Anthony Abreu — OGILVIE

Anthony AbreuSS DSL Miami

Age 18 L/R 6'1" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION95 act + 63 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.160 / .253 / .231

PA63

HR1

K%35

BB%9

BABIP240

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	176	151	14	2	1	2	18	102	6	6	3	93	217	159	376	66	250	58	10	179	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	176	139	28	4	3	6	30	67	6	6	3	201	366	403	769	201	328	38	17	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	MIA	—	95	83	12	1	1	3	11	39	1	6	0	145	253	289	542	145	220	41	12	247	47	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
YTD	18	ROK	MIA	—	95	77	18	2	1	5	17	27	1	6	0	234	379	481	859	247	289	28	18	381	150	+5	+1	+0	+1	+3	1.0
ROS	18	ROK	MIA	0%	63	56	9	1	0	1	6	22	1	2	0	160	253	231	483	71	253	35	9	245	45	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	MIA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		249	—	—	233	36	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	MIA	—	95	84	12	1	1	3	11	39	1	6	0	143	253	286	538	143	214	41	12	247	47	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
TOT	18	ROK	MIA	—	158	139	21	2	1	4	17	61	2	8	0	151	253	266	518	115	229	39	11	246	46	-10	+2	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIA	34%	233	207	38	6	2	5	21	78	3	4	1	184	268	304	573	121	260	33	9	258	56	-12	+0	+0	+2	+7	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	MIA	48%	363	322	60	10	2	8	33	118	5	6	1	186	272	304	577	118	265	33	9	267	62	-15	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	MIA	54%	461	409	79	13	3	11	42	147	7	8	1	193	279	320	600	127	267	32	9	273	67	-17	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.2
2030	22	MLB	MIA	57%	530	468	91	15	3	13	49	166	8	9	2	194	282	323	605	128	269	31	9	276	70	-18	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.4
2031	23	MLB	MIA	58%	576	509	100	16	4	14	53	180	9	9	2	196	284	326	610	130	270	31	9	278	71	-19	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.5
2032	24	MLB	MIA	57%	607	537	106	17	4	15	56	189	9	10	2	197	284	328	612	130	270	31	9	279	72	-19	+1	+0	+7	+17	0.6
2033	25	MLB	MIA	57%	624	551	110	18	4	16	58	194	10	10	2	200	288	334	621	134	270	31	9	280	72	-19	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.6
2034	26	MLB	MIA	57%	633	559	111	18	4	16	59	197	10	10	2	199	287	331	618	132	270	31	9	280	73	-20	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.6
2027	19	MLB	MIA	34%	80	72	14	2	1	2	7	27	1	1	0	194	275	333	608	139	256	34	9	245	46	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	MIA	48%	176	155	29	5	1	4	16	57	3	3	1	187	276	310	586	123	260	32	9	253	52	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2029	21	MLB	MIA	54%	250	221	43	7	2	6	23	79	4	4	1	195	282	326	608	131	263	32	9	258	56	-13	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2030	22	MLB	MIA	57%	300	264	51	8	2	7	28	94	5	5	1	193	283	318	601	125	264	31	9	261	58	-14	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.2
2031	23	MLB	MIA	58%	332	293	56	9	2	8	31	104	5	5	1	191	280	317	597	126	265	31	9	263	59	-15	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.2
2032	24	MLB	MIA	57%	346	306	59	10	2	8	32	108	5	6	1	193	280	317	597	124	266	31	9	264	60	-15	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.1
2033	25	MLB	MIA	57%	354	313	61	10	2	9	33	110	5	6	1	195	282	326	608	131	266	31	9	265	61	-16	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.1
2034	26	MLB	MIA	57%	358	317	61	10	2	9	33	111	5	6	1	192	279	322	601	129	266	31	9	265	61	-16	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2196	1942	374	61	14	53	203	690	33	36	7	193	280	320	600	128	265	31	9	262	58	-103	+4	+0	+24	+62	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	111	18	4	16	60	204	10	11	2	193	281	322	603	129	265	31	9	262	58	-31	+1	+0	+7	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	4266	3769	718	116	27	101	395	1393	68	74	16	190	279	316	595	125	269	33	9	271	66	-165	+8	+0	+46	+121	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	109	18	4	15	60	212	10	11	2	190	278	314	591	124	269	33	9	271	66	-25	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	176	139	28	4	3	6	30	67	6	6	3	201	366	403	769	201	328	38	17	349	125	+5	+0	—	—	+5	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,343	56	38	195	279	323	+25	+15	1.3	1.5
	/162	664	16	11	195	279	323	+7.1	+4.3	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anthony Abreu (OGILVIE)	18	20	45	45	60	151/253/266	115	229	4	8	39%	11%	46	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	41	41→50	46→45	44	205/260/295	90	268	9	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	207/258/303	96	281	7	7	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/277/353	132	285	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Robert Lopez 2022 · A	18	38	39→45	48→45	42	181/262/270	89	284	6	6	36%	8%	48	-1.9	190/252/274	84	293	7	4	35%	7%	43	-2.2	183/243/267	84	277	9	3	35%	7%	34	-0.9
✕Randel Alcantara 2015 · A	18	40	43→45	41→45	42	200/268/307	107	273	11	4	30%	7%	59	-1.1	200/265/309	109	265	8	6	26%	6%	58	-1.2	186/252/305	119	241	8	6	25%	5%	48	-0.6
✕Carlos Soler 2018 · A	18	39	37→45	46→45	39	187/248/267	80	274	3	8	31%	6%	40	-2.4	216/272/305	89	319	3	8	31%	6%	59	-1.1	238/290/344	106	352	2	8	31%	5%	73	-0.0
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	171/261/237	65	254	5	3	32%	10%	39	-2.5	205/290/309	104	318	11	4	35%	10%	69	-0.4	200/285/307	107	317	13	2	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	39→40	42→45	45	194/268/281	86	278	5	6	30%	8%	52	-1.6	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	68	-0.5	190/311/283	93	253	5	7	24%	13%	71	-0.1
✕Isan Díaz 2015 · A	19	34→42	39→55	47→45	39	169/233/258	89	267	6	8	37%	7%	31	-3.0	206/271/341	135	300	13	8	33%	8%	69	-0.4	208/287/373	164	275	21	5	31%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Herman Armas 2006 · A	19	37	36→45	41→50	44	179/250/243	64	257	4	7	30%	8%	35	-2.8	210/278/316	106	287	9	10	28%	7%	66	-0.6	212/283/329	117	282	11	12	27%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	48	-1.9	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	53	-1.5	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	39	-0.7
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	43→45	38→45	46→50	44	201/275/277	76	311	6	9	35%	9%	54	-1.4	211/298/310	99	331	7	14	35%	9%	72	-0.2	226/292/355	129	316	11	14	30%	7%	77	+0.1
●Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	41→43	40→50	50	41	202/257/292	90	282	8	15	30%	7%	50	-1.8	197/245/281	84	297	6	9	33%	6%	41	-2.3	216/250/345	129	289	16	6	31%	4%	58	-0.9
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	40→45	46→45	47	181/281/275	94	294	7	6	37%	11%	57	-1.2	183/259/259	76	293	5	6	36%	9%	43	-2.2	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→32	37→40	43→50	40	199/260/273	73	295	4	10	32%	6%	46	-2.0	184/285/263	79	357	5	9	44%	10%	56	-1.3	152/269/228	75	334	5	7	49%	11%	40	-1.1