Victor Rodriguez
P
FCL Marlins
Age 19
RHP
6'1" / 185 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 10 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.0%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP10
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 7 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 11.1% | 22.2% | -11.1% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 4.98 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 7 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 11.1% | 22.2% | -11.1% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 5.32 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Miami | 6 | 2 | 17 | 79 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 33% | 2.8 | 14.6% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 4.76 | 3.27 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Miami | 6 | 2 | 17 | 79 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 33% | 2.8 | 21.5% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 0.0% | 4.76 | 2.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 15 | 3 | 29 | 127 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 20% | 1.9 | 13.9% | 21.7% | -7.7% | 1.1% | 5.59 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.0% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.33 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 39 | 170 | 36 | 26 | 2 | — | — | 21.1% | 15.3% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 5.26 | 5.03 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.22 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.84 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.84 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 28 | 5 | 55 | 251 | 34 | 46 | 1 | 18% | 2.0 | 13.6% | 18.4% | -4.8% | 0.6% | 5.40 | 4.59 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 102 | 18 | 200 | 913 | 125 | 168 | 5 | 18% | 2.0 | 13.6% | 18.4% | -4.8% | 0.6% | 5.40 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Victor Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.0% | 9.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.22 | 23.4% | 14.5% | 20 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Osiris German R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.26 | 20.6% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .346 | 3.25 | 26.3% | 15.5% | 59 | -1.01 | 3.11 | 187 | 84 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2029 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 83 |
| David Davalillo R 2027 · 3.24 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.24 | 18.6% | 6.8% | 1.5% | .292 | 3.32 | 21.0% | 12.0% | 262 | +0.08 | 2.94 | 279 | 82 |
| Harold Cortijo R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.46 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .309 | 5.87 | 13.5% | 2.2% | 73 | +1.41 | 4.13 | 179 | 81 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2029 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 80 |
| Jake Elliott R 2028 · 3.82 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.82 | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .353 | 3.81 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 202 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 354 | 80 |
| Matt Walker R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.21 | 24.8% | 10.3% | 1.7% | .326 | 3.90 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 178 | +0.69 | 2.42 | 211 | 79 |
| Chris Gau R 2028 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 79 |
| Blake Workman R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.00 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .307 | 3.92 | 23.8% | 19.5% | 105 | -0.08 | 3.34 | 213 | 79 |
| Danny Dopico R 2028 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 79 |
| Addison Russ R 2029 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 79 |
| Michael Gomez R 2029 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 79 |
| Layonel Ovalles R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.63 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 2.2% | .333 | 4.52 | 17.4% | 3.0% | 146 | +0.89 | 2.60 | 227 | 79 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2028 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 79 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.59 | 17.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .360 | 5.41 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 88 | +0.82 | 4.59 | 120 | 78 |
| Ismael Cabrera R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.56 | 19.0% | 7.4% | 2.1% | .250 | 5.44 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 117 | +1.88 | 3.56 | 133 | 78 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2029 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 78 |
| Daniel Bies R 2029 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 78 |
| Saul Teran R 2027 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.23 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | .333 | 3.83 | 20.8% | 8.7% | 94 | -1.40 | 2.28 | 158 | 77 |
| Jeff Bain R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .339 | 4.13 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 274 | +0.19 | 3.37 | 475 | 77 |