Dayber Cruceta — OGILVIE

Dayber CrucetaOF DSL Phillies

Age 18 L/L 6'1" / 147 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION102 act + 68 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .309 / .344

PA68

HR1

K%26

BB%9

BABIP310

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	169	147	34	5	1	1	17	52	5	12	5	231	331	299	631	68	351	31	10	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	169	134	39	6	1	1	30	32	5	12	5	291	438	373	811	82	376	19	18	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	PHI	—	102	89	17	2	1	1	10	26	2	4	2	191	287	270	557	79	254	25	10	242	43	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
YTD	18	ROK	PHI	—	102	83	20	3	1	1	16	18	2	4	2	241	376	337	714	96	292	18	16	331	111	+1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.4
ROS	18	ROK	PHI	0%	68	61	14	2	1	1	6	18	1	2	1	230	309	344	653	115	282	26	9	270	64	-3	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	261	58	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	PHI	—	102	90	17	2	1	1	10	26	2	4	2	189	287	267	554	78	250	25	10	242	43	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
TOT	18	ROK	PHI	—	170	150	31	4	2	2	16	44	3	6	3	207	296	300	596	93	276	26	9	253	52	-9	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	PHI	25%	229	204	44	7	2	3	20	59	3	5	1	216	295	314	609	98	283	26	9	278	71	-7	+1	-0	-1	+6	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	PHI	38%	359	320	70	11	2	6	31	90	5	8	2	219	298	322	620	103	286	25	9	286	77	-9	+1	-0	-2	+10	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	PHI	45%	458	408	91	15	3	8	40	114	7	11	3	223	303	333	637	110	287	25	9	292	81	-10	+1	-0	-3	+13	0.1
2030	22	MLB	PHI	49%	527	467	105	17	3	10	47	130	8	13	4	225	307	338	645	113	288	25	9	295	84	-10	+1	-0	-3	+15	0.3
2031	23	MLB	PHI	51%	575	510	116	19	4	11	51	141	9	14	4	227	309	345	654	118	289	25	9	297	85	-10	+1	-0	-3	+16	0.4
2032	24	MLB	PHI	51%	605	536	122	20	4	12	54	148	10	15	4	228	310	347	657	119	290	24	9	298	86	-9	+1	-0	-4	+17	0.5
2027	19	MLB	PHI	25%	57	51	11	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	216	298	314	612	98	285	26	9	270	65	-2	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	PHI	38%	137	122	26	4	1	2	12	34	2	3	1	213	294	311	606	98	288	25	9	277	70	-5	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	PHI	45%	208	185	42	7	1	4	18	52	3	5	1	227	306	341	646	114	289	25	9	282	74	-6	+1	-0	-1	+6	-0.1
2030	22	MLB	PHI	49%	260	231	53	9	2	5	23	64	4	6	2	229	310	351	661	121	290	25	9	285	76	-7	+0	-0	-2	+7	-0.1
2031	23	MLB	PHI	51%	295	262	60	10	2	6	26	72	5	7	2	229	311	351	662	122	291	24	9	287	78	-7	+1	-0	-2	+8	-0.0
2032	24	MLB	PHI	51%	312	276	64	11	2	6	28	76	5	8	2	232	314	351	665	120	292	24	9	288	79	-7	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1269	1128	256	43	8	24	112	313	20	30	8	227	308	343	651	116	291	25	9	284	76	-35	+3	-1	-8	+36	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	131	22	4	12	57	160	10	15	4	227	307	341	648	114	291	25	9	284	76	-18	+1	-0	-4	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	2990	2653	596	96	20	52	266	752	48	80	24	225	307	335	641	110	292	25	9	292	81	-63	+6	-2	-18	+85	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	129	21	4	11	58	163	10	17	5	224	305	331	636	107	291	25	9	292	81	-14	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	169	134	39	6	1	1	30	32	5	12	5	291	438	373	811	82	376	19	18	379	148	+9	+0	—	—	+5	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,409	26	33	226	303	339	-8	+8	0.6	0.7
	/162	664	12	16	226	303	339	-4.0	+3.8	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dayber Cruceta (OGILVIE)	18	25→50	20→40	60	55	207/296/300	93	276	2	6	26%	9%	52	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	40→50	40→50	51→50	43	198/259/283	85	277	8	16	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/320	103	296	8	14	28%	7%	63	-0.8	218/277/350	132	309	11	7	31%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Jorge Ruiz 2022 · A	18	46→48	37→40	52→50	47	216/288/296	80	265	4	17	19%	6%	65	-0.7	230/282/305	75	285	4	12	20%	5%	63	-0.8	223/272/294	70	283	4	13	21%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→53	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	42→52	40→45	53→50	41	203/261/302	99	285	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	203/241/283	80	277	4	10	27%	4%	39	-2.5	261/302/366	105	316	7	13	19%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Yeicok Calderon 2010 · A	18	49	38→45	52→45	48	228/307/304	77	315	6	9	28%	9%	74	-0.1	210/272/330	120	310	11	6	34%	7%	66	-0.6	190/249/327	136	282	14	4	36%	7%	54	-0.5
●Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	41→51	35→45	51→50	46	190/270/254	64	256	2	15	24%	7%	46	-2.0	231/300/330	99	282	6	10	19%	6%	79	+0.3	245/326/365	120	273	11	9	14%	7%	96	+1.4
●Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	37→47	38→45	50→55	44	183/245/265	82	243	5	12	26%	7%	37	-2.6	233/283/341	108	299	5	13	22%	6%	72	-0.2	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Jorge Burgos 2021 · A	18	43→52	36→50	51→45	43	201/265/280	79	293	2	10	30%	7%	50	-1.8	231/294/317	86	328	5	6	29%	8%	71	-0.3	229/296/316	87	321	6	4	28%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Luis Liberato 2014 · A	18	41→51	37→55	48→50	41	195/252/268	73	282	4	13	31%	6%	41	-2.3	192/253/275	83	290	4	11	32%	7%	43	-2.2	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→44	43→55	51→45	46	198/264/316	118	245	9	7	23%	7%	59	-1.1	188/250/298	110	251	9	7	28%	7%	49	-1.8	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	67	-0.5	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	40	-2.4	268/309/352	83	293	9	4	12%	4%	85	+0.5
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→49	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	54	-1.4	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	47	-1.9	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Jose Reyes 2017 · A	18	50	36→45	51→55	44	235/281/303	67	296	3	10	21%	5%	62	-0.9	221/269/309	88	263	5	15	17%	6%	58	-1.2	219/269/317	97	252	6	20	15%	6%	56	-0.5