Darwin Almanzar — OGILVIE

Darwin AlmanzarSS FCL Twins

Age 18 S/R 5'10" / 179 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION166 act + 16 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .312 / .286

PA16

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP283

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$61M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$6M	+1.4	$6M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$10M	+1.3	$5M	+$1M
2037	Arb-3	$13M	+1.2	$4M	+$0.1M
Totals		$32M		$34M	+$23M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	176	151	38	17	1	6	20	28	3	6	2	252	351	497	847	245	269	16	11	368	135	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	176	159	29	12	1	5	12	41	3	6	2	182	253	365	618	182	201	23	7	261	63	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	176	159	29	12	1	5	12	41	3	6	2	182	253	365	618	182	209	23	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	176	151	38	17	1	6	20	28	3	6	2	252	351	497	847	245	269	16	11	368	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	176	159	29	12	1	5	12	41	3	6	2	182	253	365	618	182	201	23	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	176	159	29	12	1	5	12	41	3	6	2	182	253	365	618	182	201	23	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	MIN	—	166	131	26	5	2	0	29	45	5	7	5	198	364	267	631	69	299	27	17	287	80	-4	-1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	MIN	—	166	114	29	6	2	0	46	31	5	7	5	254	485	342	827	88	345	19	28	396	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	MIN	0%	16	14	3	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	214	312	286	598	71	283	25	12	289	82	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	MIN	—	182	145	29	6	2	0	31	49	5	7	5	200	359	269	628	69	299	27	17	287	80	-4	-1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	236	205	45	9	2	4	25	59	4	4	2	220	316	341	658	122	284	25	11	297	87	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	366	318	71	14	3	7	39	90	6	6	3	223	320	352	672	129	286	25	11	306	93	-3	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	463	403	91	18	3	10	49	113	8	8	3	226	322	360	682	134	287	24	11	312	97	-2	+0	+0	+5	+10	1.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	531	461	107	21	4	13	56	128	9	9	4	232	327	380	707	148	289	24	11	316	100	-0	+0	+0	+6	+12	1.8
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIN	58%	577	500	116	23	4	14	62	138	10	9	4	232	329	378	707	146	289	24	11	319	102	+1	+0	+0	+6	+13	2.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	607	526	123	24	4	16	65	145	11	10	4	234	331	386	716	152	290	24	11	321	104	+3	+0	+0	+7	+13	2.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	625	542	128	25	5	16	67	149	11	10	4	236	332	389	722	153	290	24	11	323	105	+3	+0	+0	+7	+14	2.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	633	549	130	25	5	17	68	151	11	10	4	237	333	393	726	157	290	24	11	324	105	+4	+0	+0	+7	+14	2.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	633	548	128	25	4	17	69	151	11	10	4	234	331	387	718	153	290	24	11	324	105	+4	+0	+0	+7	+14	2.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	629	544	128	25	4	17	69	151	11	10	4	235	333	390	723	154	290	24	11	323	105	+4	+0	-1	+7	+14	2.4
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	619	535	124	24	4	16	68	150	11	9	4	232	331	381	712	150	289	24	11	321	104	+3	+0	-1	+7	+13	2.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	608	526	120	23	4	15	67	149	10	9	4	228	327	373	699	144	288	25	11	319	102	+1	+0	-2	+7	+13	1.9
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	594	514	117	22	4	15	65	147	10	8	4	228	326	374	700	146	286	25	11	315	99	-1	+0	-3	+6	+13	1.6
2040	32	MLB MLE	MIN	59%	576	498	112	21	4	14	63	145	10	8	3	225	324	367	691	143	283	25	11	310	96	-3	+0	-4	+6	+12	1.3
2041	33	MLB MLE	MIN	61%	546	472	102	19	3	12	60	140	9	7	3	216	316	345	661	129	279	26	11	303	91	-6	+0	-4	+6	+12	0.8
2042	34	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	499	434	90	16	3	10	54	131	8	6	3	207	306	327	634	120	274	26	11	294	85	-9	+0	-5	+5	+11	0.3
2027	19	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	81	71	15	3	1	1	9	20	1	1	1	211	309	324	633	113	284	25	11	286	87	-1	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	177	153	35	7	1	4	19	44	3	3	1	229	326	366	692	137	286	25	11	293	93	-1	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.5
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	251	218	51	10	2	6	27	61	4	4	2	234	329	381	710	147	288	24	11	299	97	-1	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.7
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	301	261	60	12	2	7	32	72	5	5	2	230	326	372	697	142	289	24	11	303	100	-0	+0	+0	+3	+7	1.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIN	58%	332	288	66	13	2	8	35	80	6	5	2	229	325	372	697	142	290	24	11	306	102	+1	+0	+0	+4	+7	1.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	346	300	70	14	2	9	37	83	6	6	2	233	329	383	713	150	291	24	11	309	104	+1	+0	+0	+4	+7	1.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	354	307	72	14	3	9	38	84	6	6	2	235	330	388	718	153	291	24	11	310	105	+2	+0	+0	+4	+8	1.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	358	311	74	14	3	10	38	85	6	6	2	238	332	399	731	161	291	24	11	311	105	+2	+0	+0	+4	+8	1.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	351	304	71	14	2	9	38	84	6	6	2	234	330	382	712	148	290	24	11	311	105	+2	+0	+0	+4	+8	1.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	345	298	69	13	2	9	38	83	6	5	2	232	330	379	710	148	290	24	11	310	105	+2	+0	-0	+4	+7	1.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	331	286	67	13	2	9	36	80	6	5	2	234	332	388	720	154	289	24	11	309	104	+1	+0	-1	+4	+7	1.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	320	276	63	12	2	8	35	78	6	5	2	228	328	373	701	145	288	24	11	306	102	+1	+0	-1	+3	+7	1.0
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	336	290	66	13	2	8	37	83	6	5	2	228	327	369	696	141	286	25	11	303	99	-0	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.9
2040	32	MLB CTX	MIN	59%	341	295	65	12	2	8	37	86	6	5	2	220	320	356	675	136	283	25	11	297	96	-2	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.8
2041	33	MLB CTX	MIN	61%	333	288	63	12	2	7	36	86	6	4	2	219	318	347	665	128	279	26	11	291	91	-4	+0	-3	+4	+7	0.5
2042	34	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	282	244	52	9	2	6	31	74	5	3	1	213	314	340	654	127	274	26	11	283	85	-5	+0	-3	+3	+6	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4839	4190	959	185	32	118	523	1183	84	74	29	229	326	373	699	144	288	24	11	303	99	-2	+3	-11	+52	+105	15.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	563	129	25	4	16	70	159	11	10	4	229	326	373	699	144	288	24	11	303	99	-0	+0	-2	+7	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	8934	7748	1764	347	61	218	960	2182	153	139	59	228	325	373	697	145	287	24	11	314	99	-4	+4	-20	+94	+190	26.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	128	25	4	16	70	159	11	10	4	227	324	371	695	144	286	24	11	314	99	-0	+0	-1	+7	+14	2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.5	4,990	121	76	229	323	374	+51	+30	18.7	14.8
/162	664	16	10	+6.8	+4.0	2.5	pk7: 11
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Darwin Almanzar (OGILVIE)	18	40	50	45	40	209/309/314	105	283	2	3	26%	11%	82	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→46	42→50	44→50	46	226/320/334	108	300	8	7	26%	8%	90	+0.6	212/310/340	128	285	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.4	217/303/361	144	274	17	12	26%	7%	88	+0.4
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	48	220/284/320	100	275	8	11	23%	8%	72	-0.7	239/315/371	132	277	15	17	19%	9%	96	+1.0	231/310/363	132	264	16	23	19%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	67	-1.1	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	47→45	46	221/286/323	102	285	10	12	26%	8%	74	-0.6	228/311/363	135	276	12	9	21%	10%	93	+0.8	222/308/359	137	264	13	9	20%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Héctor Sánchez 2008 · A	18	46→49	44→50	44→30	50	226/297/346	120	261	11	6	18%	8%	83	+0.1	240/306/343	103	290	7	4	19%	7%	85	+0.2	247/306/347	100	297	7	1	18%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	221/266/338	118	283	11	8	26%	5%	70	-0.9	237/282/343	106	292	10	4	22%	5%	76	-0.4	256/302/422	166	302	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Jeral Perez 2023 · A	18	42→41	47→50	48→45	46	213/279/350	137	263	14	7	24%	8%	77	-0.3	204/280/347	143	276	17	7	31%	8%	78	-0.3	195/269/342	147	260	18	6	31%	8%	70	-0.6
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→44	45	53→55	45	210/278/331	121	275	12	11	28%	8%	73	-0.6	192/286/292	100	274	9	22	30%	11%	68	-1.0	183/281/318	135	255	15	31	32%	11%	70	-0.5
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	63	-1.3	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	101	+1.4	221/281/376	155	266	19	2	24%	5%	85	+0.1
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→60	48→55	46	218/280/321	104	273	10	10	24%	7%	71	-0.8	234/280/388	154	309	17	19	29%	6%	86	+0.3	274/325/460	186	323	22	21	22%	7%	115	+2.3
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	45→50	45	51	220/308/355	135	308	10	8	30%	11%	89	+0.5	191/267/284	93	292	7	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	188/237/266	78	247	8	4	27%	6%	40	-0.9
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	86	+0.3	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	76	-0.4	212/264/322	110	252	12	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Jonathan Mejía 2023 · A	18	43	43→45	47→50	46	202/297/321	119	303	9	6	33%	9%	78	-0.3	178/264/269	91	299	7	13	39%	9%	54	-2.0	164/263/274	110	277	11	16	41%	11%	54	-1.0
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	42→52	47→50	45→40	47	215/281/345	130	270	15	5	26%	8%	77	-0.3	241/299/370	129	293	14	4	22%	7%	89	+0.5	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	47→45	42→50	47→45	49	229/304/342	113	282	9	10	21%	8%	85	+0.2	224/276/345	121	286	13	8	26%	6%	74	-0.5	222/278/352	130	268	15	6	23%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	41→45	44→50	45	221/274/319	97	271	8	8	21%	6%	68	-1.0	244/300/352	108	288	9	15	18%	6%	85	+0.2	263/321/381	118	302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.6
✕Leo Bernal 2022 · A	18	37→47	43→45	48→50	44	189/247/298	109	231	10	6	23%	6%	53	-2.1	214/279/329	115	281	12	5	27%	8%	73	-0.6	223/286/345	121	279	14	10	24%	8%	76	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps