Alejandro Cruz

3B ACL White Sox

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 165 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKCWS	164	.228/.399/.378	4	18	38	—	.132/.276/.206
2026	19	ROKCWS	164	.206/.304/.298	1	14	6	—	.136/.211/.197
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBCWS	274	.186/.261/.267	3	7	51	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBCWS	46	.192/.268/.284	1	1	57	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed62

ISO37

Chase%31

Z-Con%24

Whiff%23

K%21

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsHans Montero (age 20) · Ismael Alcantara (age 20) · Neyfy Castillo (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 85 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .259 / .265

PA85

HR1

K%31

BB%8

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	164	127	29	7	0	4	31	36	5	18	4	228	399	378	777	150	284	22	19	359	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	164	141	29	10	0	1	15	47	5	14	2	206	304	298	602	92	301	29	9	277	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	164	136	18	4	0	2	22	44	5	18	4	132	276	206	482	74	169	27	13	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	164	147	20	6	0	1	9	68	5	14	2	136	211	197	408	61	225	41	5	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	164	136	18	4	0	2	22	44	5	18	4	132	276	206	482	74	176	27	13	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	164	127	29	7	0	4	31	36	5	18	4	228	399	378	777	150	284	22	19	359	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	164	147	20	6	0	1	9	68	5	14	2	136	211	197	408	61	244	41	5	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	—	164	141	29	10	0	1	15	47	5	14	2	206	304	298	602	92	301	29	9	277	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	164	136	18	4	0	2	22	44	5	18	4	132	276	206	482	74	169	27	13	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	164	149	20	6	0	1	9	68	5	14	2	134	211	195	406	60	225	41	5	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	164	136	18	4	0	2	22	44	5	18	4	132	276	206	482	74	169	27	13	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	164	149	20	6	0	1	9	68	5	14	2	134	211	195	406	60	225	41	5	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	274	247	46	9	1	3	21	84	4	7	1	186	261	267	528	81	267	31	8	244	51	-16	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CWS	34%	135	121	24	5	1	2	11	41	2	3	1	191	267	282	549	90	269	30	8	252	57	-7	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	CWS	34%	46	41	9	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	192	268	284	551	91	270	30	9	253	57	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	46	41	9	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	220	304	341	646	122	308	30	9	253	35	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	127	28	0	14	57	198	14	14	0	219	305	340	645	121	308	30	9	253	35	-33	+3	+0	+2	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	548	481	76	18	1	6	49	179	13	37	7	158	254	237	491	79	235	33	9	220	35	-12	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	89	21	1	7	58	212	15	44	8	156	252	233	484	77	232	33	9	220	35	-35	+2	+0	+2	+14	-1.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL White Sox · 164 PAwOBA .270 → .177 (−92)K% 28.7% → 41.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.66%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	41.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.15%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	5.71%
HBP% /PA	3.05%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.21%
Singles /BIP	19.15%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.950	×1.008	15.03%
Doubles /BIP	10.64%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.950	×1.008	7.33%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.950	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.06%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.84%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .270 → .177; ISO .092 → .058; BABIP .301 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL White Sox · 164 PAwOBA .353 → .224 (−129)K% 22.0% → 26.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.95%	÷1.004	×1.220	—	—	26.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.90%	÷1.005	×0.700	—	×1.008	13.26%
HBP% /PA	3.05%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.15%
Singles /BIP	19.78%	÷1.021	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	12.61%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷1.070	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	4.13%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.927	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.40%	÷1.102	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.89%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 104, 2B 114, 3B 85, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .353 → .224; ISO .150 → .073; BABIP .284 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alejandro Cruz (OGILVIE)	20	30	35	60	60	184/259/265	80	267	1	2	31%	8%	51	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Anyelo Encarnación 2024 · A	20	41→36	38→40	54→50	49	188/284/272	84	293	5	14	34%	11%	62	-1.4	183/267/272	89	313	8	14	40%	9%	56	-1.9	171/261/262	92	293	9	17	41%	10%	49	-1.4
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	37→32	39→40	51→50	49	180/260/269	89	230	6	13	24%	8%	53	-2.1	179/254/271	92	260	6	10	31%	8%	50	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	38	38→45	53→50	51	181/272/260	79	252	4	15	28%	10%	55	-2.0	185/255/278	93	317	6	13	40%	8%	52	-2.2	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→39	40	52→50	42	194/257/287	92	271	7	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/277/282	78	309	4	8	32%	9%	61	-1.5	194/278/266	72	301	3	7	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Jose Ramos 2023 · A	20	38	39→40	57→55	51	185/264/271	86	233	6	20	22%	9%	54	-2.0	184/265/261	77	273	4	22	31%	8%	52	-2.2	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	40→39	40→45	54→55	43	189/275/278	90	295	7	14	35%	8%	61	-1.5	189/271/295	106	262	9	15	30%	8%	63	-1.4	166/254/289	123	223	13	23	31%	8%	53	-1.3
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A	20	38	37→40	50	53	178/278/250	72	254	4	12	29%	11%	55	-1.9	187/261/255	68	287	3	9	33%	8%	49	-2.4	130/199/162	32	218	0	8	37%	8%	5	-1.2
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	53→50	46	189/269/285	96	280	8	13	33%	9%	59	-1.6	194/280/279	85	302	5	15	34%	10%	62	-1.4	185/278/271	86	290	5	16	34%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Raddy Sierra 2008 · A	20	40	39→40	51→55	42	193/266/277	84	278	6	17	31%	7%	56	-1.9	205/267/288	83	304	6	13	32%	6%	59	-1.7	207/262/261	54	318	0	16	32%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Alexander Benua 2024 · A	20	39	36→40	51→55	40	184/255/252	68	275	4	16	32%	6%	47	-2.6	198/262/288	90	311	7	11	36%	7%	57	-1.8	183/250/274	91	292	7	12	37%	7%	49	-0.9
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	38	39→40	56→55	44	185/255/267	82	238	6	20	24%	6%	50	-2.3	204/263/292	88	285	6	19	29%	6%	57	-1.8	204/262/297	93	286	8	25	30%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Arturo Guerrero 2021 · A	20	37	38→30	52→50	40	178/273/258	80	272	6	9	34%	7%	56	-1.9	177/253/265	88	320	6	11	44%	6%	49	-2.4	137/218/227	89	269	7	13	48%	6%	27	-0.9
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7