Michael Martinez
P
Wichita Wind Surge
+0.1
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'1" / 185 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.63
FIP4.63
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.6%
BB%12.2%
K-BB%9.4%
IP34
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Robinson | 18 | 0 | 21 | 99 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 12.4% | 22.7% | 1.4% | 2.14 | 5.71 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Dodgers Mota | 10 | 4 | 27 | 121 | 28 | 16 | 1 | 15.7% | 16.5% | 1.2% | 4.00 | 4.50 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 16 | 0 | 23 | 108 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 20.7% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 7.15 | 5.69 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 38 | 0 | 42 | 180 | 48 | 24 | 1 | 20.6% | 15.4% | 0.7% | 1.91 | 3.70 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 30 | 0 | 40 | 172 | 39 | 26 | 2 | 18.4% | 16.6% | 1.4% | 2.50 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 34 | — | 34 | 143 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 21.6% | 12.2% | 2.6% | 4.63 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 33 | — | 33 | 141 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 21.7% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 4.62 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 33 | — | 33 | 138 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 21.7% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.63 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 32 | — | 32 | 133 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 21.6% | 11.8% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 30 | — | 30 | 129 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 21.4% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 4.72 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 29 | — | 29 | 124 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 21.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.85 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 112 | 4 | 153 | 680 | 122 | 114 | 12 | 18.0% | 16.7% | 1.7% | 3.24 | 4.64 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 147 | 5 | 200 | 891 | 160 | 149 | 16 | 18.0% | 16.7% | 1.7% | 3.24 | 4.64 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Martinez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 21.6% | 12.2% | 2.6% | — | 4.66 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 98 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 89 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 88 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .355 | 4.49 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | -0.08 | 3.70 | 187 | 86 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.47 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | -0.13 | 3.16 | 254 | 86 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 86 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.34 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.29 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.05 | 4.00 | 138 | 84 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 83 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.41 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.4% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 154 | 83 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.83 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.5% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.07 | 1.61 | 124 | 82 |
| Michael Blazek R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.97 | 17.9% | 11.9% | 3.4% | .336 | 4.43 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 124 | -0.54 | 3.06 | 221 | 82 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.93 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.99 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +1.06 | 3.83 | 181 | 82 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +1.00 | 4.46 | 215 | 82 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.76 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 117 | 82 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 1.9% | .256 | 2.69 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.57 | 2.69 | 125 | 81 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.53 | 18.4% | 10.1% | 1.3% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 114 | 81 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 81 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.92 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.45 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.53 | 3.42 | 365 | 81 |
| Jonathan Aro R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.96 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.7% | .280 | 3.30 | 12.7% | 9.3% | 64 | -0.66 | 2.57 | 323 | 81 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 81 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.83 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .247 | 3.31 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.52 | 3.31 | 159 | 81 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.