Luis Joseph 2018 · A	21	44	34→30	46→50	41	205/238/250	45	256	2	9	20%	4%	29	-3.2	206/243/276	70	259	4	10	21%	4%	38	-2.6	206/223/283	77	240	4	15	16%	1%	27	-0.7
✕Omar Guerra 2008 · A	21	41	35→30	48→50	45	193/274/246	53	257	2	9	24%	7%	46	-2.0	220/315/279	59	272	2	11	19%	6%	73	-0.1	229/342/268	39	277	0	15	15%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Elio Castillo 2015 · A	21	46	33→30	50	49	211/280/256	45	263	1	9	19%	8%	50	-1.7	207/258/255	48	265	2	6	21%	6%	40	-2.4	229/281/254	26	274	0	4	16%	7%	44	-0.4
✕Oswald Caraballo 2014 · A	21	44	35→40	44→50	47	201/256/269	68	238	2	7	16%	6%	43	-2.2	218/257/304	86	261	6	6	18%	4%	52	-1.6	233/256/323	90	262	7	5	14%	3%	53	-0.7
✕Raymundo Moreno 2018 · A	20	43	35→30	46→55	45	202/270/262	60	259	2	10	22%	6%	48	-1.9	202/271/276	74	278	3	8	26%	7%	52	-1.6	149/235/224	74	213	4	16	29%	7%	23	-0.6
✕Jimmy Mojica 2021 · A	21	45	37→40	47→50	41	212/261/283	72	278	4	8	25%	5%	48	-1.9	202/265/291	89	285	8	6	30%	6%	53	-1.5	182/249/283	101	230	13	4	26%	5%	43	-0.7
✕Enmanuel Zabala 2016 · A	21	46	35→30	47→50	45	216/270/281	65	264	2	12	18%	5%	52	-1.6	215/263/268	53	317	2	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	209/256/242	33	319	1	12	33%	4%	33	-1.0
✕Luis Montero 2017 · A	21	45	35→30	45	45	211/276/272	61	277	2	6	23%	7%	53	-1.5	202/259/274	72	264	3	6	23%	6%	45	-2.1	177/231/241	64	222	0	3	19%	6%	20	-1.0
✕Bill Pujols 2015 · A	21	43	37→40	43→50	46	204/263/281	76	253	4	7	20%	6%	49	-1.8	197/257/271	74	281	3	6	29%	6%	44	-2.1	146/212/197	51	225	0	5	32%	6%	4	-0.9
✕Leo Rodriguez 2013 · A	21	44	35→30	45	45	206/264/263	57	256	3	7	20%	6%	45	-2.1	226/273/271	45	281	1	6	19%	5%	50	-1.8	240/283/264	24	293	0	5	17%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Juan Richardson 2009 · A	22	46	35→30	44→50	44	214/257/269	55	260	2	10	18%	5%	43	-2.2	212/256/273	61	262	3	7	19%	5%	43	-2.2	214/240/228	14	247	0	0	13%	3%	20	-0.8
✕Richard Rodriguez 2014 · A	21	42	33→30	48→50	48	196/255/237	41	245	1	14	20%	7%	34	-2.8	237/286/279	42	293	1	10	18%	6%	56	-1.3	240/291/258	18	289	0	11	16%	7%	52	-0.5
✕Abel Nieves 2007 · A	21	44	35→40	47→45	46	208/267/270	62	270	2	6	23%	7%	48	-1.9	228/295/306	78	316	4	5	26%	9%	69	-0.4	237/311/318	81	332	4	4	27%	10%	75	+0.0
✕Jonatan Santana 2008 · A	20	38	34→40	48→55	47	181/242/228	47	228	2	9	21%	7%	27	-3.3	203/261/273	70	253	3	12	20%	6%	46	-2.0	198/253/266	69	248	2	13	20%	6%	38	-0.8
✕Joantgel Segovia 2018 · A	21	46→50	33→30	44→50	42	215/249/254	39	264	2	8	19%	4%	34	-2.8	221/263/284	63	281	5	10	22%	5%	49	-1.8	223/269/286	63	283	5	11	22%	5%	48	-1.5
✕Anneury Peguero 2007 · A	20	43	35→30	44→50	48	201/266/259	58	253	2	7	20%	7%	45	-2.1	211/289/268	57	271	3	12	21%	9%	57	-1.2	205/293/243	38	260	2	16	20%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Gerson Jimenez 2016 · A	21	43	35→30	47→45	50	201/280/263	62	250	3	8	20%	8%	53	-1.5	202/283/269	67	250	4	6	19%	8%	56	-1.3	170/271/211	40	206	2	3	17%	10%	37	-0.9
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2009 · A	20	47	35→30	46→45	47	220/282/271	51	272	3	8	19%	6%	54	-1.4	232/292/294	62	282	3	6	18%	6%	65	-0.7	247/308/299	52	292	2	6	15%	5%	72	-0.1
✕William Castillo 2012 · A	20	43	34→30	48→50	46	201/256/250	49	258	2	9	22%	6%	37	-2.6	218/268/279	61	284	2	12	22%	6%	50	-1.8	241/285/283	42	301	0	22	19%	5%	53	-0.4