Santiago Gil — OGILVIE

Santiago GilC DSL Arizona Black

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .280 / .310

PA76

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.6	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.5	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$19M		$42M	+$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	84	72	11	2	2	1	7	25	3	1	1	153	256	278	534	125	213	30	8	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	84	68	13	3	2	1	11	17	3	1	1	191	329	338	668	147	235	20	13	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	ARI	—	76	69	15	3	1	1	6	21	1	1	0	217	289	333	623	116	289	28	8	270	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	ARI	34%	169	151	32	6	2	2	13	45	3	2	1	212	287	318	605	106	292	27	8	280	72	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2028	20	MLB	ARI	48%	312	280	63	12	4	5	24	82	5	3	1	225	298	350	648	125	293	26	8	287	78	-8	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.7
2029	21	MLB	ARI	54%	422	378	85	16	5	7	33	110	8	4	1	225	301	349	650	124	294	26	8	292	81	-9	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.1
2030	22	MLB	ARI	57%	501	447	102	19	6	9	40	130	9	5	2	228	304	358	662	130	295	26	8	295	84	-9	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.4
2031	23	MLB	ARI	58%	520	465	106	20	7	9	41	134	9	5	2	228	303	359	662	131	296	26	8	297	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2032	24	MLB	ARI	57%	520	464	107	20	7	10	42	134	9	5	2	231	307	369	675	138	297	26	8	298	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2033	25	MLB	ARI	57%	520	464	107	20	7	10	42	134	9	5	2	231	307	369	675	138	297	26	8	299	87	-7	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2034	26	MLB	ARI	57%	520	464	107	20	7	10	42	134	9	5	2	231	307	369	675	138	297	26	8	300	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2035	27	MLB	ARI	55%	520	464	106	20	6	10	42	134	9	5	2	228	305	362	667	134	296	26	8	300	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2036	28	MLB	ARI	55%	520	463	105	19	6	10	43	135	9	5	2	227	305	359	663	132	296	26	8	299	87	-8	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2037	29	MLB	ARI	53%	520	463	105	19	6	10	43	136	9	5	2	227	305	359	663	132	295	26	8	297	86	-8	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2038	30	MLB	ARI	53%	520	463	103	19	6	9	43	137	9	4	1	222	301	348	649	125	294	26	8	294	83	-10	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.3
2039	31	MLB	ARI	52%	504	448	99	18	6	9	42	135	9	4	1	221	301	348	649	127	291	27	8	290	80	-11	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.0
2040	32	MLB	ARI	56%	489	438	95	17	6	8	40	132	8	3	1	217	294	338	632	121	288	27	8	285	76	-13	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.6
2027	19	MLB	ARI	34%	58	53	12	2	1	1	4	16	1	1	0	226	293	358	652	132	294	28	7	269	64	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB	ARI	48%	151	135	30	6	2	2	12	40	3	2	0	222	300	341	641	119	295	26	8	276	69	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	21	MLB	ARI	54%	229	205	47	9	3	4	18	60	4	2	1	229	304	361	665	132	296	26	8	281	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2030	22	MLB	ARI	57%	284	254	58	11	4	5	23	74	5	3	1	228	305	362	667	134	297	26	8	284	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2031	23	MLB	ARI	58%	299	268	61	11	4	5	24	77	5	3	1	228	303	354	658	127	298	26	8	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	24	MLB	ARI	57%	296	265	61	11	4	6	24	76	5	3	1	230	306	370	676	140	299	26	8	288	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2033	25	MLB	ARI	57%	295	264	61	11	4	6	24	76	5	3	1	231	307	371	678	140	299	26	8	288	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	26	MLB	ARI	57%	294	263	61	11	4	6	24	76	5	3	1	232	308	373	681	141	299	26	8	289	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2035	27	MLB	ARI	55%	289	258	60	11	4	6	24	75	5	3	1	233	310	376	686	143	299	26	8	289	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2036	28	MLB	ARI	55%	286	255	58	11	3	5	24	74	5	3	1	227	306	353	659	125	298	26	8	288	79	-7	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2037	29	MLB	ARI	53%	278	248	55	10	3	5	23	73	5	3	1	222	301	347	647	125	297	26	8	286	77	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2038	30	MLB	ARI	53%	274	244	55	10	3	5	23	72	5	2	1	225	305	352	658	127	296	26	8	283	75	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2039	31	MLB	ARI	52%	263	234	53	10	3	5	22	70	5	2	1	226	307	359	665	132	294	27	8	279	72	-8	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.2
2040	32	MLB	ARI	56%	275	245	53	10	3	4	23	74	5	2	1	216	297	331	627	114	290	27	8	274	68	-10	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3571	3191	725	134	45	65	292	933	63	35	12	227	305	359	663	131	299	26	8	284	76	-98	+2	-6	+64	+101	6.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	132	24	8	12	53	170	11	6	2	227	303	358	661	131	299	26	8	284	76	-18	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	6717	5993	1348	250	84	120	543	1758	118	62	23	225	302	355	657	130	296	26	8	294	83	-130	+3	-10	+120	+190	17.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	131	24	8	12	53	170	11	6	2	226	303	357	660	131	296	26	8	294	83	-13	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	84	68	13	3	2	1	11	17	3	1	1	191	329	338	668	147	235	20	13	302	89	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,646	64	34	226	299	354	+65	+32	10.2	8.4
	/162	664	12	6	226	299	354	+11.9	+5.8	1.9	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Gil (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	209/280/310	101	289	1	1	28%	8%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→47	36→55	49→30	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	43	-2.2	204/277/283	79	275	6	5	26%	8%	56	-1.3	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→40	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	53	-1.5	195/240/313	118	278	11	5	32%	5%	47	-1.9	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2018 · A	18	45	37→55	51→40	37	209/263/281	71	306	3	8	31%	5%	49	-1.8	197/253/262	65	271	2	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	183/253/290	107	242	12	2	29%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→46	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	63	-0.9	210/268/306	96	286	7	34	27%	7%	58	-1.2	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Deivy Grullón 2014 · A	18	45→42	37→55	48→30	43	215/262/292	77	271	4	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	208/248/305	97	282	9	2	28%	5%	49	-1.8	228/269/391	163	297	23	0	31%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	42	202/274/283	81	295	6	6	32%	7%	55	-1.4	204/293/283	79	316	6	6	34%	9%	64	-0.8	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	42→44	37→45	47→60	37	197/271/278	80	298	4	8	33%	5%	53	-1.5	219/295/319	100	315	8	15	31%	6%	74	-0.1	224/303/332	108	321	10	20	31%	6%	76	+0.1
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	40→45	41→55	46→55	40	199/248/293	95	266	8	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	209/269/336	127	287	13	8	30%	7%	66	-0.6	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	59	-1.1	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	102	+1.8	224/283/382	158	270	19	2	24%	5%	86	+0.4