Alejandro Cruz — OGILVIE

Alejandro Cruz3B ACL White Sox

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 165 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION143 act + 95 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.162 / .241 / .232

PA95

HR1

K%33

BB%7

BABIP239

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	164	139	20	4	0	3	19	51	5	18	4	144	270	237	507	94	198	31	12	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	164	127	29	7	0	4	31	36	5	18	4	228	399	378	777	150	284	22	19	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	CWS	—	143	130	18	6	0	1	6	58	5	11	2	138	206	208	413	69	239	41	4	177	-6	-17	+1	+0	+1	+4	-1.1
YTD	19	ROK	CWS	—	143	126	27	10	0	1	10	40	5	11	2	214	298	317	615	103	306	28	7	280	73	-4	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.2
ROS	19	ROK	CWS	0%	95	86	14	3	0	1	7	31	2	4	1	162	241	232	473	69	260	33	7	237	39	-7	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
ROS	19	MLB	CWS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		261	—	—	223	29	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	CWS	—	143	131	18	6	0	1	6	58	5	11	2	137	206	206	412	69	236	41	4	177	-6	-17	+1	+0	+1	+4	-1.1
TOT	19	ROK	CWS	—	238	216	32	9	0	2	13	89	7	15	3	148	220	217	437	69	239	37	5	201	12	-24	+2	+0	+1	+7	-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CWS	34%	266	240	45	10	1	4	19	83	5	7	1	188	261	287	549	100	264	31	7	248	48	-16	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.6
2028	21	MLB	CWS	48%	383	345	66	14	2	6	28	117	7	10	2	191	266	296	561	104	267	31	7	258	55	-19	+1	+0	+1	+11	-0.6
2027	20	MLB	CWS	34%	91	82	14	3	0	1	7	29	2	2	0	171	253	244	497	73	265	32	8	236	39	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
2028	21	MLB	CWS	48%	186	167	33	7	1	3	14	57	3	5	1	198	272	305	577	108	268	31	8	246	46	-11	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	277	250	47	10	1	4	21	86	5	7	1	188	265	284	549	96	267	31	8	243	44	-18	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	109	23	2	9	49	202	12	16	2	186	263	278	541	92	265	31	8	243	44	-41	+2	+0	+2	+18	-1.8
Career	—			—	908	810	145	31	3	14	73	282	19	39	8	179	263	276	539	97	253	31	8	248	48	-53	+5	+0	+3	+26	-2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	103	22	2	10	52	202	14	28	6	178	262	274	536	97	251	31	8	248	48	-38	+3	+0	+2	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	164	127	29	7	0	4	31	36	5	18	4	228	399	378	777	150	284	22	19	359	133	+6	+2	—	—	+5	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	441	6	11	191	263	289	+2	+1	-0.9	-0.4
	/162	664	9	16	191	263	289	+2.4	+1.5	-1.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alejandro Cruz (OGILVIE)	19	30	35	60	60	148/220/217	69	239	2	15	37%	5%	12	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2018 · A	19	44→28	36→45	52→50	43	203/273/273	70	297	3	14	30%	7%	52	-1.6	193/263/272	79	302	5	16	35%	8%	47	-1.9	205/271/341	136	317	14	17	37%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→29	40→45	51→50	48	177/255/271	94	227	7	13	24%	8%	44	-2.1	175/249/266	91	263	6	10	33%	8%	40	-2.4	157/237/236	79	247	5	10	36%	9%	25	-2.0
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Ariel Montesino 2015 · A	19	38	36→40	53→50	41	181/239/249	69	257	3	16	30%	6%	30	-3.1	196/247/255	59	259	3	9	24%	6%	35	-2.8	188/241/238	51	246	3	7	24%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	58	-1.2	209/266/303	94	295	7	19	30%	6%	56	-1.3	202/262/292	90	286	7	25	30%	6%	50	-0.7
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Ranfy Adon 2017 · A	19	36	39→45	49→50	41	180/246/264	84	259	7	12	32%	7%	39	-2.5	198/245/300	102	329	8	12	40%	5%	46	-2.0	173/231/277	105	327	9	25	47%	5%	33	-0.6
✕Angel Jimenez 2014 · A	19	40	41→40	49→50	48	198/275/295	97	255	9	11	25%	8%	59	-1.1	203/270/294	91	264	7	11	24%	7%	56	-1.3	192/259/278	87	246	7	13	24%	6%	44	-0.8
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	39→37	38→40	48→40	47	187/266/269	83	245	4	8	24%	8%	49	-1.8	193/286/294	101	260	9	6	27%	11%	63	-0.8	179/279/276	97	240	10	4	28%	12%	55	-0.8
✕Adalfi Almonte 2015 · A	19	39	40	48→50	46	190/275/287	97	268	7	12	30%	8%	58	-1.2	195/296/271	76	287	5	12	30%	10%	63	-0.9	169/295/221	52	258	3	14	31%	11%	49	-0.5
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	38	38→45	56→50	38	183/245/263	80	272	5	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	188/242/284	96	295	9	9	37%	6%	41	-2.3	186/239/293	108	289	12	10	38%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Demetrio Nadal 2023 · A	19	42	35→30	55	47	198/281/261	63	260	3	17	23%	7%	53	-1.5	210/300/287	77	273	4	25	23%	8%	68	-0.5	195/295/268	73	258	5	32	24%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	36→39	38→40	49→55	39	176/241/254	78	265	5	10	34%	6%	33	-2.9	183/258/278	95	267	8	13	32%	8%	47	-1.9	169/247/259	90	238	8	18	31%	8%	36	-1.4
✕Jhonny Piron 2023 · A	19	36	40	47→55	45	179/264/268	89	265	9	11	34%	9%	48	-1.9	184/254/256	72	292	5	9	36%	7%	40	-2.4	122/192/154	32	205	0	12	37%	6%	-15	-1.4
✕Anthony Pereira 2016 · A	19	39→38	40	52→50	44	192/248/284	92	240	8	15	23%	6%	44	-2.1	188/239/277	89	247	7	8	26%	6%	38	-2.6	170/219/254	84	229	7	5	28%	5%	20	-2.8
✕Gabrial Franca 2013 · A	19	41	38→40	54→55	46	196/263/280	84	261	5	17	26%	8%	49	-1.8	196/277/259	63	262	3	14	24%	9%	50	-1.8	164/269/181	17	215	0	19	21%	12%	26	-1.1
✕Alexander Benua 2023 · A	19	39	35→40	54→55	39	183/253/246	63	277	3	19	33%	6%	37	-2.6	192/258/278	86	297	6	14	35%	6%	47	-1.9	179/247/272	92	289	8	12	38%	7%	40	-0.9