Jesus Martinez

P DSL Red Sox Blue

Age 19 RHP 6'1" / 145 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL Red Sox R…	11	1	18	11.78	7.79	9.3%	26.8%	—	K 6.3% · BB 33.5% · FIP 8.61
2026	18	ROKDSL Red Sox B…	14	0	21	10.55	6.66	13.5%	22.2%	—	K 9.2% · BB 27.8% · FIP 7.06
2027PROJ	19	MLBBOS	11	0	12	6.19	6.19	17.2%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBBOS	10	0	10	5.78	5.63	18.8%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJonathan Jimenez (age 19) · Elison Joseph (age 20) · Juan Arnaud (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151143vR 134

ERA6.19

FIP6.19

K%17.2%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-2.8%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	11	1	18	97	9	26	2	9%	1.7	6.3%	33.5%	-27.2%	3.3%	11.78	8.61	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	11	1	18	97	9	26	2	9%	1.7	6.3%	33.5%	-27.2%	3.3%	11.78	8.61	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	11	1	18	97	9	26	2	9%	1.7	9.3%	26.8%	-17.5%	2.1%	11.78	7.79	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	14	0	21	126	17	28	2	0%	1.5	9.2%	27.8%	-18.6%	2.2%	10.55	7.06	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	14	0	21	126	17	28	2	0%	1.5	9.2%	27.8%	-18.6%	2.2%	10.55	7.06	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	14	0	21	126	17	28	2	0%	1.5	13.5%	22.2%	-8.7%	1.6%	10.55	6.66	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	BOS	11	0	12	51	9	10	2	0%	1.1	17.2%	20.0%	-2.8%	3.0%	6.19	6.19	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BOS	19	0	20	85	16	14	2	0%	1.1	18.8%	16.8%	2.0%	2.9%	5.78	5.63	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	BOS	10	0	10	42	8	7	1	0%	1.0	18.8%	16.8%	2.0%	2.9%	5.78	5.63	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	8	7	1	0%	1.1	18.8%	16.8%	2.0%	2.9%	5.78	5.25	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	141	20	0%	1.1	18.8%	16.8%	2.0%	2.9%	5.78	5.25	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		25	1	40	223	18	68	6	4%	1.6	7.9%	30.3%	-22.3%	2.7%	11.12	7.74	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		126	5	200	1124	89	340	30	4%	1.6	7.9%	30.3%	-22.3%	2.7%	11.12	7.74	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jesus Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.19	17.2%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.63	18.8%	2.0%	20	-0.56	—	—	—
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	90
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	89
Juan Arnaud R 2022 · 6.33 FIP	19	SU	6.33	14.6%	23.7%	2.7%	.330	4.40	18.8%	1.6%	102	-1.93	3.43	184	89
Carlos De Los Santos R 2019 · 5.68 FIP	18	SU	5.68	16.9%	16.0%	3.6%	.286	3.95	20.9%	3.2%	86	-1.73	3.67	173	88
Enrique Saldana R 2018 · 6.54 FIP	19	SU	6.54	15.4%	25.9%	2.6%	.310	3.85	14.6%	6.3%	80	-2.69	2.96	109	87
Brendan Hardy R 2018 · 5.18 FIP	18	SU	5.18	17.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.227	6.99	15.9%	-17.2%	25	+1.81	2.54	137	86
Jose G. Gonzalez R 2021 · 5.42 FIP	19	SU	5.42	16.2%	22.7%	1.5%	.320	4.81	15.6%	0.6%	94	-0.61	3.63	165	86
Angel Gonzalez R 2022 · 6.40 FIP	19	SU	6.40	13.7%	20.4%	3.4%	.260	4.80	19.3%	-2.3%	122	-1.60	3.63	182	85
Michael Arias R 2021 · 5.06 FIP	19	SU	5.06	15.0%	17.5%	1.8%	.226	4.39	22.3%	4.7%	155	-0.67	3.79	253	84
Andrew Moore R 2021 · 6.58 FIP	21	SU	6.58	12.9%	21.8%	3.3%	.263	3.75	26.5%	8.4%	103	-2.83	3.44	207	84
Daniel Lloyd R 2021 · 5.40 FIP	20	SU	5.40	20.4%	22.4%	2.2%	.367	4.15	18.0%	8.5%	226	-1.25	3.59	319	84
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	84
Yonaiker Garcia R 2019 · 5.57 FIP	18	SU	5.57	14.8%	23.6%	1.3%	.258	4.24	14.3%	-0.4%	67	-1.33	3.66	108	84
Natanael Garabitos R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	18	SU	5.80	13.6%	23.6%	1.6%	.296	5.11	21.3%	1.6%	85	-0.69	4.25	221	84
Edwin Núñez R 2021 · 6.60 FIP	19	SU	6.60	15.2%	22.9%	3.4%	.343	4.73	16.4%	0.7%	170	-1.87	4.31	288	84
Alejandro Méndez R 2021 · 5.70 FIP	20	SU	5.70	14.6%	14.5%	3.6%	.321	5.60	15.8%	-7.5%	91	-0.10	4.65	136	83
Luis A. Reyes R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	19	SU	6.35	14.9%	30.5%	1.2%	.302	6.72	14.5%	-14.4%	71	+0.37	4.89	123	83
Erian Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	20	SU	5.51	16.2%	19.8%	2.3%	.378	4.16	16.2%	3.6%	241	-1.35	3.81	287	83
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	83
Anyelo Ovando R 2021 · 5.68 FIP	20	SU	5.68	17.6%	25.0%	1.6%	.200	4.32	20.5%	2.0%	110	-1.36	4.03	165	82