Anthony Abreu

SS DSL Marlins
Age 19 L/R 6'1" / 180 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKMIA176.201/.366/.4036620—.101/.240/.169
202618ROKMIA160.190/.405/.35351542—.118/.291/.213
2027PROJMLE19MLBMIA270.176/.267/.2603552-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBMIA47.176/.269/.2641158-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Chase%99
BB%91
Speed80
ISO71
wOBA55
wRC+48
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsRafael Ramirez Jr. (age 19) · Robert Lopez (age 19) · Jose Perez (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 82 proj PA
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .265 / .257
PA82
HR1
K%32
BB%10
ISO84
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL Marlins — 176139 28436 30676 63 201366403769 201328 3817 349 20 — — — — — —
202618 ROKDSL Marlins — 160116 22215 38454 151 190405353759 164250 2824 354 42 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 176148 15212 21846 63 101240169409 68199 4812 198 20 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 160127 15113 27554 151 118291213504 94154 3417 231 42 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 176148 15212 21846 63 101240169409 68206 4812 198 20 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Marlins — 176139 28436 30676 63 201366403769 201328 3817 349 20 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 160127 15113 27554 151 118291213504 94169 3417 231 42 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWDSL Marlins — 160116 22215 38454 151 190405353759 164250 2824 354 42 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 176147 15212 21846 63 102240170410 68199 4812 198 20 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 160128 15113 27554 151 117291211502 94154 3417 231 42 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 176147 15212 21846 63 102240170410 68199 4812 198 20 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 160128 15113 27554 151 117291211502 94154 3417 231 42 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLEMIA 0% 270238 41623 26874 51 176267260527 84257 3210 246 52 -15 +1 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLEMIA 34% 136120 21312 13432 21 182274275549 94261 3210 255 58 -7 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202820 MLB CTXMIA 34% 4741 7101 5151 10 176269264532 88253 3211 248 58 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4741 7101 5151 10 171277268545 98240 3211 248 41 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650567 9714014 6920714 140 171277270547 99240 3211 248 41 -32 +3 +0 +7 +14 -0.8
Career— MLE — 554468 64848 6920813 245 137265222488 85219 3812 228 41 -11 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650549 75959 8124415 286 137265220486 84219 3812 228 41 -34 +1 +0 +7 +14 -1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Marlins · 160 PAwOBA .351 → .231 (−120)K% 28.1% → 34.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.12%÷1.000×1.220——34.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.75%÷1.000×0.700—×1.00816.75%
HBP% /PA2.50%—×0.700—×1.0081.76%
Singles /BIP19.72%÷1.000×0.680×0.950×1.00812.83%
Doubles /BIP2.82%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×1.0081.62%
Triples /BIP1.41%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×1.0080.81%
Home runs /BIP7.04%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0083.33%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .351 → .231; ISO .164 → .086; BABIP .250 → .154. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Marlins · 176 PAwOBA .343 → .198 (−144)K% 38.1% → 47.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.07%÷0.973×1.220——47.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.05%÷1.029×0.700—×1.02211.86%
HBP% /PA3.41%—×0.700—×1.0222.44%
Singles /BIP20.83%÷0.955×0.680×0.950×1.02214.42%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷1.073×0.600×0.950×1.0223.02%
Triples /BIP4.17%÷1.097×0.600×0.950×1.0222.21%
Home runs /BIP8.33%÷1.383×0.470—×1.0222.90%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 177, 1B 91, 2B 115, 3B 119, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .343 → .198; ISO .201 → .078; BABIP .328 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).