Anyelo Ovando — OGILVIE

Anyelo Ovando P Modesto Nuts

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 222 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 118

ERA5.34

FIP5.34

K%19.1%

BB%15.3%

K-BB%3.9%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	11	0	18	85	22	17	1	0%	1.7	17.6%	25.0%	-7.4%	1.6%	3.93	5.68	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	11	0	18	85	22	17	1	0%	1.7	25.9%	20.0%	5.9%	1.2%	3.93	4.19	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	23	0	33	149	47	21	1	0%	1.4	21.4%	17.6%	3.8%	0.9%	3.24	4.03	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	23	0	33	149	47	21	1	0%	1.4	31.5%	14.1%	17.4%	0.7%	3.24	2.56	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	18	1	24	110	31	22	0	6%	1.4	19.2%	25.0%	-5.8%	0.0%	2.59	4.65	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	18	1	24	110	31	22	0	6%	1.4	19.2%	25.0%	-5.8%	0.0%	2.59	4.65	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	18	1	24	110	31	22	0	6%	1.4	28.2%	20.0%	8.2%	0.0%	2.59	3.26	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	57	267	75	38	3	0%	1.7	20.6%	16.0%	4.7%	1.8%	4.58	4.36	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	57	267	75	38	3	0%	1.7	20.6%	16.0%	4.7%	1.8%	4.58	4.36	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	57	267	75	38	3	0%	1.7	28.1%	14.2%	13.9%	1.1%	4.58	3.15	—
2025	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	27	0	37	184	38	24	2	0%	1.4	15.3%	15.4%	-0.1%	1.9%	7.23	4.78	—
2025	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	27	0	37	184	38	24	2	0%	1.4	15.3%	15.4%	-0.1%	1.9%	7.23	4.78	—
2025	24	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	27	0	37	184	38	24	2	0%	1.4	20.7%	13.0%	7.6%	1.1%	7.23	3.69	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	SEA	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	19.1%	15.3%	3.9%	2.8%	5.34	5.34	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SEA	49	0	51	217	43	32	6	0%	1.0	20.0%	14.6%	5.4%	2.8%	5.21	5.19	-0.4
2028	27	MLB MLE	SEA	48	0	50	213	43	30	6	0%	1.1	20.3%	14.3%	6.0%	2.9%	5.16	5.17	-0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	SEA	21	0	22	93	19	14	3	0%	1.0	20.0%	14.6%	5.4%	2.8%	5.21	5.19	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	SEA	30	0	32	135	27	19	4	0%	1.1	20.3%	14.3%	6.0%	2.9%	5.16	5.17	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		51	0	54	226	46	33	6	0%	1.1	20.2%	14.4%	5.8%	2.9%	5.18	4.80	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	123	22	0%	1.1	20.2%	14.4%	5.8%	2.9%	5.18	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		113	1	170	795	151	146	11	1%	1.5	19.0%	18.4%	0.7%	1.4%	4.54	4.58	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	1	200	933	178	171	13	1%	1.5	19.0%	18.4%	0.7%	1.4%	4.54	4.58	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anyelo Ovando (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.34	19.1%	15.3%	2.8%	—	5.18	20.1%	5.7%	102	-0.16	—	—	—
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	90
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	88
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	88
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	88
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	86
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	85
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	85
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	85
Carlos Ramirez R 2016 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	18.9%	14.5%	1.6%	.291	3.10	23.5%	14.5%	103	-1.14	2.62	177	85
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	85
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	153	85
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	85
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	85
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	84
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	84
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	84
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	84
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	84
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	42	20.0%	14.6%	1.10	5.21
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91