Carlos Toro — OGILVIE

Carlos Toro P DSL Giants Black

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 131

ERA6.03

FIP6.03

K%17.5%

BB%19.2%

K-BB%-1.7%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	17	0	29	117	19	15	0	0%	1.7	11.0%	16.0%	-5.0%	0.0%	2.15	4.20	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	17	0	29	117	19	15	0	0%	1.7	11.0%	16.0%	-5.0%	0.0%	2.15	4.20	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	17	0	29	117	19	15	0	0%	1.7	16.2%	12.8%	3.4%	0.0%	2.15	3.34	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	12	8	32	148	22	28	2	67%	2.6	10.1%	23.6%	-13.5%	1.9%	6.54	6.28	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	12	8	32	148	22	28	2	67%	2.6	10.1%	23.6%	-13.5%	1.9%	6.54	6.28	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	12	8	32	148	22	28	2	67%	2.6	14.9%	18.9%	-4.1%	1.4%	6.54	5.18	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	17	0	18	76	13	15	2	0%	1.1	17.5%	19.2%	-1.7%	2.9%	6.03	6.03	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	28	0	30	126	24	21	4	0%	1.1	19.0%	16.2%	2.8%	2.9%	5.64	5.50	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	14	0	15	63	12	10	2	0%	1.1	19.0%	16.2%	2.8%	2.9%	5.64	5.50	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	62	12	10	2	0%	1.0	19.0%	16.2%	2.8%	2.9%	5.64	5.12	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	136	27	0%	1.1	19.0%	16.2%	2.8%	2.9%	5.64	5.12	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		29	8	61	265	28	54	3	28%	2.1	10.5%	20.3%	-9.8%	1.1%	4.43	5.36	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	26	200	869	91	176	9	28%	2.1	10.5%	20.3%	-9.8%	1.1%	4.43	5.36	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carlos Toro (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.03	17.5%	19.2%	2.9%	—	5.50	19.0%	2.8%	30	-0.53	—	—	—
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	86
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	85
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	83
Aneudis Mejia R 2023 · 7.12 FIP	19	SW	7.12	18.7%	29.9%	3.3%	.404	5.03	16.9%	1.3%	102	-2.09	4.36	122	83
Ronny Lopez R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	20	SW	5.33	15.1%	20.6%	1.6%	.232	5.01	13.7%	-5.7%	85	-0.32	4.23	121	83
Yeiber Cartaya R 2023 · 5.38 FIP	20	SW	5.38	16.4%	21.2%	1.8%	.307	4.38	20.4%	3.8%	235	-1.00	4.12	283	82
Kamdyn Perry R 2024 · 5.61 FIP	18	SW	5.61	12.3%	18.4%	2.2%	.300	5.55	14.9%	1.0%	116	-0.06	5.31	142	81
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	81
Aneuris Rodriguez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	20	SW	5.22	16.0%	18.8%	2.0%	.310	6.65	14.6%	-15.5%	14	+1.43	3.15	118	81
Jose Alberto Rivera R 2017 · 5.65 FIP	20	SW	5.65	16.1%	19.2%	2.7%	.185	3.68	20.3%	9.9%	115	-1.97	3.39	163	81
Darlin Pinales R 2023 · 6.68 FIP	20	SW	6.68	17.0%	27.6%	2.8%	.350	4.44	21.7%	1.1%	117	-2.24	3.61	214	81
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	81
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	81
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	80
Cesar Espinal R 2024 · 5.75 FIP	18	SW	5.75	16.8%	25.5%	1.5%	.300	6.38	15.7%	-1.8%	36	+0.63	4.28	109	80
Xavier Moore R 2019 · 4.93 FIP	20	SW	4.93	12.5%	15.8%	1.6%	.288	4.35	27.6%	13.0%	71	-0.58	2.31	135	80
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	80
Bryant Salgado R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	21	SW	5.65	14.2%	20.4%	2.1%	.219	4.83	15.9%	3.5%	89	-0.82	4.83	110	80
Angel Peralta R 2024 · 6.70 FIP	17	SW	6.70	19.0%	29.7%	2.6%	.200	4.28	15.9%	2.0%	84	-2.42	3.81	107	80
Jose Pena Jr. R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	20	SU	6.67	13.6%	25.8%	2.6%	.292	3.81	22.3%	9.1%	116	-2.86	3.48	176	80