Darwin Almanzar — OGILVIE

Darwin AlmanzarSS FCL Twins

Age 18 S/R 5'10" / 179 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION147 act + 98 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .306 / .314

PA98

HR1

K%26

BB%10

BABIP283

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$13M	+$12M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.6	$12M	+$12M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.7	$12M	+$11M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+2.7	$11M	+$9M
2036	Arb-2	$9M	+2.6	$10M	+$7M
2037	Arb-3	$12M	+2.3	$8M	+$4M
Totals		$29M		$65M	+$55M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	176	159	29	12	1	5	12	41	3	6	2	182	253	365	618	182	209	23	7	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	176	151	38	17	1	6	20	28	3	6	2	252	351	497	847	245	269	16	11	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	MIN	—	147	117	21	5	2	0	24	40	5	4	4	179	342	256	599	77	269	27	16	272	66	-6	-1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
YTD	18	ROK	MIN	—	147	103	24	6	2	0	38	28	5	4	4	233	459	330	789	97	316	19	26	378	148	+8	-1	+0	+2	+4	1.3
ROS	18	ROK	MIN	0%	98	86	18	4	1	1	10	25	2	2	1	209	306	314	620	105	275	26	10	284	75	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
ROS	18	MLB	MIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	271	66	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	MIN	—	147	118	21	5	2	0	24	40	5	4	4	178	342	254	597	76	266	27	16	272	66	-6	-1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
TOT	18	ROK	MIN	—	245	203	39	9	3	1	34	65	7	6	5	192	328	281	609	89	275	27	14	277	70	-8	-1	+0	+3	+7	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIN	34%	275	240	52	11	2	5	28	70	5	4	2	217	311	342	653	125	277	25	10	292	82	-6	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2028	20	MLB	MIN	48%	395	345	76	16	3	8	40	99	7	6	3	220	314	354	667	133	280	25	10	300	88	-5	+0	+0	+4	+11	1.0
2029	21	MLB	MIN	54%	484	423	96	20	4	11	49	119	9	8	3	227	320	371	691	144	282	25	10	306	93	-4	+0	+0	+5	+14	1.6
2030	22	MLB	MIN	57%	545	475	108	22	4	13	55	133	10	9	4	227	320	373	693	145	283	24	10	311	96	-3	+0	+0	+6	+15	1.9
2031	23	MLB	MIN	58%	587	513	117	24	4	15	59	142	10	9	4	228	320	378	698	150	284	24	10	314	98	-1	+0	+0	+6	+17	2.2
2032	24	MLB	MIN	57%	614	536	124	25	5	16	62	148	11	10	4	231	323	386	710	155	285	24	10	316	100	-0	+0	+0	+7	+17	2.5
2033	25	MLB	MIN	57%	629	549	127	26	5	16	64	152	11	10	5	231	324	384	708	153	285	24	10	317	101	+1	+0	+0	+7	+18	2.6
2034	26	MLB	MIN	57%	636	555	128	26	5	17	65	153	11	10	5	231	323	387	711	157	285	24	10	318	102	+1	+0	+0	+7	+18	2.7
2035	27	MLB	MIN	55%	635	554	128	26	5	17	65	154	11	10	5	231	324	388	712	157	285	24	10	318	102	+1	+0	+0	+7	+18	2.7
2036	28	MLB	MIN	55%	630	549	126	25	5	17	65	153	11	10	4	230	323	386	709	157	285	24	10	317	101	+1	+0	-1	+7	+18	2.6
2037	29	MLB	MIN	53%	620	539	123	25	4	16	65	152	11	9	4	228	324	378	702	150	284	25	10	316	100	-0	+0	-1	+7	+18	2.3
2038	30	MLB	MIN	53%	609	529	119	24	4	15	64	151	11	9	4	225	321	371	692	146	283	25	11	313	98	-1	+0	-2	+7	+17	2.1
2039	31	MLB	MIN	57%	595	518	115	23	4	15	62	149	10	8	4	222	317	369	686	147	281	25	10	309	95	-3	+0	-3	+6	+17	1.7
2040	32	MLB	MIN	59%	576	501	109	22	4	13	60	147	10	8	4	218	313	355	669	138	278	26	10	304	91	-6	+0	-4	+6	+16	1.3
2041	33	MLB	MIN	61%	546	475	102	20	4	12	57	142	9	7	3	215	311	349	660	135	274	26	10	297	86	-9	+0	-4	+6	+15	0.9
2042	34	MLB	MIN	57%	499	437	89	17	3	10	51	133	8	6	3	204	298	325	623	121	268	27	10	289	79	-12	+0	-5	+5	+14	0.3
2027	19	MLB	MIN	34%	94	83	18	4	1	2	9	24	2	1	1	217	309	361	670	145	278	26	10	280	72	-3	-0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	20	MLB	MIN	48%	191	167	37	8	1	4	19	48	3	3	1	222	312	353	665	132	281	25	10	288	79	-5	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2029	21	MLB	MIN	54%	262	229	52	11	2	6	26	65	5	4	2	227	319	371	690	144	282	25	10	294	83	-5	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2030	22	MLB	MIN	57%	308	269	61	13	2	7	31	75	5	5	2	227	318	368	686	141	284	24	10	298	86	-5	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.8
2031	23	MLB	MIN	58%	338	295	68	14	3	8	34	82	6	5	2	231	322	380	702	149	284	24	10	301	88	-4	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.9
2032	24	MLB	MIN	57%	350	306	70	14	3	9	35	85	6	6	3	229	320	382	702	154	285	24	10	303	90	-4	+0	+0	+4	+10	1.0
2033	25	MLB	MIN	57%	357	312	72	15	3	9	36	86	6	6	3	231	322	385	707	154	285	24	10	305	91	-4	+0	+0	+4	+10	1.1
2034	26	MLB	MIN	57%	360	314	74	15	3	10	37	87	6	6	3	236	328	398	726	162	285	24	10	305	92	-3	+0	+0	+4	+10	1.1
2035	27	MLB	MIN	55%	352	307	70	14	3	9	36	85	6	6	3	228	321	381	702	153	285	24	10	306	92	-3	+0	+0	+4	+10	1.1
2036	28	MLB	MIN	55%	346	301	68	14	2	9	36	84	6	5	2	226	321	375	696	150	285	24	10	305	91	-3	+0	-0	+4	+10	1.0
2037	29	MLB	MIN	53%	332	288	66	13	2	9	35	81	6	5	2	229	325	382	707	153	284	24	11	303	90	-4	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.9
2038	30	MLB	MIN	53%	321	278	63	13	2	8	34	80	6	5	2	227	324	374	698	147	283	25	11	301	88	-4	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.8
2039	31	MLB	MIN	57%	336	292	64	13	2	8	35	84	6	5	2	219	315	360	675	140	281	25	10	297	85	-6	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.6
2040	32	MLB	MIN	59%	341	297	65	13	2	8	35	87	6	5	2	219	314	357	671	138	278	26	10	292	81	-7	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.4
2041	33	MLB	MIN	61%	333	289	61	12	2	7	35	87	6	4	2	211	309	339	648	128	274	26	11	285	77	-9	+0	-3	+4	+9	0.2
2042	34	MLB	MIN	57%	282	246	51	10	2	6	29	75	5	3	2	207	304	337	641	130	268	27	10	277	70	-9	-0	-3	+3	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4903	4274	960	196	35	119	502	1215	86	74	34	225	318	370	689	146	283	25	10	298	86	-78	+1	-11	+53	+139	10.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	128	26	5	16	67	161	11	10	5	226	320	374	694	148	284	25	10	298	86	-10	+0	-1	+7	+18	1.4
Career	—			—	9149	7983	1786	368	67	222	933	2263	160	141	64	224	317	370	687	146	282	25	10	309	95	-57	+3	-20	+98	+259	28.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	127	26	5	16	66	161	11	10	5	224	316	372	688	148	282	25	10	309	95	-4	+0	-1	+7	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	176	151	38	17	1	6	20	28	3	6	2	252	351	497	847	245	269	16	11	368	140	+8	+0	—	—	+5	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	13	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
	/162	664	18	5	233	301	384	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	5,079	122	77	225	315	370	+52	+30	16.4	13.1
	/162	664	16	10	225	315	370	+6.9	+3.9	2.1	pk7: 10
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Darwin Almanzar (OGILVIE)	18	40	50	45	40	192/328/281	89	275	1	6	27%	14%	70	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	63	-0.9	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	47	217/279/316	98	271	8	11	23%	7%	65	-0.7	239/313/375	136	278	16	17	19%	9%	95	+1.4	230/306/371	141	263	18	23	20%	9%	88	+0.7
✕Jeral Perez 2023 · A	18	42→41	47→50	49→45	47	214/282/352	138	263	14	7	24%	8%	76	+0.1	208/286/358	150	281	18	7	31%	9%	80	+0.4	201/277/358	157	269	20	6	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→49	42→50	47→45	45	219/283/320	101	283	10	12	26%	7%	68	-0.5	232/313/374	142	284	14	9	22%	10%	95	+1.4	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	221/266/338	118	283	11	8	26%	5%	66	-0.6	238/283/344	106	294	10	4	22%	5%	73	-0.1	256/302/428	172	302	17	1	21%	5%	103	+1.0
✕Héctor Sánchez 2008 · A	18	46→50	44→50	44→30	50	226/297/346	120	261	11	6	18%	8%	81	+0.4	242/307/346	104	291	8	4	18%	7%	85	+0.7	252/291/373	121	310	13	0	22%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→48	44→55	48→45	40	209/264/317	108	283	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	232/286/390	158	298	19	7	28%	7%	88	+0.9	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	59	-1.1	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	102	+1.8	224/283/382	158	270	19	2	24%	5%	86	+0.4
●Anthony Santander 2013 · A	18	45→47	42→60	47→45	39	216/275/327	111	304	9	9	31%	5%	66	-0.6	197/250/297	100	270	8	7	29%	5%	48	-1.9	233/308/449	216	247	30	2	20%	9%	110	+2.7
✕Dalton Pompey 2011 · A	18	41→51	42→45	50→55	40	205/258/306	101	279	10	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	199/268/292	93	283	7	18	30%	8%	55	-1.4	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Oswaldo Cabrera 2017 · A	18	51→43	42→55	50	45	246/291/360	114	283	8	8	16%	5%	81	+0.4	213/249/302	89	259	8	6	20%	4%	47	-1.9	220/274/385	165	277	19	18	28%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	68	-0.5	235/286/325	90	300	6	3	22%	6%	70	-0.3	247/290/366	119	318	11	2	25%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→42	43→50	47→45	50	230/306/345	115	283	9	10	21%	8%	85	+0.7	221/273/345	124	289	14	8	27%	6%	70	-0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Luis Alvarez 2008 · A	18	43	39→45	45	45	208/273/291	82	251	7	4	20%	6%	56	-1.3	229/300/339	110	282	10	5	21%	7%	81	+0.4	228/295/347	119	269	13	3	20%	6%	77	+0.0
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42	45	53→60	45	210/279/333	123	274	12	11	27%	8%	70	-0.3	194/289/295	101	275	9	22	30%	11%	66	-0.6	172/263/292	120	248	13	35	34%	10%	51	-0.7