Diomar Hidalgo

SS DSL Red Sox Red

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 163 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1239ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Red Sox B…	103	.269/.447/.346	1	13	66	—	.190/.340/.250
2026	19	ROKDSL Red Sox R…	25	.250/.400/.350	0	1	44	—	.143/.280/.190
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBBOS	135	.214/.303/.286	1	4	71	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBBOS	27	.224/.312/.308	0	1	75	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBBOS	81	.227/.315/.319	1	2	79	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

BB%92

Chase%86

wOBA84

wRC+82

Whiff%76

Z-Con%73

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJesus Hernandez (age 20) · Jared Serna (age 20) · Tito Polo (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .301 / .284

PA26

HR0

K%25

BB%10

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	103	78	21	3	0	1	22	18	3	13	4	269	447	346	793	77	339	17	21	377	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	25	20	5	2	0	0	4	4	1	1	1	250	400	350	750	100	312	16	16	352	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	103	84	16	2	0	1	16	22	3	13	4	190	340	250	590	60	238	21	16	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	25	21	3	1	0	0	3	5	1	1	1	143	280	190	470	48	201	20	12	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	103	84	16	2	0	1	16	22	3	13	4	190	340	250	590	60	246	21	16	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	103	78	21	3	0	1	22	18	3	13	4	269	447	346	793	77	339	17	21	377	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	25	21	3	1	0	0	3	5	1	1	1	143	280	190	470	48	188	20	12	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	25	20	5	2	0	0	4	4	1	1	1	250	400	350	750	100	312	16	16	352	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	103	83	16	2	0	1	16	22	3	13	4	193	340	253	593	60	238	21	16	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	25	21	3	1	0	0	3	5	1	1	1	143	280	190	470	48	201	20	12	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	103	83	16	2	0	1	16	22	3	13	4	193	340	253	593	60	238	21	16	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	25	21	3	1	0	0	3	5	1	1	1	143	280	190	470	48	201	20	12	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	135	119	26	4	1	1	13	34	2	4	0	214	303	286	590	72	289	25	10	273	71	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	80	71	16	3	0	1	8	20	1	2	0	218	307	299	606	81	290	25	10	280	75	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	168	148	32	5	1	2	16	42	2	4	1	221	309	310	619	89	291	25	10	285	79	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	261	230	52	9	1	4	25	64	4	7	1	224	311	320	631	96	292	25	10	289	82	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	348	306	70	12	2	5	34	85	5	9	1	227	313	328	641	102	293	24	10	293	84	-7	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	396	350	80	13	2	7	38	96	5	10	1	228	314	335	649	107	293	24	10	296	86	-7	+2	+0	+4	+9	0.8
2033	26	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	425	375	85	14	2	7	41	103	6	11	2	228	314	337	651	108	293	24	10	296	87	-7	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	438	387	88	15	2	7	42	107	6	11	2	227	313	334	647	107	292	24	10	295	86	-7	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	440	389	88	15	2	7	42	109	6	11	2	226	311	330	641	104	292	25	10	292	84	-8	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	435	384	86	14	2	7	42	109	6	10	2	223	309	323	632	100	291	25	10	289	82	-10	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	425	377	83	14	2	6	40	107	5	10	2	220	305	316	621	96	289	25	9	284	79	-11	+1	-2	+5	+9	0.2
2038	31	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	408	362	78	13	2	5	38	105	5	9	2	216	300	306	607	90	286	26	9	279	75	-12	+1	-3	+4	+9	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	27	24	5	1	0	0	3	7	0	1	0	224	312	308	620	83	299	26	11	285	75	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	81	72	16	3	0	1	8	20	1	2	0	227	315	319	633	91	300	25	10	290	79	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	142	125	29	5	1	2	14	35	2	4	1	230	317	328	645	98	301	25	10	295	82	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	193	169	40	7	1	3	19	47	3	5	1	233	318	337	655	104	302	24	10	298	84	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	222	196	46	8	1	4	21	54	3	6	1	234	319	343	663	109	302	24	9	301	86	-4	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	239	211	49	9	1	4	23	58	3	6	1	235	320	345	665	110	302	24	10	302	87	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	242	214	50	9	1	4	23	59	3	6	1	234	319	342	661	109	302	24	10	301	86	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	241	213	49	9	1	4	23	59	3	6	1	232	317	338	655	106	301	24	10	298	84	-5	+1	-0	+3	+5	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	232	205	47	9	1	3	22	58	3	6	1	230	314	332	646	102	300	25	9	294	82	-5	+1	-1	+2	+5	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	224	198	45	8	1	3	21	57	3	5	1	227	311	324	635	98	298	25	9	290	79	-6	+1	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	231	204	45	8	1	3	22	59	3	5	1	223	306	315	621	92	295	26	10	284	75	-7	+1	-2	+2	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2074	1831	421	76	9	31	199	513	27	52	9	230	315	332	647	102	301	25	10	296	82	-43	+7	-4	+22	+45	2.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	133	24	3	10	62	161	8	16	3	232	315	336	651	105	303	25	10	296	82	-14	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3978	3507	782	131	18	59	388	981	55	109	21	223	310	321	631	98	291	25	10	289	82	-81	+13	-7	+41	+83	5.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	128	21	3	10	63	160	9	18	3	223	310	323	633	99	291	25	10	289	82	-14	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Red Sox Red · 25 PAwOBA .344 → .233 (−111)K% 16.0% → 19.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.00%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	19.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.00%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	11.14%
HBP% /PA	4.00%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	2.79%
Singles /BIP	18.75%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×0.995	12.69%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.995	7.46%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .344 → .233; ISO .100 → .062; BABIP .312 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Red Sox Blue · 103 PAwOBA .369 → .266 (−103)K% 17.5% → 21.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.48%	÷0.997	×1.220	—	—	21.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.36%	÷0.959	×0.700	—	×1.008	15.70%
HBP% /PA	2.91%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.05%
Singles /BIP	28.33%	÷0.932	×0.680	×0.996	×1.008	20.74%
Doubles /BIP	5.00%	÷1.059	×0.600	×0.996	×1.008	2.84%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.996	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.67%	÷0.920	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.86%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 86, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .369 → .266; ISO .077 → .044; BABIP .339 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#4Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.2	2,100	32	52	225	307	326	+23	+21	4.4	4.0
/162	664	10	16	+7.1	+6.6	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Diomar Hidalgo (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	212/301/284	71	289	0	1	25%	10%	71	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Hernandez 2024 · A	20	42	37→40	51→55	53	199/281/271	72	257	5	13	23%	10%	60	-1.6	199/278/287	88	284	6	18	29%	9%	63	-1.4	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Jared Serna 2022 · A	20	40→48	38→45	56→50	56	186/292/266	79	230	4	22	19%	11%	65	-1.2	214/282/332	118	267	11	17	23%	7%	74	-0.5	217/275/346	129	264	14	15	23%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Tito Polo 2015 · A	20	43→53	39→45	54→60	42	206/268/296	90	278	5	17	27%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/320	98	295	8	26	26%	5%	69	-0.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Gilberto Celestino 2019 · A	20	43→53	38→45	52→55	42	209/257/289	80	280	6	12	27%	6%	54	-2.0	226/281/328	102	291	8	8	24%	7%	72	-0.7	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Aroon Escobar 2024 · A	19	38→46	36→45	51→55	54	178/277/245	67	211	4	16	17%	9%	55	-2.0	218/300/318	100	261	10	17	20%	9%	78	-0.3	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
●Cody Freeman 2021 · A	20	44→54	36→50	49→50	50	206/290/273	66	276	3	10	24%	9%	64	-1.3	205/269/313	108	250	11	9	22%	7%	65	-1.2	257/301/394	137	287	15	10	16%	5%	94	+0.6
✕Luke Williams 2017 · A	20	46→44	36→45	50→65	47	216/284/281	65	293	3	11	26%	8%	63	-1.4	196/247/266	70	262	5	17	26%	6%	45	-2.7	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	43→53	40→50	57→55	43	207/267/301	93	294	6	22	30%	7%	61	-1.5	237/294/369	132	297	12	21	23%	7%	86	+0.3	245/302/388	143	293	14	19	20%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	54→60	52	186/296/275	89	275	5	8	30%	12%	68	-1.0	190/293/264	74	252	5	17	24%	10%	64	-1.3	151/292/187	36	182	3	30	16%	14%	48	-0.8
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Cutter Coffey 2024 · A	20	38→45	39→45	49→50	44	185/262/271	86	271	7	13	32%	8%	53	-2.1	201/271/317	116	296	12	10	34%	8%	67	-1.1	199/268/315	116	299	12	9	35%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Adan Velazquez 2010 · A	20	41→51	40→45	53→50	45	197/263/292	95	245	6	11	22%	6%	58	-1.7	203/256/288	85	282	5	10	28%	5%	54	-2.0	254/293/350	97	308	8	4	20%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	40	39→45	53→55	52	192/277/280	88	229	6	14	19%	8%	61	-1.5	221/287/329	108	296	9	10	27%	6%	75	-0.5	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2021 · A	20	44	36→45	53→45	48	207/271/275	68	270	3	10	23%	8%	57	-1.8	225/279/332	107	302	11	8	28%	6%	73	-0.6	213/267/311	98	282	10	9	27%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Jorge Alcantara 2012 · A	20	44	40→45	52→50	42	209/274/307	98	306	7	12	32%	8%	65	-1.2	190/261/285	95	288	7	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0

Diomar Hidalgo

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps