Nelson Prieto

C DSL Phillies

Age 19 R/R ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKPHI	168	.313/.399/.571	6	6	52	—	.178/.256/.309
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBPHI	278	.206/.270/.311	3	7	64	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPHI	77	.211/.277/.326	1	2	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBPHI	171	.215/.282/.337	3	5	73	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO93

wRC+86

wOBA84

Speed73

Z-Con%45

Chase%43

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJett Williams (age 19) · Jefferson Rojas (age 19) · Miguel Palma (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 140 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .268 / .308

PA140

HR2

K%30

BB%7

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$24M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Phillies	—	168	147	46	16	2	6	16	47	5	6	3	313	399	571	970	259	426	28	10	423	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	168	152	27	9	1	3	11	57	5	6	3	178	256	309	565	132	260	34	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	168	152	27	9	1	3	11	57	5	6	3	178	256	309	565	132	261	34	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies	—	168	147	46	16	2	6	16	47	5	6	3	313	399	571	970	259	426	28	10	423	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	168	150	27	9	1	3	11	57	5	6	3	180	256	313	569	133	260	34	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	168	150	27	9	1	3	11	57	5	6	3	180	256	313	569	133	260	34	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	278	253	52	12	2	3	19	83	4	7	2	206	270	311	581	105	289	30	7	263	64	-12	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	225	205	43	10	2	3	15	66	3	7	2	210	276	323	599	112	290	29	7	270	69	-8	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	352	320	69	15	3	6	24	101	5	11	3	214	281	333	614	119	292	29	7	276	73	-11	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	443	402	87	19	3	8	31	126	7	14	4	217	285	342	627	124	292	28	7	282	77	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	504	456	101	22	4	10	36	141	7	16	5	220	288	349	637	129	293	28	7	286	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	520	470	106	23	4	11	38	144	7	16	5	223	291	356	647	133	294	28	7	290	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	520	470	106	23	4	11	38	144	7	16	5	223	291	358	649	135	294	28	7	291	83	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	520	470	105	23	4	11	38	144	7	16	5	223	291	359	651	136	294	28	7	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	520	470	105	23	4	11	38	145	7	16	5	222	290	357	647	134	293	28	7	290	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	520	470	104	22	4	11	38	146	7	15	5	220	288	352	640	132	292	28	7	287	80	-12	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	520	471	103	22	4	10	37	147	7	15	5	218	285	346	631	128	291	28	7	283	78	-14	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	520	471	101	22	3	10	37	149	7	15	5	215	282	338	620	123	289	29	7	279	75	-16	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	504	458	97	21	3	9	35	146	6	14	6	211	277	328	605	118	285	29	7	273	71	-18	+0	-3	+9	+11	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	77	71	15	3	1	1	5	23	1	2	1	211	277	326	603	115	290	30	6	272	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	171	154	33	7	1	3	12	49	3	5	2	215	282	337	618	122	291	29	7	278	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	240	217	48	10	2	5	17	68	4	7	2	218	286	346	632	128	292	28	7	284	77	-7	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	285	259	57	12	2	6	20	80	4	9	3	221	289	354	643	133	293	28	7	288	80	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	294	267	59	13	2	6	21	81	4	9	3	224	292	361	653	137	294	28	7	292	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	294	267	60	13	2	7	21	81	4	9	3	225	292	363	656	139	294	28	7	293	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	294	267	60	13	2	7	21	81	4	9	3	225	293	365	657	140	294	28	7	294	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	288	261	58	12	2	7	21	80	4	9	3	224	291	362	653	138	294	28	7	292	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	285	258	57	12	2	6	21	80	4	8	3	222	289	357	646	135	292	28	7	289	80	-7	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	278	252	56	12	2	6	20	79	4	8	3	219	286	351	637	131	291	28	7	286	78	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	274	248	54	11	2	6	20	78	4	8	3	216	283	343	625	127	289	28	7	281	75	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	263	240	51	11	2	5	18	76	3	7	3	212	278	332	610	121	286	29	7	275	71	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3043	2761	608	129	22	65	217	856	43	90	32	220	287	353	641	133	293	28	7	287	77	-77	+5	-4	+54	+66	4.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	131	28	5	14	46	183	9	19	7	222	288	358	646	136	296	28	7	287	77	-17	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5976	5413	1180	260	44	116	425	1698	84	181	59	218	285	347	632	129	293	28	7	282	77	-152	+13	-7	+104	+126	8.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	129	28	5	13	46	185	9	20	6	219	286	350	635	131	294	28	7	282	77	-17	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#4Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#5John Bateman'63-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,585 PA	5.4	3,585	81	10	229*	274*	381*	+64	+0	8.2	8.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.8	3,183	61	95	219	283	347	+57	+28	7.0	6.2
/162	664	13	20	+11.9	+5.8	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nelson Prieto (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	204/268/308	104	289	2	4	30%	7%	64	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Jefferson Rojas 2024 · A	19	45→48	41→50	52→50	43	221/283/322	101	279	9	15	24%	6%	72	-0.7	222/283/337	115	269	12	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Echedry Vargas 2024 · A	19	40→47	44→50	53→55	40	202/260/326	123	269	11	15	29%	6%	65	-1.2	215/258/351	136	288	15	14	30%	4%	70	-0.9	218/259/369	151	284	19	13	30%	4%	72	-0.5
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	44→45	41→50	51→50	45	211/277/319	108	290	7	12	28%	8%	70	-0.9	206/259/297	91	291	6	11	30%	6%	57	-1.8	210/267/353	143	267	17	14	28%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	41→51	40→45	50→65	42	201/260/289	88	279	8	16	30%	6%	56	-1.9	234/302/339	105	318	8	38	27%	8%	83	+0.1	239/313/347	108	322	9	47	26%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Jorge Alcantara 2011 · A	19	45	41→45	51→50	43	215/278/316	101	296	7	11	29%	7%	68	-1.0	197/266/293	96	297	7	13	33%	8%	59	-1.6	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Rodolfo Castro 2018 · A	19	41→42	41→55	47→50	41	199/257/307	107	275	8	5	30%	6%	59	-1.7	197/239/329	132	279	14	5	33%	5%	57	-1.8	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	43→51	42→50	50→55	51	209/299/315	106	278	8	12	26%	10%	77	-0.3	225/289/347	122	328	11	16	32%	7%	80	-0.1	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Franklin Barreto 2015 · A	19	44→50	41→55	49→50	37	209/262/323	114	301	7	9	32%	5%	64	-1.3	240/279/360	120	316	11	14	27%	4%	79	-0.2	221/279/390	169	326	20	13	37%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Leo Balcazar 2023 · A	19	43→50	43→40	54→45	41	210/277/319	109	305	10	15	33%	7%	70	-0.9	226/278/314	88	318	7	10	29%	6%	68	-1.0	225/278/312	88	283	9	5	23%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	40	185/238/269	84	259	7	4	30%	6%	43	-2.8	195/239/273	78	247	5	3	22%	5%	44	-2.8	242/310/379	137	297	17	3	24%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Danny De Andrade 2024 · A	20	41	42→45	51→50	45	201/277/305	104	269	9	11	28%	8%	67	-1.1	201/270/315	114	278	10	11	30%	7%	66	-1.1	190/254/309	120	266	11	10	31%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Eguy Rosario 2019 · A	19	42→52	40→55	48→55	39	205/259/302	97	291	7	13	31%	6%	59	-1.7	227/277/345	118	314	10	16	29%	6%	74	-0.5	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5

Nelson Prieto

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps