Wei-En Lin

P Midland RockHounds

Age 21 LHP 6'2" / 179 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 2.0 · 2031

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #148MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP49ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	MIX3 levels	26	13	87	3.72	2.51	33.4%	6.3%	—	K 25.4% · BB 6.5% · FIP 3.46
2026	20	MIX2 levels	12	12	53	3.23	2.52	25.2%	7.9%	—	K 21.6% · BB 7.2% · FIP 2.85
2027PROJ	21	MLBOAK	8	8	43	3.76	3.76	23.6%	6.4%	0.6
2028PROJ50% MLB	22	MLBOAK	8	8	41	3.68	3.62	24.5%	6.3%	0.6
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBOAK	12	12	63	3.61	3.53	25.1%	6.1%	1.0

Next 3 projected WAR 2.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$4M2032Arb-2$7M2033Arb-3$10M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff53Control57Command53FB velo55

Career WAR1 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 21, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 62%

CompsNick Bennett (age 21) · Moises Brito (age 21) · Ryan Williamson (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8897vR 105

ERA3.76

FIP3.76

K%23.6%

BB%6.4%

K-BB%17.2%

Proj IP43

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$31M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5055

CTRL5560

CMD4555

K†5565

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$7M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+1.4	$8M	+$5M
2032	Arb-2	$7M	+1.4	$8M	+$3M
2033	Arb-3	$10M	+1.4	$7M	+$2M
Totals		$25M		$40M	+$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	13	87	350	117	22	9	50%	3.3	25.4%	6.5%	18.9%	3.1%	3.72	3.46	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	13	87	350	117	22	9	50%	3.3	25.4%	6.5%	18.9%	3.1%	3.72	3.46	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	13	87	350	117	22	9	50%	3.3	33.4%	6.3%	27.1%	2.6%	3.72	2.51	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	12	53	214	54	17	2	100%	4.4	21.6%	7.2%	14.4%	1.2%	3.23	2.85	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	12	53	214	54	17	2	100%	4.4	21.6%	7.2%	14.4%	1.2%	3.23	2.85	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	12	53	214	54	17	2	100%	4.4	25.2%	7.9%	17.3%	0.9%	3.23	2.52	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	OAK	8	8	43	182	43	12	5	100%	5.4	23.6%	6.4%	17.2%	2.7%	3.76	3.76	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	OAK	16	16	82	347	85	22	9	100%	5.1	24.5%	6.3%	18.3%	2.6%	3.72	3.66	+1.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	OAK	16	16	85	360	90	22	9	100%	5.3	25.1%	6.1%	19.0%	2.6%	3.65	3.57	+1.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	OAK	16	16	87	369	94	22	10	100%	5.5	25.5%	5.9%	19.6%	2.6%	3.58	3.52	+1.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	OAK	15	15	88	374	96	22	10	100%	5.9	25.8%	5.9%	20.0%	2.6%	3.52	3.48	+1.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	OAK	15	15	88	374	97	22	10	100%	5.9	26.0%	5.8%	20.2%	2.6%	3.48	3.45	+1.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	OAK	15	15	87	368	96	22	10	100%	5.8	26.0%	5.9%	20.1%	2.7%	3.49	3.49	+1.5
2034	28	MLB MLE	OAK	14	14	85	357	92	22	10	100%	6.0	25.9%	6.0%	19.8%	2.8%	3.54	3.58	+1.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	OAK	13	13	81	341	87	21	10	100%	6.2	25.6%	6.2%	19.4%	2.9%	3.64	3.71	+1.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	OAK	13	13	76	321	88	18	10	100%	5.8	27.3%	5.8%	21.5%	3.1%	3.62	3.61	+1.2
2037	31	MLB MLE	OAK	12	12	71	299	80	18	10	100%	5.9	26.9%	6.1%	20.8%	3.3%	3.74	3.81	+0.9
2038	32	MLB MLE	OAK	11	11	66	277	73	18	10	100%	6.0	26.4%	6.5%	19.9%	3.6%	3.92	4.04	+0.7
2039	33	MLB MLE	OAK	10	10	60	254	66	18	10	100%	6.0	25.9%	7.0%	19.0%	3.9%	4.14	4.29	+0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	OAK	8	8	41	173	42	11	4	100%	5.1	24.5%	6.3%	18.3%	2.6%	3.68	3.62	+0.6
2029	23	MLB CTX	OAK	12	12	63	266	67	16	7	100%	5.2	25.1%	6.1%	19.0%	2.6%	3.61	3.53	+1.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	OAK	13	13	73	308	79	18	8	100%	5.6	25.5%	5.9%	19.6%	2.6%	3.54	3.48	+1.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	OAK	13	13	78	329	85	19	8	100%	6.0	25.8%	5.9%	20.0%	2.5%	3.48	3.44	+1.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	OAK	14	14	81	342	89	20	9	100%	5.8	26.0%	5.8%	20.2%	2.5%	3.44	3.41	+1.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	OAK	14	14	81	342	89	20	9	100%	5.8	26.0%	5.9%	20.1%	2.6%	3.45	3.45	+1.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	OAK	13	13	79	334	86	20	9	100%	6.1	25.9%	6.0%	19.8%	2.7%	3.50	3.54	+1.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	OAK	13	13	77	325	83	20	9	100%	5.9	25.6%	6.2%	19.4%	2.8%	3.60	3.67	+1.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	OAK	12	12	72	304	83	17	9	100%	6.0	27.3%	5.8%	21.5%	3.0%	3.58	3.57	+1.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	OAK	11	11	67	283	76	17	9	100%	6.1	26.9%	6.1%	20.8%	3.3%	3.69	3.76	+0.9
2038	32	MLB CTX	OAK	10	10	62	262	69	17	9	100%	6.2	26.4%	6.5%	19.9%	3.5%	3.87	3.99	+0.6
2039	33	MLB CTX	OAK	10	10	57	241	62	17	9	100%	5.7	25.9%	7.0%	19.0%	3.8%	4.09	4.24	+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		142	142	831	3511	911	214	100	100%	5.9	26.0%	6.1%	19.9%	2.9%	3.61	3.24	+17.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	219	51	24	100%	5.9	26.0%	6.1%	19.9%	2.9%	3.61	3.24	+4.1
Career	—	MLE		38	25	140	564	135	38	13	66%	3.7	24.0%	6.8%	17.2%	2.4%	3.54	3.23	+14.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	36	200	806	193	54	19	66%	3.7	24.0%	6.8%	17.2%	2.4%	3.54	3.23	+3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wei-En Lin (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.76	23.6%	6.4%	2.7%	—	3.58	25.1%	19.0%	255	-0.18	—	—	—
Nick Bennett L 2019 · 2.85 FIP	21	SP-	2.85	21.7%	5.8%	1.6%	.264	5.13	19.3%	9.8%	227	+2.28	2.85	346	85
Moises Brito L 2023 · 3.16 FIP	21	SP	3.16	22.9%	8.7%	1.6%	.250	7.76	18.0%	-2.5%	21	+4.60	2.53	106	78
Ryan Williamson L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	23	SP-	4.10	18.4%	5.9%	3.3%	.286	5.57	18.4%	5.8%	102	+1.47	4.10	123	77
Marcelo Martinez L 2018 · 3.29 FIP	21	SP	3.29	22.0%	6.5%	2.2%	.303	5.47	18.6%	10.2%	234	+2.18	3.29	427	77
Yereny Teus L 2024 · 3.57 FIP	20	SP	3.57	23.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.276	3.33	24.6%	10.0%	88	-0.24	2.63	185	76
Isaiah Coupet L 2024 · 3.52 FIP	21	SP-	3.52	23.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.363	6.24	10.4%	-6.7%	16	+2.72	3.52	102	76
Adam Seminaris L 2021 · 3.94 FIP	22	SP	3.94	22.7%	8.3%	3.1%	.357	3.75	18.2%	9.3%	230	-0.19	3.00	577	76
Drew Parrish L 2021 · 3.47 FIP	23	SP-	3.47	24.1%	7.9%	2.6%	.261	5.90	16.7%	7.0%	354	+2.43	3.47	522	76
Jake Bennett L 2023 · 3.41 FIP	22	SP	3.41	21.2%	7.2%	2.2%	.339	3.29	19.3%	13.9%	222	-0.12	3.22	285	75
Jackson Stoeckinger L 2017 · 3.19 FIP	21	SP-	3.19	18.7%	7.7%	1.2%	.365	4.82	13.1%	7.3%	157	+1.63	3.19	184	74
Tommy Sommer L 2021 · 4.65 FIP	22	SP-	4.65	23.9%	9.3%	4.3%	.196	5.36	18.6%	6.1%	205	+0.71	4.28	230	74
Taylor Varnell L 2018 · 2.89 FIP	23	SP	2.89	22.5%	6.8%	1.5%	.252	3.95	19.5%	9.5%	202	+1.06	2.89	248	74
Dalton Lehnen L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	21	SP	3.95	19.8%	7.6%	2.8%	.398	4.49	15.8%	2.9%	189	+0.54	3.95	222	74
Sonny Vargas L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	20	SP-	4.54	21.0%	10.1%	3.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	165	74
Bryan Sammons L 2017 · 3.58 FIP	22	SP-	3.58	22.7%	10.5%	1.9%	.275	3.96	18.4%	8.4%	228	+0.38	3.58	688	74
Hunter Barco L 2024 · 3.61 FIP	23	SP	3.61	23.4%	10.0%	2.2%	.275	3.72	21.1%	10.0%	195	+0.11	3.29	257	73
John Doxakis L 2021 · 3.19 FIP	22	SP	3.19	21.0%	5.3%	2.2%	.279	4.94	18.0%	5.4%	229	+1.75	3.19	332	73
Mac Lardner L 2021 · 4.75 FIP	23	SP-	4.75	18.9%	8.5%	4.0%	.332	4.34	17.5%	8.1%	119	-0.41	3.66	186	73
Mike Minor L 2010 · 3.81 FIP	22	SP	3.81	23.2%	5.9%	3.5%	.376	3.82	21.1%	14.9%	467	+0.01	2.43	1,460	73
Brant Hurter L 2022 · 2.84 FIP	23	SP-	2.84	23.7%	5.5%	1.9%	.337	3.33	21.5%	14.6%	298	+0.49	2.84	440	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.0	77	25.8%	6.1%	1.12	3.66
Rick Aguilera ('85-'00, 22 WAR*)	6.5	81	24.3%*	6.1%*	1.18*	3.65*
Alejandro Peña ('81-'96, 15 WAR*)	5.3	81	24.7%*	7.5%*	0.96*	3.61*
Collin McHugh ('23)	5.0	90	23.3%	6.7%	0.96	3.72
Rollie Fingers ('68-'85, 28 WAR*)	8.5	106	27.0%*	6.9%*	0.98*	3.55*
Jake McGee ('22)	2.9	48	26.0%	6.6%	1.10	3.71
Keith Foulke ('08)	3.9	72	22.4%	6.1%	1.08	3.33