Johan Machado — OGILVIE

Johan MachadoSS DSL Miami

Age 18 S/R 6'1" / 140 lbs ROK HR -4%BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 4.2 · 2034

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .286 / .308

PA207

HR3

K%27

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

20→20

SPD

60→60

EYE

55→55

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.2peak

2035

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.7	$35M	+$34M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+4.0	$39M	+$38M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+4.2	$43M	+$42M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+4.2	$44M	+$35M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+4.0	$43M	+$30M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$19M	+3.8	$42M	+$23M
Totals		$44M		$246M	+$203M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Miami	237	207	42	7	2	0	23	48	5	25	9	.203	.298	.256	.554	.053	.261	20	10	.257	55	-12	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	MIA	207	186	39	7	1	3	17	56	2	4	1	.210	.283	.306	.589	.097	.287	27	8	.273	67	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	MIA	284	252	58	10	2	5	26	73	4	7	2	.230	.312	.345	.657	.115	.300	26	9	.298	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.7
2028	20	MLB 28%	MIA	403	355	85	15	3	8	39	100	6	11	3	.239	.325	.366	.691	.127	.305	25	10	.310	95	-2	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.5
2029	21	MLB 48%	MIA	492	432	104	18	3	11	50	119	7	14	3	.241	.329	.373	.702	.132	.306	24	10	.318	102	+1	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.2
2030	22	MLB 65%	MIA	554	483	120	21	4	14	58	130	8	15	4	.248	.339	.395	.734	.147	.306	23	10	.326	107	+5	+1	+0	+6	+16	2.8
2031	23	MLB 86%	MIA	597	519	130	23	4	16	64	137	9	16	4	.250	.343	.403	.746	.152	.306	23	11	.331	112	+8	+2	+0	+6	+17	3.3
2032	24	MLB	MIA	624	541	136	24	4	17	69	142	9	16	4	.251	.346	.405	.751	.153	.306	23	11	.335	115	+10	+2	+0	+7	+18	3.7
2033	25	MLB	MIA	640	553	139	24	4	18	72	144	10	16	4	.251	.348	.407	.755	.156	.307	22	11	.338	117	+12	+2	+0	+7	+18	4.0
2034	26	MLB	MIA	647	558	140	24	4	18	74	146	10	16	3	.251	.349	.405	.754	.154	.307	23	11	.340	118	+13	+2	+0	+7	+18	4.2
2035	27	MLB	MIA	647	557	140	24	4	18	75	146	10	16	3	.251	.350	.406	.756	.154	.307	23	12	.340	119	+14	+2	+0	+7	+18	4.2
2036	28	MLB	MIA	642	552	139	24	4	18	75	146	10	15	3	.252	.352	.408	.759	.156	.307	23	12	.339	118	+13	+2	-1	+7	+18	4.0
2037	29	MLB	MIA	632	544	135	23	4	17	74	146	9	15	2	.248	.348	.399	.747	.151	.306	23	12	.337	116	+11	+2	-1	+7	+18	3.8
2038	30	MLB	MIA	621	534	133	23	4	17	73	146	9	14	2	.249	.349	.403	.752	.154	.305	24	12	.334	114	+10	+2	-2	+7	+18	3.4
2039	31	MLB	MIA	607	522	128	22	4	16	71	145	9	13	1	.245	.346	.395	.740	.149	.304	24	12	.330	111	+7	+2	-3	+7	+17	3.1
2040	32	MLB	MIA	588	507	122	21	3	15	68	143	8	12	0	.241	.340	.383	.722	.142	.302	24	12	.325	107	+5	+2	-4	+6	+17	2.7
2041	33	MLB	MIA	558	480	113	19	3	13	65	140	8	11	0	.235	.336	.369	.705	.133	.301	25	12	.320	103	+2	+2	-4	+6	+16	2.2
2042	34	MLB	MIA	511	440	102	17	3	12	59	132	7	10	0	.232	.332	.366	.698	.134	.299	26	12	.313	98	-1	+2	-5	+5	+14	1.6
2043	35	MLB	MIA	454	393	89	14	3	10	52	122	6	10	0	.226	.326	.354	.680	.127	.297	27	11	.306	92	-4	+2	-6	+5	+13	1.0
2044	36	MLB	MIA	393	341	74	12	2	8	44	110	5	9	0	.217	.315	.334	.650	.117	.294	28	11	.297	86	-6	+2	-6	+4	+11	0.4
2045	37	MLB	MIA	328	284	60	9	2	6	37	95	4	7	0	.211	.311	.320	.631	.109	.291	29	11	.287	78	-8	+1	-7	+4	+9	-0.1
2046	38	MLB	MIA	257	224	45	7	1	4	28	76	3	6	0	.201	.298	.295	.593	.094	.286	30	11	.277	70	-9	+1	-8	+3	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10923	9464	2273	388	68	264	1213	2642	158	278	48	.240	.336	.379	.716	.139	.304	24	11	.322	105	+56	+36	-46	+117	+309	48.3
/ 162G	—			650	563	135	23	4	16	72	157	9	17	3	.240	.335	.380	.715	.140	.303	24	11	.322	105	+3	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Miami	237	194	53	10	4	0	36	36	5	25	9	.273	.400	.366	.766	.093	.331	15	15	.352	127	+7	+1	—	—	+7	1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johan Machado (OGILVIE)	18	45	20	60	55	.212/.286/.308	.096	.287	3	4	27%	8%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	45→54	37→40	51→65	44	.205/.292/.286	.080	.293	3	15	28%	7%	64	-0.8	.210/.299/.284	.074	.292	3	18	26%	10%	66	-0.6	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	57→50	55	.211/.299/.288	.077	.267	4	15	21%	11%	67	-0.5	.229/.289/.320	.091	.303	6	11	25%	7%	70	-0.3	.255/.302/.371	.117	.316	8	12	21%	6%	85	+0.5
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	.212/.301/.276	.064	.273	3	16	22%	11%	65	-0.7	.218/.304/.295	.077	.280	4	15	21%	9%	71	-0.3	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	55→60	49	.241/.304/.317	.076	.306	3	17	21%	8%	75	-0.0	.250/.296/.310	.060	.296	1	19	15%	6%	69	-0.4	.299/.358/.381	.081	.343	4	36	13%	8%	110	+2.1
●César Hernández 2008 · A	18	44→54	39→45	51→55	41	.212/.255/.308	.097	.268	5	8	23%	4%	52	-1.6	.222/.280/.298	.076	.270	3	15	18%	7%	60	-1.0	.277/.367/.382	.105	.344	8	16	20%	12%	114	+2.9
✕Luis Barahona 2012 · A	18	46	36→30	53→50	48	.216/.284/.288	.072	.286	3	13	24%	8%	59	-1.1	.205/.259/.267	.062	.281	2	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	.200/.252/.254	.054	.273	0	16	25%	6%	33	-1.0
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	47→49	38→40	53→55	57	.220/.313/.307	.086	.278	4	14	20%	12%	78	+0.2	.225/.315/.310	.085	.316	4	20	27%	11%	79	+0.3	.219/.316/.296	.077	.309	5	23	27%	12%	75	+0.0
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43	38→30	52→60	41	.205/.262/.288	.083	.287	4	12	29%	6%	50	-1.7	.223/.282/.290	.067	.291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	.224/.333/.269	.045	.305	1	34	23%	14%	74	-0.0
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	.199/.262/.281	.083	.258	5	7	24%	6%	50	-1.8	.211/.287/.284	.073	.267	5	9	21%	9%	61	-1.0	.221/.317/.274	.053	.274	5	10	19%	11%	69	-0.2
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	48	36→40	54→60	50	.215/.310/.286	.072	.325	3	19	31%	11%	72	-0.2	.247/.324/.323	.076	.343	3	23	26%	9%	85	+0.7	.263/.336/.338	.075	.360	3	29	25%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	44→54	40	51→40	49	.210/.275/.306	.096	.257	7	7	21%	8%	61	-1.0	.232/.280/.319	.087	.274	5	5	16%	6%	66	-0.6	.274/.327/.360	.086	.313	3	3	13%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Miguel Chacoa 2008 · A	19	50	38→30	52→50	46	.236/.296/.315	.079	.307	5	16	24%	7%	72	-0.2	.236/.298/.295	.059	.279	3	15	15%	8%	67	-0.5	.241/.304/.284	.043	.277	1	17	12%	7%	63	-0.3
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	36→30	52→60	53	.219/.312/.284	.065	.295	3	15	24%	11%	72	-0.2	.217/.299/.270	.053	.305	2	19	27%	9%	63	-0.9	.232/.319/.263	.031	.312	0	30	23%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Carlos Pulido 2016 · A	18	47	36→30	51→30	43	.215/.288/.280	.065	.299	2	8	27%	7%	60	-1.0	.211/.287/.269	.058	.261	2	4	18%	7%	57	-1.2	.218/.303/.262	.044	.251	2	1	13%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44	39→40	55→60	45	.209/.289/.294	.085	.284	5	12	27%	8%	65	-0.7	.190/.255/.255	.065	.317	4	19	38%	6%	40	-2.4	.181/.244/.237	.056	.315	4	29	41%	6%	28	-1.7
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	.206/.269/.272	.066	.268	4	9	24%	7%	50	-1.8	.229/.303/.289	.060	.291	2	16	20%	8%	69	-0.4	.218/.282/.263	.044	.267	0	22	17%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Jodaneli Carvajal 2010 · A	18	44	38→30	61→55	43	.208/.261/.292	.083	.276	5	18	26%	6%	50	-1.7	.213/.264/.278	.065	.273	3	17	22%	6%	48	-1.9	.211/.261/.267	.056	.265	2	18	20%	5%	40	-0.8
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	43→42	45→40	53→65	45	.213/.281/.336	.123	.279	13	11	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.194/.288/.298	.104	.270	9	21	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.165/.260/.259	.093	.238	9	30	32%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Olvy Marte 2013 · A	18	46	36→40	49→55	44	.213/.287/.280	.067	.288	4	17	25%	7%	60	-1.0	.221/.282/.293	.072	.293	2	16	24%	6%	60	-1.0	.224/.283/.295	.071	.296	1	19	23%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	40→50	41→45	56→55	44	.195/.266/.289	.094	.272	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.217/.283/.315	.098	.299	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)