Jason Schiavone

C Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP45OGV rank#121ETA2028MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421AHOU75.156/.280/.297230—.090/.187/.164
202522A+/AHOU300.180/.391/.32461144—.126/.284/.228
202623AAA/AA/A+HOU540.252/.392/.531323299—.203/.305/.421
2027PROJMLE24MLBHOU4.203/.308/.402001000.0
2028PROJ43% MLB25MLBHOU192.206/.310/.405851010.8
2029PROJ62% MLB26MLBHOU278.208/.310/.4051271011.2
Next 3 projected WAR 2.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$3M2034Arb-2$3M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Chase%91
BB%84
ISO73
wOBA67
wRC+65
Speed39
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 18, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 77%
CompsDerek Norris (age 23) · Logan O'Hoppe (age 24) · Bo Naylor (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†100
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .308 / .402
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%11
BABIP289
ISO193
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -0.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-0BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +1.00+1.0WAR
0.00.81.70.00.81.21.21.21.00.80.60.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$45M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.2$8M+$7M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$7M+$7M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$5M+$5M
2033Arb-1$3M+0.8$2M+$0.5M
2034Arb-2$3M+0.6$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $5M $24M +$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 7564 10302 10331 30 156280297577 141276 4413 270 0 — — — — — —
202522 A+Asheville Tourists — 3528 8201 5112 00 286429464893 179438 3114 404 75 — — — — — —
202522 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 265194 321015 589812 113 165386304690 139293 3722 334 40 — — — — — —
202623 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys — 3326 7301 691 31 269424500924 231375 2718 411 111 — — — — — —
202623 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 339283 6613014 491126 207 233358428786 194329 3314 353 77 — — — — — —
202623 A+Asheville Tourists — 168128 3710017 39520 92 2894557661.221 477333 3123 503 141 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 7567 6201 7441 30 90187164351 75228 599 168 0 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 3530 6101 3152 00 200314333648 133362 439 279 75 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 265215 25714 3713412 113 116280214494 98245 5114 228 40 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLESugar Land Space Cowboys — 3328 7301 4111 31 250364464828 214341 3312 332 111 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 339297 5811011 351376 207 195293343636 148309 4010 282 77 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 168144 307015 23680 92 208317569887 361253 4014 377 141 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 7567 6201 7441 30 90187164351 75227 599 168 0 — — — — — —
202421 A RAWFayetteville Woodpeckers — 7564 10302 10331 30 156280297577 141276 4413 270 0 — — — — — —
202522 A MLE2 teams — 300245 30814 4014914 113 122281212493 90280 5013 234 44 — — — — — —
202522 A RAW2 teams — 300222 401216 6310914 113 180391324716 144315 3621 343 44 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE3 teams — 540468 9521027 632157 3210 203307421728 218298 4012 315 99 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAW3 teams — 540437 11026032 941737 3210 252392531923 279333 3217 403 99 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 7567 6201 7441 30 90187164351 75228 599 168 0 — — — — — —
202522 A MLE2 teams — 300243 30814 4014914 113 123281214495 91259 5013 234 44 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE3 teams — 540465 9521027 632157 3210 204307424730 219294 4012 315 99 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 7567 6201 7441 30 90187164351 75228 599 168 0 — — — — — —
202522 A MLE2 teams — 300243 30814 4014914 113 123281214495 91259 5013 234 44 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE3 teams — 540465 9521027 632157 3210 204307424730 219294 4012 315 99 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEHOU 2% 380328 6714117 441415 124 202307402709 201284 3712 316 100 -0 +1 -1 +7 +8 1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXHOU 2% 44 0000 010 00 203308402710 199289 250 316 100 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEHOU 43% 445385 7916120 511616 124 205308405713 201285 3611 318 101 +1 +1 -1 +8 +10 1.9
202926 MLB MLEHOU 62% 445385 7916119 511586 103 206309405714 198285 3611 318 101 +1 +1 -1 +8 +10 1.9
203027 MLB MLEHOU 69% 445386 8016119 501566 93 207308402711 195285 3511 317 100 +0 +1 -1 +8 +10 1.8
203128 MLB MLEHOU 72% 445386 8016119 501546 83 207307398705 190284 3511 314 99 -1 +0 -1 +8 +10 1.6
203229 MLB MLEHOU 72% 445388 8016118 491535 63 207305392697 185282 3411 311 97 -2 +0 -2 +8 +10 1.4
203330 MLB MLEHOU 72% 445388 7916117 491545 52 204301384685 180280 3511 306 94 -3 +0 -3 +8 +10 1.2
203431 MLB MLEHOU 72% 426372 7315016 461495 33 200296374670 174276 3511 301 90 -5 -1 -3 +8 +9 0.8
203532 MLB MLEHOU 72% 250218 43909 27893 15 194290360650 166271 3611 293 84 -5 -2 -4 +4 +5 -0.0
202825 MLB CTXHOU 43% 192165 33708 22703 52 206310405715 199290 3611 318 101 +0 +0 -0 +3 +4 0.8
202926 MLB CTXHOU 62% 278240 5011012 32994 72 208310405715 197290 3612 319 101 +0 +1 -0 +5 +6 1.2
203027 MLB CTXHOU 69% 306264 5612113 351074 62 209310403713 193289 3511 318 100 +0 +0 -0 +5 +7 1.2
203128 MLB CTXHOU 72% 322279 5913113 361114 62 209309398707 189289 3411 315 99 -0 +0 -1 +6 +7 1.2
203229 MLB CTXHOU 72% 321279 5912113 351104 52 209306392699 184287 3411 312 97 -1 +0 -1 +6 +7 1.0
203330 MLB CTXHOU 72% 320278 5612012 351114 42 206303384687 179285 3511 307 94 -2 +0 -2 +6 +7 0.8
203431 MLB CTXHOU 72% 306266 5311011 331074 22 201298374672 173281 3511 301 90 -4 -0 -2 +5 +7 0.6
203532 MLB CTXHOU 72% 180157 30606 19642 14 196292361653 165276 3611 294 84 -3 -1 -3 +3 +4 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22251928 39684388 24777929 3618 205305389694 184287 3511 311 92 -10 +0 -11 +40 +48 6.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650563 11725126 722288 115 208306394700 187291 3511 311 92 -3 +0 -3 +12 +14 2.0
Career— MLE — 44713869 7601597178 507166067 10641 196300379679 183284 3711 304 92 -14 +1 -16 +63 +77 11.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650562 11023126 7424110 156 196300379679 183282 3711 304 92 -3 +0 -3 +12 +14 2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 339 PAwOBA .345 → .282 (−64)K% 33.0% → 40.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.04%÷1.000×1.220——40.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.45%÷1.000×0.700—×1.02710.39%
HBP% /PA1.77%—×0.870—×1.0271.58%
Singles /BIP22.81%÷1.000×0.920×1.031×1.02722.21%
Doubles /BIP7.60%÷1.000×0.840×1.031×1.0276.76%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.940×1.031×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP8.19%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0276.73%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .345 → .282; ISO .194 → .154; BABIP .329 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Asheville Tourists · 168 PAwOBA .492 → .377 (−116)K% 31.0% → 40.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.95%÷1.000×1.310——40.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.21%÷1.000×0.600—×0.99813.90%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP13.16%÷1.000×0.870×0.955×0.99810.91%
Doubles /BIP13.16%÷1.000×0.780×0.955×0.9989.78%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×0.955×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP22.37%÷1.000×0.880—×0.99819.64%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .492 → .377; ISO .477 → .411; BABIP .333 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 33 PAwOBA .401 → .332 (−69)K% 27.3% → 32.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.27%÷1.000×1.200——32.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.18%÷1.000×0.690—×1.05013.17%
HBP% /PA3.03%—×0.940—×1.0502.99%
Singles /BIP17.65%÷1.000×0.930—×1.05017.23%
Doubles /BIP17.65%÷1.000×0.830—×1.05015.38%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP5.88%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0504.32%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .401 → .332; ISO .231 → .184; BABIP .375 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 265 PAwOBA .329 → .228 (−101)K% 37.0% → 50.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.98%÷0.996×1.360——50.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.89%÷1.072×0.690——14.09%
HBP% /PA4.53%—×0.780——3.53%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷0.979×0.920×0.950—14.88%
Doubles /BIP10.42%÷1.035×0.830×0.950—7.94%
Triples /BIP1.04%÷0.953×0.910×0.950—0.95%
Home runs /BIP5.21%÷1.005×0.800——4.15%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 91, K 99, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .329 → .228; ISO .139 → .097; BABIP .293 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Asheville Tourists · 35 PAwOBA .394 → .279 (−115)K% 31.4% → 42.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.43%÷0.977×1.310——42.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷1.016×0.600—×1.0128.54%
HBP% /PA5.71%—×0.770—×1.0124.45%
Singles /BIP29.41%÷0.984×0.870—×1.01226.31%
Doubles /BIP11.76%÷1.095×0.780—×1.0128.48%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.850—×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP5.88%÷1.297×0.880—×1.0124.04%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 97, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .394 → .279; ISO .179 → .116; BABIP .438 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 75 PAwOBA .264 → .168 (−96)K% 44.0% → 58.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA44.00%÷1.020×1.360——58.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.33%÷1.024×0.690—×1.0159.12%
HBP% /PA1.33%—×0.780—×1.0151.06%
Singles /BIP16.13%÷1.038×0.920—×1.01514.51%
Doubles /BIP9.68%÷1.132×0.830—×1.0157.20%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP6.45%÷1.118×0.800—×1.0154.69%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 104, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .264 → .168; ISO .141 → .078; BABIP .276 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).