Luis Leon — OGILVIE

Luis LeonSS FCL Marlins

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION176 act + 117 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†35

AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .241 / .273

PA117

HR2

SB7

K%37

BB%8

BABIP261

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED71

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	88	78	3	1	0	0	8	61	2	10	2	38	148	51	199	13	176	69	9	111	-57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	88	73	8	4	0	0	13	41	2	10	2	110	261	164	426	55	250	47	15	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	MIA	—	176	157	24	4	1	3	13	80	3	24	4	153	231	248	480	96	280	45	7	217	24	-15	+3	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
YTD	20	ROK	MIA	—	176	148	35	7	2	4	22	56	3	24	4	236	347	392	739	155	348	32	12	330	110	+2	+3	+0	+2	+5	1.2
ROS	20	ROK	MIA	0%	117	106	18	3	1	2	9	44	1	7	1	169	241	273	513	103	267	37	8	231	35	-9	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
ROS	20	MLB	MIA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		263	—	—	219	25	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	MIA	—	176	158	24	4	1	3	13	80	3	24	4	152	231	247	478	95	276	45	7	217	24	-15	+3	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
TOT	20	ROK	MIA	—	293	263	42	7	2	5	22	124	4	31	5	159	235	258	493	99	271	42	8	222	28	-24	+4	+0	+3	+8	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	MIA	34%	296	267	48	9	2	5	23	107	4	11	2	180	255	285	540	105	272	36	8	244	45	-18	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.6
2028	22	MLB	MIA	48%	399	360	67	12	3	7	31	139	5	13	2	186	260	294	555	108	275	35	8	253	52	-22	+2	+0	+4	+11	-0.4
2027	21	MLB	MIA	34%	102	92	17	3	1	2	8	37	1	4	1	185	257	304	562	120	268	36	8	232	36	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
2028	22	MLB	MIA	48%	193	174	31	6	1	3	15	67	2	7	1	178	251	276	527	98	270	35	8	240	42	-13	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	295	267	48	9	2	5	23	104	3	11	2	180	253	285	538	105	269	35	8	238	40	-20	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	106	20	4	11	51	229	7	24	4	180	255	284	539	104	270	35	8	238	40	-44	+3	+0	+7	+18	-1.6
Career	—			—	900	811	136	25	6	14	71	351	12	41	7	168	245	265	510	97	271	39	8	233	37	-64	+5	+0	+10	+26	-2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	98	18	4	10	51	253	9	30	5	167	245	263	507	96	270	39	8	233	37	-46	+4	+0	+7	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	88	73	8	4	0	0	13	41	2	10	2	110	261	164	426	55	250	47	15	219	26	-7	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	435	7	14	182	253	283	+5	+6	-0.8	-0.4
	/162	664	11	22	182	253	283	+7.1	+9.2	-1.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Leon (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	35→40	66→71	57	159/235/258	99	271	5	31	42%	8%	28	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kelvin Diaz 2023 · A	20	37	43→50	56→60	36	185/253/297	112	281	10	19	36%	6%	50	-1.7	173/244/264	91	301	8	23	42%	7%	38	-2.6	140/212/218	79	253	8	29	45%	7%	12	-1.4
✕Jose Ramos 2023 · A	20	41	41→40	57→60	48	201/274/306	105	261	8	20	25%	8%	61	-1.0	183/262/263	80	276	4	22	32%	8%	45	-2.1	166/252/237	72	256	4	27	33%	9%	33	-1.3
✕Oswaldo Pina 2019 · A	20	41	37→40	58→55	40	191/250/268	77	300	4	20	36%	7%	40	-2.4	203/265/280	77	309	4	14	33%	7%	50	-1.8	193/263/258	65	289	3	15	31%	7%	41	-0.7
✕Cameron Cauley 2023 · A	20	39→42	37→50	60	37	183/239/254	71	300	4	28	38%	6%	31	-3.0	192/245/311	119	312	12	26	40%	6%	50	-1.8	199/253/334	135	284	13	30	34%	7%	56	-0.9
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	39→36	39→45	54→55	42	185/269/272	86	287	7	14	35%	8%	51	-1.7	179/261/271	92	253	8	15	30%	7%	47	-1.9	155/243/267	112	213	11	23	32%	7%	36	-1.6
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→29	37→50	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	37	-2.7	181/253/315	134	327	17	16	46%	7%	56	-1.3	164/239/293	129	288	17	19	46%	7%	40	-1.6
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4
✕Brent Brewer 2008 · A	20	41→40	41→40	58→55	34	196/242/295	99	314	8	20	39%	5%	43	-2.2	194/243/270	76	307	4	18	35%	6%	37	-2.6	186/239/252	66	288	2	21	34%	6%	28	-2.4
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Michael Crouse 2010 · A	19	37	38→50	56→55	39	179/240/260	81	282	4	21	36%	7%	34	-2.8	185/250/308	123	307	12	20	41%	7%	51	-1.7	191/257/319	128	297	12	19	38%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	40	-2.4	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	49	-1.8	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	23	-0.9
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	57	-1.2	191/237/342	151	271	18	8	36%	5%	55	-1.4	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Heiker Meneses 2011 · A	20	38→48	36→40	55	39	182/248/250	67	276	4	18	33%	6%	35	-2.8	212/260/288	76	315	4	17	32%	4%	50	-1.8	226/266/266	40	325	0	15	29%	4%	42	-1.1
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Jose Salas 2023 · A	20	43→39	41→45	57→55	42	210/280/309	99	289	9	21	29%	7%	65	-0.7	179/236/261	82	276	7	20	36%	6%	33	-2.9	166/219/271	105	257	13	24	39%	5%	26	-1.6
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Ranfy Adon 2018 · A	20	38	39→45	52→50	38	185/244/270	85	282	6	12	35%	6%	38	-2.6	208/252/318	110	358	9	11	42%	5%	53	-1.5	173/231/277	105	327	9	25	47%	5%	33	-0.6
✕Dasan Brown 2022 · A	20	43→36	40	54→60	38	197/275/289	92	326	8	23	39%	7%	58	-1.2	197/266/285	88	311	8	23	37%	6%	53	-1.5	160/243/233	73	258	7	41	38%	8%	27	-1.7
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	58	-1.2	209/266/303	94	295	7	19	30%	6%	56	-1.3	202/262/292	90	286	7	25	30%	6%	50	-0.7