Roniel Paulino — OGILVIE

Roniel PaulinoC DSL Brewers Blue

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 182 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION15 act + 41 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .244 / .211

PA41

HR0

K%22

BB%7

BABIP241

ISO26

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$9M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$8M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$8M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.6	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$20M		$46M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	51	46	7	2	0	1	5	8	0	2	1	152	235	261	496	109	162	16	10	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	51	42	8	2	0	1	9	5	0	2	1	190	333	310	643	119	194	10	18	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	MIL	—	15	15	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		250	20	0	179	-5	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
YTD	18	ROK	MIL	—	15	15	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	267	267	267	533		308	13	0	241	43	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
ROS	18	ROK	MIL	0%	41	38	7	1	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	184	244	211	454	26	290	22	7	275	68	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	18	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		288	—	—	269	64	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	MIL	—	15	16	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	188	200	188	388		231	20	0	179	-5	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
TOT	18	ROK	MIL	—	56	53	10	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	189	232	208	440	19	244	21	5	249	49	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIL	34%	148	135	31	5	1	2	11	33	1	2	0	230	293	326	618	96	292	22	7	284	75	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2028	20	MLB	MIL	48%	296	268	64	11	2	5	23	66	3	4	1	239	306	351	657	112	294	22	8	290	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2029	21	MLB	MIL	54%	411	372	88	15	2	7	32	92	4	5	1	237	304	344	648	108	295	22	8	295	84	-8	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.2
2030	22	MLB	MIL	57%	493	446	107	19	3	9	39	109	5	7	2	240	308	357	665	117	295	22	8	298	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.6
2031	23	MLB	MIL	58%	520	469	114	20	3	10	41	115	5	7	2	243	311	362	673	119	296	22	8	299	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2032	24	MLB	MIL	57%	520	469	114	20	3	10	41	115	5	7	2	243	311	362	673	119	297	22	8	301	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2033	25	MLB	MIL	57%	520	468	114	20	3	10	41	114	6	7	2	244	313	363	676	120	297	22	8	302	89	-6	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2034	26	MLB	MIL	57%	520	468	114	20	3	10	41	114	6	7	2	244	313	363	676	120	297	22	8	302	89	-6	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2035	27	MLB	MIL	55%	520	467	114	20	3	10	42	115	6	7	2	244	315	364	679	120	297	22	8	302	89	-6	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2036	28	MLB	MIL	55%	520	467	112	19	3	10	42	116	6	7	2	240	311	358	668	118	296	22	8	301	89	-7	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.8
2037	29	MLB	MIL	58%	520	467	112	19	3	10	43	117	5	6	1	240	311	358	668	118	295	22	8	299	87	-8	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2038	30	MLB	MIL	60%	520	467	111	19	3	9	43	118	5	5	1	238	309	349	658	111	294	23	8	296	85	-9	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.4
2039	31	MLB	MIL	62%	504	453	106	18	2	9	41	116	5	5	1	234	305	342	647	108	292	23	8	292	82	-10	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.1
2040	32	MLB	MIL	63%	489	441	101	17	2	8	40	114	5	4	1	229	300	331	631	102	289	23	8	287	78	-12	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.7
2027	19	MLB	MIL	34%	51	47	11	2	0	1	4	11	0	1	0	234	294	340	635	106	290	22	8	276	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	20	MLB	MIL	48%	143	130	30	5	1	2	11	32	1	2	0	231	296	331	627	100	291	22	8	281	73	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	21	MLB	MIL	54%	223	202	47	8	1	4	17	50	2	3	1	233	299	342	640	109	292	22	8	285	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.5
2030	22	MLB	MIL	57%	279	252	60	10	2	5	22	62	3	4	1	238	307	353	660	115	293	22	8	288	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2031	23	MLB	MIL	58%	299	270	64	11	2	5	24	66	3	4	1	237	306	348	655	111	294	22	8	289	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2032	24	MLB	MIL	57%	296	268	64	11	2	5	23	65	3	4	1	239	306	351	657	112	295	22	8	291	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2033	25	MLB	MIL	57%	295	267	65	11	2	6	23	65	3	4	1	243	311	367	678	124	295	22	8	292	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2034	26	MLB	MIL	57%	294	266	65	11	2	6	23	65	3	4	1	244	312	368	680	124	295	22	8	292	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2035	27	MLB	MIL	55%	289	261	63	11	2	5	23	64	3	4	1	241	310	356	666	115	294	22	8	292	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2036	28	MLB	MIL	55%	286	258	61	10	2	5	23	64	3	4	1	236	306	349	655	112	294	22	8	291	81	-6	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.7
2037	29	MLB	MIL	58%	302	271	65	11	2	6	25	68	3	4	1	240	311	362	673	122	293	23	8	289	79	-7	+0	-1	+5	+9	0.7
2038	30	MLB	MIL	60%	313	281	67	11	2	6	26	71	3	3	1	238	310	356	666	117	292	23	8	286	77	-8	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.6
2039	31	MLB	MIL	62%	311	280	65	11	2	5	25	71	3	3	1	232	302	339	641	107	290	23	8	282	74	-9	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.4
2040	32	MLB	MIL	63%	307	276	62	10	1	5	25	72	3	2	1	225	296	322	619	98	287	23	8	277	70	-10	+0	-2	+5	+9	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3688	3330	789	133	23	66	294	826	36	46	12	237	306	350	656	113	295	22	8	287	78	-91	+4	-6	+66	+104	7.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	139	23	4	12	52	146	6	8	2	237	305	351	656	114	294	22	8	287	78	-16	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.4
Career	—			—	6593	5941	1416	245	36	120	528	1471	67	83	21	238	308	352	660	114	296	22	8	296	85	-111	+8	-10	+118	+187	19.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	140	24	4	12	52	145	7	8	2	239	309	355	663	116	296	22	8	296	85	-11	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	51	42	8	2	0	1	9	5	0	2	1	190	333	310	643	119	194	10	18	303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#5Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	12	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
	/162	664	14	3	250	308	370	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,745	67	45	239	305	353	+67	+36	11.4	9.3
	/162	664	12	8	239	305	353	+11.9	+6.4	2.0	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roniel Paulino (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	189/232/208	19	244	0	1	21%	5%	49	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Francisco Herrera 2012 · A	18	46	40→45	47→30	49	220/280/315	95	261	7	8	19%	7%	66	-0.6	225/284/324	99	267	9	5	19%	6%	69	-0.4	225/284/320	95	260	10	3	17%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Luis Alvarez 2008 · A	18	43	39→45	45	45	208/273/291	82	251	7	4	20%	6%	56	-1.3	229/300/339	110	282	10	5	21%	7%	81	+0.4	228/295/347	119	269	13	3	20%	6%	77	+0.0
✕Edward Duran 2022 · A	18	49→45	37→40	49→50	46	231/297/312	81	291	3	9	21%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/287	70	281	2	8	22%	8%	63	-0.9	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	41→45	44→50	45	221/274/319	97	271	8	8	21%	6%	63	-0.8	244/300/352	108	288	9	15	18%	6%	83	+0.6	263/321/381	118	302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.8
✕Jose Ovalles 2012 · A	18	42	40→45	47→40	52	202/296/293	91	253	8	4	22%	10%	68	-0.5	208/277/318	110	251	9	5	20%	7%	66	-0.6	202/266/322	119	235	10	4	18%	6%	59	-0.4
✕Juan Uriarte 2016 · A	18	44	40→45	41→30	46	209/281/300	92	252	7	4	20%	6%	63	-0.9	214/271/302	88	274	7	4	24%	5%	58	-1.2	188/232/267	79	256	8	1	29%	3%	30	-0.9
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/279/361	133	299	12	12	27%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Sebastian Valle 2008 · A	18	46→49	38→50	43→40	49	216/286/302	86	264	5	6	20%	8%	65	-0.7	209/261/312	103	271	8	4	25%	5%	56	-1.3	229/281/373	143	303	16	2	29%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→46	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	63	-0.9	210/268/306	96	286	7	34	27%	7%	58	-1.2	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3