Rony Bello — OGILVIE

Rony BelloSS DSL Nationals

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 62 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .287 / .347

PA62

HR1

K%22

BB%6

BABIP281

ISO121

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$12M	+$12M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.5	$12M	+$11M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.6	$11M	+$11M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+2.6	$11M	+$8M
2036	Arb-2	$8M	+2.5	$9M	+$6M
2037	Arb-3	$12M	+2.3	$8M	+$4M
Totals		$29M		$63M	+$53M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	105	95	13	3	1	0	8	24	2	8	0	137	219	189	409	53	183	23	8	193	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	105	89	18	4	2	0	14	16	2	8	0	202	324	292	616	90	247	15	13	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	WSH	—	94	82	18	1	1	3	6	14	4	18	4	220	304	366	670	146	224	15	6	299	87	-1	+2	+0	+1	+3	0.4
YTD	18	ROK	WSH	—	94	78	23	2	1	4	10	10	4	18	4	295	402	500	902	205	288	11	11	393	159	+6	+2	+0	+1	+3	1.2
ROS	18	ROK	WSH	0%	62	57	13	2	1	1	4	14	1	4	1	225	287	347	634	121	274	22	6	281	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
ROS	18	MLB	WSH	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	267	63	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	WSH	—	94	83	18	1	1	3	6	14	4	18	4	217	304	361	666	145	221	15	6	299	87	-1	+2	+0	+1	+3	0.4
TOT	18	ROK	WSH	—	156	139	31	3	2	4	10	28	5	22	5	222	297	358	655	136	246	18	6	292	82	-3	+2	+0	+2	+4	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	WSH	34%	182	164	38	6	2	3	13	40	3	7	1	232	300	348	648	116	280	22	7	292	82	-4	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2028	20	MLB	WSH	48%	323	290	68	10	3	7	24	70	6	12	2	234	306	362	668	128	283	22	7	299	87	-5	+2	+0	+3	+9	1.0
2029	21	MLB	WSH	54%	431	388	92	14	4	10	32	93	8	15	3	237	308	371	680	134	284	22	7	304	91	-4	+2	+0	+5	+12	1.4
2030	22	MLB	WSH	57%	507	453	108	17	4	12	39	109	10	18	3	238	313	373	686	135	285	21	8	307	93	-4	+2	+0	+5	+14	1.9
2031	23	MLB	WSH	58%	558	499	121	19	5	14	43	119	11	20	3	242	316	385	701	142	286	21	8	310	95	-3	+3	+0	+6	+16	2.2
2032	24	MLB	WSH	57%	592	531	128	20	5	15	45	126	11	21	3	241	313	382	696	141	287	21	8	312	97	-2	+3	+0	+6	+17	2.4
2033	25	MLB	WSH	57%	612	548	133	21	5	16	47	130	12	22	4	243	316	387	703	144	287	21	8	313	98	-2	+3	+0	+7	+17	2.5
2034	26	MLB	WSH	57%	622	557	134	21	5	16	48	132	12	22	4	241	314	382	697	142	287	21	8	313	98	-1	+3	+0	+7	+18	2.6
2035	27	MLB	WSH	55%	623	557	134	21	5	16	49	133	12	22	4	241	316	382	698	142	287	21	8	313	98	-1	+3	+0	+7	+18	2.6
2036	28	MLB	WSH	55%	619	553	134	21	5	16	49	133	12	21	4	242	318	385	703	143	286	21	8	313	97	-2	+3	-1	+7	+18	2.5
2037	29	MLB	WSH	53%	610	544	130	20	5	15	49	132	12	21	3	239	316	377	693	138	286	22	8	311	96	-3	+3	-1	+7	+17	2.3
2038	30	MLB	WSH	53%	600	536	128	20	5	15	48	131	11	20	3	239	314	379	693	140	285	22	8	308	94	-4	+3	-2	+6	+17	2.1
2039	31	MLB	WSH	52%	586	523	123	19	5	14	47	130	11	19	3	235	312	371	682	136	283	22	8	304	91	-6	+3	-3	+6	+17	1.7
2040	32	MLB	WSH	56%	568	508	116	17	4	13	45	128	10	19	3	228	304	354	658	126	280	23	8	299	87	-8	+3	-4	+6	+16	1.3
2041	33	MLB	WSH	59%	538	481	109	16	4	12	42	124	10	17	3	227	302	351	653	125	277	23	8	293	82	-11	+2	-4	+6	+15	0.8
2027	19	MLB	WSH	34%	63	57	13	2	1	1	5	14	1	2	0	228	302	351	652	123	280	22	8	279	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB	WSH	48%	157	141	32	5	1	3	12	34	3	6	1	227	301	340	642	113	283	22	8	285	77	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2029	21	MLB	WSH	54%	234	210	50	8	2	5	18	50	4	8	1	238	310	367	677	129	284	21	8	290	80	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2030	22	MLB	WSH	57%	287	258	61	10	2	7	22	61	5	10	2	236	309	372	681	136	285	21	8	294	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.7
2031	23	MLB	WSH	58%	321	287	70	11	3	8	25	68	6	11	2	244	318	387	704	143	286	21	8	296	85	-6	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.9
2032	24	MLB	WSH	57%	337	302	72	11	3	8	26	72	6	12	2	238	311	374	686	136	287	21	8	298	86	-5	+2	+0	+4	+10	1.0
2033	25	MLB	WSH	57%	347	310	76	12	3	9	27	74	7	12	2	245	320	390	710	145	287	21	8	299	87	-5	+2	+0	+4	+10	1.0
2034	26	MLB	WSH	57%	352	315	76	12	3	9	27	75	7	12	2	241	315	384	699	143	287	21	8	299	87	-5	+2	+0	+4	+10	1.0
2035	27	MLB	WSH	55%	346	309	75	12	3	9	27	74	7	12	2	243	318	388	706	146	287	21	8	299	87	-5	+2	+0	+4	+10	1.0
2036	28	MLB	WSH	55%	340	304	73	11	3	9	27	73	6	12	2	240	315	385	699	145	286	21	8	299	87	-5	+2	-0	+4	+10	1.0
2037	29	MLB	WSH	53%	326	291	70	11	3	8	26	70	6	11	2	241	316	381	697	141	286	21	8	297	85	-5	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.8
2038	30	MLB	WSH	53%	316	282	67	10	3	8	25	69	6	11	2	238	313	379	693	142	285	22	8	294	84	-6	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.7
2039	31	MLB	WSH	52%	306	273	64	10	2	7	24	68	6	10	2	234	310	363	673	128	283	22	8	291	81	-7	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.5
2040	32	MLB	WSH	56%	319	285	66	10	3	7	25	72	6	10	2	232	307	361	668	130	280	23	8	286	77	-8	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.3
2041	33	MLB	WSH	59%	317	283	63	9	2	7	25	73	6	10	2	223	299	343	642	120	277	23	8	279	72	-10	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4368	3908	928	144	37	105	341	947	82	149	26	237	312	374	686	136	286	22	8	294	83	-85	+19	-8	+47	+124	9.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	139	21	6	16	51	141	12	22	4	239	314	378	692	139	287	22	8	294	83	-13	+3	-1	+7	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	8138	7284	1722	267	68	195	632	1768	154	288	47	236	311	372	683	136	285	22	8	306	92	-73	+39	-15	+87	+231	27.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	137	21	5	16	50	141	12	23	4	235	309	371	680	136	283	22	8	306	92	-6	+3	-1	+7	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	105	89	18	4	2	0	14	16	2	8	0	202	324	292	616	90	247	15	13	290	80	-2	+2	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,457	107	154	238	309	375	+48	+27	15.6	12.6
	/162	664	16	23	238	309	375	+7.1	+4.0	2.3	pk7: 10
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rony Bello (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	222/297/358	136	246	4	22	18%	6%	82	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	45→49	41→60	55→50	47	217/288/313	96	267	8	16	21%	7%	69	-0.4	215/262/314	99	286	8	16	27%	5%	57	-1.2	261/322/478	218	301	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/279/361	133	299	12	12	27%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
●Victor Robles 2015 · A	18	49→54	41→50	53→60	44	231/298/338	107	281	6	19	20%	5%	79	+0.3	242/311/355	113	302	7	22	22%	5%	89	+1.0	241/311/384	143	300	12	27	22%	6%	93	+1.0
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→50	58→50	55	210/300/285	75	268	4	16	22%	11%	66	-0.6	232/290/328	96	308	7	11	25%	7%	72	-0.2	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	71	-0.3	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	49	-1.8	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
●Orlando Arcia 2013 · A	18	46→56	43→55	49→55	50	222/282/333	110	247	10	11	15%	7%	71	-0.3	239/280/330	91	280	5	16	16%	5%	68	-0.5	245/305/406	162	273	21	3	19%	8%	97	+1.0
✕Gorkys Hernández 2007 · A	19	49→59	41→45	54→55	41	239/268/338	99	285	9	17	20%	4%	65	-0.7	246/287/331	85	313	5	22	22%	5%	71	-0.3	263/321/381	118	325	11	16	21%	7%	95	+1.0
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	45→46	38→45	55→60	46	212/281/288	76	301	6	19	30%	8%	59	-1.1	193/251/266	73	311	6	18	37%	7%	40	-2.4	212/279/312	100	297	8	33	29%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→53	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
●Jose Tabata 2007 · A	18	52→60	40→45	51→55	43	249/302/344	96	311	7	16	22%	6%	82	+0.5	258/307/346	88	320	7	14	21%	5%	84	+0.6	276/333/375	99	320	6	26	15%	7%	100	+1.5
✕Andruw Monasterio 2015 · A	18	46→55	35→45	55	46	215/270/274	59	269	2	16	20%	6%	50	-1.8	204/258/265	61	260	2	11	21%	6%	43	-2.2	246/325/351	106	317	10	23	24%	9%	92	+0.6
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→49	43→60	54→55	44	208/271/317	109	280	11	13	29%	7%	63	-0.9	191/252/319	128	296	13	13	38%	7%	56	-1.3	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	40→50	57→55	42	201/257/293	92	281	6	22	30%	7%	50	-1.8	232/286/367	135	290	12	21	23%	7%	82	+0.5	254/312/374	120	299	11	11	18%	7%	92	+1.0