Albert Fabian — OGILVIE

Albert FabianOF San Antonio Missions

Age 24 L/L 6'0" / 215 lbs AA HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION243 act + 162 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .280 / .356

PA162

HR4

K%23

BB%6

BABIP266

ISO134

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Padres	—	166	148	26	8	1	1	14	49	3	3	2	176	261	264	524	88	253	30	8	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Padres	—	166	139	34	11	1	2	23	34	3	3	2	245	364	381	745	137	308	20	14	339	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	26	24	3	1	0	0	2	14	0	1	1	125	192	167	359	42	300	54	8	158	-21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	26	23	5	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	1	217	308	261	569	43	385	38	12	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	390	357	60	11	1	14	24	156	7	3	5	168	235	322	557	154	243	40	6	245	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	390	347	82	18	2	16	34	111	7	3	5	236	317	438	755	202	297	28	9	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	423	387	74	16	1	13	21	128	8	2	1	191	248	339	586	147	241	30	5	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	423	376	91	25	1	16	32	91	8	2	1	242	315	441	756	199	272	22	8	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	105	95	20	6	0	2	9	27	1	2	2	211	286	337	623	126	273	26	9	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	105	90	23	7	0	2	14	19	1	2	2	256	362	400	762	144	304	18	13	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	3 teams	—	282	260	58	10	0	7	17	64	4	3	4	223	281	342	623	119	268	23	6	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	3 teams	—	282	252	62	12	0	7	25	52	4	3	4	246	324	377	701	131	284	18	9	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	SD	—	243	220	47	7	2	6	14	54	2	4	0	214	267	345	612	132	246	22	6	259	56	-12	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.6
YTD	24	AA	SD	—	243	214	50	8	2	6	20	42	2	4	0	234	305	374	679	140	254	17	8	297	85	-4	+1	+0	-1	+7	0.2
ROS	24	AA	SD	2%	162	149	33	6	1	4	10	37	2	2	1	221	280	356	635	134	262	23	6	278	71	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	SD	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						259	33	0	266	62	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	SD	—	246	223	47	7	2	6	14	55	2	4	0	211	264	341	604	130	243	22	6	259	56	-12	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.6
TOT	24	AA	SD	—	405	369	80	13	3	10	24	91	4	6	1	217	272	350	622	133	254	22	6	266	62	-17	+1	+0	-2	+11	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SD	31%	328	301	66	12	1	8	21	75	3	4	2	219	277	346	622	126	264	23	6	283	74	-9	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	SD	45%	377	345	77	14	2	10	25	86	4	5	2	223	283	362	646	139	266	23	7	287	78	-10	+0	+0	-2	+11	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	SD	49%	396	362	82	15	2	11	27	91	4	5	2	227	288	370	658	144	267	23	7	289	79	-9	+0	+0	-2	+11	-0.0
2030	28	MLB	SD	52%	406	371	83	15	2	11	28	93	4	5	2	224	285	364	649	140	267	23	7	289	79	-10	+0	-1	-2	+12	-0.1
2027	25	MLB	SD	31%	102	94	21	4	0	3	6	23	1	1	0	223	277	362	639	138	261	23	6	271	66	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	SD	45%	168	153	34	6	1	4	11	38	2	2	1	222	283	353	636	131	263	23	7	275	69	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	SD	49%	195	178	39	7	1	5	13	45	2	3	1	219	280	354	634	135	264	23	7	277	70	-7	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
2030	28	MLB	SD	52%	210	191	42	8	1	5	15	48	2	3	1	220	284	351	634	131	264	23	7	277	70	-7	+0	-0	-1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	678	619	136	25	3	17	45	155	7	9	3	220	280	352	632	132	264	23	7	276	69	-24	+1	-0	-4	+19	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	130	24	3	16	43	149	7	9	3	219	280	351	631	132	264	23	7	276	69	-23	+1	-0	-4	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	3061	2799	582	114	11	81	198	820	40	35	24	208	270	343	613	135	261	27	6	271	65	-120	-3	-1	-18	+87	-5.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	123	24	2	17	42	174	8	7	5	207	268	340	608	133	260	27	6	271	65	-25	-1	-0	-4	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Padres	—	166	139	34	11	1	2	23	34	3	3	2	245	364	381	745	137	308	20	14	339	117	+3	-0	—	—	+5	0.8
2021	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	26	23	5	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	1	217	308	261	569	43	385	38	12	269	64	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	20	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	114	106	15	4	0	4	5	43	3	0	0	142	202	292	494	151	186	38	4	224	29	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2022	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	276	241	67	14	2	12	29	68	4	3	5	278	365	502	867	224	337	25	11	379	148	+15	-1	—	—	+8	2.2
2023	21	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	159	140	28	7	0	4	16	41	1	0	0	200	287	336	622	136	247	26	10	280	73	-5	+0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2023	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	264	236	63	18	1	12	16	50	7	2	1	267	332	504	836	237	285	19	6	360	133	+10	+0	—	—	+7	1.8
2024	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	105	90	23	7	0	2	14	19	1	2	2	256	362	400	762	144	304	18	13	346	123	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	200	177	44	8	0	5	19	37	3	2	4	249	332	379	710	130	287	18	10	321	104	+1	-1	—	—	+6	0.5
2025	23	ROK	ACL Padres	—	57	52	15	3	0	2	4	11	1	1	0	288	351	462	812	173	333	19	7	361	135	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	23	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	25	23	3	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	130	200	174	374	43	158	16	8	180	-4	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	679	18	9	224	282	361	-4	+0	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	18	8	224	282	361	-4.0	+0.0	-0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Albert Fabian (OGILVIE)	24	50	40	45	45	217/272/350	133	254	10	6	22%	6%	62	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jim Gallagher 2010 · AA	24	47→53	45	45	44	233/279/356	123	282	12	5	22%	6%	76	+0.0	232/291/340	108	282	9	6	20%	7%	76	+0.1	227/291/327	100	273	8	6	19%	8%	70	-0.3
✕Tyler Collins 2014 · AA	24	43→50	47→50	46→50	45	216/278/356	140	267	14	8	24%	7%	76	+0.0	225/277/361	136	280	16	10	25%	6%	76	+0.1	221/280/345	124	285	14	11	27%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Jared James 2018 · AA	24	49	42→45	47→45	44	236/292/349	113	289	9	6	21%	6%	79	+0.3	226/282/337	111	300	9	8	26%	6%	72	-0.2	218/273/322	104	297	8	8	28%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Ron Davenport 2006 · AA	24	47→46	46→50	44→40	40	238/271/368	130	288	14	5	23%	4%	75	-0.0	236/272/372	136	275	13	4	19%	4%	76	+0.1	236/272/376	139	269	13	2	17%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Vince Sinisi 2006 · AA	24	51→54	45	47→45	45	254/297/374	120	294	13	10	19%	5%	87	+0.8	244/287/355	111	293	9	7	19%	6%	78	+0.2	243/285/347	104	291	8	5	19%	5%	74	-0.1
✕Andrew Pullin 2018 · AAA	24	47→49	47→50	46→40	40	234/272/377	143	281	14	4	22%	4%	78	+0.2	212/258/341	129	292	12	8	30%	5%	63	-0.8	134/178/229	95	225	8	4	43%	5%	-4	-1.1
✕Chih-Hsien Chiang 2012 · AA	24	49→53	47→50	46→40	41	244/286/390	146	289	13	5	21%	4%	88	+0.9	234/262/349	115	286	11	4	22%	3%	66	-0.6	227/250/329	103	276	9	1	21%	3%	53	-1.1
✕Herlis Rodriguez 2018 · AAA	24	44→52	43→45	46→50	40	218/265/330	111	273	11	10	24%	5%	63	-0.9	212/269/322	110	283	9	12	27%	5%	63	-0.8	204/268/315	110	276	8	13	28%	5%	60	-0.4
✕Matthew Spencer 2010 · AA	24	47→48	49→50	47→45	41	239/284/388	149	290	17	7	24%	5%	86	+0.8	219/262/365	146	277	18	8	28%	5%	71	-0.3	204/246/346	143	257	19	8	29%	4%	58	-0.9
✕Carlos Guzman 2010 · AA	24	46→48	45→50	46→50	39	230/276/354	124	308	13	8	29%	5%	74	-0.1	226/280/313	87	304	8	5	26%	6%	64	-0.8	218/279/261	43	296	3	1	25%	6%	50	-0.5
✕Luis González 2021 · AA	25	45→52	43→45	47→50	45	223/278/334	111	280	10	12	24%	6%	69	-0.4	231/301/347	116	297	12	18	25%	8%	83	+0.6	235/312/350	115	301	12	22	24%	9%	85	+0.3
✕Conrad Gregor 2016 · AA	24	46→54	45	47→40	48	225/294/354	129	289	11	4	25%	8%	82	+0.5	209/278/327	118	260	11	5	23%	8%	68	-0.5	202/273/317	115	236	11	3	19%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Jaycob Brugman 2016 · AA	24	44→49	43→50	47→45	43	215/267/325	110	281	10	8	27%	6%	62	-0.9	232/285/344	112	306	10	8	26%	7%	75	-0.0	236/290/349	113	311	11	7	27%	7%	75	+0.0
✕John Raglani 2007 · AA	24	45→47	47→50	47→45	46	223/292/362	139	294	14	7	28%	8%	83	+0.6	216/293/371	155	299	17	8	31%	9%	86	+0.8	201/288/374	173	274	21	7	33%	10%	81	+0.4
✕Bobby Coyle Jr. 2013 · AA	24	52→44	45→50	45	42	257/289/384	127	303	13	5	20%	4%	87	+0.8	229/263/374	145	280	18	4	25%	4%	73	-0.1	206/238/356	150	246	22	1	27%	4%	57	-0.5
✕Mike Papi 2018 · AAA	25	43→47	45	44→45	48	214/289/333	119	280	13	6	27%	9%	75	-0.0	220/292/330	110	304	10	6	28%	9%	75	-0.0	209/290/313	104	302	7	1	31%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Chris Swauger 2011 · AA	24	49→50	46→50	45	39	241/282/381	139	303	12	7	25%	4%	83	+0.6	245/281/362	117	309	13	5	24%	4%	78	+0.2	242/277/346	104	304	13	5	24%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Alfredo Marte 2013 · AA	24	47	47→50	45	43	234/284/372	137	278	15	7	22%	5%	82	+0.5	223/279/342	119	287	11	7	25%	6%	72	-0.2	217/277/331	115	290	11	10	28%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Chantz Mack 2015 · AA	24	46→45	42→45	47→45	44	223/272/329	106	274	9	8	22%	6%	65	-0.7	213/281/322	109	294	10	5	29%	8%	67	-0.5	204/281/310	106	285	11	3	30%	9%	63	-0.6
✕Caleb Gindl 2013 · AAA	24	48→55	44→50	46→50	46	237/289/360	123	290	11	6	22%	7%	81	+0.4	221/274/347	126	281	13	5	25%	7%	71	-0.3	244/288/382	138	296	13	1	22%	6%	83	+0.3