Jason Schiavone — OGILVIE

Jason SchiavoneC Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION350 act + 233 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .298 / .334

PA233

HR8

SB9

K%41

BB%12

BABIP286

ISO157

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.0	$13M	+$12M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$12M	+$11M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$10M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$9M	+$7M
2033	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$6M	+$4M
2034	Arb-3	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M
Totals		$14M		$52M	+$44M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	75	68	5	1	0	1	6	45	1	3	0	74	160	132	292	59	182	60	8	155	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	75	64	10	3	0	2	10	33	1	3	0	156	280	297	577	141	276	44	13	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	300	250	30	8	1	4	35	156	14	11	3	120	264	208	472	88	286	52	12	224	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	300	222	40	12	1	6	63	109	14	11	3	180	391	324	716	144	315	36	21	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	HOU	—	350	297	63	11	0	19	47	138	4	21	6	212	328	441	769	229	310	39	13	331	111	+4	+2	+0	+6	+10	2.3
YTD	23	AA	HOU	—	350	274	74	14	0	23	70	105	4	21	6	270	425	573	998	303	345	30	20	432	189	+35	+2	+0	+6	+10	5.4
ROS	23	AA	HOU	2%	233	197	35	7	0	8	29	96	5	9	3	177	298	334	633	157	285	41	12	292	82	-5	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.7
ROS	23	MLB	HOU	2%	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0		200		200		288	40	20	281	73	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	AA	HOU	—	355	301	63	11	0	19	48	140	4	21	6	209	326	435	761	226	306	39	14	330	111	+4	+2	+0	+6	+10	2.3
TOT	23	AA	HOU	—	583	494	98	18	0	27	76	234	9	30	9	198	316	399	714	200	300	40	13	315	99	-0	+2	+0	+10	+17	3.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	HOU	31%	406	346	64	12	1	14	50	164	7	11	3	185	300	347	647	162	294	40	12	297	85	-7	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.3
2028	25	MLB	HOU	45%	520	443	86	16	1	19	63	202	9	13	4	194	307	363	670	169	294	39	12	301	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2029	26	MLB	HOU	51%	520	443	87	16	1	19	63	198	9	12	3	196	309	366	674	169	294	38	12	303	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2030	27	MLB	HOU	53%	520	443	87	16	1	19	63	196	9	11	3	196	309	366	674	169	294	38	12	304	91	-5	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2031	28	MLB	HOU	53%	520	443	86	16	1	18	63	197	9	10	3	194	307	357	663	163	293	38	12	303	90	-6	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.9
2032	29	MLB	HOU	53%	520	443	86	16	1	18	63	198	9	10	3	194	307	357	663	163	292	38	12	301	88	-7	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.7
2033	30	MLB	HOU	52%	445	380	72	13	1	15	54	171	8	8	2	189	303	347	651	158	290	38	12	298	86	-7	+1	-2	+8	+13	1.3
2034	31	MLB	HOU	56%	418	357	67	12	1	14	51	162	7	7	2	188	301	345	646	157	287	39	12	294	83	-8	+1	-3	+7	+12	0.9
2035	32	MLB	HOU	59%	388	331	61	11	0	13	47	152	7	6	2	184	299	335	634	151	283	39	12	289	79	-9	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.6
2027	24	MLB	HOU	31%	126	107	21	4	0	5	16	51	2	3	1	196	312	374	686	178	298	40	13	287	78	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2028	25	MLB	HOU	45%	232	198	38	7	0	9	28	90	4	6	2	192	304	364	668	172	298	39	12	292	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2029	26	MLB	HOU	51%	265	226	45	8	1	10	32	101	5	6	2	199	312	376	688	177	298	38	12	294	83	-5	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2030	27	MLB	HOU	53%	273	233	47	9	1	10	33	103	5	6	2	202	314	378	691	176	297	38	12	295	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2031	28	MLB	HOU	53%	277	236	47	9	1	10	34	105	5	6	2	199	313	373	686	174	297	38	12	294	83	-5	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.8
2032	29	MLB	HOU	53%	273	233	46	9	0	10	33	104	5	5	1	197	310	365	675	167	295	38	12	292	81	-6	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.7
2033	30	MLB	HOU	52%	232	198	38	7	0	8	28	89	4	4	1	192	304	348	653	157	293	38	12	289	79	-5	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.5
2034	31	MLB	HOU	56%	235	200	38	7	0	8	29	91	4	4	1	190	305	345	650	155	290	39	12	285	76	-6	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.3
2035	32	MLB	HOU	59%	229	195	37	7	0	8	28	89	4	4	1	190	304	349	653	159	286	39	12	280	72	-7	+0	-2	+4	+6	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2147	1830	357	67	3	78	262	825	38	44	13	195	308	363	671	168	298	38	12	290	80	-48	+4	-6	+38	+61	4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	554	108	20	1	24	79	250	12	13	4	195	309	365	673	170	297	38	12	290	80	-15	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	4865	4144	766	144	9	162	587	1937	94	111	31	185	300	341	641	156	292	40	12	292	82	-100	+10	-10	+87	+138	12.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	554	102	19	1	22	78	259	13	15	4	184	299	341	640	157	290	40	12	292	82	-13	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	75	64	10	3	0	2	10	33	1	3	0	156	280	297	577	141	276	44	13	270	65	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2025	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	35	28	8	2	0	1	5	11	2	0	0	286	429	464	893	179	438	31	14	404	167	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	265	194	32	10	1	5	58	98	12	11	3	165	386	304	690	139	293	37	22	334	114	+4	+1	—	—	+8	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,148	75	44	192	302	355	+38	+20	7.0	6.6
	/162	664	23	13	192	302	355	+11.9	+6.2	2.2	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jason Schiavone (OGILVIE)	23	20	35	50	60	198/316/399	200	300	27	30	40%	13%	99	+3.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Blaze Alexander 2022 · A	23	35→45	42→45	52→50	37	173/243/272	99	290	11	14	42%	7%	40	-2.4	212/283/342	130	324	14	10	37%	7%	75	-0.0	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	44→50	51→45	35	182/259/292	110	306	12	11	42%	6%	53	-1.5	199/263/309	110	291	13	7	34%	6%	58	-1.2	187/246/280	93	268	12	5	34%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→45	54→50	39	192/262/274	82	303	8	14	37%	7%	48	-1.9	206/305/332	126	296	13	13	32%	10%	82	+0.5	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	39	42→45	47→50	39	198/255/299	101	269	10	10	30%	5%	51	-1.7	211/272/334	123	278	13	9	28%	6%	67	-0.5	201/263/321	120	259	14	7	27%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Connor Pavolony 2023 · A	23	39	41→40	48→40	48	184/287/284	100	301	9	6	38%	11%	63	-0.9	170/249/246	76	294	6	6	40%	8%	36	-2.7	129/203/183	54	225	4	2	41%	8%	-2	-2.3
✕Carson Blair 2013 · A	23	34	42→50	43→30	38	172/234/280	108	274	10	6	39%	7%	37	-2.6	197/267/331	134	321	13	4	39%	8%	65	-0.7	191/266/336	145	314	15	1	41%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	35→33	44→45	51→55	37	184/244/295	111	265	12	16	35%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/327	127	297	14	15	35%	8%	67	-0.5	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Andy Paz 2016 · A	23	38	37→40	48→45	42	185/247/254	69	274	5	6	33%	8%	36	-2.7	220/269/285	65	296	4	7	25%	6%	52	-1.6	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Maverick Handley 2022 · A	24	39	41→40	53→50	40	184/267/283	99	306	9	16	39%	8%	53	-1.5	197/288/298	101	277	10	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	191/290/281	90	261	9	10	28%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A	24	37→31	44→40	54→55	51	183/290/296	114	287	13	20	37%	13%	67	-0.5	187/265/280	93	314	9	18	39%	9%	51	-1.7	159/226/223	64	280	6	22	42%	7%	17	-2.2
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A	23	37	40→50	47→45	41	183/247/269	86	275	9	6	35%	8%	40	-2.4	197/245/284	87	262	8	6	27%	6%	42	-2.3	183/224/259	76	232	7	4	24%	5%	25	-1.0
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	38	41→40	46→40	41	184/265/285	101	288	8	8	36%	8%	53	-1.5	205/278/297	92	316	7	5	34%	7%	60	-1.0	204/278/288	84	318	5	2	34%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Jamari Baylor 2023 · A	22	39	42→45	50→55	42	167/279/271	104	330	9	19	46%	10%	57	-1.2	187/286/292	105	341	10	16	43%	10%	64	-0.8	174/275/291	117	297	14	17	42%	9%	57	-0.3
✕Carlos Narváez 2023 · A	24	36→45	46→50	46→45	45	182/272/307	125	283	14	6	38%	10%	62	-0.9	207/290/338	131	291	14	7	32%	9%	77	+0.1	212/294/349	136	285	16	6	29%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	40→45	54→60	55	161/294/251	90	257	7	24	35%	14%	59	-1.1	189/306/294	105	299	8	20	35%	12%	73	-0.1	189/308/299	110	300	9	21	35%	12%	73	-0.1
✕D' Vontrey Richardson 2011 · A	23	39→36	40	45→50	35	188/242/286	98	306	7	10	39%	6%	42	-2.3	231/276/325	94	331	5	11	30%	5%	65	-0.7	254/295/348	94	332	5	16	24%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2018 · A	23	35	42→45	43→45	47	171/267/278	106	270	9	5	37%	11%	52	-1.6	184/252/283	99	267	8	7	32%	8%	46	-2.0	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8