Abdias De La CruzSS Visalia Rawhide
Age 21 R/R 6'3" / 175 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION291 act + 194 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†46
AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .250 / .278
PA194
HR3
K%30
BB%8
BABIP252
ISO97
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -26.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-26BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +13.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
0.00.51.00.30.50.60.6+$14M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $3M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL D-backs Black 184160 16202 22811 55 100213150363 50179 4412 182 -2
202217 ROKDSL D-backs Black 184151 27512 31541 55 179322265587 86260 2917 281 73
202318 ROKACL D-backs Black 176156 26613 17611 85 167253276529 109245 3510 234 37
202318 ROKACL D-backs Black 176146 37814 27451 85 253374404778 151333 2615 349 126
202419 ROKACL D-backs 224201 38930 17711 113 189256264519 75284 328 240 42
202419 ROKACL D-backs 224186 561550 32461 113 301406435842 134389 2114 370 142
202520 AVisalia Rawhide 409366 561121 321465 122 153231202433 49247 368 200 11
202520 AVisalia Rawhide 409352 761622 461055 122 216315290605 74297 2611 280 72
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 AARI 291259 50928 23900 32 193259336595 143253 318 259 56 -14 -0 +0 +3 +8 -0.3
YTD21 AARI 291250 611239 32670 32 244330424754 180291 2311 326 107 +2 -0 +0 +3 +8 1.4
ROS21 AARI 0% 194176 32613 15591 31 182250278528 97256 308 245 46 -12 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.4
ROS21 MLBARI 0% 01 0000 000 00 258 244 45 +0 +0
FULL21 AARI 291260 50928 23900 32 192259335593 142251 318 259 56 -14 -0 +0 +3 +8 -0.3
TOT21 AARI 485435 8215311 381491 63 189255313568 124253 318 253 52 -26 +0 +0 +5 +14 -0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBARI 34% 494449 8817310 401442 62 196265314579 118262 298 261 58 -23 +0 +0 +5 +14 -0.4
202823 MLBARI 48% 538486 9919412 441523 73 204274333607 130265 288 271 65 -21 +0 +0 +6 +15 0.0
202924 MLBARI 53% 566511 10621413 471573 83 207278341619 133267 288 277 70 -19 +0 +0 +6 +16 0.3
203025 MLBARI 55% 581524 10921414 491593 83 208280344623 135268 278 280 73 -18 +0 +0 +6 +16 0.5
203126 MLBARI 56% 588530 11021414 501613 93 208280342621 134268 279 281 73 -18 +1 +0 +6 +17 0.6
203227 MLBARI 55% 588529 11021414 511613 93 208281342623 134268 279 281 73 -18 +1 +0 +6 +17 0.6
202722 MLBARI 34% 170153 30613 14501 21 196268307575 111264 298 260 57 -8 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.2
202823 MLBARI 48% 261236 48926 22741 31 203274335609 131267 288 269 64 -11 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.0
202924 MLBARI 53% 298269 561127 25832 41 208280342622 134269 288 275 69 -11 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.2
203025 MLBARI 55% 318286 611228 27872 52 213286353639 140270 278 278 71 -10 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.2
203126 MLBARI 56% 327294 621228 28902 52 211284347631 136270 289 279 72 -10 +0 +0 +4 +9 0.3
203227 MLBARI 55% 323290 611228 28892 52 210284348633 138270 289 279 72 -10 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 16971529 318621140 14447310 249 208281341622 133271 288 275 68 -60 +1 +0 +18 +48 0.7
/ 162G 650586 12224415 551814 93 208281340620 131272 288 275 68 -23 +1 +0 +7 +18 0.3
Career 45424088 7901543086 384135226 8633 193267309575 115263 308 260 57 -219 +4 +0 +49 +129 -3.8
/ 162G 650585 11222412 551934 125 191266304570 113260 308 260 57 -31 +0 +0 +7 +18 -0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL D-backs Black 184151 27512 31541 55 179322265587 86260 2917 281 73 -6 -1 +5 -0.1
202318 ROKACL D-backs Black 176146 37814 27451 85 253374404778 151333 2615 349 126 +5 -0 +5 1.0
202419 ROKACL D-backs 224186 561550 32461 113 301406435842 134389 2114 370 142 +11 +1 +6 1.8
202520 AVisalia Rawhide 409352 761622 461055 122 216315290605 74297 2611 280 72 -13 +2 +12 0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
42,0184229203272327+22+120.10.6
/1626641410+7.1+3.90.0pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Abdias De La Cruz (OGILVIE) 21 30 25 45 45 189/255/313 124253 116 31% 8% 52 -0.7
Willy Diaz
2015 · A
21 36 36→40 45→40 46 170/263/235 65253 45 32% 9% 40 -2.4 187/263/267 80309 54 37% 8% 46 -2.0 184/258/270863085239%8%42-0.8
Franklin Tineo
2016 · A
21 36 38→45 41→50 47 177/258/254 77247 57 29% 9% 41 -2.3 190/264/281 91260 710 28% 8% 50 -1.7 184/261/2809623981325%8%47-0.7
Luis Sanchez
2008 · A
21 37 36→30 45→40 44 178/253/238 60259 47 31% 8% 35 -2.8 196/255/250 54275 24 27% 7% 37 -2.6 188/244/231442621227%7%26-1.6
Victor Duarte
2022 · A
21 39 38→30 48→45 42 188/251/269 81260 67 29% 6% 42 -2.3 199/274/280 81291 66 31% 8% 55 -1.4 183/255/2506625161127%8%37-0.7
Adrian Abreu
2012 · A
21 39 38→40 47→55 47 190/263/273 82247 59 24% 8% 47 -1.9 212/292/300 88256 817 19% 9% 67 -0.5 209/299/2908024192516%10%66-0.2
Steven Baron
2012 · A
21 33 40→45 45→50 36 171/214/256 85249 77 34% 5% 21 -3.7 187/224/281 94269 69 32% 4% 32 -3.0 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A
22 40 38→40 49→40 40 194/261/274 80272 67 29% 6% 47 -1.9 217/294/301 84283 84 25% 7% 69 -0.4 216/298/285692797123%7%66-0.3
Alex Todd
2012 · A
22 38 37→40 44→45 38 185/246/256 71259 44 29% 5% 37 -2.7 220/285/305 85299 66 27% 5% 65 -0.7 236/303/318833176526%5%73-0.1
Gregori Gonzalez
2010 · A
21 39 35→30 46→55 38 188/230/246 58269 314 30% 5% 25 -3.5 217/258/295 78269 313 20% 4% 50 -1.8 230/267/3178727531517%3%58-0.3
Emilio King
2011 · A
21 37 36→45 45→40 37 178/245/248 70273 36 34% 5% 34 -2.8 215/257/310 95317 74 33% 4% 54 -1.4 252/282/37111934011328%2%76+0.0
Ronaldo Pulgar
2018 · A
21 35 34→30 46→55 44 170/241/222 52239 27 28% 7% 25 -3.5 197/260/265 68266 412 26% 7% 43 -2.2 189/250/2445524941924%6%30-1.3
Luis Palacios
2010 · A
21 39 39→40 46→50 36 192/235/276 84265 75 30% 4% 36 -2.7 190/239/268 78302 57 36% 5% 35 -2.8 130/184/163322250640%6%-19-1.1
Luis Rubio
2023 · A
21 40 35→30 46→45 39 185/248/243 57296 27 36% 7% 33 -2.9 189/260/250 61284 38 31% 8% 40 -2.4 127/221/148211940831%10%-2-1.3
Carlos Torres
2014 · A
21 39 38→30 47→50 42 192/253/263 71257 69 27% 6% 40 -2.4 191/232/261 70262 56 28% 5% 30 -3.1 187/220/244572513426%3%17-1.1
Andy Paz
2015 · A
22 38 38→40 45 44 185/245/261 75253 65 28% 7% 37 -2.7 210/264/277 67293 46 28% 7% 48 -1.9 226/270/274482963723%6%46-0.7
Hector Martinez
2022 · A
21 41 35→30 46→50 44 193/260/253 60272 37 28% 7% 41 -2.3 196/250/268 72305 45 34% 6% 40 -2.4 152/197/210582433037%5%0-0.9
Omar Guerra
2008 · A
21 41 35→30 48→50 45 193/274/246 53257 29 24% 7% 46 -2.0 220/315/279 59272 211 19% 6% 73 -0.1 229/342/2683927701515%5%79+0.1
Jose Ramirez
2010 · A
21 39 38→40 46→50 43 188/249/265 77248 510 25% 6% 40 -2.4 211/278/295 84273 711 24% 7% 60 -1.0 214/288/2867226691522%7%59-0.5
Deivi Mejia
2011 · A
21 40 39→40 43→30 44 193/264/278 85266 75 29% 8% 50 -1.8 212/259/304 92276 74 25% 4% 53 -1.5 224/268/311872676118%3%59-0.4
Angel Rojas
2014 · A
21 37 34→30 47→50 39 177/234/230 53260 29 31% 6% 24 -3.6 201/253/269 68288 36 29% 5% 42 -2.3 195/242/237422750227%4%26-0.6