Carlos Benavides

C DSL Tigers 1

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1372ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Tigers 2	135	.244/.328/.361	1	3	23	—	.156/.231/.221
2026	18	ROKDSL Tigers 1	138	.283/.425/.453	2	8	60	—	.173/.321/.264
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBDET	248	.207/.277/.297	2	4	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBDET	43	.208/.280/.303	0	1	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBDET	109	.212/.284/.314	1	2	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA76

ISO74

wRC+57

Speed57

Whiff%52

K%47

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsNick Allen (age 19) · Jeremy Arocho (age 19) · Gilberto Celestino (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 71 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .275 / .294

PA71

HR1

K%27

BB%6

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	135	119	29	9	1	1	11	30	4	3	2	244	328	361	690	118	315	22	8	312	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	138	106	30	12	0	2	11	30	16	8	1	283	425	453	878	170	359	22	8	388	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	135	122	19	6	1	0	8	37	4	3	2	156	231	221	453	66	209	27	6	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	138	110	19	7	0	1	8	37	16	8	1	173	321	264	585	91	217	27	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	135	122	19	6	1	0	8	37	4	3	2	156	231	221	453	66	221	27	6	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	135	119	29	9	1	1	11	30	4	3	2	244	328	361	690	118	315	22	8	312	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	138	110	19	7	0	1	8	37	16	8	1	173	321	264	585	91	237	27	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	138	106	30	12	0	2	11	30	16	8	1	283	425	453	878	170	359	22	8	388	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	135	122	19	6	1	0	8	37	4	3	2	156	231	221	453	66	209	27	6	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	138	113	19	7	0	1	8	37	16	8	1	168	321	257	578	88	217	27	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	135	122	19	6	1	0	8	37	4	3	2	156	231	221	453	66	209	27	6	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	138	113	19	7	0	1	8	37	16	8	1	168	321	257	578	88	217	27	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	DET	0%	248	224	46	10	2	2	16	67	6	4	1	207	277	297	574	89	282	27	6	262	64	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	DET	34%	126	114	24	5	1	1	8	33	3	3	1	212	283	310	592	98	284	26	6	270	69	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	DET	48%	224	201	43	9	1	3	15	59	6	5	1	215	287	320	608	105	286	26	7	276	73	-7	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	DET	54%	336	302	66	14	2	5	23	87	8	7	2	219	291	330	620	111	287	26	7	281	76	-9	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	DET	57%	414	373	84	18	3	7	28	106	10	9	3	221	293	337	631	116	288	26	7	285	79	-10	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	DET	57%	445	401	90	19	3	8	31	113	10	10	3	224	296	343	639	120	289	25	7	288	81	-10	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	DET	57%	445	401	90	19	3	8	31	113	10	10	3	224	296	344	641	121	289	25	7	289	82	-10	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	DET	56%	445	401	90	19	3	8	31	113	10	10	3	224	296	345	641	121	289	25	7	289	82	-10	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	DET	55%	445	401	90	19	3	8	31	114	10	9	3	223	295	342	637	119	288	26	7	288	81	-10	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	DET	55%	445	401	90	19	3	8	31	115	10	9	3	221	293	337	630	117	287	26	7	285	79	-11	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	DET	58%	445	401	88	19	3	7	31	116	10	8	3	218	290	331	621	113	286	26	7	281	76	-12	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	DET	60%	445	402	86	18	2	7	30	118	10	8	3	215	286	323	610	108	284	27	7	277	73	-14	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	DET	62%	426	385	81	17	2	6	29	114	9	6	4	211	281	313	595	102	280	27	7	270	69	-16	-0	-3	+8	+9	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	DET	34%	43	39	8	2	0	0	3	11	1	1	0	208	280	303	583	95	280	26	7	266	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	DET	48%	109	98	20	4	1	1	7	29	3	2	1	212	284	314	598	102	281	27	6	272	73	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	DET	54%	182	164	36	8	1	3	12	47	4	4	1	215	287	322	610	108	282	26	7	277	76	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	DET	57%	234	210	46	10	1	4	16	60	6	5	2	218	290	330	620	112	283	26	7	281	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	DET	57%	252	227	51	11	2	4	17	64	6	5	2	220	292	336	628	116	284	25	7	284	81	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	DET	57%	251	226	49	10	2	4	17	64	6	5	2	220	293	337	629	117	284	25	7	285	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	DET	56%	251	226	49	10	2	4	17	64	6	5	2	220	293	337	630	117	284	25	7	285	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	DET	55%	247	222	48	10	1	4	17	63	6	5	2	219	292	334	626	116	283	26	7	283	81	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	DET	55%	244	220	47	10	1	4	17	63	5	5	2	217	290	330	619	113	282	26	7	281	79	-6	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	DET	58%	258	232	49	10	1	4	18	67	6	5	2	215	287	324	610	109	281	26	7	277	76	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	DET	60%	268	242	51	11	1	4	18	71	6	5	2	212	283	316	599	105	279	26	7	272	73	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	DET	62%	263	237	49	10	1	4	18	70	6	4	3	207	278	307	585	99	276	27	7	266	69	-10	-0	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2602	2343	503	106	14	40	177	673	61	51	21	215	287	323	610	108	282	26	7	278	75	-70	+2	-4	+46	+56	3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	125	26	3	10	44	168	15	13	5	214	285	320	605	106	280	26	7	278	75	-17	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4985	4480	973	211	30	78	339	1294	128	106	35	217	291	330	621	113	285	26	7	280	75	-127	+6	-7	+84	+102	5.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	127	28	4	10	44	169	17	14	5	217	291	330	622	113	286	26	7	280	75	-18	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Tigers 1 · 138 PAwOBA .389 → .257 (−133)K% 21.7% → 26.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.74%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	26.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.97%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	5.55%
HBP% /PA	11.59%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	8.08%
Singles /BIP	21.05%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	×0.995	13.53%
Doubles /BIP	15.79%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	8.95%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.63%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.23%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .389 → .257; ISO .170 → .099; BABIP .359 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Tigers 2 · 135 PAwOBA .307 → .202 (−105)K% 22.2% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.22%	÷0.991	×1.220	—	—	27.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.15%	÷0.974	×0.700	—	×1.008	5.90%
HBP% /PA	2.96%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.09%
Singles /BIP	20.22%	÷0.994	×0.680	×1.001	×1.008	13.95%
Doubles /BIP	10.11%	÷0.962	×0.600	×1.001	×1.008	6.36%
Triples /BIP	1.12%	÷0.900	×0.600	×1.001	×1.008	0.76%
Home runs /BIP	1.12%	÷1.048	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.51%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 99, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .307 → .202; ISO .118 → .069; BABIP .315 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.0	2,674	43	53	220	289	334	+48	+32	5.3	4.7
/162	664	11	13	+11.9	+7.9	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Benavides (OGILVIE)	19	41→46	32→37	50→55	47	206/275/294	89	282	1	1	27%	6%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	42	205/255/273	69	279	4	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	210/260/281	71	273	2	14	22%	5%	53	-2.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Braulio Vasquez 2018 · A	19	47	34→40	52→65	44	215/281/268	53	304	1	15	28%	7%	59	-1.7	198/257/271	73	304	5	8	34%	6%	51	-2.3	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Jorge Alcantara 2011 · A	19	45	41→45	51→50	43	215/278/316	101	296	7	11	29%	7%	68	-1.0	197/266/293	96	297	7	13	33%	8%	59	-1.6	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Pablo Olivares 2018 · A	20	44	36→40	49→50	43	207/279/278	72	283	3	10	26%	6%	61	-1.5	227/298/305	78	294	6	13	23%	6%	74	-0.5	220/297/294	73	283	5	14	22%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Ryan Burrowes 2024 · A	19	40→45	36→40	52→60	40	188/258/259	71	285	3	14	33%	6%	49	-2.4	197/264/267	70	320	5	25	37%	7%	53	-2.1	200/271/277	77	308	7	32	35%	7%	56	-1.4
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	44	38→45	50	46	210/269/292	82	266	4	13	22%	6%	59	-1.6	202/248/279	77	299	4	11	32%	5%	49	-2.4	176/218/244	68	280	3	12	36%	4%	25	-1.1
✕Liover Peguero 2021 · A	20	45→49	38→45	50→55	41	212/263/292	80	293	5	9	28%	6%	57	-1.8	229/272/346	117	315	12	22	30%	5%	73	-0.6	229/273/352	123	303	13	24	28%	5%	72	-0.6
✕Manuel Palencia 2022 · A	19	45	35→40	48→40	47	210/268/274	64	254	2	9	18%	6%	55	-1.9	216/272/269	53	248	1	6	13%	7%	55	-1.9	224/277/259	35	251	0	4	10%	6%	51	-0.5
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2021 · A	20	44	36→45	53→45	48	207/271/275	68	270	3	10	23%	8%	57	-1.8	225/279/332	107	302	11	8	28%	6%	73	-0.6	213/267/311	98	282	10	9	27%	6%	61	-0.6

Carlos Benavides

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps