Elian Peña

SS St. Lucie Mets

Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

APROSPECTFG #277MiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP50ETA2029FG ETA2031MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Mets Oran…	223	.292/.421/.528	9	21	67	—	.174/.290/.305
2026	18	A+NYM	77	.164/.263/.224	0	2	1	—	.129/.197/.171
2026	18	ANYM	439	.271/.390/.397	8	28	78	—	.221/.314/.315
2027PROJ4% MLB	19	MLBNYM	13	.183/.272/.272	0	0	60	-0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB	20	MLBNYM	201	.191/.280/.295	4	7	69	-0.2
2029PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBNYM	293	.198/.288/.319	7	10	78	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$5M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed93

Z-Con%66

BB%51

Whiff%45

K%18

Chase%10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 26, comp-based) · star 9% · didn't stick 73%

CompsJesús Báez (age 19) · Angel Ortiz (age 19) · Hoy Park (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .272 / .272

PA13

HR0

K%23

BB%8

BABIP237

ISO96

MLB%4%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$5M	+1.1	$5M	+$3M
2035	Arb-2	$8M	+1.1	$5M	+$1M
2036	Arb-3	$11M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$16M		$25M	+$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	223	178	52	13	1	9	36	36	5	21	4	292	421	528	949	236	319	16	16	413	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	77	67	11	2	1	0	9	24	0	2	0	164	263	224	487	60	250	31	12	230	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	439	365	99	18	2	8	61	94	10	28	9	271	390	397	787	126	343	21	14	358	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	223	190	33	8	1	5	26	45	5	21	4	174	290	305	595	132	195	20	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	77	70	9	1	1	0	6	31	0	2	0	129	197	171	369	43	218	40	8	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	439	384	85	14	2	6	42	128	10	28	9	221	314	315	629	94	306	29	10	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	223	190	33	8	1	5	26	45	5	21	4	174	290	305	595	132	197	20	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	223	178	52	13	1	9	36	36	5	21	4	292	421	528	949	236	319	16	16	413	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	516	455	94	16	3	6	47	159	10	30	9	207	295	295	589	88	300	31	9	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	516	432	110	20	3	8	70	118	10	30	9	255	371	370	741	116	330	23	14	339	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	223	190	33	8	1	5	26	45	5	21	4	174	290	305	595	132	195	20	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	516	454	94	16	3	6	47	159	10	30	9	207	295	295	590	88	293	31	9	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	223	190	33	8	1	5	26	45	5	21	4	174	290	305	595	132	195	20	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	516	454	94	16	3	6	47	159	10	30	9	207	295	295	590	88	293	31	9	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	NYM	4%	626	553	105	19	3	9	58	161	10	19	5	188	277	280	556	92	245	26	9	257	60	-29	+2	-4	+7	+14	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	19	MLB CTX	NYM	4%	13	12	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	183	272	272	543	89	237	23	8	252	60	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYM	36%	557	491	96	17	2	10	52	140	9	18	5	196	285	304	589	107	249	25	9	270	69	-20	+2	-3	+6	+12	-0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	NYM	49%	597	526	108	19	3	14	56	147	10	21	6	204	293	328	621	124	253	25	9	283	78	-16	+2	-3	+6	+13	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	615	541	115	20	3	17	59	149	10	22	6	211	300	348	648	138	256	24	10	293	85	-11	+2	-2	+7	+13	0.9
2031	23	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	627	552	118	20	3	18	60	149	10	22	6	216	304	363	667	147	259	24	10	301	90	-8	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	634	558	123	21	3	20	61	150	10	23	6	220	307	373	680	153	261	24	10	306	93	-5	+2	+1	+7	+14	1.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	639	563	124	21	3	20	61	151	10	23	6	221	309	377	686	157	262	24	10	308	94	-4	+2	+1	+7	+14	2.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	642	565	125	21	3	21	62	151	10	22	6	221	309	379	688	158	261	24	10	309	95	-4	+2	+1	+7	+14	2.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	639	562	124	21	3	21	62	151	10	22	6	220	308	377	685	157	261	24	10	307	94	-4	+2	+1	+7	+14	1.9
2036	28	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	633	557	122	21	3	20	61	151	10	19	6	218	306	372	678	154	260	24	10	305	92	-6	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	621	548	118	20	2	19	59	150	9	16	5	216	304	366	670	150	259	24	10	301	90	-7	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	610	538	114	19	2	18	58	150	9	12	4	213	300	359	659	145	257	25	10	297	87	-9	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.0
2039	31	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	595	525	109	18	2	17	56	148	9	7	3	209	296	349	645	140	255	25	9	291	83	-12	+0	-2	+6	+13	0.6
2040	32	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	577	510	105	17	2	16	54	146	8	3	3	204	290	337	627	133	251	25	9	284	78	-15	-1	-3	+6	+13	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYM	36%	201	177	34	6	1	4	19	51	3	7	2	191	280	295	576	105	242	25	9	265	69	-7	+1	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	NYM	49%	293	258	52	9	1	7	28	72	5	10	3	198	288	319	607	121	245	25	10	277	78	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	335	294	60	10	1	9	32	81	6	12	3	205	295	340	634	135	248	24	10	288	85	-6	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	356	313	66	11	2	10	34	85	6	13	4	210	299	354	653	144	250	24	10	295	90	-4	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.8
2032	24	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	359	316	68	11	2	11	34	85	6	13	4	214	302	364	666	151	253	24	9	300	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	361	317	69	11	2	12	35	85	6	13	4	215	303	369	672	154	253	24	10	302	94	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	363	319	69	11	2	12	35	86	6	13	4	215	304	370	674	155	253	24	10	303	95	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	354	311	66	11	1	11	34	84	6	12	3	214	303	368	671	154	253	24	10	302	94	-2	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	347	306	65	11	1	11	33	83	5	10	3	212	301	364	664	151	252	24	10	299	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2037	29	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	332	292	61	10	1	10	32	80	5	8	3	210	298	358	656	147	251	24	10	296	90	-4	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.7
2038	30	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	321	282	59	10	1	10	31	79	5	6	2	207	295	350	645	143	249	25	10	291	87	-5	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2039	31	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	310	274	56	9	1	9	29	77	4	4	2	203	290	341	631	137	246	25	9	286	83	-6	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	299	265	52	8	1	8	28	76	4	1	1	199	285	329	614	130	243	25	9	279	78	-8	-0	-1	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4231	3724	777	128	17	124	404	1024	67	122	38	209	297	352	650	143	251	24	10	292	84	-62	+9	-6	+45	+92	8.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	120	20	3	19	62	157	10	19	6	210	298	355	653	145	253	24	10	292	84	-9	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	9045	7963	1682	289	39	247	864	2219	144	291	84	211	300	350	650	139	259	25	10	293	84	-138	+20	-15	+89	+180	13.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	122	21	3	18	62	159	10	21	6	213	301	355	656	142	261	24	10	293	84	-11	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Frankie Crosetti'32-'48 * career totals — 15 seasons, 7,273 PA	11.0	7,273	98	113	226*	314*	363*	+73	-6	16.5	16.3
/162	664	9	10	+6.7	-0.5	1.5	pk7: 16
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	6.4	4,245	124	122	215	299	360	+45	+1	11.0	9.6
/162	664	19	19	+7.1	+0.1	1.7	pk7: 8
#5Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#6Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elian Peña (OGILVIE)	19	25→50	40→53	40	46	186/274/277	91	245	5	10	26%	9%	60	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42→45	41→50	46→45	44	206/261/296	90	269	9	9	26%	7%	57	-1.8	207/257/302	95	281	7	7	27%	6%	57	-1.8	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→50	41→45	47→55	46	197/270/297	100	265	8	11	28%	8%	62	-1.4	207/284/295	88	286	5	16	27%	9%	67	-1.1	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Dom Nuñez 2014 · A	19	36→46	39→50	45	43	178/227/264	87	225	6	11	24%	6%	37	-3.3	213/268/326	113	256	12	8	21%	7%	68	-1.0	216/276/332	115	259	14	6	22%	7%	71	-0.5
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	38→48	42→55	45→50	49	189/279/298	109	272	9	7	32%	11%	66	-1.1	205/296/340	135	284	14	9	30%	11%	82	-0.0	233/312/421	188	299	22	7	28%	10%	105	+1.6
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	41→51	41→50	49→55	45	201/256/299	98	254	8	12	24%	7%	56	-1.9	233/299/372	139	304	15	16	27%	8%	90	+0.6	241/309/383	142	307	16	19	26%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	45→46	37→55	49→50	47	212/272/292	80	272	4	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	214/265/314	100	290	7	9	27%	6%	63	-1.4	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Manuel Pena 2023 · A	19	41→50	38→50	47→50	42	198/255/277	79	286	6	10	32%	7%	51	-2.3	213/257/304	91	311	6	8	32%	5%	57	-1.8	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	44→50	41→50	47→45	46	215/282/311	96	276	9	12	25%	8%	70	-0.9	234/317/368	134	286	12	9	21%	10%	96	+1.0	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	40→48	41→55	46→55	42	198/255/291	92	273	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	206/267/338	132	276	14	13	29%	7%	70	-0.8	229/297/399	170	285	18	21	26%	8%	94	+0.9
✕Héctor Rodríguez 2022 · A	18	43→52	39→50	43→50	47	207/265/299	91	246	6	9	19%	6%	60	-1.6	235/273/360	125	283	10	13	20%	4%	76	-0.4	243/284/388	145	281	17	9	20%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	39→36	41→60	47→50	46	193/265/292	98	258	9	12	28%	8%	59	-1.7	209/266/356	147	291	17	11	33%	7%	74	-0.5	210/280/412	202	285	27	13	35%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	44→50	42→50	44→50	43	216/269/322	106	282	10	6	27%	6%	66	-1.1	235/294/368	133	322	13	11	29%	7%	87	+0.4	238/300/387	148	320	15	11	29%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	38→48	38→55	46→55	42	188/240/269	81	244	6	5	25%	5%	43	-2.8	207/266/331	124	281	13	8	29%	7%	68	-1.0	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Eguy Rosario 2019 · A	19	42→52	40→55	48→55	39	205/259/302	97	291	7	13	31%	6%	59	-1.7	227/277/345	118	314	10	16	29%	6%	74	-0.5	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
●Ronny Simon 2019 · A	19	40→50	36→50	47→60	46	190/268/261	71	256	3	11	25%	8%	53	-2.1	201/265/313	112	253	8	14	23%	7%	63	-1.3	273/337/383	110	340	8	30	21%	8%	103	+1.3

Elian Peña

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps