Cesar Paredes

SS DSL Angels

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 178 lbs ROK K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1144ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKLAA	142	.229/.404/.284	0	22	46	—	.155/.305/.190
2026	18	ROKLAA	166	.214/.381/.413	5	20	41	—	.134/.275/.246
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBLAA	276	.202/.288/.290	3	9	67	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBLAA	47	.206/.292/.301	1	1	72	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBLAA	116	.210/.296/.312	2	4	76	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed95

ISO83

Chase%70

Z-Con%69

BB%60

Whiff%53

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsCharlie Culberson (age 19) · Jorge Mateo (age 19) · Tyler Pastornicky (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 86 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .286 / .287

PA86

HR1

K%28

BB%9

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE71

scouting grade only

SPEED72

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Angels	—	142	109	25	6	0	0	27	30	5	22	3	229	404	284	689	55	312	21	19	334	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Angels	—	166	126	27	6	2	5	28	41	6	20	7	214	381	413	794	198	265	25	17	349	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	142	116	18	4	0	0	20	36	5	22	3	155	305	190	495	34	212	25	14	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	166	134	18	4	1	3	20	50	6	20	7	134	275	246	521	112	163	30	12	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	142	116	18	4	0	0	20	36	5	22	3	155	305	190	495	34	222	25	14	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	—	142	109	25	6	0	0	27	30	5	22	3	229	404	284	689	55	312	21	19	334	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	166	134	18	4	1	3	20	50	6	20	7	134	275	246	521	112	179	30	12	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	—	166	126	27	6	2	5	28	41	6	20	7	214	381	413	794	198	265	25	17	349	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	142	116	18	4	0	0	20	36	5	22	3	155	305	190	495	34	212	25	14	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	166	139	18	4	1	3	20	50	6	20	7	129	275	237	512	108	163	30	12	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	142	116	18	4	0	0	20	36	5	22	3	155	305	190	495	34	212	25	14	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	166	139	18	4	1	3	20	50	6	20	7	129	275	237	512	108	163	30	12	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	276	245	50	9	2	3	25	76	4	9	1	202	288	290	578	87	278	28	9	267	67	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	LAA	34%	138	122	26	5	1	2	13	37	2	4	1	207	294	303	597	96	281	27	9	274	72	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	LAA	48%	239	211	44	8	2	3	22	64	4	8	1	211	297	314	612	104	282	27	9	280	76	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	LAA	54%	351	310	66	12	2	6	32	93	6	11	2	214	300	324	624	110	284	26	9	285	79	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	LAA	57%	425	376	81	15	3	7	39	111	7	14	2	217	303	332	634	114	285	26	9	288	81	-9	+2	+0	+5	+9	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	LAA	57%	472	418	92	17	3	9	44	122	7	15	3	220	304	338	642	118	286	26	9	292	83	-9	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	LAA	57%	499	442	97	18	3	9	46	129	8	16	3	220	305	339	644	119	286	26	9	292	84	-10	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	LAA	56%	513	453	100	18	4	10	47	133	8	16	3	220	305	339	644	119	286	26	9	292	84	-10	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	LAA	55%	517	456	100	18	3	10	48	135	8	16	3	219	304	336	640	118	285	26	9	291	83	-11	+2	+0	+6	+11	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	LAA	55%	515	454	98	18	3	9	48	135	8	15	3	217	302	332	634	115	285	26	9	288	81	-12	+2	-1	+6	+11	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	LAA	53%	504	446	96	17	3	9	46	134	7	14	3	215	299	326	625	111	283	27	9	285	79	-13	+2	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	LAA	53%	492	437	93	17	3	8	45	132	7	13	3	212	296	319	614	107	282	27	9	280	76	-14	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	LAA	52%	476	423	88	16	3	7	43	130	7	11	3	208	291	309	600	101	279	27	9	275	72	-16	+1	-3	+5	+10	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	LAA	34%	47	42	9	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	206	292	301	593	95	278	28	9	273	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	LAA	48%	116	102	22	4	1	2	11	31	2	4	1	210	296	312	609	103	280	27	9	279	76	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	LAA	54%	190	167	35	6	1	3	18	50	3	6	1	213	299	322	621	109	281	26	9	283	79	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	LAA	57%	241	213	46	8	2	4	22	63	4	8	1	216	301	330	631	114	283	26	9	287	81	-5	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	LAA	57%	267	236	52	9	2	5	25	69	4	8	1	218	303	336	639	118	284	26	9	290	83	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	LAA	57%	282	250	55	10	2	5	26	73	4	9	2	219	304	337	641	118	284	26	9	291	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	LAA	56%	290	257	57	10	2	6	27	75	4	9	2	219	303	337	641	119	284	26	9	291	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	LAA	55%	287	254	55	10	2	5	27	75	4	9	2	218	303	335	637	117	283	26	9	290	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	LAA	55%	283	251	55	10	2	5	26	74	4	8	2	216	301	330	631	114	282	26	9	287	81	-6	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	LAA	53%	269	238	52	9	2	5	25	71	4	7	1	214	298	324	622	111	281	26	9	283	79	-7	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	LAA	53%	259	229	48	8	2	4	24	70	4	7	1	211	295	317	611	106	280	27	9	279	76	-7	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	LAA	52%	248	221	45	8	1	4	22	68	3	6	1	207	290	307	597	100	277	27	9	273	72	-8	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2779	2460	531	94	19	49	257	732	41	82	15	216	301	329	630	113	285	26	9	285	78	-66	+10	-4	+30	+60	3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	123	22	4	11	60	171	10	19	4	214	299	323	623	110	283	26	9	285	78	-15	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5535	4875	1033	190	35	93	521	1465	91	198	40	212	300	322	622	111	281	26	9	283	78	-127	+19	-7	+56	+113	5.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	121	22	4	11	61	172	11	23	5	212	300	322	621	110	280	26	9	283	78	-16	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Angels · 166 PAwOBA .347 → .229 (−118)K% 24.7% → 30.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.70%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	30.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.87%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	11.90%
HBP% /PA	3.61%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.55%
Singles /BIP	16.47%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.963	×1.008	10.86%
Doubles /BIP	7.06%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.963	×1.008	4.11%
Triples /BIP	2.35%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.963	×1.008	1.37%
Home runs /BIP	5.88%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	2.79%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .347 → .229; ISO .198 → .111; BABIP .265 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Angels · 142 PAwOBA .329 → .236 (−93)K% 21.1% → 25.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.13%	÷1.007	×1.220	—	—	25.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.01%	÷0.973	×0.700	—	×1.022	13.98%
HBP% /PA	3.52%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.52%
Singles /BIP	24.05%	÷0.990	×0.680	×0.978	×1.022	16.53%
Doubles /BIP	7.59%	÷0.920	×0.600	×0.978	×1.022	4.95%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.110	×0.600	×0.978	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.975	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 84, 3B 122, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .329 → .236; ISO .055 → .037; BABIP .312 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Pokey Reese'97-'04 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,138 PA	4.7	3,138	44	144	238*	292*	339*	+19	+41	4.0	4.7
/162	664	9	30	+4.0	+8.7	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.3	2,865	49	85	217	298	329	+31	+21	5.0	4.6
/162	664	11	20	+7.1	+4.9	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cesar Paredes (OGILVIE)	19	38→43	34→39	67→72	71	200/286/287	87	278	1	3	28%	9%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Charlie Culberson 2008 · A	19	45→54	38→45	60→50	41	212/274/296	84	304	4	18	30%	6%	63	-1.4	218/263/298	80	292	5	11	26%	5%	58	-1.7	253/299/420	167	321	18	9	26%	5%	101	+0.6
✕Jorge Mateo 2014 · A	19	39→49	39→50	60→65	49	190/263/275	84	238	6	30	22%	8%	54	-2.0	208/262/297	89	288	5	36	27%	6%	58	-1.7	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2009 · A	19	44→54	37→45	58→60	48	208/269/282	74	252	4	24	19%	7%	57	-1.8	242/293/325	83	287	5	28	16%	6%	75	-0.5	278/316/373	95	318	7	16	14%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2009 · A	20	44→54	41→40	58→55	45	214/276/316	101	271	7	21	23%	6%	68	-1.0	239/308/317	78	289	5	20	18%	8%	80	-0.2	245/318/310	65	292	4	22	16%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Jonatan Clase 2022 · A	20	43→48	40→50	59→65	47	205/283/296	91	289	7	26	30%	9%	66	-1.1	211/287/356	145	315	14	39	35%	9%	82	-0.0	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Brandon Dailey 2012 · A	20	47	37→45	58→55	44	219/280/295	76	302	3	17	27%	7%	64	-1.3	195/243/292	97	286	8	8	33%	5%	50	-2.3	171/212/271	100	247	8	5	33%	4%	31	-1.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Heiker Meneses 2010 · A	19	35→45	34→40	56→55	47	166/264/218	52	252	2	18	31%	9%	43	-2.8	207/263/280	73	304	4	18	31%	5%	55	-2.0	236/284/314	78	342	3	18	30%	4%	66	-0.8
✕Jefferson Rojas 2023 · A	18	45→48	36→50	56→50	48	210/272/282	72	247	3	16	16%	6%	59	-1.7	217/279/313	96	271	9	15	22%	6%	69	-0.9	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Jay Allen II 2023 · A	20	44→47	40→45	60→55	44	207/294/300	93	300	7	32	30%	8%	72	-0.7	192/283/280	88	280	8	28	32%	8%	64	-1.3	202/286/304	103	275	11	24	29%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Tito Polo 2014 · A	19	41→51	36→45	54→60	43	196/264/262	66	267	4	22	27%	6%	51	-2.2	212/270/304	92	282	7	23	26%	5%	63	-1.4	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Luigi Rodriguez 2011 · A	18	44→49	37→50	59→55	52	205/277/291	86	252	3	23	19%	9%	63	-1.4	224/277/314	90	328	6	17	31%	7%	67	-1.1	226/267/359	133	345	15	15	38%	5%	72	-0.4
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	39→33	39→55	59→50	45	191/248/281	90	242	5	22	23%	6%	49	-2.4	195/243/347	152	271	18	8	34%	5%	63	-1.3	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Derek Hill 2016 · A	20	43→52	37→55	58→60	44	205/261/281	76	275	4	24	26%	7%	53	-2.1	203/253/276	73	315	3	27	34%	6%	49	-2.4	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4
✕Matt Lipka 2011 · A	19	47→52	36→45	57→60	45	222/267/295	73	264	3	18	17%	5%	59	-1.7	222/265/286	64	282	3	17	21%	5%	56	-1.9	226/277/327	102	300	8	31	26%	6%	68	-0.6
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	44→52	41→45	59→55	40	211/262/313	103	297	7	20	30%	6%	61	-1.5	227/284/341	114	305	9	18	27%	7%	76	-0.4	229/290/345	116	300	9	18	25%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	194/267/288	94	272	9	17	30%	8%	59	-1.6	221/287/321	100	309	7	21	28%	8%	73	-0.6	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Cameron Cauley 2023 · A	20	40→48	37→50	60	39	187/249/260	73	305	4	28	38%	7%	45	-2.7	196/252/317	121	310	12	26	38%	7%	59	-1.6	212/268/359	147	288	15	31	31%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→52	40	57→45	42	203/256/302	99	255	6	15	23%	5%	57	-1.8	219/288/315	96	285	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1

Cesar Paredes

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps