Deward Tovar — OGILVIE

Deward Tovar1B Hickory Crawdads

Age 20 L/L 5'10" / 180 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION430 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP273

ISO118

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	163	43	6	2	2	24	48	1	5	3	264	362	362	724	98	360	25	13	330	110	+2	-0	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	145	35	7	3	5	25	54	3	4	1	241	364	434	799	193	349	31	14	358	129	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	29	29	9	1	0	0	0	13	0	0	1	310	310	345	655	34	562	45	0	294	85	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	136	112	35	6	2	5	23	40	1	2	1	312	434	536	970	223	448	29	17	427	175	+12	+0	—	—	+3	1.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	172	29	4	1	1	15	71	1	5	3	169	239	221	460	52	276	38	8	214	31	-16	-0	—	—	+4	-1.2
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	154	21	4	2	2	16	80	3	4	1	136	231	227	458	91	264	46	9	212	30	-14	+0	—	—	+4	-1.1
2025	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	29	29	5	0	0	0	0	19	0	0	1	172	172	172	345		515	66	0	165	-2	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	136	121	24	4	1	3	14	59	1	2	1	198	287	322	609	124	342	43	10	261	63	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	172	29	4	1	1	15	71	1	5	3	169	239	221	460	52	277	38	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	163	43	6	2	2	24	48	1	5	3	264	362	362	724	98	360	25	13	330	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	154	21	4	2	2	16	80	3	4	1	136	231	227	458	91	264	46	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	145	35	7	3	5	25	54	3	4	1	241	364	434	799	193	349	31	14	358	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	165	150	29	4	1	3	14	78	1	2	2	193	267	293	560	100	377	47	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	165	141	44	7	2	5	23	53	1	2	2	312	412	496	909	184	470	32	14	403	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	171	29	4	1	1	15	71	1	5	3	170	239	222	462	53	276	38	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	152	21	4	2	2	16	80	3	4	1	138	231	230	461	92	264	46	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	165	149	29	4	1	3	14	78	1	2	2	195	267	295	562	101	372	47	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	171	29	4	1	1	15	71	1	5	3	170	239	222	462	53	276	38	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	152	21	4	2	2	16	80	3	4	1	138	231	230	461	92	264	46	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	165	149	29	4	1	3	14	78	1	2	2	195	267	295	562	101	372	47	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	TEX	—	430	389	67	12	2	14	29	186	7	4	2	172	242	321	564	149	273	43	7	246	53	-24	+0	+0	-8	+9	-2.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	TEX	—	430	371	87	17	3	18	46	131	7	4	2	235	329	442	771	208	304	30	11	339	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	TEX	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		270	44	11	248	54	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	TEX	—	439	397	68	12	2	14	30	190	7	4	2	171	242	317	559	146	273	43	7	246	53	-25	+0	+0	-8	+10	-2.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	385	348	64	11	2	12	29	148	5	4	2	184	257	330	587	147	273	38	8	262	63	-17	+0	+0	-7	+8	-1.6
2028	22	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	465	420	80	14	2	15	36	171	6	6	3	190	264	340	605	150	275	37	8	272	70	-17	+0	+0	-8	+10	-1.5
2029	23	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	508	457	90	16	3	17	40	181	6	7	3	197	270	357	627	160	277	36	8	278	74	-16	+0	+0	-9	+11	-1.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	535	481	96	17	3	18	42	188	7	8	4	200	274	360	633	160	278	35	8	282	77	-15	+0	+0	-10	+12	-1.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	546	490	99	18	3	19	44	191	7	9	4	202	277	367	645	165	278	35	8	284	78	-14	+0	+0	-10	+12	-1.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	132	119	22	4	1	4	10	51	2	1	1	185	260	336	596	151	276	39	8	258	63	-6	-0	+0	-2	+3	-0.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	225	203	40	7	1	8	17	83	3	3	1	197	269	360	629	163	278	37	8	268	70	-8	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.7
2029	23	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	276	248	50	9	1	10	22	98	4	4	2	202	277	367	644	165	280	36	8	275	74	-8	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.8
2030	24	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	297	267	55	10	2	11	24	104	4	5	2	206	281	382	663	176	281	35	8	279	77	-8	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.7
2031	25	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	306	275	56	10	2	11	24	107	4	5	2	204	277	375	652	171	281	35	8	280	78	-8	+0	+0	-5	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1236	1112	223	40	7	44	97	443	17	18	8	201	275	368	643	167	284	36	8	274	67	-38	+0	+0	-22	+27	-3.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	117	21	4	23	51	233	9	9	4	200	274	368	642	168	283	36	8	274	67	-20	+0	+0	-12	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2975	2680	509	88	17	87	237	1112	36	45	22	190	265	333	598	143	282	37	8	267	67	-78	+0	+0	-44	+53	-7.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	111	19	4	19	52	243	8	10	5	189	265	333	598	143	281	37	8	267	67	-21	+0	+0	-12	+14	-1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.2	1,477	46	21	193	264	343	-12	+0	-1.9	-0.9
/162	664	21	9	-5.3	+0.0	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Deward Tovar (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	45→50	45→50	54	172/242/303	131	270	7	3	41%	7%	54	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	187/257/301	114	274	12	9	35%	7%	58	-1.7	198/280/293	95	349	7	8	41%	9%	65	-1.2	152/277/229	77	359	3	4	50%	12%	49	-0.5
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A	20	34	42→45	47→40	40	168/249/264	96	280	10	3	41%	8%	47	-2.5	199/279/320	121	325	12	6	39%	9%	72	-0.7	183/279/320	137	294	13	3	39%	10%	68	-0.4
✕Yeicok Calderon 2012 · A	20	42	44→45	49→45	40	205/264/325	120	302	11	7	34%	7%	65	-1.2	191/241/311	120	309	13	5	40%	6%	54	-2.0	180/228/298	118	286	14	3	41%	6%	44	-0.9
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Izzy Wilson 2018 · A	20	38→33	43→45	51→55	36	187/246/294	107	307	11	11	41%	7%	52	-2.2	182/247/279	97	317	9	14	42%	8%	49	-2.4	178/248/306	128	270	16	23	38%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Izaac Pacheco 2023 · A	20	41→40	42→50	47→45	42	199/260/306	108	293	10	8	34%	8%	60	-1.6	180/243/297	117	298	12	5	41%	7%	52	-2.2	178/255/335	157	290	20	3	43%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Chris Dennis 2009 · A	20	38→42	47→50	50→45	42	191/269/316	126	301	15	7	39%	9%	67	-1.1	208/274/351	143	326	14	7	38%	8%	76	-0.4	201/265/356	154	313	15	7	38%	7%	71	-0.4
✕Elvin Soto 2009 · A	20	36	44→45	49→40	46	176/277/289	114	280	11	5	38%	10%	65	-1.2	175/262/278	103	301	9	6	41%	9%	55	-1.9	123/214/212	89	221	9	4	45%	9%	20	-1.4
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2013 · A	20	35	40→55	48→50	39	177/227/273	96	239	7	8	28%	5%	40	-3.1	204/239/315	111	271	10	8	28%	4%	53	-2.1	221/248/346	125	282	12	9	26%	4%	61	-0.5
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→32	43→45	51→50	42	190/258/298	108	281	10	12	34%	8%	57	-1.8	205/269/314	109	303	11	12	34%	7%	65	-1.2	180/254/288	108	265	12	11	34%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Danyer Sanabria 2022 · A	20	35	41→45	48→45	33	176/220/268	92	283	9	7	40%	5%	36	-3.4	201/249/291	90	324	6	5	37%	6%	51	-2.2	198/243/293	95	312	6	3	36%	5%	46	-0.9
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Mason Martin 2019 · A	20	37→33	47→55	41→45	39	180/259/307	127	309	15	4	44%	9%	61	-1.5	189/259/364	175	302	21	4	42%	8%	74	-0.5	172/235/348	176	267	21	5	43%	6%	60	-1.4
✕Kelly Aponte 2011 · A	20	39	41→45	49→45	33	186/234/283	96	319	8	4	42%	6%	45	-2.7	210/276/317	107	299	10	6	31%	8%	69	-0.9	206/288/323	116	268	12	5	26%	9%	75	-0.2
●Will Benson 2019 · A	21	28→38	47→55	46→55	43	157/251/282	125	249	16	9	41%	10%	53	-2.1	177/260/329	152	276	18	14	40%	10%	66	-1.1	219/322/395	175	313	17	26	32%	12%	101	+1.0
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	41	41→45	50	40	196/269/296	100	293	8	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	199/266/318	119	286	10	9	32%	7%	65	-1.2	149/220/307	158	194	15	9	31%	7%	43	-0.7
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2017 · A	20	43→44	44→50	51→50	37	216/262/334	118	301	12	6	32%	5%	67	-1.1	204/260/331	127	291	12	7	33%	6%	66	-1.1	205/278/354	149	273	18	6	31%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Jared Walker 2017 · A	21	37→32	40→55	44→45	37	178/239/268	89	302	8	7	41%	7%	44	-2.8	188/258/344	156	307	19	5	42%	7%	70	-0.9	173/255/337	164	274	21	5	42%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Estee Harris 2006 · A	21	36→31	43→50	50	37	187/233/300	113	268	11	14	34%	5%	48	-2.5	188/238/287	99	315	9	13	41%	6%	47	-2.5	172/224/263	91	318	8	13	46%	6%	34	-1.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps