Alfred Ciriaco

SS DSL NYY Bombers

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 156 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL NYY Bombe…	83	.271/.386/.286	0	11	34	—	.194/.301/.208
2026	19	ROKDSL NYY Bombe…	95	.333/.522/.545	2	2	105	—	.222/.391/.347
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBNYY	205	.221/.302/.300	2	4	74	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBNYY	59	.225/.306/.316	1	1	78	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBNYY	147	.228/.309/.328	2	3	82	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA97

wRC+95

Z-Con%95

K%92

Whiff%92

ISO86

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsEliezer Álvarez (age 20) · Aidan Miller (age 20) · Enmanuel Terrero (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .300 / .297

PA83

HR1

K%24

BB%8

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$25M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	83	70	19	1	0	0	6	13	7	11	3	271	386	286	671	14	333	16	7	324	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	95	66	22	6	1	2	19	11	7	2	2	333	522	545	1.067	212	357	12	20	459	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	83	72	14	1	0	0	4	16	7	11	3	194	301	208	510	14	228	19	5	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	95	72	16	4	1	1	13	13	7	2	2	222	391	347	739	125	227	14	14	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	83	72	14	1	0	0	4	16	7	11	3	194	301	208	510	14	250	19	5	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	83	70	19	1	0	0	6	13	7	11	3	271	386	286	671	14	333	16	7	324	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	95	72	16	4	1	1	13	13	7	2	2	222	391	347	739	125	246	14	14	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	95	66	22	6	1	2	19	11	7	2	2	333	522	545	1.067	212	357	12	20	459	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	83	72	14	1	0	0	4	16	7	11	3	194	301	208	510	14	228	19	5	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	95	75	16	4	1	1	13	13	7	2	2	213	391	333	725	120	227	14	14	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	83	72	14	1	0	0	4	16	7	11	3	194	301	208	510	14	228	19	5	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	95	75	16	4	1	1	13	13	7	2	2	213	391	333	725	120	227	14	14	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	205	182	40	7	1	2	16	48	5	4	1	221	302	300	602	79	288	23	8	277	74	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	171	152	34	6	1	2	13	40	4	4	1	224	306	313	619	89	289	23	8	284	78	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	303	268	61	10	2	4	24	70	8	7	1	227	309	325	633	97	290	23	8	289	82	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2030	23	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	394	350	81	13	3	6	31	91	10	9	2	230	311	334	645	104	291	23	8	294	85	-7	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.7
2031	24	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	456	406	95	16	3	8	36	105	11	10	2	232	313	343	656	110	292	23	8	298	88	-7	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2032	25	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	492	438	102	17	3	9	40	113	11	11	2	234	314	349	663	115	293	23	8	300	89	-6	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	512	454	107	18	3	10	41	118	12	11	2	234	314	351	666	117	292	23	8	301	90	-6	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	521	462	108	18	3	10	42	121	12	11	2	233	313	349	662	116	292	23	8	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.2
2035	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	521	462	107	18	3	9	42	122	12	11	2	231	311	344	656	113	291	23	8	297	87	-8	+1	-1	+6	+11	1.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	515	458	105	17	3	9	41	122	11	10	2	229	309	338	647	109	290	24	8	294	85	-9	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.7
2037	30	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	507	451	102	17	3	8	40	122	11	10	2	226	305	331	636	105	289	24	8	290	82	-11	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.5
2038	31	MLB MLE	NYY	60%	494	441	98	16	3	7	39	120	11	9	3	222	301	321	622	99	286	24	8	284	78	-13	+1	-3	+5	+11	0.1
2039	32	MLB MLE	NYY	61%	477	427	93	15	3	6	37	118	10	8	4	217	295	310	604	92	282	25	8	277	73	-15	+0	-4	+5	+10	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	59	52	12	2	0	1	5	14	2	1	0	225	306	316	622	91	289	24	8	285	78	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	147	130	30	5	1	2	12	34	4	3	1	228	309	328	637	100	290	23	8	291	82	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	214	190	43	7	1	3	17	50	5	5	1	231	312	338	650	107	291	23	8	295	85	-4	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	253	225	54	9	2	5	20	58	6	5	1	233	314	347	661	114	292	23	8	300	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	275	245	57	9	2	5	22	63	6	6	1	235	315	354	669	119	293	23	8	302	89	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	288	256	61	10	2	6	23	66	7	6	1	235	315	356	671	121	292	23	8	303	90	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2034	27	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	288	256	61	10	2	6	23	67	7	6	1	234	314	354	668	119	292	23	8	302	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	286	255	59	10	2	5	23	67	6	6	1	232	312	349	661	117	291	23	8	299	87	-4	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	275	245	56	9	2	5	22	65	6	5	1	230	309	343	652	113	290	24	8	296	85	-5	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	289	258	58	9	2	5	23	69	6	6	1	227	306	335	641	108	289	24	8	291	82	-6	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	NYY	60%	294	263	59	9	2	5	23	72	6	5	2	223	301	325	626	102	286	24	8	285	78	-8	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.0
2039	32	MLB CTX	NYY	61%	292	261	57	9	2	4	23	72	6	5	2	218	295	313	608	95	282	25	8	278	73	-9	+0	-2	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2960	2636	607	98	20	52	236	697	67	59	13	230	310	342	651	112	292	24	8	295	84	-55	+7	-6	+32	+64	4.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	133	22	4	11	52	153	15	13	3	230	310	339	648	109	293	24	8	295	84	-12	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5624	4988	1140	189	35	90	449	1311	139	126	30	229	310	335	645	106	290	23	8	292	84	-102	+13	-10	+58	+118	7.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	131	22	4	10	52	152	16	15	3	227	309	332	641	104	289	23	8	292	84	-12	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.6	3,043	49	62	230	306	336	+33	+21	6.6	5.9
/162	664	11	14	+7.1	+4.6	1.4	pk7: 5
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alfred Ciriaco (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	219/300/297	79	288	1	2	24%	8%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	42→52	40→45	53→55	45	203/259/306	103	252	5	11	21%	6%	59	-1.7	244/293/351	107	321	5	15	24%	6%	82	-0.0	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Aidan Miller 2024 · A	20	49→50	38→50	52→65	47	228/303/310	83	316	4	12	27%	8%	77	-0.3	227/310/359	132	312	11	28	28%	9%	91	+0.7	224/315/364	140	306	12	36	28%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	46	37→45	47→55	56	216/300/287	72	267	3	12	19%	11%	71	-0.8	208/277/303	95	322	9	15	35%	8%	65	-1.2	191/260/285	94	305	11	18	38%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→50	41→45	47→55	46	197/270/297	100	265	8	11	28%	8%	62	-1.4	207/284/295	88	286	5	16	27%	9%	67	-1.1	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
●Jorbit Vivas 2021 · A	20	46→56	37→45	49→50	47	215/289/297	81	268	3	11	20%	7%	69	-0.9	253/327/377	124	285	11	7	15%	7%	101	+1.4	252/334/373	121	281	11	9	14%	8%	101	+1.3
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2022 · A	20	45→46	40→55	52→50	40	217/262/316	100	295	6	9	28%	6%	62	-1.4	216/267/327	111	285	10	9	27%	6%	67	-1.1	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→40	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	66	-1.1	196/276/274	78	288	5	5	30%	9%	59	-1.7	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Petey Halpin 2022 · A	20	49	39→45	49→50	42	231/284/328	97	320	4	13	28%	6%	73	-0.6	226/285/333	107	314	8	13	29%	7%	75	-0.5	219/281/331	112	301	10	13	29%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	45→46	39→55	52→50	46	212/280/301	90	299	6	9	30%	9%	66	-1.1	196/254/318	122	282	11	8	33%	7%	60	-1.6	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2019 · A	20	46→55	36→45	50→60	46	216/276/285	69	264	2	13	18%	6%	61	-1.5	235/296/323	88	327	3	20	27%	7%	76	-0.4	253/316/355	102	332	7	33	24%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Edgar Rondon 2016 · A	21	46	37→40	52→50	48	213/291/294	80	278	3	12	23%	8%	69	-0.9	206/275/275	69	326	3	10	34%	7%	59	-1.7	169/246/196	27	334	0	12	45%	7%	28	-0.7
✕Tayden Hall 2023 · A	20	48→49	38→40	50	45	222/290/308	86	313	4	6	28%	8%	71	-0.8	212/308/278	66	294	3	7	25%	11%	72	-0.7	187/301/283	96	257	7	9	27%	13%	70	-0.5
✕Eddinson Paulino 2022 · A	20	47→42	38→50	49→50	47	218/290/313	95	291	2	8	24%	8%	72	-0.7	212/277/345	133	290	11	16	29%	7%	75	-0.5	206/271/337	132	279	11	18	29%	7%	69	-0.7
✕Alexander Ovalles 2021 · A	20	49→41	40→50	51→50	46	233/290/337	104	297	5	8	23%	7%	78	-0.3	215/280/332	117	287	12	7	28%	7%	74	-0.6	206/275/323	117	274	13	8	28%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→49	39→50	49→40	45	207/279/288	81	285	6	6	28%	8%	63	-1.3	212/273/295	83	270	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Dario Laverde 2024 · A	19	46→34	37→40	52→30	50	214/292/297	83	279	3	11	23%	9%	70	-0.9	207/268/284	77	295	4	4	29%	7%	57	-1.8	196/254/265	68	282	4	0	30%	6%	45	-1.6

Alfred Ciriaco

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps