Albert Fabian — OGILVIE

Albert FabianOF San Antonio Missions

Age 24 L/L 6'0" / 215 lbs AA HR +13%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.2 · 2028

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .283 / .352

PA244

HR6

K%25

BB%7

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

40→40

SPD

45→45

EYE

46↘45

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$-6M	-$9M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Padres	166	148	26	8	1	1	14	49	3	3	2	.176	.261	.264	.524	.088	.253	30	8	.235	38	-12	-0	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
2021	19	ROK	ACL Padres	26	24	3	1	0	0	2	14	0	1	1	.125	.192	.167	.359	.042	.300	54	8	.158	-21	-4	-0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
2022	20	A	2 teams	390	357	63	12	1	14	24	149	7	3	5	.176	.242	.333	.576	.157	.250	38	6	.248	48	-23	-1	+0	-2	+11	-1.6
2023	21	A	2 teams	423	387	75	18	1	13	21	121	8	2	1	.194	.250	.346	.596	.152	.238	29	5	.256	54	-22	+0	+0	-3	+12	-1.3
2024	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	105	94	19	5	0	2	10	24	1	2	2	.202	.286	.319	.605	.117	.250	23	10	.269	64	-4	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2025	23	AA	3 teams	282	260	56	9	0	7	17	66	4	3	4	.215	.274	.331	.605	.115	.261	23	6	.267	62	-12	-1	+0	-2	+8	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	44	41	9	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	.220	.256	.293	.548	.073	.222	11	5	.234	37	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	SD	200	183	41	8	0	5	13	48	2	2	1	.224	.283	.350	.633	.126	.270	24	6	.284	75	-6	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
TOT	24	MLB	SD	244	224	50	8	0	6	15	53	2	2	1	.223	.278	.339	.617	.116	.263	22	6	.275	68	-9	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 11%	SD	303	275	63	12	1	8	22	68	3	3	2	.229	.293	.367	.661	.138	.270	22	7	.292	82	-6	-0	+0	-2	+9	0.0
2028	26	MLB 26%	SD	359	325	75	14	1	10	27	81	4	4	3	.231	.298	.372	.670	.142	.272	23	8	.296	85	-6	-0	+0	-2	+10	0.2
2029	27	MLB 44%	SD	384	347	79	15	1	10	30	87	4	5	3	.228	.297	.363	.660	.135	.273	23	8	.298	86	-6	-0	+0	-2	+11	0.2
2030	28	MLB 53%	SD	398	360	82	15	1	11	31	91	4	4	3	.228	.296	.367	.663	.139	.273	23	8	.297	86	-6	-0	-1	-2	+11	0.1
2031	29	MLB 64%	SD	399	361	82	15	1	11	31	92	4	4	3	.227	.295	.366	.661	.139	.272	23	8	.295	84	-7	-0	-1	-2	+11	-0.0
2032	30	MLB 73%	SD	397	359	80	15	1	10	31	93	4	4	3	.223	.292	.354	.646	.131	.271	23	8	.292	82	-8	-0	-2	-2	+11	-0.2
2033	31	MLB 91%	SD	386	349	77	14	1	10	30	92	4	2	4	.221	.290	.352	.642	.132	.270	24	8	.288	79	-9	-1	-3	-2	+11	-0.5
2034	32	MLB	SD	369	333	73	13	1	9	29	90	4	1	6	.219	.290	.345	.635	.126	.268	24	8	.284	75	-10	-2	-4	-2	+10	-0.8
2035	33	MLB	SD	341	308	66	12	1	8	27	85	3	1	14	.214	.284	.338	.622	.123	.266	25	8	.278	71	-11	-5	-4	-2	+10	-1.3
2036	34	MLB	SD	298	270	56	10	1	6	23	77	3	1	29	.207	.277	.319	.596	.111	.265	26	8	.272	66	-11	-11	-5	-2	+8	-2.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5226	4740	1016	196	13	135	382	1327	62	45	86	.214	.282	.347	.628	.132	.266	25	7	.280	72	-164	-25	-20	-31	+148	-9.4
/ 162G	—			650	590	127	24	2	17	48	165	8	6	11	.215	.284	.349	.633	.134	.267	25	7	.280	72	-20	-3	-2	-4	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Padres	166	139	34	11	1	2	23	34	3	3	2	.245	.364	.381	.745	.137	.308	20	14	.339	117	+3	-0	—	—	+5	0.8
2021	19	ROK	ACL Padres	26	23	5	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	1	.217	.308	.261	.569	.043	.385	38	12	.269	64	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	20	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	114	106	15	4	0	4	5	43	3	0	0	.142	.202	.292	.494	.151	.186	38	4	.224	29	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2022	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	276	241	67	14	2	12	29	68	4	3	5	.278	.365	.502	.867	.224	.337	25	11	.379	148	+15	-1	—	—	+8	2.2
2023	21	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	159	140	28	7	0	4	16	41	1	0	0	.200	.287	.336	.622	.136	.247	26	10	.280	73	-5	+0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2023	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	264	236	63	18	1	12	16	50	7	2	1	.267	.332	.504	.836	.237	.285	19	6	.360	133	+10	+0	—	—	+7	1.8
2024	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	105	90	23	7	0	2	14	19	1	2	2	.256	.362	.400	.762	.144	.304	18	13	.346	123	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	200	177	44	8	0	5	19	37	3	2	4	.249	.332	.379	.710	.130	.287	18	10	.321	104	+1	-1	—	—	+6	0.5
2025	23	ROK	ACL Padres	57	52	15	3	0	2	4	11	1	1	0	.288	.351	.462	.812	.173	.333	19	7	.361	135	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	23	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	25	23	3	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	.130	.200	.174	.374	.043	.158	16	8	.180	-4	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Albert Fabian (OGILVIE)	24	50	40	45	45	.220/.283/.352	.132	.276	6	3	25%	7%	78	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Collins 2014 · AA	24	44→49	46→50	46→50	46	.219/.282/.354	.135	.270	13	9	24%	7%	77	+0.1	.222/.276/.351	.129	.278	15	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	.217/.276/.335	.118	.282	13	11	27%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Vince Sinisi 2006 · AA	24	51→53	45	47→45	45	.250/.294/.369	.119	.290	13	10	19%	6%	85	+0.7	.244/.288/.356	.112	.293	9	8	19%	6%	79	+0.3	.243/.285/.349	.106	.291	8	5	19%	5%	74	-0.1
✕Caleb Gindl 2013 · AAA	24	48→54	44→50	46→50	46	.236/.290/.359	.123	.289	11	7	22%	7%	81	+0.4	.222/.276/.346	.124	.282	12	5	25%	7%	72	-0.2	.240/.285/.363	.124	.292	11	1	21%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Chris Swauger 2011 · AA	24	49→50	46→50	46→45	40	.241/.282/.379	.138	.301	12	7	24%	4%	82	+0.5	.243/.280/.365	.122	.306	13	5	24%	4%	78	+0.2	.238/.273/.349	.111	.300	14	5	25%	4%	69	-0.3
✕John Raglani 2007 · AA	24	45→47	47→50	47→45	46	.225/.294/.366	.142	.296	15	7	28%	8%	85	+0.7	.216/.291/.373	.157	.298	18	8	31%	9%	86	+0.8	.200/.286/.377	.177	.273	21	7	33%	10%	81	+0.4
✕Matt Mangini 2010 · AA	24	44→50	44→45	49→45	40	.218/.271/.331	.113	.293	12	7	29%	6%	66	-0.6	.248/.290/.362	.114	.327	11	6	26%	5%	81	+0.4	.260/.301/.363	.103	.345	10	4	26%	5%	83	+0.3
✕Zach DeLoach 2023 · AA	24	45→51	47→50	46→50	45	.221/.294/.358	.137	.305	15	6	31%	9%	83	+0.6	.222/.296/.346	.124	.325	13	10	33%	9%	81	+0.4	.218/.293/.335	.118	.322	11	13	33%	9%	73	-0.1
●Bryan Petersen 2010 · AA	24	48→57	46→45	47→50	46	.242/.296/.367	.125	.289	14	13	22%	6%	85	+0.7	.239/.300/.346	.107	.293	10	12	21%	7%	82	+0.5	.241/.312/.340	.099	.308	7	13	22%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Conrad Gregor 2016 · AA	24	46→54	46→45	47→40	49	.229/.298/.363	.134	.287	12	4	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.208/.277/.329	.121	.257	11	5	23%	8%	68	-0.5	.198/.267/.315	.118	.231	11	3	20%	9%	58	-0.5
✕Rene Tosoni 2010 · AA	24	50→49	45	45	45	.240/.313/.369	.128	.311	11	9	25%	7%	94	+1.3	.223/.284/.344	.121	.291	11	7	26%	6%	75	-0.0	.204/.259/.305	.101	.263	9	5	25%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Chih-Hsien Chiang 2012 · AA	24	49→52	48→50	46→40	42	.245/.287/.395	.150	.289	14	5	21%	4%	89	+1.0	.231/.261/.353	.122	.281	11	4	22%	3%	66	-0.6	.220/.245/.325	.105	.266	10	1	21%	3%	50	-1.3
✕Carlos Alvarez 2013 · AAA	25	48	47→45	48→45	46	.237/.293/.371	.134	.294	14	10	24%	7%	85	+0.7	.227/.296/.345	.118	.278	10	8	21%	8%	80	+0.4	.249/.327/.336	.087	.300	6	6	18%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Carlos Asuaje 2016 · AA	24	48→56	44→45	46→45	46	.234/.291/.361	.126	.285	10	7	21%	6%	82	+0.5	.242/.302/.349	.107	.296	7	6	20%	7%	82	+0.5	.242/.308/.341	.098	.295	6	4	19%	8%	79	+0.3
✕Luis Liberato 2021 · AA	25	43→51	47→50	44→50	42	.221/.267/.353	.132	.279	15	7	27%	6%	70	-0.3	.219/.278/.358	.139	.305	15	8	31%	7%	76	+0.1	.210/.278/.360	.150	.290	16	9	32%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Jared James 2018 · AA	24	49	42→45	47→45	45	.236/.291/.348	.112	.287	9	7	21%	6%	79	+0.3	.226/.281/.337	.111	.295	9	8	25%	6%	72	-0.2	.215/.272/.322	.107	.288	8	8	27%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Danny Putnam 2007 · AA	24	49→53	47→50	43→45	49	.245/.306/.383	.138	.289	14	3	20%	8%	94	+1.3	.224/.288/.359	.135	.283	14	5	25%	7%	81	+0.4	.211/.277/.348	.137	.268	15	6	27%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Stephen Parker 2012 · AAA	24	49→53	44→45	43→40	47	.238/.298/.360	.122	.301	12	3	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.215/.274/.318	.103	.296	10	5	29%	7%	64	-0.8	.193/.254/.284	.091	.273	9	5	31%	6%	44	-1.5
✕Joe Rizzo 2022 · AA	24	45→49	46→50	40	40	.226/.272/.351	.126	.290	15	4	27%	5%	71	-0.3	.225/.275/.374	.149	.282	18	4	27%	6%	79	+0.3	.221/.272/.374	.153	.268	19	2	25%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Jaycob Brugman 2016 · AA	24	44→48	44→50	46→45	44	.217/.272/.333	.117	.278	11	8	26%	7%	66	-0.6	.229/.282/.336	.107	.301	10	8	26%	7%	71	-0.3	.221/.282/.353	.132	.292	17	5	29%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Spencer Packard 2022 · A	24	45→51	45	51→40	46	.224/.287/.344	.120	.266	12	7	21%	6%	76	+0.1	.234/.306/.367	.133	.278	14	5	21%	8%	90	+1.0	.238/.319/.355	.117	.280	12	1	19%	9%	90	+0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)