Roniel Paulino

C DSL Brewers Blue

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 182 lbs ROK HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1359ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Brewers G…	51	.190/.333/.310	1	2	18	—	.111/.216/.133
2026	18	ROKDSL Brewers B…	50	.250/.280/.312	0	0	-1	—	.163/.180/.204
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBMIL	160	.224/.282/.304	1	2	66	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIL	31	.224/.285/.310	0	0	71	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBMIL	88	.227/.289/.320	1	1	75	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%83

Z-Con%83

K%77

Chase%43

ISO21

wOBA8

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAndrés Nolaya (age 19) · Juan Uriarte (age 19) · Miguel Palma (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .280 / .301

PA34

HR0

K%23

BB%7

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	51	42	8	2	0	1	9	5	0	2	1	190	333	310	643	119	194	10	18	303	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	50	48	12	3	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	250	280	312	593	62	300	16	4	268	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	51	45	5	1	0	0	6	6	0	2	1	111	216	133	349	22	128	12	12	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	50	49	8	2	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	163	180	204	384	41	197	20	2	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	51	45	5	1	0	0	6	6	0	2	1	111	216	133	349	22	128	12	12	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	—	51	42	8	2	0	1	9	5	0	2	1	190	333	310	643	119	194	10	18	303	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	50	49	8	2	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	163	180	204	384	41	205	20	2	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Blue	—	50	48	12	3	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	250	280	312	593	62	300	16	4	268	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	51	45	5	1	0	0	6	6	0	2	1	111	216	133	349	22	128	12	12	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	50	49	8	2	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	163	180	204	384	41	197	20	2	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	51	45	5	1	0	0	6	6	0	2	1	111	216	133	349	22	128	12	12	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	50	49	8	2	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	163	180	204	384	41	197	20	2	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	160	147	33	6	1	1	11	37	1	2	1	224	282	304	586	80	288	23	7	266	66	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIL	34%	91	84	20	4	1	1	6	21	1	1	0	227	287	315	602	88	290	23	7	273	71	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIL	48%	182	166	38	7	1	2	13	41	1	2	1	230	291	325	616	95	291	23	7	278	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIL	54%	292	267	63	12	2	4	21	66	2	4	1	232	295	333	628	101	292	23	7	283	78	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIL	57%	383	349	81	15	2	6	28	86	3	5	2	234	297	341	638	106	293	22	7	287	81	-9	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIL	57%	443	403	96	18	3	7	33	100	4	6	2	236	300	347	647	111	294	23	7	291	83	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIL	57%	445	405	96	18	3	7	33	100	4	5	2	237	300	349	649	113	294	22	7	292	84	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIL	56%	445	405	97	18	3	8	33	100	4	5	2	237	300	351	651	114	293	22	7	292	84	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	445	405	97	18	3	8	33	101	4	5	2	236	299	348	647	112	293	23	7	291	83	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	445	406	94	18	2	7	33	102	3	3	2	234	297	343	640	109	292	23	7	288	81	-10	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	445	406	93	17	2	7	33	103	3	2	2	231	294	337	631	106	291	23	7	284	79	-11	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	445	406	92	17	2	6	33	105	3	1	1	228	290	329	619	101	289	24	7	280	75	-13	-0	-2	+8	+10	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIL	52%	426	389	87	16	2	6	31	102	3	1	1	224	285	319	604	95	286	24	7	273	71	-15	-0	-3	+8	+9	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIL	34%	31	29	6	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	224	285	310	595	86	285	23	6	270	71	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIL	48%	88	81	18	3	1	1	6	20	1	1	0	227	289	320	609	94	286	23	7	276	75	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIL	54%	158	145	33	6	1	2	11	36	1	2	1	229	292	329	621	100	287	23	7	280	78	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIL	57%	217	197	45	8	1	3	16	49	2	3	1	231	295	337	632	106	288	23	7	285	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIL	57%	250	227	52	9	1	4	19	56	2	3	1	233	297	344	641	111	289	22	8	288	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIL	57%	251	228	52	9	1	4	19	57	2	3	1	234	297	346	643	112	289	23	8	289	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIL	56%	251	228	53	9	1	5	19	57	2	3	1	234	297	347	645	113	289	23	8	290	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	247	225	51	9	1	4	18	56	2	3	1	233	296	345	641	112	288	23	7	288	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	244	222	51	9	1	4	18	56	2	2	1	231	294	340	634	109	287	23	7	286	81	-6	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	238	216	50	9	1	4	18	55	2	1	1	228	291	333	625	105	286	23	8	282	79	-6	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	234	213	48	8	1	4	17	55	2	0	1	225	288	325	613	100	284	24	7	277	75	-7	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIL	52%	222	203	45	8	1	3	16	53	1	0	0	221	283	316	598	94	281	24	7	271	71	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2431	2214	504	88	11	38	179	557	19	21	9	228	291	329	620	101	286	23	7	283	78	-59	+1	-4	+43	+53	3.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	135	24	3	10	48	149	5	6	2	228	291	329	621	101	287	23	7	283	78	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4622	4217	973	182	26	69	339	1051	35	42	19	231	293	335	629	105	290	23	7	283	78	-111	+1	-7	+81	+98	6.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	138	26	4	10	48	148	5	6	3	233	296	341	637	108	292	23	7	283	78	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Brewers Blue · 50 PAwOBA .261 → .167 (−94)K% 16.0% → 19.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.00%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	19.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.00%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	2.79%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.50%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×0.995	15.22%
Doubles /BIP	7.50%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.995	4.48%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .261 → .167; ISO .062 → .036; BABIP .300 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Brewers Gold · 51 PAwOBA .296 → .195 (−101)K% 9.8% → 12.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.80%	÷0.947	×1.220	—	—	12.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.65%	÷1.021	×0.700	—	×1.008	12.19%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	13.51%	÷1.006	×0.680	—	×1.008	9.20%
Doubles /BIP	5.41%	÷0.958	×0.600	—	×1.008	3.41%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.121	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.70%	÷1.040	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.23%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 92, 3B 124, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .296 → .195; ISO .119 → .065; BABIP .194 → .128. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.7	2,467	38	22	234	293	340	+44	+28	5.2	4.7
/162	664	10	6	+11.9	+7.5	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roniel Paulino (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	222/280/301	79	288	0	0	23%	7%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	40	37→45	45→30	42	191/256/259	68	246	4	5	24%	6%	48	-2.5	210/260/300	90	277	8	4	26%	4%	58	-1.7	184/228/264	80	253	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	40	185/238/269	84	259	7	4	30%	6%	43	-2.8	195/239/273	78	247	5	3	22%	5%	44	-2.8	242/310/379	137	297	17	3	24%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Carlos Narváez 2018 · A	19	44→45	36→45	48→45	46	209/266/271	61	256	4	3	19%	6%	53	-2.1	215/288/284	69	301	4	5	27%	9%	65	-1.2	214/298/346	132	289	15	6	29%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	38→40	37→45	47→40	51	178/266/252	74	226	3	8	21%	9%	51	-2.2	196/294/293	97	262	8	6	26%	11%	71	-0.8	190/299/286	95	257	10	4	27%	13%	70	-0.5
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	40	39→45	46→50	45	192/269/279	87	247	7	7	24%	7%	58	-1.7	210/272/303	93	266	5	11	22%	5%	63	-1.3	210/267/312	102	264	5	11	22%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	44	37→45	46→55	51	205/287/284	78	263	3	8	22%	9%	65	-1.2	197/282/292	95	244	7	14	21%	8%	65	-1.2	200/269/297	97	251	8	12	23%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Jose Sibrian 2018 · A	19	41	35→50	48→30	43	193/255/256	63	250	3	5	23%	6%	47	-2.6	192/247/261	69	271	4	5	29%	5%	45	-2.7	195/253/281	87	245	8	0	23%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2018 · A	19	37	36→45	48→40	46	175/245/241	65	211	3	3	18%	6%	40	-3.1	184/250/248	64	235	4	4	22%	7%	43	-2.8	198/251/279	81	242	7	1	21%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	41→44	38→50	47→50	54	193/285/279	86	256	5	8	25%	11%	63	-1.3	188/262/304	116	277	10	9	34%	8%	61	-1.5	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Andres Melendez 2021 · A	20	43	37→50	46→40	46	206/267/283	78	262	4	5	22%	7%	57	-1.8	213/291/333	120	335	11	5	36%	9%	78	-0.3	196/288/335	139	309	13	2	37%	11%	76	-0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0

Roniel Paulino

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps