Jorman Santana

P DSL Astros Blue

Age 20 RHP 6'4" / 190 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	13	5	30	6.82	3.79	17.4%	16.7%	—	K 11.8% · BB 20.8% · FIP 4.74
2026	19	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	8	3	19	4.34	5.30	10.6%	12.9%	—	K 7.2% · BB 16.2% · FIP 6.35
2027PROJ	20	MLBHOU	12	0	13	5.62	5.62	18.0%	16.1%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBHOU	13	0	14	5.32	5.20	19.4%	14.0%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsTanner Cooper (age 21) · Will Kobos (age 20) · Over Galue (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 124

ERA5.62

FIP5.62

K%18.0%

BB%16.1%

K-BB%1.9%

Proj IP13

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	13	5	30	138	24	23	0	38%	2.3	11.8%	20.8%	-9.0%	0.0%	6.82	4.74	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	13	5	30	138	24	23	0	38%	2.3	11.8%	20.8%	-9.0%	0.0%	6.82	4.74	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	13	5	30	138	24	23	0	38%	2.3	17.4%	16.7%	0.7%	0.0%	6.82	3.79	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	8	3	19	85	9	11	2	38%	2.3	7.2%	16.2%	-9.0%	3.3%	4.34	6.35	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	8	3	19	85	9	11	2	38%	2.3	7.2%	16.2%	-9.0%	3.3%	4.34	6.35	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	8	3	19	85	9	11	2	38%	2.3	10.6%	12.9%	-2.4%	2.4%	4.34	5.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	HOU	12	0	13	55	10	9	2	0%	1.1	18.0%	16.1%	1.9%	3.0%	5.62	5.62	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	HOU	27	0	29	121	23	17	4	0%	1.1	19.4%	14.0%	5.4%	2.9%	5.32	5.20	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	HOU	13	0	14	59	11	8	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	14.0%	5.4%	2.9%	5.32	5.20	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	60	12	8	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	14.0%	5.4%	2.9%	5.32	4.82	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	113	28	0%	1.1	19.4%	14.0%	5.4%	2.9%	5.32	4.82	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		21	8	49	223	22	42	3	38%	2.3	10.1%	19.1%	-9.0%	1.3%	5.88	5.35	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	33	200	910	92	173	11	38%	2.3	10.1%	19.1%	-9.0%	1.3%	5.88	5.35	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jorman Santana (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.62	18.0%	16.1%	3.0%	—	5.20	19.4%	5.4%	29	-0.42	—	—	—
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	86
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	85
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	84
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	84
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	83
Michael Martinez R 2019 · 4.50 FIP	20	SW	4.50	15.7%	16.5%	1.2%	.303	5.67	20.7%	7.0%	18	+1.17	3.69	146	82
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	82
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	82
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.71	17.6%	1.2%	150	+0.03	4.54	203	82
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	82
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	81
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	81
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	81
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	81
Sunayro Martina R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	20	SW	4.57	16.3%	16.9%	1.3%	.305	5.69	13.9%	-4.9%	71	+1.12	4.57	118	81
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	81
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	81
Juan Burgos R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	19	SW	4.75	15.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.292	4.38	17.7%	0.8%	58	-0.37	3.50	284	80
Lisander Brito R 2022 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	14.1%	15.0%	3.3%	.309	3.23	18.9%	5.3%	21	-2.39	3.23	101	80
Tyler Driver R 2021 · 5.26 FIP	20	SW	5.26	15.0%	13.8%	3.1%	.312	5.68	14.5%	1.4%	88	+0.42	5.17	180	80