Hunter Dryden

P Eugene Emeralds

Age 25 RHP 5'9" / 184 lbs A+ peak 0.4 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECT

Scout OFP40ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	ASF	21	21	93	2.90	2.63	26.0%	10.4%	—	K 19.2% · BB 12.2% · FIP 3.42
2026	24	A+SF	25	20	107	4.47	4.59	23.8%	10.7%	—	K 18.4% · BB 12.3% · FIP 5.69
2027PROJ	25	MLBSF	12	12	72	5.34	5.34	19.4%	13.4%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBSF	7	7	41	5.21	5.20	20.0%	12.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBSF	10	10	60	5.15	5.16	20.2%	12.5%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff49Control40Command40FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsJoel Hanrahan (age 25) · David Griffin (age 25) · J.P. France (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 118

ERA5.34

FIP5.34

K%19.4%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%6.0%

Proj IP72

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4050

CTRL4040

CMD3040

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	21	21	93	396	103	41	3	100%	4.4	19.2%	12.2%	7.0%	0.7%	2.90	3.42	—
2025	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	21	21	93	396	103	41	3	100%	4.4	19.2%	12.2%	7.0%	0.7%	2.90	3.42	—
2025	23	A RAW	San Jose Giants	21	21	93	396	103	41	3	100%	4.4	26.0%	10.4%	15.7%	0.8%	2.90	2.63	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	25	20	107	478	114	51	18	80%	4.3	18.4%	12.3%	6.1%	4.7%	4.47	5.69	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	25	20	107	478	114	51	18	80%	4.3	18.4%	12.3%	6.1%	4.7%	4.47	5.69	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	25	20	107	478	114	51	18	80%	4.3	23.8%	10.7%	13.2%	3.8%	4.47	4.59	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	SF	12	12	72	304	59	41	10	100%	6.0	19.4%	13.4%	6.0%	3.3%	5.34	5.34	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SF	16	16	96	405	81	52	13	100%	6.0	20.0%	12.8%	7.3%	3.3%	5.21	5.20	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	SF	16	16	95	399	80	50	13	100%	5.9	20.2%	12.5%	7.7%	3.3%	5.15	5.16	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	SF	15	15	92	388	78	48	13	100%	6.1	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	3.4%	5.16	5.20	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	SF	15	15	88	370	74	46	13	100%	5.8	19.9%	12.5%	7.5%	3.5%	5.24	5.31	-0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	SF	14	14	82	348	68	44	13	100%	5.9	19.6%	12.8%	6.8%	3.7%	5.39	5.49	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	SF	7	7	41	173	35	22	6	100%	5.9	20.0%	12.8%	7.3%	3.3%	5.21	5.20	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	SF	10	10	60	253	51	32	8	100%	6.0	20.2%	12.5%	7.7%	3.3%	5.15	5.16	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	SF	12	12	69	291	59	36	10	100%	5.8	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	3.4%	5.16	5.20	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	SF	12	12	71	300	60	37	11	100%	5.9	19.9%	12.5%	7.5%	3.5%	5.24	5.31	-0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	SF	12	12	71	300	59	38	11	100%	5.9	19.6%	12.8%	6.8%	3.7%	5.39	5.49	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	52	312	1317	263	165	45	100%	6.0	19.9%	12.6%	7.4%	3.5%	5.24	4.90	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	169	106	29	100%	6.0	19.9%	12.6%	7.4%	3.5%	5.24	4.90	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		46	41	200	874	164	107	25	89%	4.3	18.8%	12.2%	6.5%	2.9%	3.74	4.66	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	41	200	875	164	107	25	89%	4.3	18.8%	12.2%	6.5%	2.9%	3.74	4.66	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hunter Dryden (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.34	19.4%	13.4%	3.3%	—	5.19	20.1%	7.6%	282	-0.15	—	—	—
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	86
David Griffin R 2021 · 4.43 FIP	25	SP	4.43	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.25	15.4%	5.9%	168	+0.82	4.43	239	85
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	85
Dylan Burns R 2022 · 4.21 FIP	25	SP	4.21	17.1%	10.8%	2.2%	.300	4.87	11.6%	-2.4%	41	+0.66	4.21	120	84
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	84
Connor Staine R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	23	SP	4.80	20.3%	12.6%	3.3%	.266	5.19	16.1%	3.4%	230	+0.39	3.86	414	83
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	83
Zach Fruit R 2024 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	19.3%	14.1%	1.9%	.258	5.03	15.4%	-0.2%	44	+0.74	4.29	151	83
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	82
Nic Swanson R 2024 · 4.91 FIP	25	SP	4.91	19.3%	11.8%	3.5%	.286	5.43	19.9%	6.5%	132	+0.52	4.29	438	82
Will Sanders R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	22	SP	4.95	19.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.297	4.11	20.1%	12.5%	173	-0.84	3.92	266	82
Britt Reames R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	18.2%	12.9%	2.4%	.230	4.35	21.9%	11.5%	163	-0.14	3.76	204	81
Brett Daniels R 2021 · 4.67 FIP	25	SP-	4.67	22.3%	13.0%	3.3%	.357	4.69	18.9%	3.2%	77	+0.02	3.95	270	81
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	81
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	81
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	81
Josh Bostick R 2024 · 4.65 FIP	22	SP	4.65	19.3%	11.2%	3.2%	.304	5.40	21.7%	12.6%	119	+0.75	4.65	226	80
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.04	22.9%	13.8%	138	-1.17	3.38	292	80
Hayden Merda R 2023 · 5.17 FIP	23	SP	5.17	16.1%	15.3%	2.7%	.325	4.59	25.5%	10.9%	108	-0.58	4.20	203	80
Bryce Osmond R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	12.4%	4.4%	.294	7.13	16.7%	3.8%	80	+1.57	5.56	177	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	87	19.9%	12.7%	1.32	5.24
Jack Kucek ('74-'80, -2 WAR*)	1.0	51	20.4%*	11.8%*	1.44*	5.37*
Jerry Casale ('58-'62, -1 WAR*)	1.9	93	18.7%*	11.2%*	1.44*	5.30*
Jake Wade ('36-'46, -1 WAR*)	3.3	84	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.08*	5.03*
Blake Stein ('02)	2.4	95	17.4%	13.2%	1.48	5.41
Britt Reames ('06)	1.1	73	20.7%	12.0%	1.32	5.28
Todd Wellemeyer ('10)	3.1	77	16.9%	11.2%	1.26	4.83