Deward Tovar

1B Hickory Crawdads
Age 21 L/L 5'10" / 180 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Rangers R…173.241/.364/.4345426—.138/.243/.230
202519A/ROKTEX165.312/.412/.4965255—.200/.273/.308
202620ATEX430.235/.329/.44218457—.177/.254/.322
2027PROJMLE21MLBTEX540.182/.256/.31715661-0.5
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBTEX129.190/.265/.3404267-0.5
Next 2 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
ISO83
wRC+57
wOBA53
Speed44
BB%38
Chase%35
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 2.3, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 89%
CompsIverson Leonardo (age 21) · Thomas Hickman (age 21) · Yeicok Calderon (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .254 / .314
PA210
HR6
K%37
BB%8
ISO135
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -9.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.5-0.52728
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 52
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER52
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Rangers Blue — 189163 43622 24481 53 264362362724 98360 2513 330 26 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Rangers Red — 173145 35735 25543 41 241364434799 193349 3114 358 26 — — — — — —
202519 AHickory Crawdads — 2929 9100 0130 01 310310345655 34562 450 294 10 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Rangers — 136112 35625 23401 21 312434536970 223448 2917 427 64 — — — — — —
202620 AHickory Crawdads — 430371 8717318 461317 42 235329442771 208304 3011 339 57 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 189170 27411 17601 53 159239212451 53233 329 206 26 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 173152 21422 18683 41 138243230473 92218 3910 206 26 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 2929 6100 0180 01 207207241448 34528 620 183 10 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 136121 24413 14591 21 198287322609 124345 4310 263 64 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 430385 6813213 331787 42 177254322576 145267 418 253 57 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 189170 27411 17601 53 159239212451 53236 329 206 26 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Rangers Blue — 189163 43622 24481 53 264362362724 98360 2513 330 26 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 173152 21422 18683 41 138243230473 92232 3910 206 26 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Rangers Red — 173145 35735 25543 41 241364434799 193349 3114 358 26 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 165150 29413 14771 22 193267293560 100371 478 249 55 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAW2 teams — 165141 44725 23531 22 312412496909 184470 3214 403 55 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 430385 6813213 331787 42 177254322576 145276 418 253 57 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWHickory Crawdads — 430371 8717318 461317 42 235329442771 208304 3011 339 57 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Blue — 189169 27411 17601 53 160239213452 53233 329 206 26 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 173150 21422 18683 41 140243233476 93218 3910 206 26 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 165149 29413 14771 22 195267295562 101377 478 249 55 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 430387 6813213 331787 42 176254320575 145267 418 253 57 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Rangers Red — 173150 21422 18683 41 140243233476 93218 3910 206 26 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 165149 29413 14771 22 195267295562 101377 478 249 55 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 430387 6813213 331787 42 176254320575 145267 418 253 57 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLETEX 0% 540487 8916315 421976 63 182256317573 135265 368 259 61 -25 +0 +0 -10 +12 -0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLETEX 34% 376339 6311211 301334 52 189263332595 144268 358 268 67 -15 +0 +0 -7 +8 -1.3
202822 MLB CTXTEX 34% 129117 23414 10461 21 190265340605 150268 368 271 67 -5 +0 +0 -2 +3 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 129117 23414 10461 21 197266350616 154279 368 271 53 -5 +0 +0 -2 +3 -0.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 11620520 502325 105 197265349614 153280 368 271 53 -25 +0 +0 -12 +14 -2.3
Career— MLE — 15431386 24342936 12859318 2211 175254297550 121270 388 246 53 -24 +0 +0 -10 +13 -2.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 10318415 542508 95 176256298554 122272 388 246 53 -27 +0 +0 -12 +14 -2.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHickory Crawdads · 430 PAwOBA .334 → .253 (−81)K% 30.5% → 41.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.47%÷1.000×1.360——41.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.70%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0307.60%
HBP% /PA1.63%—×0.780—×1.0301.31%
Singles /BIP20.42%÷1.000×0.920×0.967×1.03018.72%
Doubles /BIP7.08%÷1.000×0.830×0.967×1.0305.86%
Triples /BIP1.25%÷1.000×0.910×0.967×1.0301.13%
Home runs /BIP7.50%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0306.18%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .334 → .253; ISO .208 → .153; BABIP .304 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Rangers · 136 PAwOBA .416 → .263 (−153)K% 29.4% → 43.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.41%÷0.981×1.440——43.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.91%÷1.016×0.620—×1.00810.40%
HBP% /PA0.74%—×0.720—×1.0080.53%
Singles /BIP30.56%÷0.991×0.820×0.996×1.00825.37%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.017×0.720×0.996×1.0085.92%
Triples /BIP2.78%÷1.138×0.720×0.996×1.0081.76%
Home runs /BIP6.94%÷1.302×0.780—×1.0084.19%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 128, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .416 → .263; ISO .223 → .123; BABIP .448 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AHickory Crawdads · 29 PAwOBA .286 → .183 (−103)K% 44.8% → 62.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA44.83%÷0.981×1.360——62.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷1.051×0.690—×1.0450.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0450.00%
Singles /BIP50.00%÷1.002×0.920—×1.04547.97%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷1.123×0.830—×1.0454.83%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.039×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.037×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 108, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .286 → .183; ISO .034 → .018; BABIP .562 → .528. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Rangers Red · 173 PAwOBA .349 → .206 (−143)K% 31.2% → 39.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.21%÷0.969×1.220——39.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.45%÷0.976×0.700—×1.00810.44%
HBP% /PA1.73%—×0.700—×1.0081.22%
Singles /BIP21.98%÷1.025×0.680×1.022×1.00815.00%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.032×0.600×1.022×1.0084.60%
Triples /BIP3.30%÷1.150×0.600×1.022×1.0081.77%
Home runs /BIP5.49%÷1.333×0.470—×1.0081.95%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .349 → .206; ISO .193 → .082; BABIP .349 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Rangers Blue · 189 PAwOBA .324 → .206 (−118)K% 25.4% → 31.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.40%÷0.970×1.220——31.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.70%÷1.024×0.700—×1.0228.88%
HBP% /PA0.53%—×0.700—×1.0220.38%
Singles /BIP28.70%÷1.069×0.680×1.005×1.02218.76%
Doubles /BIP5.22%÷0.901×0.600×1.005×1.0223.57%
Triples /BIP1.74%÷1.036×0.600×1.005×1.0221.04%
Home runs /BIP1.74%÷1.180×0.470—×1.0220.71%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 114, 2B 80, 3B 107, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .324 → .206; ISO .098 → .053; BABIP .360 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).