Jason SchiavoneC Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION350 act + 233 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†82
AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .298 / .334
PA233
HR8
SB9
K%41
BB%12
BABIP286
ISO157
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -0.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-0BATRUN: +1.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +10.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+10POSREP: +16.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+17REPTotal WAR: +3.00+3.0WAR
0.01.22.50.01.71.92.02.01.91.71.51.2+$95M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.0$13M+$12M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.0$12M+$11M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.9$10M+$10M
2032Arb-1$3M+1.7$9M+$7M
2033Arb-2$5M+1.5$7M+$5M
2034Arb-3$5M+1.2$5M+$3M
Totals $16M $56M +$48M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 AFayetteville Woodpeckers 7568 5101 6451 30 74160132292 59182 608 155 -23
202421 AFayetteville Woodpeckers 7564 10302 10331 30 156280297577 141276 4413 270 65
202522 A2 teams 300250 30814 3515614 113 120264208472 88286 5212 224 29
202522 A2 teams 300222 401216 6310914 113 180391324716 144315 3621 343 120
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 AAHOU 350297 6311019 471384 216 212328441769 229310 3913 331 111 +4 +2 +0 +6 +10 2.3
YTD23 AAHOU 350274 7414023 701054 216 270425573998 303345 3020 432 189 +35 +2 +0 +6 +10 5.4
ROS23 AAHOU 2% 233197 35708 29965 93 177298334633 157285 4112 292 82 -5 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.7
ROS23 MLBHOU 2% 54 0000 120 00 200200 288 4020 281 73 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL23 AAHOU 355301 6311019 481404 216 209326435761 226306 3914 330 111 +4 +2 +0 +6 +10 2.3
TOT23 AAHOU 583494 9818027 762349 309 198316399714 200300 4013 315 99 -0 +2 +0 +10 +17 3.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBHOU 31% 520441 8215118 6421110 144 186303347650 161295 4112 297 85 -9 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.7
202825 MLBHOU 45% 520443 8616119 632039 134 194307363670 169295 3912 301 89 -7 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.9
202926 MLBHOU 51% 520443 8716119 631999 123 196309366674 169295 3812 303 90 -6 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.0
203027 MLBHOU 53% 520443 8716119 631979 113 196309366674 169295 3812 304 91 -5 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.0
203128 MLBHOU 53% 520443 8616118 631989 103 194307357663 163294 3812 303 90 -6 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.9
203229 MLBHOU 53% 520442 8616118 641999 103 195309357666 163293 3812 301 88 -7 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.7
203330 MLBHOU 52% 520442 8516118 642009 93 192307355662 163291 3812 298 86 -8 +1 -2 +9 +15 1.5
203431 MLBHOU 56% 504428 8115117 621969 82 189305348653 159288 3912 294 83 -10 +1 -3 +9 +14 1.2
203532 MLBHOU 59% 489418 7714116 601928 82 184298337636 153284 3912 289 79 -12 +1 -4 +9 +14 0.9
203633 MLBHOU 61% 452387 6812014 551807 62 176290315605 140279 4012 282 74 -13 +0 -4 +8 +13 0.4
203734 MLBHOU 56% 370316 549011 451496 51 171286304590 133272 4012 274 68 -13 +1 -5 +7 +10 -0.1
203835 MLBHOU 52% 302258 42708 361245 41 163278283561 120265 4112 265 61 -13 +0 -6 +5 +9 -0.5
202724 MLBHOU 31% 161137 26506 20653 41 190306358664 168299 4012 287 78 -4 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.4
202825 MLBHOU 45% 232198 38709 28914 62 192304364668 172299 3912 291 81 -5 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.6
202926 MLBHOU 51% 265226 458110 321015 62 199312376688 177299 3812 294 83 -5 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.8
203027 MLBHOU 53% 273233 479110 331045 62 202314378691 176298 3812 294 83 -5 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.8
203128 MLBHOU 53% 277236 479110 341055 62 199313373686 174297 3812 293 83 -5 +0 -0 +5 +8 0.8
203229 MLBHOU 53% 273233 469010 331045 51 197310365675 167296 3812 292 81 -6 +1 -1 +5 +8 0.7
203330 MLBHOU 52% 271231 448010 331045 51 190305355660 165294 3812 289 79 -6 +1 -1 +5 +8 0.6
203431 MLBHOU 56% 283241 469010 351105 51 191306353659 162291 3912 285 76 -8 +1 -2 +5 +8 0.5
203532 MLBHOU 59% 288246 458010 351135 41 183297337635 154287 3912 280 72 -9 +0 -2 +5 +8 0.3
203633 MLBHOU 61% 275235 43809 331095 41 183297332629 149282 4012 273 67 -10 +0 -3 +5 +8 0.0
203734 MLBHOU 56% 209179 30506 25843 31 168280296576 128275 4012 265 61 -9 +0 -3 +4 +6 -0.2
203835 MLBHOU 52% 157134 23405 19653 21 172288313602 142267 4112 256 54 -8 +0 -3 +3 +4 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 29692533 480893105 361115753 5616 189303351655 162292 3912 284 76 -81 +5 -14 +53 +84 4.8
/ 162G 650555 10519123 7925312 124 189304351655 162291 3912 284 76 -18 +1 -3 +12 +18 1.0
Career 63655419 99118410208 7722545119 13337 183298336634 153290 4012 289 79 -148 +12 -25 +114 +180 13.6
/ 162G 650553 10119121 7926012 144 183298335632 152291 4012 289 79 -15 +1 -3 +12 +18 1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 AFayetteville Woodpeckers 7564 10302 10331 30 156280297577 141276 4413 270 65 -3 +1 +2 -0.0
202522 A+Asheville Tourists 3528 8201 5112 00 286429464893 179438 3114 404 167 +3 +0 +1 0.4
202522 AFayetteville Woodpeckers 265194 321015 589812 113 165386304690 139293 3722 334 114 +4 +1 +8 1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA
93,1271105235308414+56-1014.114.8
/162664231+11.9-2.13.0pk7: 16
#3Derek Norrislast yr '17
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA
62,1956326230304380+39+5013.713.7
/162664198+11.9+15.14.1pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
62,97110056188298345+47+247.87.0
/1626642212+10.6+5.41.7pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jason Schiavone (OGILVIE) 23 20 35 50 60 198/316/399 200300 2730 40% 13% 99 +3.0
Dylan Neuse
2023 · A
24 36 40 49→50 44 178/256/260 82272 814 35% 9% 42 -2.3 211/287/303 92304 712 30% 9% 66 -0.6 219/303/3139430951328%10%75-0.0
Blaze Alexander
2022 · A
23 35→45 42→45 52→50 37 173/243/272 99290 1114 42% 7% 40 -2.4 212/283/342 130324 1410 37% 7% 75 -0.0 237/319/364126339121531%8%92+0.8
Tucker Mitchell
2023 · A
22 38 44→50 51→45 35 182/259/292 110306 1211 42% 6% 53 -1.5 199/263/309 110291 137 34% 6% 58 -1.2 187/246/2809326812534%5%40-1.0
Corey Joyce
2022 · AA
23 40 39→45 54→50 39 192/262/274 82303 814 37% 7% 48 -1.9 206/305/332 126296 1313 32% 10% 82 +0.5 214/316/327113306111430%10%82+0.3
Luis Santana
2022 · AA
23 39 42→45 47→50 39 198/255/299 101269 1010 30% 5% 51 -1.7 211/272/334 123278 139 28% 6% 67 -0.5 201/263/32112025914727%6%57-0.7
Connor Pavolony
2023 · A
23 39 41→40 48→40 48 184/287/284 100301 96 38% 11% 63 -0.9 170/249/246 76294 66 40% 8% 36 -2.7 129/203/183542254241%8%-2-2.3
Carson Blair
2013 · A
23 34 42→50 43→30 38 172/234/280 108274 106 39% 7% 37 -2.6 197/267/331 134321 134 39% 8% 65 -0.7 191/266/33614531415141%9%63-0.4
Willie MacIver
2022 · AA
25 35→33 44→45 51→55 37 184/244/295 111265 1216 35% 6% 46 -2.0 200/274/327 127297 1415 35% 8% 67 -0.5 225/305/348123321111831%8%83+0.3
Andy Paz
2016 · A
23 38 37→40 48→45 42 185/247/254 69274 56 33% 8% 36 -2.7 220/269/285 65296 47 25% 6% 52 -1.6 226/270/274482963723%6%46-0.7
Maverick Handley
2022 · A
24 39 41→40 53→50 40 184/267/283 99306 916 39% 8% 53 -1.5 197/288/298 101277 1012 30% 9% 66 -0.6 191/290/2819026191028%9%60-0.5
Justin Farmer
2023 · A
24 37→31 44→40 54→55 51 183/290/296 114287 1320 37% 13% 67 -0.5 187/265/280 93314 918 39% 9% 51 -1.7 159/226/2236428062242%7%17-2.2
Kendall Simmons
2023 · A
23 36 47→50 49→50 38 189/255/325 136272 1510 35% 6% 59 -1.1 206/270/351 145304 169 36% 6% 72 -0.2 198/264/34714929417737%6%65-0.2
Blake Hunt
2022 · AA
23 35 43→50 48→40 39 178/241/285 107272 114 37% 7% 42 -2.3 203/260/325 122275 134 30% 6% 60 -1.0 207/268/34113426314226%6%65-0.3
Randy Florentino
2023 · A
23 37 40→50 47→45 41 183/247/269 86275 96 35% 8% 40 -2.4 197/245/284 87262 86 27% 6% 42 -2.3 183/224/259762327424%5%25-1.0
Tyler Grimes
2013 · A
23 38 41→40 46→40 41 184/265/285 101288 88 36% 8% 53 -1.5 205/278/297 92316 75 34% 7% 60 -1.0 204/278/288843185234%7%56-0.7
Jamari Baylor
2023 · A
22 39 42→45 50→55 42 167/279/271 104330 919 46% 10% 57 -1.2 187/286/292 105341 1016 43% 10% 64 -0.8 174/275/291117297141742%9%57-0.3
Carlos Narváez
2023 · A
24 36→45 46→50 46→45 45 182/272/307 125283 146 38% 10% 62 -0.9 207/290/338 131291 147 32% 9% 77 +0.1 212/294/34913628516629%9%79+0.2
Hayden Cantrelle
2022 · AA
23 34 40→45 54→60 55 161/294/251 90257 724 35% 14% 59 -1.1 189/306/294 105299 820 35% 12% 73 -0.1 189/308/29911030092135%12%73-0.1
D' Vontrey Richardson
2011 · A
23 39→36 40 45→50 35 188/242/286 98306 710 39% 6% 42 -2.3 231/276/325 94331 511 30% 5% 65 -0.7 254/295/3489433251624%5%75+0.0
Caleb Hamilton
2018 · A
23 35 42→45 43→45 47 171/267/278 106270 95 37% 11% 52 -1.6 184/252/283 99267 87 32% 8% 46 -2.0 145/239/28213720521340%10%39-0.8