Deward Tovar — OGILVIE

Deward TovarOF Hickory Crawdads

Age 20 L/L 5'10" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION293 act + 195 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .238 / .297

PA195

HR5

K%40

BB%7

BABIP270

ISO123

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	173	28	5	1	1	14	74	1	5	3	162	229	220	448	58	273	39	7	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	163	43	6	2	2	24	48	1	5	3	264	362	362	724	98	360	25	13	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	154	20	4	1	2	16	83	3	4	1	130	225	208	433	78	261	48	9	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	145	35	7	3	5	25	54	3	4	1	241	364	434	799	193	349	31	14	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	165	150	27	4	1	2	14	79	1	2	2	180	255	260	515	80	362	48	8	233	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	—	165	141	44	7	2	5	23	53	1	2	2	312	412	496	909	184	470	32	14	403	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	TEX	—	293	270	45	7	1	10	16	125	3	3	1	167	221	311	533	144	252	43	5	233	37	-21	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.5
YTD	20	A	TEX	—	293	261	59	10	2	13	25	88	3	3	1	226	301	429	730	203	280	30	9	319	102	+1	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.8
ROS	20	A	TEX	0%	195	178	31	5	1	5	13	78	2	2	1	174	238	297	535	123	261	40	7	234	37	-14	+0	+0	-1	+6	-1.0
ROS	20	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		262	—	—	229	33	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	A	TEX	—	293	271	45	7	1	10	16	125	3	3	1	166	221	310	531	144	250	43	5	233	37	-21	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.5
TOT	20	A	TEX	—	488	448	76	12	2	15	29	203	5	5	2	170	228	306	534	136	259	42	6	233	37	-35	+0	+0	-3	+14	-2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TEX	34%	385	351	63	11	2	10	27	145	4	5	2	179	246	308	554	128	266	38	7	250	50	-22	+0	+0	-2	+11	-1.3
2027	21	MLB	TEX	34%	132	121	23	4	1	4	9	50	1	2	1	190	252	339	591	149	267	38	7	245	46	-8	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	132	122	23	4	1	4	9	50	1	2	1	189	252	336	588	148	275	38	7	245	46	-8	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	114	20	5	20	44	246	5	10	5	190	253	339	592	150	276	38	7	245	46	-40	+0	+0	-4	+18	-2.6
Career	—			—	1107	1006	169	29	6	20	84	459	11	18	9	168	240	268	508	100	280	41	8	229	34	-83	+0	+0	-7	+31	-6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	100	17	4	12	49	269	6	11	5	169	240	272	512	103	282	41	8	229	34	-49	+0	+0	-4	+18	-3.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	189	163	43	6	2	2	24	48	1	5	3	264	362	362	724	98	360	25	13	330	111	+2	-0	—	—	+5	0.8
2024	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	173	145	35	7	3	5	25	54	3	4	1	241	364	434	799	193	349	31	14	358	132	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2025	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	29	29	9	1	0	0	0	13	0	0	1	310	310	345	655	34	562	45	0	294	83	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	136	112	35	6	2	5	23	40	1	2	1	312	434	536	970	223	448	29	17	427	185	+13	+0	—	—	+4	1.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	374	8	5	176	242	288	-2	+0	-1.6	-0.8
	/162	664	14	9	176	242	288	-4.0	+0.0	-2.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Deward Tovar (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	44→49	45→50	53	170/228/306	136	259	15	5	42%	6%	37	-2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Danyer Sanabria 2022 · A	20	35	41→45	48→45	33	176/220/268	92	284	9	7	40%	5%	27	-3.3	201/249/292	91	324	6	5	37%	6%	45	-2.1	197/243/294	97	309	5	3	36%	5%	39	-0.8
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→31	43→45	51→50	41	190/257/298	109	284	11	12	35%	8%	52	-1.6	205/269/317	112	309	11	12	35%	7%	62	-0.9	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Izzy Wilson 2018 · A	20	38→33	44→45	51→55	35	184/242/295	111	307	12	11	42%	6%	44	-2.1	181/246/280	99	322	9	14	43%	7%	42	-2.3	177/246/305	129	273	16	23	39%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Elvin Soto 2009 · A	20	36	44→45	49→40	46	176/277/289	114	280	11	5	38%	10%	60	-1.0	175/262/277	102	303	9	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	123/214/212	89	221	9	4	45%	9%	10	-1.4
✕Francisco Del Valle 2019 · A	20	37→27	39→45	50→40	39	181/243/264	83	279	7	6	36%	7%	37	-2.7	173/248/280	107	258	9	4	34%	8%	44	-2.1	156/230/268	112	219	11	3	33%	7%	31	-1.6
✕Aaron Bracho 2022 · A	21	33→37	42→50	43→40	40	168/236/266	98	260	10	5	37%	8%	35	-2.8	181/248/304	123	261	14	4	35%	7%	50	-1.7	193/255/337	144	244	19	4	29%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Carlos Pacheco 2019 · A	20	34	40→45	45→50	40	171/240/260	88	276	8	9	39%	8%	35	-2.8	188/245/276	88	325	7	9	41%	7%	40	-2.4	155/212/245	90	274	9	10	44%	6%	17	-1.3
✕Luis Mendez 2023 · A	20	38	42→40	48→50	37	191/246/297	106	283	10	10	35%	6%	46	-2.0	188/254/269	81	273	6	11	31%	8%	43	-2.2	188/248/267	80	251	6	13	26%	7%	37	-1.1
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4
✕Shalin Polanco 2023 · A	19	36→21	39→45	47→50	37	178/232/259	81	273	7	10	36%	6%	30	-3.1	186/247/307	121	297	13	12	40%	7%	50	-1.7	168/233/292	124	263	15	12	40%	7%	38	-1.5
✕John Silviano 2014 · A	20	32→31	40→50	42→40	41	166/236/258	92	256	8	4	37%	8%	33	-2.9	180/237/269	89	330	7	5	44%	6%	35	-2.8	177/240/327	150	273	20	2	41%	7%	50	-0.9
✕Izaac Pacheco 2023 · A	20	40→39	42→55	47→45	41	197/258/304	107	294	9	8	35%	7%	53	-1.5	182/243/308	126	303	14	5	42%	7%	49	-1.8	175/248/341	166	298	20	3	46%	8%	58	-0.6
✕Guillermo Williamson 2023 · A	19	38	42→45	46→30	40	183/256/290	107	302	10	5	40%	8%	50	-1.8	189/272/312	123	321	14	3	42%	9%	63	-0.9	173/262/301	128	296	17	1	44%	10%	52	-0.7
✕Junior Perez 2021 · A	20	37→40	44→50	50→55	40	186/256/304	118	288	12	11	38%	8%	53	-1.5	183/255/292	109	329	10	20	44%	8%	50	-1.8	168/243/272	104	301	10	25	44%	8%	37	-2.0
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A	20	34	41→45	47→40	39	168/245/259	91	281	10	3	41%	8%	37	-2.6	203/283/327	124	326	12	6	38%	9%	71	-0.3	196/292/343	147	309	14	3	37%	10%	75	-0.0
✕William Lugo 2022 · A	20	35→37	42→45	46→45	40	174/250/271	96	279	10	7	39%	8%	43	-2.2	188/256/301	113	277	12	4	34%	7%	53	-1.5	172/248/281	109	249	11	4	34%	8%	42	-1.6
✕Jordan Viars 2023 · A	20	39	39→40	52→45	41	191/262/272	80	279	8	7	32%	7%	47	-1.9	179/257/278	99	298	9	5	40%	7%	48	-1.9	155/238/255	100	269	11	4	43%	7%	31	-1.3
✕Jared Walker 2017 · A	21	37→31	40→55	44→45	37	179/240/268	89	302	8	7	42%	7%	37	-2.7	185/254/339	154	308	18	5	44%	7%	63	-0.9	167/248/330	163	274	21	5	45%	7%	55	-0.9
✕Brian Navarreto 2015 · A	20	34	41→45	48→30	36	176/226/276	100	264	9	5	36%	5%	33	-2.9	177/216/242	65	249	5	2	30%	4%	18	-3.9	210/259/348	138	256	18	1	26%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Michael James 2022 · A	20	36	41→45	47→50	37	178/246/270	92	282	9	10	38%	6%	40	-2.4	208/290/300	92	302	7	11	31%	9%	67	-0.5	202/309/297	95	279	7	17	27%	12%	77	+0.0