Rosnel AlarconOF
DSL Rangers Blue
Age 18
R/R
6'2" / 200 lbs
ROK
K +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 3.3 · 2034
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .279 / .310
PA165
HR2
K%28
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
20→20
SPD
55→55
EYE
40→40
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.3peak
2034
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.9 | $28M | +$27M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.2 | $31M | +$31M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.3 | $33M | +$32M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +3.3 | $34M | +$28M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $11M | +3.2 | $34M | +$24M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $14M | +2.9 | $32M | +$18M |
| Totals | $35M | $194M | +$159M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 195 | 165 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 17 | 11 | 4 | .224 | .344 | .291 | .634 | .067 | .293 | 21 | 7 | .277 | 70 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | MLB | TEX | 165 | 150 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .213 | .280 | .307 | .587 | .093 | .290 | 28 | 7 | .269 | 64 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB 11% | TEX | 248 | 221 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 66 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .235 | .313 | .362 | .675 | .127 | .303 | 27 | 8 | .299 | 87 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 20 | MLB 28% | TEX | 375 | 332 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 96 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .241 | .323 | .377 | .699 | .136 | .309 | 26 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB 48% | TEX | 470 | 414 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 116 | 8 | 12 | 3 | .244 | .330 | .389 | .719 | .145 | .309 | 25 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +3 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB 65% | TEX | 536 | 468 | 116 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 54 | 128 | 9 | 13 | 3 | .248 | .337 | .400 | .737 | .152 | .309 | 24 | 10 | .332 | 112 | +7 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 2.1 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB 86% | TEX | 582 | 507 | 128 | 22 | 4 | 17 | 60 | 136 | 10 | 14 | 3 | .252 | .343 | .412 | .755 | .160 | .309 | 23 | 10 | .337 | 116 | +11 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.6 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 612 | 532 | 135 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 65 | 142 | 10 | 14 | 3 | .254 | .346 | .419 | .765 | .165 | .309 | 23 | 11 | .341 | 119 | +13 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 2.9 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 628 | 544 | 139 | 24 | 4 | 20 | 68 | 144 | 11 | 14 | 3 | .256 | .350 | .425 | .775 | .169 | .310 | 23 | 11 | .345 | 122 | +16 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 3.2 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 636 | 550 | 140 | 24 | 4 | 20 | 70 | 146 | 11 | 14 | 3 | .255 | .350 | .422 | .772 | .167 | .310 | 23 | 11 | .346 | 123 | +17 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 3.3 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 637 | 550 | 140 | 24 | 4 | 20 | 71 | 147 | 11 | 14 | 3 | .255 | .351 | .422 | .773 | .167 | .311 | 23 | 11 | .346 | 123 | +17 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 3.3 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 632 | 545 | 139 | 24 | 4 | 20 | 71 | 147 | 11 | 13 | 2 | .255 | .352 | .424 | .776 | .169 | .310 | 23 | 11 | .345 | 122 | +16 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +18 | 3.2 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 622 | 536 | 135 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 70 | 146 | 11 | 13 | 2 | .252 | .350 | .416 | .766 | .164 | .309 | 23 | 11 | .343 | 121 | +15 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +18 | 2.9 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 612 | 528 | 133 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 69 | 146 | 10 | 12 | 1 | .252 | .349 | .419 | .768 | .167 | .308 | 24 | 11 | .340 | 118 | +13 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +17 | 2.7 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 597 | 515 | 128 | 22 | 3 | 18 | 67 | 145 | 10 | 11 | 0 | .249 | .346 | .408 | .754 | .159 | .307 | 24 | 11 | .336 | 115 | +10 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +17 | 2.4 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 579 | 500 | 121 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 65 | 144 | 9 | 10 | 0 | .242 | .340 | .392 | .732 | .150 | .305 | 25 | 11 | .331 | 112 | +8 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +16 | 2.0 |
| 2041 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 549 | 474 | 113 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 61 | 140 | 9 | 10 | 0 | .238 | .336 | .386 | .722 | .148 | .304 | 26 | 11 | .326 | 108 | +5 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +16 | 1.5 |
| 2042 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 502 | 433 | 102 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 56 | 132 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .236 | .334 | .379 | .713 | .143 | .302 | 26 | 11 | .319 | 103 | +1 | +2 | -5 | -3 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2043 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 445 | 386 | 87 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 122 | 7 | 8 | 0 | .225 | .324 | .358 | .681 | .132 | .300 | 27 | 11 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +2 | -6 | -3 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2044 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 384 | 333 | 74 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 42 | 109 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .222 | .320 | .351 | .672 | .129 | .297 | 28 | 11 | .303 | 90 | -4 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2045 | 37 | MLB | TEX | 319 | 277 | 59 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 94 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .213 | .310 | .325 | .635 | .112 | .294 | 29 | 11 | .293 | 82 | -6 | +1 | -7 | -2 | +9 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10325 | 8960 | 2191 | 376 | 61 | 286 | 1097 | 2534 | 185 | 223 | 34 | .245 | .339 | .396 | .735 | .151 | .308 | 25 | 11 | .330 | 110 | +121 | +31 | -38 | -62 | +293 | 35.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 564 | 138 | 24 | 4 | 18 | 69 | 160 | 12 | 14 | 2 | .245 | .340 | .397 | .737 | .152 | .308 | 25 | 11 | .330 | 110 | +8 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 2.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 195 | 156 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 26 | 17 | 11 | 4 | .288 | .431 | .378 | .809 | .090 | .341 | 13 | 11 | .379 | 148 | +11 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 1.7 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Rosnel Alarcon (OGILVIE) | 18 | 50 | 20 | 55 | 40 | .211/.279/.310 | .099 | .290 | 2 | 3 | 28% | 7% | 64 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A |
18 | 41 | 38→30 | 49→50 | 44 | .199/.262/.281 | .083 | .258 | 5 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .211/.287/.284 | .073 | .267 | 5 | 9 | 21% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .221/.317/.274 | .053 | .274 | 5 | 10 | 19% | 11% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jose Monserrate 2023 · A |
18 | 47 | 38→40 | 51→50 | 45 | .222/.290/.310 | .089 | .289 | 5 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.292/.285 | .069 | .299 | 3 | 20 | 26% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .185/.276/.221 | .036 | .292 | 0 | 39 | 33% | 10% | 37 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A |
18 | 44 | 44→45 | 52→50 | 41 | .218/.277/.333 | .115 | .291 | 11 | 9 | 28% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .218/.286/.320 | .102 | .285 | 6 | 11 | 25% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .226/.280/.337 | .111 | .291 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
●Juan Lagares 2007 · A |
18 | 43→53 | 40→45 | 53→50 | 41 | .205/.263/.303 | .098 | .287 | 6 | 11 | 30% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .197/.235/.278 | .081 | .267 | 4 | 10 | 27% | 4% | 36 | -2.7 | .270/.305/.380 | .110 | .342 | 6 | 13 | 22% | 4% | 87 | +0.7 |
|
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A |
19 | 47 | 39→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .223/.278/.315 | .092 | .300 | 5 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .211/.257/.296 | .085 | .311 | 4 | 11 | 32% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .178/.220/.246 | .068 | .283 | 3 | 12 | 36% | 4% | 17 | -1.1 |
|
●Esteury Ruiz 2017 · A |
18 | 46→56 | 42→50 | 47→70 | 43 | .224/.273/.341 | .117 | .278 | 8 | 11 | 22% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .213/.260/.330 | .117 | .311 | 9 | 24 | 33% | 5% | 60 | -1.0 | .264/.338/.396 | .132 | .327 | 13 | 74 | 22% | 6% | 108 | +1.6 |
|
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A |
18 | 43 | 38→45 | 48→60 | 37 | .201/.274/.283 | .082 | .302 | 4 | 8 | 32% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .218/.294/.318 | .100 | .311 | 8 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .220/.298/.329 | .109 | .312 | 11 | 20 | 30% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Dubal Baez 2011 · A |
18 | 46 | 37→30 | 50→60 | 45 | .214/.288/.286 | .071 | .302 | 4 | 7 | 28% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .214/.302/.265 | .051 | .298 | 2 | 17 | 26% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .217/.309/.247 | .030 | .304 | 0 | 28 | 25% | 8% | 58 | -0.3 |
|
●Jose Tabata 2007 · A |
18 | 50→60 | 41→45 | 51→55 | 43 | .243/.294/.338 | .096 | .299 | 8 | 17 | 21% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 | .258/.307/.345 | .087 | .321 | 7 | 14 | 21% | 5% | 84 | +0.6 | .279/.336/.378 | .099 | .323 | 6 | 26 | 14% | 7% | 101 | +1.5 |
|
●José Fermín 2017 · A |
18 | 43→51 | 38→45 | 48→55 | 44 | .204/.260/.288 | .084 | .278 | 4 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .202/.252/.277 | .075 | .241 | 4 | 10 | 17% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .241/.336/.380 | .139 | .254 | 14 | 26 | 11% | 10% | 103 | +0.9 |
|
✕Thairo Estrada 2014 · A |
18 | 44→54 | 39→50 | 48→55 | 41 | .211/.266/.306 | .095 | .271 | 5 | 9 | 23% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .222/.272/.315 | .093 | .283 | 6 | 9 | 23% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .270/.326/.420 | .150 | .314 | 17 | 21 | 19% | 5% | 108 | +1.8 |
|
●César Puello 2009 · A |
18 | 47→56 | 36→50 | 49→55 | 36 | .221/.266/.288 | .066 | .310 | 4 | 14 | 29% | 4% | 52 | -1.6 | .229/.280/.305 | .076 | .319 | 6 | 19 | 29% | 3% | 63 | -0.9 | .271/.348/.382 | .112 | .358 | 11 | 21 | 25% | 7% | 109 | +1.4 |
|
●Leo Rivas 2016 · A |
18 | 45→54 | 37→40 | 51→65 | 44 | .205/.292/.286 | .080 | .293 | 3 | 15 | 28% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .210/.299/.284 | .074 | .292 | 3 | 18 | 26% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .238/.354/.331 | .093 | .320 | 9 | 44 | 25% | 14% | 100 | +1.2 |
|
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2007 · A |
18 | 41 | 39→30 | 54→45 | 38 | .200/.243/.282 | .082 | .278 | 6 | 11 | 30% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | .216/.278/.275 | .059 | .274 | 3 | 9 | 21% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .243/.302/.283 | .040 | .290 | 2 | 5 | 16% | 6% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A |
18 | 44 | 37→40 | 52→50 | 45 | .206/.258/.282 | .075 | .253 | 4 | 9 | 20% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .227/.280/.301 | .074 | .268 | 3 | 15 | 15% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .292/.336/.357 | .066 | .329 | 1 | 19 | 11% | 5% | 96 | +0.4 |
|
●Moisés Sierra 2007 · A |
18 | 42→52 | 39→50 | 52→50 | 42 | .205/.268/.293 | .089 | .273 | 6 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .206/.254/.299 | .093 | .281 | 8 | 9 | 29% | 4% | 50 | -1.7 | .250/.316/.378 | .129 | .306 | 14 | 15 | 22% | 7% | 94 | +1.0 |
|
★Jean Segura 2008 · A |
18 | 50→60 | 37→50 | 52→60 | 46 | .238/.288/.305 | .067 | .286 | 4 | 17 | 18% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .247/.291/.331 | .084 | .291 | 6 | 17 | 16% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .304/.351/.439 | .135 | .338 | 12 | 24 | 13% | 6% | 123 | +3.5 |
|
●César Hernández 2008 · A |
18 | 44→54 | 39→45 | 51→55 | 41 | .212/.255/.308 | .097 | .268 | 5 | 8 | 23% | 4% | 52 | -1.6 | .222/.280/.298 | .076 | .270 | 3 | 15 | 18% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .277/.367/.382 | .105 | .344 | 8 | 16 | 20% | 12% | 114 | +2.9 |
|
✕Eury Pérez 2008 · A |
18 | 45→55 | 35→40 | 50→65 | 47 | .205/.291/.263 | .057 | .296 | 2 | 14 | 29% | 9% | 57 | -1.2 | .242/.301/.318 | .076 | .305 | 5 | 23 | 21% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .287/.318/.359 | .072 | .348 | 4 | 37 | 18% | 2% | 86 | +0.6 |
|
✕Miguel Flames 2016 · A |
18 | 49 | 39→40 | 49→30 | 42 | .230/.288/.322 | .092 | .314 | 6 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .210/.258/.285 | .075 | .270 | 4 | 3 | 23% | 5% | 47 | -1.9 | .186/.231/.247 | .060 | .233 | 4 | 0 | 21% | 4% | 24 | -1.1 |