Lester Suarez

C DSL Red Sox Red

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 189 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	16	ROKDSL Red Sox B…	87	.176/.299/.216	1	0	7	—	.132/.241/.171
2026	17	ROKDSL Red Sox R…	152	.254/.433/.430	3	0	67	—	.172/.327/.287
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBBOS	262	.217/.298/.305	3	3	74	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBBOS	74	.227/.309/.326	1	1	78	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBBOS	169	.231/.313/.336	2	3	82	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA77

ISO76

wRC+74

K%71

BB%62

Chase%45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsMichael Arroyo (age 18) · Juan Fernandez (age 18) · Jesus Rodriguez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 126 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .296 / .302

PA126

HR1

K%25

BB%8

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$38M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	16	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	74	13	0	0	1	7	19	6	0	0	176	299	216	515	41	222	22	8	256	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	152	114	29	9	1	3	26	26	10	0	0	254	433	430	863	175	299	17	17	391	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	76	10	0	0	1	5	23	6	0	0	132	241	171	412	39	164	26	6	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	152	122	21	6	1	2	18	32	10	0	0	172	327	287	614	115	198	21	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	76	10	0	0	1	5	23	6	0	0	132	241	171	412	39	173	26	6	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	74	13	0	0	1	7	19	6	0	0	176	299	216	515	41	222	22	8	256	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	152	122	21	6	1	2	18	32	10	0	0	172	327	287	614	115	211	21	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	152	114	29	9	1	3	26	26	10	0	0	254	433	430	863	175	299	17	17	391	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	76	10	0	0	1	5	23	6	0	0	132	241	171	412	39	164	26	6	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	152	123	21	6	1	2	18	32	10	0	0	171	327	285	611	114	198	21	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	76	10	0	0	1	5	23	6	0	0	132	241	171	412	39	164	26	6	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	152	123	21	6	1	2	18	32	10	0	0	171	327	285	611	114	198	21	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	262	233	51	9	2	3	21	66	6	3	1	217	298	305	603	88	288	25	8	277	74	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	215	191	43	7	2	3	17	54	5	3	2	221	303	317	621	96	291	25	8	284	78	-6	-0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2029	20	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	349	309	69	12	2	5	28	86	9	6	3	224	308	328	635	103	292	25	8	290	82	-7	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.7
2030	21	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	450	399	90	16	3	7	37	110	11	8	4	227	310	337	647	109	293	24	8	294	85	-8	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2031	22	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	520	460	106	19	4	9	43	126	12	9	5	230	313	344	656	114	294	24	8	298	88	-8	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2032	23	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	520	460	107	19	4	9	43	125	12	9	5	232	314	350	664	118	295	24	8	301	90	-6	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2033	24	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	520	460	108	19	4	10	43	125	12	9	5	233	315	352	667	119	295	24	8	302	91	-6	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2034	25	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	520	460	108	19	4	10	43	125	12	9	5	233	315	353	668	120	295	24	8	302	91	-6	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2035	26	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	520	460	107	19	3	10	43	125	12	9	5	233	315	353	668	120	295	24	8	302	91	-6	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2036	27	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	520	460	107	19	3	10	43	126	12	9	5	231	314	350	664	119	294	24	8	301	90	-6	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2037	28	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	520	460	105	19	3	9	43	127	12	8	6	230	312	345	657	116	293	24	8	298	88	-7	-1	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2038	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	520	460	105	19	3	9	43	128	12	7	6	227	309	339	648	112	292	25	8	294	85	-9	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2039	30	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	520	461	103	18	3	8	43	130	11	7	7	224	305	331	636	107	290	25	8	290	82	-11	-1	-2	+9	+11	0.6
2040	31	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	504	447	98	17	3	7	41	128	11	6	10	220	301	321	621	101	287	25	8	284	78	-13	-3	-3	+9	+11	0.1
2041	32	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	489	437	94	16	3	7	39	126	10	5	21	214	294	308	603	94	283	26	8	276	73	-16	-7	-4	+9	+11	-0.7
2028	19	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	74	66	15	3	0	1	6	19	2	1	1	227	309	326	635	99	300	26	8	290	78	-2	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	169	149	34	7	1	2	14	42	4	3	2	231	313	336	649	106	301	25	8	296	82	-4	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	21	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	244	216	51	10	2	4	20	60	6	4	2	234	316	345	661	112	302	25	8	300	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2031	22	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	294	261	62	12	2	5	24	71	7	5	3	236	318	352	671	116	303	24	8	304	88	-4	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	23	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	299	265	63	12	2	5	25	72	7	5	3	238	320	358	678	120	304	24	8	307	90	-4	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2033	24	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	296	262	62	12	2	5	25	71	7	5	3	239	321	361	681	122	305	24	8	308	91	-3	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	25	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	295	261	62	12	2	5	25	71	7	5	3	239	321	361	682	122	305	24	8	308	91	-3	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2035	26	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	294	260	62	12	2	5	25	71	7	5	3	239	321	361	682	122	304	24	9	308	91	-3	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	289	256	61	12	2	5	24	70	7	5	3	238	320	359	678	121	304	24	8	307	90	-4	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2037	28	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	286	254	61	12	2	5	24	70	6	4	3	236	318	354	671	118	303	24	8	304	88	-4	-0	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2038	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	278	247	58	11	2	5	23	69	6	4	3	233	315	347	662	114	301	25	8	300	85	-5	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	274	243	55	11	1	4	23	68	6	4	4	230	311	339	650	109	299	25	8	295	82	-6	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2040	31	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	285	254	57	11	1	4	23	72	6	3	6	226	306	329	635	103	296	25	8	289	78	-7	-2	-2	+5	+6	0.0
2041	32	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	266	237	52	10	1	3	21	69	6	3	12	220	300	317	616	96	292	26	8	282	73	-9	-4	-2	+5	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3643	3231	755	147	22	58	302	895	84	56	51	234	315	347	662	113	304	25	8	301	84	-62	-9	-6	+65	+79	6.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	134	26	4	10	54	160	15	10	9	233	314	344	658	111	304	25	8	301	84	-11	-2	-1	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7052	6234	1405	248	46	117	582	1728	172	106	90	225	309	336	645	111	291	25	8	292	84	-119	-15	-10	+122	+148	12.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	130	23	4	11	54	159	16	10	8	226	311	337	648	111	291	24	8	292	84	-11	-1	-1	+12	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.7	3,769	63	57	228	307	340	+67	+32	9.8	8.4
/162	664	11	10	+11.9	+5.6	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lester Suarez (OGILVIE)	18	48→53	34→39	42→47	61	215/296/302	87	288	1	2	25%	8%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Juan Fernandez 2017 · A	18	48→58	37→40	45→50	52	224/309/297	73	285	4	5	21%	9%	76	-0.4	212/273/299	87	269	6	4	22%	6%	63	-1.4	239/301/321	82	296	8	9	21%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Miguel Rodríguez 2024 · A	18	48	35→40	45	58	218/327/282	64	261	2	10	16%	11%	82	-0.0	223/312/301	78	263	5	7	16%	9%	80	-0.2	228/321/301	73	263	6	6	15%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	43→51	39→45	47→45	49	205/283/297	92	259	5	4	22%	8%	67	-1.1	204/276/286	82	286	4	4	28%	7%	61	-1.5	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Aron Estrada 2023 · A	18	50→54	41→50	47→55	54	238/323/346	109	290	6	7	19%	10%	93	+0.8	235/304/342	107	293	8	18	21%	8%	84	+0.2	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Ali Sánchez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	42→40	50	210/283/277	67	260	5	8	20%	8%	62	-1.4	215/266/268	53	272	3	6	21%	6%	53	-2.1	247/298/343	95	318	11	1	25%	7%	79	-0.1
●Franklin Arias 2024 · A	18	48→58	37→50	46→50	52	223/290/295	72	258	3	6	15%	8%	68	-1.0	246/303/362	116	293	11	14	19%	7%	88	+0.5	260/316/394	134	300	15	13	18%	6%	99	+1.0
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	47	36→40	44→45	52	220/303/284	64	270	3	8	18%	9%	72	-0.7	199/266/269	70	259	4	5	23%	8%	53	-2.1	215/270/283	69	275	5	4	23%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Jancel Villarroel 2024 · A	19	46	40→45	44→50	53	218/308/313	95	272	6	8	21%	10%	80	-0.1	214/289/309	95	287	8	11	26%	7%	72	-0.7	215/287/315	100	285	9	11	26%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Christian Arroyo 2014 · A	19	49→58	40→50	49→45	44	233/282/342	109	300	5	6	23%	6%	76	-0.4	240/274/341	101	305	7	4	23%	4%	72	-0.7	254/305/408	153	304	17	7	22%	5%	100	+0.5
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Demetrio Crisantes 2024 · A	19	48→58	38→50	46→55	43	227/284/313	85	310	5	7	27%	6%	70	-0.9	250/317/366	116	315	9	13	22%	8%	95	+0.9	258/328/389	130	318	10	12	21%	8%	102	+0.8
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→47	43→50	47→45	49	230/305/343	113	283	9	10	21%	8%	86	+0.3	230/284/354	124	292	13	8	25%	6%	80	-0.2	230/288/365	135	277	16	6	23%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Edward Duran 2022 · A	18	47→48	37→40	49→45	48	221/290/297	77	273	3	9	20%	7%	70	-0.9	209/283/276	67	264	2	8	20%	8%	62	-1.4	230/305/310	79	304	5	8	24%	8%	75	-0.2
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	47→57	36→45	49→50	50	218/277/294	76	258	2	12	16%	7%	63	-1.4	229/275/301	72	282	3	12	19%	5%	63	-1.4	276/322/383	106	335	4	17	18%	5%	96	+0.8
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3

Lester Suarez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps