Bryant Olson
P
Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 23
LHP
6'4" / 190 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION11 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105114vR 123
ERA4.61
FIP4.61
K%23.2%
BB%11.9%
K-BB%11.3%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 30 | 141 | 47 | 35 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 30.2% | -7.0% | 1.2% | 3.94 | 5.62 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 30 | 141 | 47 | 35 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 33.3% | 24.8% | 8.5% | 1.4% | 3.94 | 4.35 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 9 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 21 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | 2.38 | — | — |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | WSH | 17 | 0 | 18 | 75 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.61 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.61 | 4.61 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 29 | 124 | 38 | 19 | 3 | — | — | 31.0% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 2.6% | 3.74 | 2.81 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.49 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.49 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.49 | 4.04 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 94 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.49 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 36 | 0 | 41 | 190 | 54 | 53 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.3% | 27.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 3.51 | 5.00 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 176 | 0 | 200 | 927 | 262 | 257 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.3% | 27.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 3.51 | 5.00 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryant Olson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 23.2% | 11.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.42 | 23.8% | 13.0% | 20 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Brian Marconi L 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .265 | 4.96 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.35 | 3.61 | 101 | 87 |
| Wesley Moore L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.83 | 25.9% | 13.2% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.14 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 58 | +0.31 | 3.83 | 111 | 85 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 84 |
| Fred Schlichtholz L 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.41 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 2.9% | .368 | 4.36 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 80 | -0.05 | 3.76 | 175 | 84 |
| Seth Clark L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.30 | 22.5% | 15.0% | 2.2% | .287 | 5.13 | 18.4% | 0.6% | 82 | +0.83 | 4.30 | 128 | 83 |
| Robert Garcia L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.63 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .342 | 4.41 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 106 | -0.22 | 2.21 | 452 | 83 |
| Andrew Walling L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.20 | 23.7% | 14.8% | 2.2% | .272 | 3.95 | 22.2% | 8.5% | 105 | -0.25 | 3.12 | 161 | 83 |
| Jared Tobey L 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.11 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 2.3% | .320 | 5.97 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 73 | +1.86 | 4.11 | 158 | 83 |
| Caleb Wurster L 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.44 | 22.2% | 13.4% | 0.9% | .299 | 5.52 | 23.2% | 6.6% | 65 | +2.08 | 3.44 | 100 | 83 |
| Andrew Tomasovich L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.78 | 21.1% | 13.5% | 1.4% | .333 | 3.88 | 20.3% | 6.9% | 52 | +0.10 | 3.78 | 126 | 83 |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.75 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .333 | 2.67 | 23.8% | 15.8% | 78 | -1.08 | 2.51 | 119 | 82 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.74 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 2.9% | .305 | 3.95 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 87 | -0.79 | 3.67 | 165 | 82 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2028 · 5.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.25 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.9% | .269 | 4.20 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.05 | 3.46 | 145 | 81 |
| Kade Bragg L 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.40 | 23.3% | 13.0% | 3.0% | .255 | 4.15 | 23.7% | 2.3% | 45 | -0.25 | 4.15 | 112 | 81 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.52 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .294 | 2.76 | 24.7% | 16.8% | 135 | -0.76 | 2.17 | 310 | 81 |
| Brandon Neeck L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .419 | 4.65 | 21.9% | 6.7% | 145 | +0.48 | 3.74 | 171 | 80 |
| Easton Lucas L 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .316 | 4.00 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 184 | -0.21 | 3.49 | 311 | 80 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 80 |
| Colton Johnson L 2029 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 80 |
| Cy Nielson L 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.43 | 23.1% | 12.3% | 1.3% | .301 | 4.56 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 95 | +1.13 | 3.01 | 201 | 79 |