Dayber Cruceta — OGILVIE

Dayber CrucetaOF DSL Phillies

Age 19 L/L 6'1" / 147 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 129 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .291 / .286

PA129

HR1

K%26

BB%9

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	169	134	39	6	1	1	30	32	5	12	5	291	438	373	811	82	376	19	18	379	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Phillies	—	155	122	24	3	1	1	27	28	5	11	2	197	364	262	626	66	245	18	17	305	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	169	143	30	4	1	1	21	41	5	12	5	210	331	273	604	63	278	24	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	155	130	17	2	1	0	19	34	5	11	2	131	266	162	428	31	166	22	12	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	169	143	30	4	1	1	21	41	5	12	5	210	331	273	604	63	287	24	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	169	134	39	6	1	1	30	32	5	12	5	291	438	373	811	82	376	19	18	379	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	155	130	17	2	1	0	19	34	5	11	2	131	266	162	428	31	175	22	12	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies	—	155	122	24	3	1	1	27	28	5	11	2	197	364	262	626	66	245	18	17	305	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	169	141	30	4	1	1	21	41	5	12	5	213	331	277	608	64	278	24	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	155	130	17	2	1	0	19	34	5	11	2	131	266	162	428	31	166	22	12	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	169	141	30	4	1	1	21	41	5	12	5	213	331	277	608	64	278	24	12	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	155	130	17	2	1	0	19	34	5	11	2	131	266	162	428	31	166	22	12	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	265	236	50	8	2	2	23	68	4	6	1	212	293	289	582	77	285	26	9	268	68	-10	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	215	191	40	6	1	2	19	54	3	5	1	216	298	303	601	87	287	25	9	276	73	-7	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	344	305	68	11	2	5	31	86	5	8	2	220	302	315	617	95	288	25	9	282	77	-9	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	438	389	87	14	3	7	39	108	7	11	3	223	305	325	630	102	289	25	9	287	81	-10	+1	-0	-3	+9	-0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	500	444	99	16	3	8	45	123	7	12	3	226	307	333	640	107	290	25	9	291	83	-10	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	540	479	110	18	4	10	48	132	8	13	3	228	309	340	648	112	291	24	9	294	85	-9	+1	+1	-3	+12	0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	564	501	114	18	4	10	50	138	8	14	3	228	309	341	650	113	291	24	9	295	86	-10	+2	+1	-3	+12	0.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	577	512	118	19	4	11	52	141	8	14	4	228	309	341	650	113	291	24	9	295	86	-10	+1	+1	-3	+13	0.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	580	515	117	19	4	10	52	142	8	14	4	227	308	339	646	112	290	24	9	293	85	-11	+1	+1	-3	+13	0.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	577	512	115	18	4	10	52	143	8	13	4	225	306	334	640	109	289	25	9	291	83	-12	+1	+1	-3	+13	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	74	66	15	2	1	1	7	19	1	2	0	217	299	306	605	89	287	26	9	278	73	-2	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	167	147	32	5	1	2	15	42	3	4	1	221	303	319	622	98	288	25	9	284	77	-5	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	238	211	48	7	2	4	21	59	4	6	1	224	306	329	635	105	290	25	9	289	81	-6	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	283	252	57	9	2	5	25	70	4	7	2	227	308	338	646	111	291	25	9	293	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	305	271	63	10	2	6	27	74	4	8	2	229	310	345	655	115	292	24	9	297	85	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	319	282	65	10	2	6	29	78	5	8	2	230	310	346	656	116	292	24	9	297	86	-5	+1	+1	-2	+7	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	326	289	66	10	2	6	29	80	5	8	2	229	310	346	657	117	291	25	9	297	86	-6	+1	+1	-2	+7	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	322	285	65	10	2	6	29	79	5	8	2	228	309	343	653	115	291	25	9	296	85	-6	+1	+1	-2	+7	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	317	282	64	10	2	6	28	78	4	7	2	226	307	338	646	112	290	25	9	293	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2351	2085	475	73	16	42	210	579	35	58	14	228	309	339	648	111	293	25	9	294	80	-47	+6	+2	-14	+51	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	131	20	4	12	58	160	10	16	4	227	309	339	648	111	292	25	9	294	80	-13	+2	+1	-4	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4788	4236	940	149	32	75	439	1175	74	130	35	222	306	325	631	103	287	25	9	287	80	-93	+10	+3	-27	+97	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	127	20	4	10	60	160	10	18	5	221	305	322	627	101	287	25	9	287	80	-13	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.7	2,478	41	59	226	304	333	-15	+12	0.9	1.1
/162	664	11	16	-4.0	+3.2	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dayber Cruceta (OGILVIE)	19	25→50	20→40	60	55	210/291/286	76	285	1	3	26%	9%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2023 · A	19	38→48	36→45	52→50	52	175/254/238	63	212	3	16	18%	9%	42	-2.9	209/290/287	78	270	5	12	23%	9%	67	-1.1	224/303/331	107	289	11	12	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	36→46	37→45	50→55	46	176/242/253	76	228	4	12	24%	7%	41	-3.0	231/280/336	105	295	5	13	22%	6%	74	-0.6	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Franchy Cordero 2014 · A	19	44→54	38→55	58→50	41	207/265/293	86	304	5	13	32%	7%	58	-1.7	208/250/287	79	323	5	13	35%	5%	51	-2.3	250/293/418	168	373	15	17	35%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	42→52	38→50	52→50	44	203/259/282	79	268	5	14	25%	7%	53	-2.1	228/290/353	125	327	10	8	31%	7%	82	-0.0	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Esteban González 2022 · A	19	45	37→45	55	47	206/288/291	85	281	2	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	208/275/302	94	298	6	18	30%	6%	65	-1.2	207/269/318	111	298	8	29	32%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Victor Arias 2023 · A	19	43→50	37→45	49→50	47	199/284/273	74	302	3	11	32%	10%	62	-1.4	217/300/325	108	317	8	16	31%	9%	80	-0.2	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	43→53	41→50	54→60	45	205/273/309	104	282	7	12	28%	8%	65	-1.2	211/272/326	115	344	10	13	38%	7%	69	-0.9	214/285/371	157	317	17	29	36%	8%	82	+0.0
✕John Whittleman 2006 · A	19	44→45	37→50	54→45	48	204/279/289	85	286	2	11	27%	9%	63	-1.4	207/281/318	111	283	9	5	28%	9%	71	-0.8	203/292/325	122	277	11	2	29%	11%	76	-0.4
✕Daryl Jones 2006 · A	19	40→50	37→45	48→50	40	192/264/264	72	267	5	11	28%	5%	53	-2.1	212/278/306	94	284	8	13	27%	6%	67	-1.1	242/312/349	107	314	9	14	24%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jonatan Clase 2021 · A	19	44→48	37→50	54→65	53	203/294/283	80	276	3	19	25%	11%	68	-1.0	206/284/334	128	307	12	34	34%	9%	76	-0.4	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	46→56	37→40	57→60	51	211/279/293	82	248	2	14	16%	8%	63	-1.3	227/286/295	68	281	2	19	19%	6%	67	-1.1	260/318/350	90	329	5	34	21%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Hector Osorio 2024 · A	19	44	35→45	51→50	62	200/321/262	62	245	2	15	17%	13%	76	-0.4	216/319/308	92	262	8	12	19%	11%	84	+0.1	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps