Samuel Savinon

P ACL Dodgers

Age 20 RHP 6'6" / 230 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL LAD Bauti…	5	2	5	10.80	4.50	25.9%	25.9%	—	K 25.9% · BB 25.9% · FIP 4.19
2026	19	ROKLAD	9	5	11	15.88	5.22	33.8%	27.9%	—	K 23.0% · BB 34.9% · FIP 6.71
2027PROJ	20	MLBLAD	1	1	7	5.68	5.68	23.3%	20.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBLAD	2	2	10	5.35	5.22	23.7%	16.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 86%

CompsTrayson Kubo (age 21) · Jace Beck (age 21) · Chris Viall (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.68

FIP5.68

K%23.3%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%3.3%

Proj IP7

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	5	2	5	27	7	7	0	40%	1.0	25.9%	25.9%	0.0%	0.0%	10.80	4.19	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	5	2	5	27	7	7	0	40%	1.0	25.9%	25.9%	0.0%	0.0%	10.80	4.19	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	5	2	5	27	7	7	0	40%	1.0	25.9%	25.9%	0.0%	0.0%	10.80	4.50	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	9	5	11	68	23	19	1	56%	1.3	23.0%	34.9%	-11.9%	2.1%	15.88	6.71	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	9	5	11	68	23	19	1	56%	1.3	23.0%	34.9%	-11.9%	2.1%	15.88	6.71	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	9	5	11	68	23	19	1	56%	1.3	33.8%	27.9%	5.9%	1.5%	15.88	5.22	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	LAD	1	1	7	30	7	6	1	100%	7.0	23.3%	20.0%	3.3%	3.0%	5.68	5.68	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	LAD	4	4	20	84	20	14	2	100%	5.0	23.7%	16.8%	6.9%	2.9%	5.35	5.22	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	LAD	2	2	10	42	10	7	1	100%	5.0	23.7%	16.8%	6.9%	2.9%	5.35	5.22	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	10	7	1	100%	4.9	23.7%	16.8%	6.9%	2.9%	5.35	4.83	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	203	142	20	100%	4.8	23.7%	16.8%	6.9%	2.9%	5.35	4.83	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		14	7	16	95	23	31	1	50%	1.2	23.8%	32.4%	-8.5%	1.5%	14.33	6.00	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	86	200	1163	277	377	17	50%	1.2	23.8%	32.4%	-8.5%	1.5%	14.33	6.00	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Samuel Savinon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.68	23.3%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.22	23.7%	6.9%	20	-0.46	—	—	—
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	79
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	216	77
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	77
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	74
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	74
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	74
Alex Makarewich R 2024 · 6.15 FIP	22	SP-	6.15	19.7%	26.7%	2.4%	.425	5.15	26.4%	-3.3%	83	-1.00	4.26	110	73
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	73
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	73
Jonah Tong R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	20	SP-	5.41	28.8%	27.5%	2.3%	.400	3.46	27.0%	15.4%	362	-1.95	2.54	375	73
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	72
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	72
Cesar Espinal R 2024 · 5.75 FIP	18	SW	5.75	16.8%	25.5%	1.5%	.300	6.38	15.7%	-1.8%	36	+0.63	4.28	109	71
Hyun-Seok Jang R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	20	SP-	6.03	28.2%	20.1%	5.0%	.304	4.68	22.3%	8.2%	122	-1.35	4.30	146	71
Tahnaj Thomas R 2018 · 5.06 FIP	19	SP-	5.06	23.0%	15.6%	3.5%	.268	6.04	17.0%	2.7%	61	+0.98	3.81	214	70
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	70
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	70
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	69
Sunayro Martina R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	20	SW	4.57	16.3%	16.9%	1.3%	.305	5.69	13.9%	-4.9%	71	+1.12	4.57	118	69
Tanner Myatt R 2018 · 6.58 FIP	20	SP-	6.58	20.9%	13.5%	6.5%	.257	5.32	17.2%	-11.8%	52	-1.26	4.41	182	69