Albert Fabian — OGILVIE

Albert FabianOF San Antonio Missions

Age 24 L/L 6'0" / 215 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION423 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP270

ISO125

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Padres	—	166	139	34	11	1	2	23	34	3	3	2	245	364	381	745	137	308	20	14	339	115	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.7
2021	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	26	23	5	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	1	217	308	261	569	43	385	38	12	269	68	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	20	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	114	106	15	4	0	4	5	43	3	0	0	142	202	292	494	151	186	38	4	224	37	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2022	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	276	241	67	14	2	12	29	68	4	3	5	278	365	502	867	224	337	25	11	379	143	+14	-1	—	—	+6	1.9
2023	21	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	159	140	28	7	0	4	16	41	1	0	0	200	287	336	622	136	247	26	10	280	76	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2023	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	264	236	63	18	1	12	16	50	7	2	1	267	332	504	836	237	285	19	6	360	130	+9	+0	—	—	+6	1.5
2024	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	105	90	23	7	0	2	14	19	1	2	2	256	362	400	762	144	304	18	13	346	120	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	200	177	44	8	0	5	19	37	3	2	4	249	332	379	710	130	287	18	10	321	103	+1	-1	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	23	ROK	ACL Padres	—	57	52	15	3	0	2	4	11	1	1	0	288	351	462	812	173	333	19	7	361	131	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	23	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	25	23	3	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	130	200	174	374	43	158	16	8	180	8	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	166	148	26	8	1	1	14	49	3	3	2	176	261	264	524	88	240	30	8	235	45	-11	-0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	26	24	3	1	0	0	2	14	0	1	1	125	192	167	359	42	308	54	8	158	-7	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	20	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	114	107	11	3	0	3	4	58	3	0	0	103	158	215	373	112	161	51	4	153	-10	-15	+0	—	—	+2	-1.3
2022	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	276	249	51	9	1	11	21	94	4	3	5	205	277	382	659	177	272	34	8	285	79	-7	-1	—	—	+6	-0.2
2023	21	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	159	145	23	5	0	4	11	55	1	0	0	159	223	276	499	117	209	35	7	217	33	-13	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2023	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	264	242	51	13	1	9	10	70	7	2	1	211	263	384	647	174	239	27	4	277	74	-8	+0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2024	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	105	94	20	6	0	2	10	26	1	2	2	213	295	340	636	128	261	25	10	267	67	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	200	183	40	7	0	4	13	43	3	2	4	219	281	322	604	104	260	22	6	268	68	-8	-1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	57	53	11	2	0	1	3	16	1	1	0	208	263	302	565	94	258	28	5	249	55	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	166	148	26	8	1	1	14	49	3	3	2	176	261	264	524	88	253	30	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	—	166	139	34	11	1	2	23	34	3	3	2	245	364	381	745	137	308	20	14	339	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	26	24	3	1	0	0	2	14	0	1	1	125	192	167	359	42	300	54	8	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	26	23	5	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	1	217	308	261	569	43	385	38	12	269	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	390	357	62	12	1	14	24	153	7	3	5	174	240	331	570	157	250	39	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	390	347	82	18	2	16	34	111	7	3	5	236	317	438	755	202	297	28	9	334	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	423	387	73	17	1	13	21	125	8	2	1	189	245	339	584	150	234	30	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	423	376	91	25	1	16	32	91	8	2	1	242	315	441	756	199	272	22	8	330	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	105	94	20	6	0	2	10	26	1	2	2	213	295	340	636	128	273	25	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	105	90	23	7	0	2	14	19	1	2	2	256	362	400	762	144	304	18	13	346	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	282	260	56	10	0	6	17	64	4	3	4	215	274	323	597	108	262	23	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	282	252	62	12	0	7	25	52	4	3	4	246	324	377	701	131	284	18	9	317	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	166	148	26	8	1	1	14	49	3	3	2	176	261	264	524	88	240	30	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	26	24	3	1	0	0	2	14	0	1	1	125	192	167	359	42	308	54	8	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	390	356	62	12	1	14	24	153	7	3	5	174	240	331	571	157	240	39	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	423	391	73	17	1	13	21	125	8	2	1	187	245	335	580	148	228	30	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	105	93	20	6	0	2	10	26	1	2	2	215	295	344	639	129	261	25	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	282	259	56	10	0	6	17	64	4	3	4	216	274	324	598	108	260	23	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	423	391	73	17	1	13	21	125	8	2	1	187	245	335	580	148	228	30	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	105	93	20	6	0	2	10	26	1	2	2	215	295	344	639	129	261	25	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	282	259	56	10	0	6	17	64	4	3	4	216	274	324	598	108	260	23	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	SD	—	423	385	89	16	3	10	23	96	4	10	2	231	282	366	648	135	272	23	5	280	76	-12	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	SD	—	423	374	99	19	3	12	34	79	4	10	2	265	333	428	760	163	296	19	8	330	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	SD	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		272	20	10	282	77	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	SD	—	433	394	90	16	3	10	24	98	4	10	2	228	280	360	640	132	269	23	6	280	76	-13	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SD	31%	335	308	70	13	2	8	21	76	3	5	2	227	283	360	644	133	274	23	6	287	80	-8	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	SD	45%	383	351	81	15	2	10	25	87	4	6	2	231	289	370	660	140	276	23	7	291	83	-8	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	SD	49%	400	366	84	16	2	10	27	91	4	6	2	230	290	366	656	137	276	23	7	293	84	-8	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	SD	52%	408	373	85	16	2	10	28	93	4	6	2	228	289	362	651	134	276	23	7	292	84	-8	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	SD	52%	405	370	85	16	2	10	28	93	4	6	2	230	291	365	656	135	275	23	7	290	83	-8	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	SD	52%	401	367	84	16	2	10	27	93	4	5	2	229	289	365	654	136	274	23	7	288	81	-9	+0	-2	-2	+9	-0.5
2027	25	MLB CTX	SD	31%	104	96	23	4	1	3	6	24	1	2	1	240	291	396	687	156	272	23	6	279	80	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	SD	45%	171	156	36	7	1	4	11	39	2	3	1	231	290	365	655	135	273	23	6	283	83	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	SD	49%	197	180	41	8	1	5	13	45	2	3	1	228	287	367	654	139	273	23	7	284	84	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	SD	52%	211	193	43	8	1	5	14	48	2	3	1	223	282	352	635	130	273	23	7	284	84	-4	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	SD	52%	209	191	43	8	1	5	14	48	2	3	1	225	285	356	641	131	272	23	7	282	83	-4	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	SD	52%	207	189	43	8	1	5	14	48	2	3	1	228	288	360	648	132	271	23	7	280	81	-5	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1099	1005	229	43	6	27	72	252	11	17	6	228	287	363	650	135	276	23	7	282	73	-23	+1	-2	-7	+24	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	135	25	4	16	43	149	7	10	4	227	288	364	651	136	275	23	7	282	73	-13	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3734	3414	730	146	15	94	245	966	46	48	27	214	276	348	624	134	268	26	7	276	73	-49	+2	-4	-14	+51	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	127	25	3	16	43	168	8	8	5	214	276	347	623	133	268	26	7	276	73	-14	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,103	27	16	229	285	365	-7	+0	0.1	0.2
/162	664	16	10	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Albert Fabian (OGILVIE)	24	50	40	45	45	223/276/351	127	272	6	5	23%	6%	77	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2017 · AA	24	49→53	42→45	47→50	46	236/285/345	109	281	9	9	20%	6%	78	-0.3	241/298/360	119	292	10	10	20%	7%	86	+0.3	243/304/370	127	291	12	9	20%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Jim Gallagher 2010 · AA	24	47→54	44→45	45	44	233/279/356	123	282	12	5	22%	6%	78	-0.3	233/293/336	103	285	8	6	20%	7%	78	-0.3	228/293/322	94	276	6	6	19%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Vince Sinisi 2006 · AA	24	52→54	44→45	47→45	45	254/297/371	117	293	12	10	18%	5%	88	+0.4	245/288/353	108	293	9	7	19%	6%	80	-0.1	244/286/346	102	291	8	5	18%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Tyler Collins 2014 · AA	24	43→50	46→45	46→50	46	217/279/350	133	266	13	8	24%	7%	77	-0.3	220/274/340	120	278	13	10	25%	6%	73	-0.6	218/277/332	114	284	12	11	27%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Zach DeLoach 2023 · AA	24	46→51	46→45	46→50	46	225/298/355	130	305	14	6	30%	9%	86	+0.3	223/296/341	118	327	11	11	32%	9%	82	-0.0	217/292/330	113	323	10	13	33%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Chantz Mack 2015 · AA	24	46→47	43→45	47→45	45	224/274/334	110	273	10	8	22%	6%	71	-0.8	217/286/325	108	297	10	5	28%	8%	74	-0.6	209/287/314	105	291	10	3	29%	9%	70	-0.6
✕Jared James 2018 · AA	24	50	41→45	47→45	45	239/295/347	108	289	8	6	20%	6%	82	-0.0	226/282/336	110	295	9	8	25%	6%	74	-0.5	215/272/322	107	287	8	8	27%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Jaycob Brugman 2016 · AA	24	45→49	43→50	47→45	45	222/276/339	117	282	10	8	25%	7%	73	-0.6	233/287/341	108	305	9	8	25%	7%	77	-0.3	222/283/354	132	293	16	5	29%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Rene Tosoni 2010 · AA	24	49→48	45	44→45	45	239/310/367	128	306	11	9	25%	7%	93	+0.8	219/279/332	113	284	10	7	25%	6%	73	-0.6	202/257/297	96	259	8	5	25%	6%	54	-1.2
✕Dominic Fletcher 2022 · AA	24	44→53	44→45	45	36	217/261/337	120	301	12	5	31%	5%	67	-1.1	234/290/356	122	305	10	6	25%	6%	82	+0.0	236/295/352	116	302	9	5	24%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Darius Hill 2022 · AA	24	49→58	40	44→45	42	240/277/321	81	295	8	6	22%	5%	68	-1.0	252/292/346	94	306	6	6	19%	5%	80	-0.2	253/295/344	91	308	4	5	18%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Chris Swauger 2011 · AA	24	49→50	46→50	45	40	242/283/379	137	303	12	7	24%	4%	85	+0.2	246/283/361	115	307	12	5	23%	4%	80	-0.1	244/279/347	103	304	12	5	24%	4%	73	-0.4
✕Chih-Hsien Chiang 2012 · AA	24	50→53	47→50	46→40	42	246/288/393	147	290	13	5	20%	4%	91	+0.6	231/260/346	115	280	10	4	21%	3%	68	-1.0	222/247/324	101	268	9	1	20%	3%	56	-1.4
✕Caleb Gindl 2013 · AAA	24	48→54	44→50	46→50	46	235/287/356	122	288	11	6	23%	7%	81	-0.1	219/275/341	122	278	12	5	25%	7%	74	-0.6	235/281/352	117	287	9	1	21%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Herlis Rodriguez 2018 · AAA	24	44→52	43→45	46→50	41	218/265/325	107	272	11	10	24%	5%	65	-1.2	212/272/322	110	281	9	12	27%	6%	68	-1.0	206/272/316	110	277	8	13	27%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Joe Rizzo 2022 · AA	24	45→48	45→50	41→40	41	226/274/348	122	292	14	5	27%	6%	74	-0.5	226/276/364	138	282	16	4	25%	6%	79	-0.2	223/273/364	141	271	17	2	24%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Luis González 2021 · AA	25	46→52	42→45	47→50	45	224/276/333	109	278	10	12	23%	6%	72	-0.7	228/299/343	115	294	12	18	25%	8%	83	+0.1	231/309/344	113	297	12	22	25%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Orlando Martinez 2022 · AA	24	42→49	46→45	45→50	38	213/256/342	128	288	14	7	31%	5%	66	-1.1	220/268/336	116	287	11	8	26%	6%	69	-0.9	231/294/322	92	284	6	11	20%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Matt Mangini 2010 · AA	24	45→50	43→45	50→45	40	223/275/331	107	294	11	8	27%	6%	71	-0.8	251/292/360	109	330	10	6	26%	5%	84	+0.1	260/301/361	101	344	9	4	26%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Richie Fecteau 2018 · A	24	46	43→45	44→40	45	227/281/338	110	271	11	5	21%	6%	75	-0.5	211/257/315	104	310	8	5	33%	5%	60	-1.6	188/228/286	98	301	6	2	38%	4%	39	-1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps